2025 Canadian federal election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2025 Canadian federal election

The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. The writs of election were issued on March 23, 2025, after Governor General Mary Simon accepted a request to dissolve parliament from Prime Minister Mark Carney.

Quick Facts 343 seats in the House of Commons 172 seats needed for a majority, Leader ...
2025 Canadian federal election

 2021 April 28, 2025 (2025-4-28)

343 seats in the House of Commons
172 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Thumb
Thumb
Thumb
Leader Mark Carney Pierre Poilievre Yves-François Blanchet
Party Liberal Conservative Bloc Québécois
Leader since March 9, 2025 September 10, 2022 January 17, 2019
Leader's seat Running in Nepean Carleton Beloeil—Chambly
Last election 160[a] seats, 32.62% 119 seats, 33.74% 32 seats, 7.64%
Current seats 152 120 33
Seats needed 20 52 N/A[b]

 
Thumb
Thumb
Thumb
Thumb
Leader Jagmeet Singh Elizabeth May & Jonathan Pedneault Maxime Bernier
Party New Democratic Green People's
Leader since October 1, 2017 November 19, 2022 / February 4, 2025 September 14, 2018
Leader's seat Burnaby South
Running in Burnaby Central[c]
Saanich—Gulf Islands / Running in Outremont Running in Beauce
Last election 25 seats, 17.82% 2 seats, 2.33% 0 seats, 4.94%
Current seats 24 2 0
Seats needed 148 170 172

Thumb
New electoral districts to be used for this election

Incumbent Prime Minister

Mark Carney
Liberal



Close

This will be the first election to use a new 343-seat electoral map based on the 2021 Canadian census.

Background

Summarize
Perspective

The 2021 Canadian federal election, held on September 20, 2021, saw only minor changes from the preceding 2019 election.[1] The incumbent Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, did not win the popular vote and failed to win enough seats to gain a parliamentary majority, winning only a plurality of seats and retaining its status as a minority government. The Conservatives won the popular vote and continued as the Official Opposition.[2][a] In March 2022, the Liberals struck a deal with the fourth-place New Democratic Party (NDP), where the latter would provide confidence and supply for the duration of the Parliament in exchange for certain policy concessions.[3] The agreement lasted until September 2024, when the NDP terminated the deal.[4]

One week after the election, on September 27, Annamie Paul resigned as the Green Party leader, citing lack of party support.[5] The subsequent leadership election was won by former leader Elizabeth May, who ran on a "joint ticket" with Jonathan Pedneault, proposing a co-leadership model; Pedneault was officially named the deputy leader, pending a change to the party's constitution to allow co-leadership.[6] May and Pedneault formally became co-leaders on February 4, 2025.[7]

On February 2, 2022, Conservative leader Erin O'Toole was removed as leader by a caucus vote.[8] Following a leadership election, Pierre Poilievre was elected the new leader of the Conservative Party.[9]

Government transition

The government was plunged into a political crisis on December 16, 2024 when finance minister Chrystia Freeland abruptly resigned, only hours before she was set to present the government's fall economic statement, due to her opposition to Trudeau's fiscal policy.[10] Trudeau, who had already faced down a caucus revolt in October, was faced with renewed questions about his leadership.[11] By December 22, 21 Liberal MPs had publicly called for Trudeau to step down.[12] On January 6, 2025, Trudeau announced his intention to resign prime minister after the party elects his successor.[13] The ensuing leadership election was won by Mark Carney, former governor of the Bank of Canada.[14] Carney was sworn in as prime minister on March 14.[15]

Date of the election

Under the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act, which requires federal elections to be held on the third Monday in October in the fourth calendar year after the polling day of the previous election, the election was scheduled to take place on October 20, 2025.[16] However, elections can occur before the scheduled date if the governor generaldissolves Parliament on the recommendation of the prime minister, either for a snap election or after the government loses a vote on a supply bill or a specific motion of no confidence.[17]

On March 20, 2024, the government introduced the Electoral Participation Act, which included an amendment to the Canada Elections Act that would have changed the fixed election date to October 27, 2025, to avoid conflicting with Diwali, as well as municipal elections in Alberta.[18][19] The bill died on the order paper when the Parliament of Canada was prorogued by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau after he announced his resignation.[20]

On March 23, 2025, after a request from Prime Minister Mark Carney, the Governor General dissolved parliament and called an election for April 28, 2025.[21] This will be the first Canadian federal election under the reign of King Charles III, who acceded to the throne in 2022.

Political parties and standings

The table below lists parties represented in the House of Commons after the 2021 federal election and their current standings. Kevin Vuong, despite being elected as a Liberal, was disavowed by the party too late to alter his affiliation on the ballot and has since sat as an independent.[22]

More information Name, Ideology ...
Name Ideology Position Leader(s) 2021 result Current standing
Votes (%) Seats
Liberal Liberalism
Social liberalism
Centre to centre-left Mark Carney
32.62%
160 / 338
152 / 338
Conservative Conservatism
Social conservatism
Economic liberalism
Centre-right to right-wing Pierre Poilievre
33.74%
119 / 338
120 / 338
Bloc Québécois Quebec nationalism
Quebec sovereigntism
Social democracy
Centre-left Yves-François Blanchet
7.64%
32 / 338
33 / 338
New Democratic Social democracy Centre-left to left-wing Jagmeet Singh
17.82%
25 / 338
24 / 338
Green Green politics Elizabeth May & Jonathan Pedneault
2.33%
2 / 338
2 / 338
People's Right-wing populism
Canadian nationalism
Conservatism
Right-wing to far-right Maxime Bernier
4.94%
0 / 338
0 / 338
Independents N/A
0.19%
0 / 338
3 / 338
Vacant N/A
4 / 338
Close

Electoral system

Canada's electoral system, a "first-past-the-post" system, is formally referred to as a single-member plurality system. Voters select a representative nominated for their electoral district (sometimes referred to as a riding), and the candidate with more votes than any other candidate is elected to a seat in the 343-member House of Commons and represents that riding as its member of Parliament (MP). The party that wins the most seats in the House of Commons usually forms government, with that party's leader becoming prime minister. The largest party by seat count that is not the government or part of a governing coalition becomes the Official Opposition. That party receives more finances and privileges than the other opposition parties.[23][24]

An absolute majority of the votes cast in the last election is not needed to form government and is rarely achieved. As well, the government party does not need to obtain a majority of the seats in the House of Commons – and under the current multi-party system, quite often does not achieve that. However, to pass bills, the governing party must have support of a majority of MPs. Without majority support, the government can be defeated, then a new party is named government or an election has to be held.[citation needed]

Redistribution

This will be the first election contested under the new electoral districts established in the 2022 redistribution. Consequently, media outlets tend to report seat gains and losses as compared to notional results. These are the results if all votes cast in 2021 were unchanged but regrouped by new electoral district boundaries, as published by Elections Canada.[25]

More information Party, MPs ...
2021 results transposed onto 2023 boundaries
Party MPs
2021 actual result 2021 notional result Change
Liberal160157Decrease 3
Conservative119126Increase 7
Bloc Québécois3234Increase 2
New Democratic2524Decrease 1
Green22Steady
Total seats 338 343 5 Increase
Close

Incumbents not running for re-election

As of March 2025, 59 MPs have announced they will not run in the 2025 federal election. One MP lost their party nomination race to run again. One MP had their candidacy revoked by their party and was barred from running under its banner.

Four MPs announced their intention not to stand again, but later resigned from Parliament before the election.[26][27][28][29][30] Five further MPs initially announced their intention to stand down, before changing their minds.[31][32][33][34][35][36]

More information Party, MPs retiring ...
Number of MPs retiring by party affiliation
Party MPs retiring
2021 election[d] Current
Liberal3937
Conservative1312
New Democratic44
Bloc Québécois44
Independent03
Total 59 59
Close

Timeline

More information Seat, Before ...
Changes in seats held (2021–2025)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Spadina—Fort York November 22, 2021 Kevin Vuong  Liberal Excluded from caucus[37]  Independent
Mississauga—Lakeshore May 27, 2022 Sven Spengemann  Liberal Resigned to accept a position with the United Nations[38][39] December 12, 2022[40] Charles Sousa  Liberal
Richmond—Arthabaska September 13, 2022 Alain Rayes  Conservative Left caucus[41]  Independent
Winnipeg South Centre December 12, 2022 Jim Carr  Liberal Died in office[42] June 19, 2023 Ben Carr  Liberal
Calgary Heritage December 31, 2022 Bob Benzen  Conservative Resigned to return to the private sector[43] July 24, 2023 Shuvaloy Majumdar  Conservative
Oxford January 28, 2023 Dave MacKenzie  Conservative Retired[44] June 19, 2023 Arpan Khanna  Conservative
Portage—Lisgar February 28, 2023 Candice Bergen  Conservative Resigned[45] June 19, 2023 Branden Leslie  Conservative
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount March 8, 2023 Marc Garneau  Liberal Retired[46] June 19, 2023 Anna Gainey  Liberal
Don Valley North March 22, 2023 Han Dong  Liberal Left caucus[47]  Independent
Durham August 1, 2023 Erin O'Toole  Conservative Resigned March 4, 2024 Jamil Jivani  Conservative
Toronto—St. Paul's January 16, 2024 Carolyn Bennett  Liberal Resigned to become ambassador of Canada to Denmark[48] June 24, 2024 Don Stewart  Conservative
LaSalle—Émard—Verdun February 1, 2024 David Lametti  Liberal Resigned to join law firm[49] September 16, 2024 Louis-Philippe Sauvé  Bloc Québécois
Elmwood—Transcona March 31, 2024 Daniel Blaikie  New Democratic Resigned to work with Premier of Manitoba Wab Kinew[50] September 16, 2024 Leila Dance  New Democratic
Cloverdale—Langley City May 27, 2024 John Aldag  Liberal Resigned to run as the BC NDP candidate for Langley-Abbotsford in the 2024 British Columbia general election[51] December 16, 2024 Tamara Jansen  Conservative
Halifax August 31, 2024 Andy Fillmore  Liberal Resigned to run for the mayoralty of Halifax, Nova Scotia, in the 2024 Halifax municipal election April 14, 2025 (cancelled)  Vacant
Honoré-Mercier September 19, 2024 Pablo Rodriguez  Liberal Left caucus  Independent
Honoré-Mercier January 20, 2025 Pablo Rodriguez  Independent Resigned to run for the leadership of the Quebec Liberal Party, in the 2025 Quebec Liberal Party leadership election Vacant seat until the 2025 federal election  Vacant
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke January 30, 2025 Randall Garrison  New Democratic Resigned Vacant seat until the 2025 federal election  Vacant
Eglinton—Lawrence March 14, 2025 Marco Mendicino  Liberal Resigned to become Chief of Staff to the Prime Minister Vacant seat until the 2025 federal election  Vacant
Close

2021

  • September 27 – Annamie Paul announced her intent to resign as leader of the Green Party.[52]
  • November 10 – Paul formally submitted her resignation and ended her membership in the party.[53] The Green Party accepted her resignation a few days later.[54][55]
  • November 15 – Senator Denise Batters launched a petition to review the leadership of Erin O'Toole.[56] Party president Robert Batherson decided the petition was not in order.[56] The following day, Batters was removed from the Conservative caucus.[57]
  • November 24 – Amita Kuttner was appointed as Green Party interim leader.[58][59]
  • December 5 – The People's Party concluded its leadership review of Maxime Bernier. He was confirmed and continued as leader.[60][61]

2022

2023

2024

2025

Campaign

Summarize
Perspective

Party slogans

More information Party, English ...
Party English French Translation (unofficial) Ref.
 Liberal
"Canada Strong"
"Un Canada fort"
"A strong Canada"
 Conservative
"Canada First – for a Change"
"Le Canada d'abord – pour faire changement"
"Canada First – to make a Change"
 Bloc Québécois
"Je choisis le Québec"
"I choose Québec"
 New Democratic
"In it for you"
"Du cœur au ventre"
"From the heart to the stomach" or "To be brave"
 Green
"Change, Vote for it."
"Votez pour du changement"
"Vote for change"
 People's
Close

Policy platforms

More information Party, Economy ...
Party Economy Housing Environment Immigration Foreign affairs
 Liberal Reduce lowest income tax bracket from 15% to 14%[90]

Introduce an industrial carbon tax on big industries like the steel industry[91]

Eliminate the GST on new home purchases under $1-million for first-time home buyers[92]
 Conservative Reduce lowest income tax bracket from 15% to 12.75%[93]

Increase tax-free savings account annual contribution limit by $5,000, if invested in Canadian businesses[94]

Eliminate the GST on new home purchases under $1.3-million for all home buyers[92] Eliminate the carbon tax on industry[95]

Repeal environmental assessment law to fast-track resource projects, like pipelines and mining.[96]

Grant Quebec the power to select the majority of temporary immigrants under the International Mobility Program[97]
 Bloc Québécois
 New Democratic Eliminate the GST on Canadian-made vehicles and require federal agencies to only purchase Canadian vehicles[98]
 Green
 People's Cut foreign aid spending[99]
Close

Other issues

Conservative

Poilievre opposes re-establishing the long-gun registry, and opposes the May 1, 2020 Order in Council ban on firearms.[100] Poilievre also supports animal hunting; standing against the attempted to ban and seize the hunting rifles and shotguns of millions of Canadians.[101] Poilievre is pro-choice on abortion,[102] and says a government led by him will not bring forward and will not pass laws to restrict abortion, but he will allow his party to have free votes on legislation.[103] Poilievre plans to repeal Bill C-11 and the successor to Bill C-36, describing them as censorship.[104][105][106]

Poilievre also calls for the end of federal COVID-19 vaccine mandates and COVID-19 mask mandates and claims that they are based on "political science" for being enforced federally in provinces with no provincial mandates.[107] Poilievre calls for the end of vaccine passports[108] and says he will review and reexamine the Emergencies Act to prevent it from being abused for political purposes.[109]

According to numerous commentators, including the Toronto Star's Raju Mudhar, Justin Ling speaking on a podcast and writing in the Toronto Star, The Cord's Marina Black and the Toronto Sun's Brian Lilley, Poilievre has espoused conspiracy theories regarding the World Economic Forum for saying that he opposes their proposed "great reset" and for him saying "I'm against their proposals; I'm against their socialist agenda; I'm against the proposals they've made." and because he plans to ban ministers and top government officials from attending the Forum's annual summit.[110][111][112][113]

Endorsements

More information Type, Liberal ...
Endorsements received by each party
Type Liberal Conservative Bloc Québécois New Democratic Green People's
Media
Public figures
Unions and business associations
Close

Leaders' debates

In its May 2022 report, the Leaders' Debate Commission recommended various improvements for future debates, and that it remain a permanent publicly funded entity to organize leaders' debates.[120][121] In October 2024, the Leaders' Debate Commission announced that the English-language debate will be hosted by TVO's Steve Paikin, while the French-language debate will be hosted by Ici RDI's Patrice Roy.[122] The Commission will announce invitees on April 1.[123]

The French-language television network TVA Nouvelles announced plans for their own televised debate, and proposed a charge of CA$75,000 for participants to cover the cost of producing the event. The Conservatives and Bloc Québécois agreed to participate, as did the New Democratic Party while also criticizing the "pay-to-debate model";[124] the Green Party was not invited.[125] After the Liberal Party announced that Carney would not participate, TVA announced the cancellation of the debate.[126]

More information Date, Organizers ...
2025 Canadian general election debates
Date Organizers Location Language Moderator  P  Participant  A  Absent (invited)  I  Invited  N  Not invited  TBA  To Be Announced Source
Carney Poilievre Blanchet Singh Pedneault[e] Bernier
April 16, 2025Leaders' Debates CommissionMaison de Radio-Canada, MontrealFrenchPatrice Roy TBA TBA TBA TBA TBA TBA [122][123]
April 17, 2025EnglishSteve Paikin TBA TBA TBA TBA TBA TBA [123]
Close

Candidates

Opinion polls

Thumb
Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the 2025 Canadian federal election campaign period, graphed from the data in the tables below. Trendlines are 25-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Thumb
Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 45th Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.

See also

Notes

  1. While formal results showed the Liberals winning or leading in 160 seats, those totals include Kevin Vuong, who was disavowed during the campaign by his party, and sat as an Independent in the House of Commons from 2021 to 2025.
  2. Though parties registered with Elections Canada can field candidates in any riding they wish, the Bloc Québécois has never fielded candidates outside of Quebec (78 seats), thus rendering it impossible for the party to gain a majority in Parliament.
  3. Burnaby South was dissolved during the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution; Singh is seeking re-election in Burnaby Central, which encompasses much of the same territory.
  4. Party affiliation of retiring MPs at the time of the 2021 federal election
  5. Despite having two co-leaders, the Greens chose Pedneault to represent them in all debates and interviews.[127]

References

Loading related searches...

Wikiwand - on

Seamless Wikipedia browsing. On steroids.