2024 Elmwood—Transcona federal by-election

Federal by-election in Manitoba, Canada From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2024 Elmwood—Transcona federal by-election

A by-election was held in the federal riding of Elmwood—Transcona in Manitoba, Canada, on September 16, 2024, following the resignation of incumbent New Democratic MP Daniel Blaikie.

Quick Facts Riding of Elmwood—Transcona, Turnout ...
2024 Elmwood—Transcona by-election

 2021 September 16, 2024 (2024-09-16) 2025 

Riding of Elmwood—Transcona
Turnout39.08% ( 8.73)
  First party Second party
 
NDP
CPC
Candidate Leila Dance Colin Reynolds
Party New Democratic Conservative
Popular vote 13,606 12,448
Percentage 48.14% 44.05%
Swing 1.55 pp 15.92 pp

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Elmwood-Transcona By-Election Results

MP before election

Daniel Blaikie
NDP

Elected MP

Leila Dance
NDP

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The race was considered to be a battle between the Conservatives and the NDP, which has long held the constituency.[1][2]

The by-election was held on the same day as one in LaSalle—Émard—Verdun in Quebec.[3]

With Liberal candidate Ian MacIntyre acquiring 4.83% of the vote, the election results marked the Liberal Party's worst election performance in Winnipeg, and is the first time in history that the Liberal Party received less than 5% of the vote in any Winnipeg riding.[4]

Background

Summarize
Perspective

The riding of Elmwood—Transcona was vacated on March 31, 2024, following the resignation of NDP MP Daniel Blaikie.[5]

Constituency

The constituency is a suburban[6] riding located in the north-eastern parts of the city of Winnipeg. It is considered a working class riding, and contains the areas of East Kildonan, Elmwood, Transcona and part of North Kildonan. There is a large presence of industry in the area.[7]

The riding is considered a stronghold for the New Democratic Party, who have won every election in the riding since its creation in 1988, except for in 2011.[6] Prior to 1988, the NDP held the riding's predecessor of Winnipeg—Birds Hill since its creation in 1979. Elmwood-Transcona is the only federal riding in Manitoba where the two competitive parties are the New Democrats and Conservatives.[8]

Candidates

On May 22, Leila Dance, the Executive Director of the Transcona Business Improvement Zone won the NDP nomination over Leilani Esteban, the Executive Director of the Chalmers Neighbourhood Renewal Corporation.[9][10]

On July 19, Conservative Party announced Colin Reynolds, a construction electrician as their candidate.[11][12] He has described himself as a proud union member.[13] Lawrence Toet, MP for Elmwood—Transcona, from 2011 to 2015 was considered a potential candidate for the Conservatives.[14]

On July 25, the Liberal Party nominated Ian MacIntyre, a retired teacher and union leader.[15]

Russ Wyatt, Winnipeg city councillor for Transcona, 2002 to 2018, and 2022 to present was pondering a run for either the NDP or the Conservatives. He said that he liked the NDP's domestic policies, but disliked their "woke nonsense," and he aligns with the Conservatives on international views and foreign policy.[16] Ultimately, he decided not to run.[17]

On July 2, the Green Party announced that Nic Geddert had won the nomination race to be their candidate.[18]

The People's Party originally chose Byron Gryba as their candidate.[19][20] However, the party later registered Sarah Couture as the candidate.[21]

On August 20, the Canadian Future Party announced Zbig Strycharz would be their candidate. He is one of the two first candidates to participate in any race under the CFP.[22]

Campaign

In May 2024, NDP leader Jagmeet Singh visited the riding.[23] In July 2024, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre visited the riding and held a rally.[24] In August 2024, People's Party Leader Maxime Bernier gathered with supporters in the riding.[25]

Advance voting was open from the 6th to the 9th of September and over 10,000 people cast a vote.[26]

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Canadian federal by-election, September 16, 2024: Elmwood—Transcona
Resignation of Daniel Blaikie
Party Candidate Votes%±%
New DemocraticLeila Dance13,59748.18-1.51
ConservativeColin Reynolds12,41544.00+15.87
LiberalIan MacIntyre1,3624.83-9.92
GreenNicolas Geddert3601.28-0.34
People'sSarah Couture3531.25-4.57
Canadian FutureZbig Strycharz1320.47
Total valid votes 28,21999.62
Total rejected ballots 1070.38
Turnout 28,32639.16-20.46
Eligible voters 72,325
New Democratic hold Swing -8.73
Source: Elections Canada[27]
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2021 results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2021 Canadian federal election: Elmwood—Transcona
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
New DemocraticDaniel Blaikie20,79149.69+4.07$63,992.50
ConservativeRejeanne Caron11,76828.13-9.32$53,284.18
LiberalSara Mirwaldt6,16914.74+2.42$10,073.29
People'sJamie Cumming2,4355.82+4.64$276.86
GreenDevlin Hinchey6761.62-1.80$0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 41,83999.26$106,782.98
Total rejected ballots 3140.74+0.03
Turnout 42,15359.62-2.72
Eligible voters 70,701
New Democratic hold Swing +6.69
Source: Elections Canada[28]
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See also

References

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