2024 Utah gubernatorial election

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2024 Utah gubernatorial election

The 2024 Utah gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of Utah, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Spencer Cox won re-election to a second term, defeating Democratic nominee, state Representative Brian King and Republican state Representative Phil Lyman, who ran as a write-in candidate after being defeated in the Republican primary.[1] Primary elections took place on June 25, 2024.[2] This was the smallest percent of the vote by a winning Republican since the 1992 election, which also saw a major independent candidate. Cox's 24.43% margin of victory was also the smallest since 2004.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
2024 Utah gubernatorial election

 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 
 
Nominee Spencer Cox Brian King Phil Lyman
(write-in)
Party Republican Democratic Independent Republican
Running mate Deidre Henderson Rebekah Cummings Natalie Clawson
(write-in)
Popular vote 781,431 420,514 200,551
Percentage 52.89% 28.46% 13.57%

County results
Cox:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
King:      40–50%

Governor before election

Spencer Cox
Republican

Elected Governor

Spencer Cox
Republican

Close

Background

Utah is considered to be a strongly red state at the federal and state levels: Republicans control all statewide executive offices, the entire congressional delegation, and supermajorities in both state legislative chambers. In the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump carried Utah by 20.5 percentage points.[3][4]

Cox was first elected in 2020, defeating Christopher Peterson by 32.65 points.[5]

Republican primary

Summarize
Perspective

Incumbent Republican governor Spencer Cox faced criticism from many conservatives for his moderate political positions, including his veto of HB11,[6] and opposition to former president Donald Trump.[7] Cox was booed at the Utah Republican state convention in April 2024.[8] He faced a primary challenge from state representative Phil Lyman, who won over 67% of the vote at the convention.[9] However, Cox collected enough signatures to appear on the primary ballot. Cox consistently led Lyman in polls and won re-nomination, though Lyman refused to concede.[10][11]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Eliminated at convention

Declined

Endorsements

Phil Lyman

Individuals

Political parties

Organizations

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of June 13, 2024, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of June 13, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Spencer Cox (R) $1,263,235 $2,142,975 $645,543
Phil Lyman (R) $1,408,004 $1,051,850 $356,153
Source: State of Utah Financial Disclosures[22]
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Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Spencer
Cox
Phil
Lyman
Other Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights[23] June 20–21, 2024 432 (LV) ± 4.7% 55% 42% 2%[b] 1%
HarrisX[24][A] June 4–7, 2024 477 (RV) ± 4.5% 62% 25% 12%
Noble Predictive Insights[25] April 8–16, 2024 283 (RV) ± 5.8% 51% 4% 9%[c] 36%
Dan Jones & Associates[26] January 16–21, 2024 428 (RV) ± 4.7% 50% 3% 11%[d] 37%
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Results

Convention

More information Republican convention results, Candidate/Running mate ...
Republican convention results
Candidate/Running mate Round 1 Round 2
Votes  % Votes  %
Phil Lyman/Layne Bangerter 1663 44.24% 2495 67.54%
Spencer Cox/Deidre Henderson 1085 28.86% 1199 32.46%
Carson Jorgensen/Corrine Johnson 970 25.80% Eliminated
Scott Robbins 21 0.56% Eliminated
Sylvia Miera-Fisk 20 0.53% Eliminated
Inactive Ballots 2 ballots 4 ballots
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Debate

More information No., Date ...
2024 Utah gubernatorial election Republican primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Cox Lyman
1 Jun. 11, 2024 Utah Debate Commission Carolina Ballard YouTube P P
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Primary

Thumb
Results by county:
  Cox
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Lyman
  •   50–60%
  •   70–80%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Spencer Cox (incumbent)
Deidre Henderson (incumbent)
232,164 54.40%
Republican Phil Lyman
Natalie Clawson
194,639 45.60%
Total votes 426,803 100.00%
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Aftermath

Lyman later sued, claiming that the Republican convention was responsible for selecting the party's nominee and that the primary was illegal. The Utah Supreme Court rejected his argument.[28] Lyman later announced that he would run as a write-in candidate.[29]

Cox has since backed Trump after an assassination attempt made during a rally in Pennsylvania on July 13, stating in a letter: "Your life was spared. Now, because of that miracle, you have the opportunity to do something that no other person on earth can do right now: unify and save our country."[30] Cox also stated in a later news conference: “I am doing everything I can to help and support him...We will still have lots of disagreements, I’m sure, and we’ll still do everything we can to help the state of Utah and help the Republican Party be successful.”[31]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Brian King

Political parties

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Nominee

Independent American Party

Candidates

Nominee

  • Tommy Williams, perennial candidate and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022[35]
    • Running mate: Archie Williams, heavy equipment operator and perennial candidate[35]

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Tom Tomeny, businessman[35]
    • Running mate: William Lansing Taylor, geologist[35]

Other candidates

Republican write-in

General election

Summarize
Perspective

Debates

More information No., Date ...
2024 Utah gubernatorial election debates[37]
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic Libertarian Write-in
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Cox King Latham Lyman
1 Sep. 11, 2024 Utah Debate Commission Jason Perry YouTube P P P N
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Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[38] Solid R July 13, 2024
Inside Elections[39] Solid R July 14, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] Safe R June 4, 2024
RCP[41] Solid R July 13, 2024
Elections Daily[42] Safe R July 12, 2023
CNalysis[43] Solid R August 17, 2024
Close

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of October 14, 2024, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of October 14, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Spencer Cox (R) $2,415,468 $3,782,382 $158,370
Brian King (D) $632,080 $651,962 $24,436
Source: State of Utah Financial Disclosures[22]
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Spencer
Cox (R)
Brian
King (D)
Robert
Latham (L)
Tommy
Williams (I)
Other Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights[44] October 25–28, 2024 695 (LV) ± 3.7% 43% 26% 3% 3% 18%[e] 6%
HarrisX[45][A] October 15–19, 2024 813 (RV) ± 3.4% 51% 19% 3% 4% 2%[f] 22%
61% 21% 4% 7% 6%[g]
Noble Predictive Insights[46] October 2–7, 2024 539 (LV) ± 4.22% 54% 26% 20%
49% 23% 2% 2% 5%[h] 19%
600 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 26% 21%
Public Policy Polling (D)[47][B] September 27–28, 2024 612 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 32% 23%
35% 24% 3% 19%[i] 18%
Lighthouse Research[48][C] August 29 – September 4, 2024 518 (RV) ± 4.31% 48% 27% 7% 4% 8%[j] 5%
HarrisX[49][A] August 2–9, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 56% 17% 4% 6% 17%
59% 19% 22%
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Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2024 Utah gubernatorial election[50]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican
781,431 52.89% −10.09
Democratic
420,514 28.63% −1.72
Write-In
200,551 13.57% N/A
Libertarian
  • J. Robert Latham
  • Barry Evan Short
41,164 2.79% −0.73
Independent American
  • Tommy Williams
  • Archie Williams
27,480 1.86% +0.09
Independent
  • Tom Tomeny
  • William Lansing Taylor
5,792 0.39% N/A
Write-In
  • Charlie Tautuaa
  • Sylvia Miera Fisk
525 0.04% N/A
Total votes 1,477,457 100.00%
Republican hold
Close

By congressional district

Cox won all four congressional districts.[51]

More information District, Cox ...
Close

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Would not vote" with 2%
  3. Scott Robbins with 4%; Sylvia Fisk with 3%; Carson Jorgenson with 2%
  4. Scott Robbins with 5%; Sylvia Fisk and Carson Jorgenson with 3%
  5. Lyman (Write-in) with 15%; "Refused" with 3%
  6. Tomeny (I) with 2%
  7. Tomeny (I) with 6%
  8. Lyman (Write-in) with 5%
  9. Lyman (Write-In) with 19%
  10. Tomeny (I) with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by the Deseret News and the University of Utah
  2. Poll sponsored by Brian King's campaign
  3. Poll sponsored by the Utah Debate Commission.

References

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