2016 Utah gubernatorial election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2016 Utah gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016,[1] to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Utah, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
  Herbert: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Weinholtz: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
_(cropped).jpg)
Incumbent Republican governor Gary Herbert ran for re-election to a second full term in office.[2] Republican challenger Jonathan E. Johnson defeated Herbert in the state convention to secure a spot on the primary ballot,[3] but Herbert won the June 28, 2016 primary and secured the nomination.[4] The Democratic party nominated former CHG Healthcare Services CEO Mike Weinholtz at the Utah Democratic convention in April.[5]
Herbert won the general election, defeating Weinholtz by a large margin.[6][7]
Background
Republican Governor Jon Huntsman, Jr. resigned in August 2009 to become United States Ambassador to China and Lieutenant Governor Herbert succeeded him. He was elected to serve out the remainder of Huntsman's term in a 2010 special election and was re-elected to a full four-year term in 2012.
Republican nomination
Former Speaker of the Utah House of Representatives Rebecca D. Lockhart was widely believed to be a potential Republican candidate, but she died of a rare neurodegenerative brain disease in January 2015.[2][8]
Incumbent governor Gary Herbert won the June 28, 2016 primary, defeating Overstock.com Chairman Jonathan Johnson.[4]
Candidates
Declared
- Gary Herbert, incumbent governor[2]
- Jonathan "JJ" Johnson, businessman and chairman of the board of Overstock.com[2][9]
Polling
 | This article's use of external links may not follow Wikipedia's policies or guidelines. (August 2016) |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gary Herbert (incumbent) | 176,866 | 71.75% | |
| Republican | Jonathan Johnson | 69,663 | 28.25% | |
| Total votes | 246,529 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic nomination
Weinholtz defeated Cook at the Democratic convention to become the nominee.
Candidates
Declared
- Mike Weinholtz, former chairman and CEO of CHG Healthcare Services[11][5]
Withdrew
- Vaughn R Cook, founder and CEO of ZYTO Technologies[12]
Declined
- Ed Allen, former state senator[13]
- Jim Dabakis, State Senator and former chairman of the Utah Democratic Party[14]
- Jim Matheson, former U.S. representative[15]
- Ben McAdams, Mayor of Salt Lake County and former state senator[16]
General election
Summarize
Perspective
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Gary Herbert | Doug Owens | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 26, 2016 | Utah Debate Commission | Kerry Bringhurst | [17] | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[18] | Safe R | August 12, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[19] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[20] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[22] | Safe R | November 1, 2016 |
| Governing[23] | Safe R | October 27, 2016 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Herbert (R) |
Mike Weinholtz (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[24] | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,479 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 38% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[25] | Oct 31–Nov 6, 2016 | 1,428 | ± 4.6% | 59% | 38% | — | 3% |
| Y2 Analytics[26]→ | November 1–3, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 64% | 26% | 5% | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[27] | Oct 28–Nov 3, 2016 | 1,327 | ± 4.6% | 60% | 37% | — | 3% |
| Monmouth University[28] | Oct 30–Nov 2, 2016 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 63% | 30% | 5% | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey[29] | Oct 27–Nov 2, 2016 | 1,247 | ± 4.6% | 60% | 36% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[30] | Oct 26–Nov 1, 2016 | 1,057 | ± 4.6% | 61% | 34% | — | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[31] | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,078 | ± 4.6% | 61% | 35% | — | 4% |
| UtahPolicy/Dan Jones[32] | October 12–18, 2016 | 818 | ± 3.4% | 64% | 25% | 6% | 5% |
| Monmouth University[33] | October 10–12, 2016 | 403 | ± 4.9% | 63% | 30% | 2% | 5% |
| UtahPolicy/Dan Jones[34] | September 1–9, 2016 | 605 | ± 4.0% | 62% | 24% | 6% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling[35] | August 19–21, 2016 | 1,018 | ± 3.1% | 57% | 21% | 7% | 14% |
| SurveyUSA[10] | June 6–8, 2016 | 1,238 | ± 2.8% | 55% | 34% | 4% | 6% |
| Gravis Marketing[36] | May 31–June 1, 2016 | 1,519 | ± 2.5% | 56% | 29% | 15% | — |
- → Internal poll conducted on behalf of the Utah Republican Party.
Hypothetical polling
with Jonathan Johnson
with Jim Matheson
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gary Herbert (incumbent) | 750,850 | 66.74% | −1.67% | |
| Democratic | Mike Weinholtz | 323,349 | 28.74% | +1.16% | |
| Libertarian | Brian Kamerath | 34,827 | 3.10% | +0.85% | |
| Independent American | Superdell Schanze | 15,912 | 1.41% | N/A | |
| Independent | L.S. Brown (write-in) | 97 | 0.01% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 1,125,035 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Herbert won all 4 congressional districts.[39]
| District | Herbert | Weinholtz | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 71% | 24% | Rob Bishop |
| 2nd | 62% | 33% | Chris Stewart |
| 3rd | 72% | 24% | Jason Chaffetz |
| 4th | 61% | 34% | Mia Love |
References
External links
Wikiwand - on
Seamless Wikipedia browsing. On steroids.