2024 United States presidential election in Michigan

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, and as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors for Donald Trump and JD Vance to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.^[2]

2024 United States presidential election in Michigan

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Turnout	67% [1] 4% pp
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida California Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz Electoral vote 15 0 Popular vote 2,816,636 2,736,533 Percentage 49.73% 48.31%
County results Congressional district results Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80% Harris   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%
President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Due to the state's nearly even partisan lean and the close margins by which it was decided in 2016 and 2020, it was considered to be one of the seven crucial swing states in 2024,^[3] though many viewed it as the most difficult of the seven for Trump to regain. However, contrary to polling data, Donald Trump flipped Michigan back into the Republican column, defeating Kamala Harris by 1.4 percentage points, nearly identical to the national results. As of 2024, Michigan has together with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the longest-running active streak among states of voting for the winning presidential candidate, having done so in the latest five presidential elections. The results also extended it to nine consecutive presidential elections where the winning party did not differ between those three states.

Background

An Upper Midwestern state in the Rust Belt, Michigan trended Democratic in federal elections from the 1990s onward. Prior to 2016, no Republican presidential candidate had won Michigan since George H. W. Bush in 1988. The state was previously considered part of the Blue Wall, having voted Democratic in every presidential election between 1992 and 2012, though by single-digit margins in all but the 1996 and 2008 elections. Then, in 2016, Republican Donald Trump carried Michigan by 0.23%, in an unexpected sweep of the Rust Belt which earned him a presidential victory. The state then returned to the Democratic column four years later, as Joe Biden carried it by 2.78% over Trump - the narrowest margin for a victorious Democrat since the extremely close 1960 election.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Michigan Democratic presidential primary

One key issue for the Democratic nominee was retaining the support of Arab-American voters, with polls indicating that they could be alienated by the Democrats due to their pro-Israel policy.^[4]

The Michigan Democratic primary was held on February 27, 2024, as one of the earliest races of the larger Democratic primaries. Incumbent president Joe Biden won in a landslide, although he would lose two delegates and over 100,000 votes to the uncommitted option, which was fueled by pro-Palestine protest votes opposing Biden's campaign due to his handling of the Israel–Hamas war.^[5]

Popular vote share by county

  Biden

•   70–80%
•   80–90%

Michigan Democratic primary, February 27, 2024^[6]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	625,221	81.1%	115		115
Uncommitted	101,623	13.2%	2		2
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)	22,865	3.0%
Dean Phillips	20,684	2.7%
Write-in votes	178	<0.1%
Total:	770,571	100%	117	23	140

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Michigan Republican presidential nominating contests

Following a schism in the state Republican Party, Michigan held two Republican nominating contests. The primary was held on February 27, 2024, and awarded a small amount of delegates to former president Donald Trump, who won in a landslide, and former UN ambassador Nikki Haley. The party later held a caucus on March 2, in which Trump won the remainder of delegates.^[5]

Popular vote share by county

  Trump

•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%
•   80–90%

Michigan Republican primary, February 27, 2024^[7][8]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	761,163	68.12%	12	0	12
Nikki Haley	297,124	26.59%	4	0	4
Uncommitted	33,649	3.01%	0	0	0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	13,456	1.20%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	4,794	0.43%	0	0	0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)	3,702	0.33%	0	0	0
Ryan Binkley	2,348	0.21%	0	0	0
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)	1,077	0.10%	0	0	0
Total:	1,117,313	100.00%	16	0	16

Michigan Republican caucus, March 2, 2024^[9]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	1,575	97.77%	39	0	39
Nikki Haley	36	2.23%	0	0	0
Total:	1,611	100.00%	39	0	39
Source: [10]

General election

Candidates

The following candidates had qualified for the general election ballot:^[11]

• Kamala Harris — Democratic
• Donald Trump — Republican
• Chase Oliver — Libertarian
• Randall Terry — US Taxpayers
• Jill Stein — Green
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — Natural Law^[a]
• Joseph Kishore — Independent (Socialist Equality Party nominee)
• Cornel West — Independent

On April 18, 2024, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was nominated by Michigan's Natural Law Party.^[12] Despite suspending his campaign on August 23 and legal attempts to withdraw himself, the Michigan Supreme Court ruled that his name would remain on the ballot.^[13][14][15] Jill Stein from the Green Party also appeared on the ballot.^[16][17]

Additionally, voters had the option to write-in candidates who file a letter of intent by October 25.^[18]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[19]	Tossup	November 4, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20]	Lean D	November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[21]	Tossup	November 4, 2024
CNN[22]	Tossup	November 4, 2024
CNalysis[23]	Likely D	November 4, 2024
The Economist[24]	Lean D	November 5, 2024
538[25]	Lean D	November 4, 2024
Inside Elections[26]	Tossup	November 4, 2024
NBC News[27]	Tossup	November 4, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [b]	Margin
270ToWin[28]	October 23 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.6%	46.8%	4.6%	Harris +1.8%
538[29]	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.0%	47.0%	5.0%	Harris +1.0%
Silver Bulletin[30]	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.4%	47.2%	4.4%	Harris +1.2%
The Hill/DDHQ[31]	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.7%	48.3%	3.0%	Harris +0.4%
Average			48.4%	47.3%	4.3%	Harris 1.1%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[32]	November 3–5, 2024	1,864 (RV)	± 2.3%	47%	46%	7%
				50.1%[d]	49.9%	–
		1,668 (LV)		48%	48%	4%
				50.3%[d]	49.7%	–
AtlasIntel[33]	November 3–4, 2024	1,113 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Research Co.[34]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	47%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[35]	November 1–3, 2024	1,079 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	48%	5%[e]
Patriot Polling[36]	November 1–3, 2024	858 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[37]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	47%	6%[f]
AtlasIntel[38]	November 1–2, 2024	1,198 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Emerson College[39]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	790 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	48%	2%[g]
				51%[d]	49%	–
Mitchell Research[40][A]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	585 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	48%	2%
New York Times/Siena College[41]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	998 (RV)	± 3.5%	45%	45%	9%
		998 (LV)		47%	47%	6%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[42]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	733 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	46%	6%[h]
		714 (LV)		49%	47%	4%[i]
ActiVote[43]	October 8 – November 2, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
Rasmussen Reports (R)[44][B]	October 24 – November 1, 2024	908 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
AtlasIntel[45]	October 30–31, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 3.0%	48.7%	49.3%	2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[46]	October 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	–	48%	48%	4%
YouGov[47][C]	October 25–31, 2024	985 (RV)	± 3.9%	50%	46%	4%
		942 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
Morning Consult[48]	October 22−31, 2024	1,108 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Marist College[49]	October 27–30, 2024	1,356 (RV)	± 3.3%	51%	48%	1%[j]
		1,214 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	48%	1%[j]
Echelon Insights[50]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	48%	4%
Mitchell Research[51][A]	October 28–29, 2024	– (LV)	± 2.5%	47%	48%	5%
AtlasIntel[52]	October 25–29, 2024	938 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Quantus Insights (R)[53][D]	October 26–28, 2024	844 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	49%	2%
The Washington Post[54]	October 24–28, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.7%	45%	47%	8%
		1,003 (LV)		47%	46%	7%
Fox News[55]	October 24–28, 2024	1,275 (RV)	± 2.5%	50%	48%	2%
		988 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[56]	October 26–27, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	48%	5%[k]
Emerson College[57][E]	October 25–27, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%[g]
				49%	50%[d]	1%[g]
Susquehanna Polling & Research[58]	October 23–27, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	52%	47%	1%
Patriot Polling[59]	October 24–26, 2024	796 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
CES/YouGov[60]	October 1–25, 2024	2,347 (A)	–	52%	45%	3%
		2,336 (LV)		51%	46%	3%
Quinnipiac University[61]	October 17–21, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 2.9%	50%	46%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[62]	October 18−20, 2024	1,090 (LV)	± 2.9%	44%	46%	10%[f]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[63]	October 16–20, 2024	756 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	6%
		705 (LV)		50%	46%	4%
The Bullfinch Group[64]	October 11−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	45%	2%
				51%	43%	6%[l]
AtlasIntel[65]	October 12–17, 2024	1,529 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%
RMG Research[66][F]	October 10–16, 2024	789 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	4%[m]
				49%[d]	49%	2%
Morning Consult[48]	October 6−15, 2024	1,065 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
Washington Post/Schar School[67]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	687 (RV)	± 4.6%	46%	47%	7%
		687 (LV)		49%	47%	4%
Mitchell Research[68][A]	October 14, 2024	589 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[69][B]	October 9–14, 2024	1,058 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
SoCal Strategies (R)[70][G]	October 10–13, 2024	692 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	48%	3%
Michigan State University/YouGov[71]	September 23 – October 10, 2024	845 (LV)	–	52%	48%	–
InsiderAdvantage (R)[72]	October 8–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	46%	48%	6%[e]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[73][H]	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[74][I]	October 2–8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%[n]
ActiVote[75]	September 15 – October 9, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	51%	49%	–
Emerson College[76]	October 5–8, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	49%	49%	2%[g]
				50%[d]	50%	–
Wall Street Journal[77]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	49%	47%	4%
Research Co.[78]	October 5–7, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	46%	44%	10%[o]
				51%[d]	48%	1%[o]
Quinnipiac University[79]	October 3–7, 2024	1,007 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	51%	2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[80][J]	September 24 – October 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	46%	6%
Mitchell Research[81][A]	September 30, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	49%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[82]	September 28–30, 2024	1,086 (LV)	± 2.9%	44%	47%	9%[f]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[83][K]	September 23–29, 2024	404 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	49%	4%
RMG Research[84][F]	September 24–27, 2024	789 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	46%	4%[p]
				50%[d]	47%	3%
New York Times/Siena College[85]	September 21–26, 2024	688 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	47%	8%
		688 (LV)		48%	47%	5%
AtlasIntel[86]	September 20–25, 2024	918 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[87]	September 19–25, 2024	416 (LV)	–	51%	48%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[88]	September 19–25, 2024	894 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
		800 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies[89][L]	September 19–23, 2024	400 (LV)	–	51%	45%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[90][B]	September 19−22, 2024	1,086 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Emerson College[91]	September 15–18, 2024	875 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	47%	4%[g]
				50%[d]	49%	1%[g]
Morning Consult[48]	September 9−18, 2024	1,297 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	44%	4%
Marist College[92]	September 12−17, 2024	1,282 (RV)	± 3.2%	50%	47%	3%[j]
		1,138 (LV)	± 3.4%	52%	47%	1%[j]
Quinnipiac University[93]	September 12–16, 2024	905 (LV)	± 3.3%	51%	46%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[94]	September 11–12, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	49%	3%[n]
Mitchell Research[95][A]	September 11, 2024	580 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Morning Consult[48]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,368 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%
co/efficient (R)[96]	September 4–6, 2024	931 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	47%	6%
CBS News/YouGov[97]	September 3–6, 2024	1,077 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	49%	1%
Patriot Polling[98]	September 1–3, 2024	822 (RV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Cygnal (R)[99]	August 28 – September 1, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	7%
Trafalgar Group (R)[100]	August 28–30, 2024	1,089 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	47%	6%
Emerson College[101]	August 25–28, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	47%	3%[q]
				51%[d]	48%	1%[r]
ActiVote[102]	July 28 – August 28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
EPIC-MRA[103]	August 23–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	47%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[104]	August 23–26, 2024	651 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
		702 (RV)		49%	46%	5%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov[105][M]	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.0%	44%	44%	12%[s]
		– (LV)	± 6.0%	47%	48%	5%
TIPP Insights[106][N]	August 20–22, 2024	741 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	46%	6%
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
Fabrizio Ward (R)[107][O]	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	48%	6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[108][P]	August 13–19, 2024	1,093 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%
Focaldata[109]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	53%	47%	–
The Bullfinch Group[110][Q]	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	48%	43%	9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[111][I]	August 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[112]	August 6–8, 2024	800 (LV)	–	49%	47%	4%
New York Times/Siena College[113]	August 5–8, 2024	619 (RV)	± 4.8%	45%	48%	7%
		619 (LV)		50%	46%	5%
Navigator Research (D)[114]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[115]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	406 (LV)	–	49%	46%	6%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[116][R]	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	45%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[117]	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	53%	42%	4%
SoCal Strategies (R)[118][S]	July 25–26, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	49%	5%
Fox News[119]	July 22–24, 2024	1,012 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
Emerson College[120]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	45%	46%	9%
				49%[d]	51%	–
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
	July 19, 2024	Republican National Convention concludes
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D)[121][T]	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	46%	48%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[122]	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	47%	9%
New York Times/Siena College[123]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	47%	8%
		616 (LV)		48%	46%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[32]	November 3–5, 2024	1,864 (RV)	± 2.3%	46%	45%	1%	0%	–	8%
				48.6%[d]	48.3%	2.1%	1.0%	–	–
		1,668 (LV)		48%	48%	1%	1%	–	2%
				49.5%[d]	48.8%	1.1%	0.7%	–	–
AtlasIntel[33]	November 3–4, 2024	1,113 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	–	2%	0%	–
AtlasIntel[38]	November 1–2, 2024	1,198 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	2%	0%	1%
New York Times/Siena College[41]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	998 (RV)	± 3.5%	42%	44%	1%	2%	2%	9%
		998 (LV)		45%	45%	0%	2%	1%	7%
Focaldata[124]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	2,092 (LV)	–	50%	45%	–	1%	1%	3%
		1,941 (RV)	± 2.1%	51%	44%	–	1%	1%	3%
		2,092 (A)	–	50%	44%	–	1%	1%	4%
AtlasIntel[45]	October 30–31, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	2%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[125]	October 28–31, 2024	1,731 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
YouGov[47][C]	October 25–31, 2024	985 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	45%	0%	2%	–	6%
		942 (LV)		48%	45%	0%	2%	–	5%
AtlasIntel[52]	October 25–29, 2024	938 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	2%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[126]	October 25–27, 2024	728 (LV)	–	49%	48%	–	1%	0%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[127]	October 20–22, 2024	1,115 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	0%	5%
Quinnipiac University[61]	October 17–21, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	46%	1%	1%	0%	3%[t]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[63]	October 16–20, 2024	756 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	45%	–	1%	2%	5%
		705 (LV)		49%	46%	–	1%	2%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[128]	October 16–18, 2024	1,008 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[129]	October 12–14, 2024	682 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5%
Quinnipiac University[79]	October 3–7, 2024	1,007 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	50%	1%	0%	1%	1%[t]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[130]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	839 (LV)	–	48%	46%	–	0%	1%	5%
New York Times/Siena College[85]	September 21–26, 2024	688 (RV)	± 4.0%	43%	46%	–	2%	2%	7%
		688 (LV)		46%	46%	–	2%	1%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[88]	September 19–25, 2024	894 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	45%	–	1%	2%	3%
		800 (LV)		50%	46%	–	1%	1%	2%
Remington Research Group (R)[131][U]	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	0%	1%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[132]	September 16–19, 2024	993 (LV)	–	46%	45%	–	0%	1%	8%
Quinnipiac University[93]	September 12–16, 2024	905 (LV)	± 3.3%	50%	45%	0%	2%	0%	3%[t]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[133]	September 6–9, 2024	556 (LV)	–	48%	45%	–	1%	1%	5%
YouGov[134][C]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	43%	1%	1%	–	7%[n]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[135]	August 25–28, 2024	1,071 (LV)	–	47%	44%	–	1%	1%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[104]	August 23–26, 2024	651 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	–	0%	2%	2%
		702 (RV)		48%	46%	–	1%	2%	3%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr.[u] Natural Law	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [v]	Margin
Race to the WH[136]	through October 7, 2024	October 13, 2024	47.0%	46.9%	1.9%	0.9%	0.6%	—	2.7%	Harris +0.1%
270toWin[137]	October 7 – 11, 2024	October 11, 2024	47.0%	46.6%	2.3%	0.3%	1.0%	0.8%	2.0%	Harris +0.4%
Average			47.0%	46.8%	2.1%	0.6%	0.8%	0.8%	1.9%	Harris +0.2%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Natural Law	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Mitchell Research[40][A]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	585 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	48%	0%	1%	1%	1%	–
Echelon Insights[50]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	47%	1%	0%	0%	0%	5%
EPIC-MRA[138][V]	October 24–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	45%	3%	1%	3%	–	–
Fox News[55]	October 24–28, 2024	1,275 (RV)	± 2.5%	49%	45%	3%	1%	0%	1%	1%
		988 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	3%	1%	0%	1%	1%
CNN/SSRS[139]	October 23–28, 2024	726 (LV)	± 4.7%	48%	43%	3%	1%	2%	0%	3%
Suffolk University/USA Today[140]	October 24–27, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	47%	1%	1%	1%	0%	3%[w]
Glengariff Group[141][W]	October 22–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	4%	–	2%	1%	2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[142]	October 16–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.5%	49%	45%	1%	0%	0%	1%	4%[w]
AtlasIntel[65]	October 12–17, 2024	1,529 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%
Mitchell Research[68][A]	October 14, 2024	589 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	0%	0%	1%	1%	4%
Marketing Resource Group[143]	October 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	44%	3%	–	2%	–	6%[x]
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[74][I]	October 2–8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	3%	0%	1%	0%	4%
Wall Street Journal[77]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	47%	45%	2%	1%	1%	1%	3%
Glengariff Group[144][W]	October 1–4, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	5%	1%	1%	1%	1%
Mitchell Research[81][A]	September 30, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	47%	2%	0%	1%	1%	2%[w]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[83][K]	September 23–29, 2024	404 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	48%	2%	1%	0%	0%	3%
AtlasIntel[86]	September 20–25, 2024	918 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	0%	–	2%	0%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[87]	September 19–25, 2024	416 (LV)	–	49%	46%	0%	1%	2%	–	2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[145]	September 11–19, 2024	650 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	43%	2%	–	2%	2%	3%[y]
Suffolk University/USA Today[146]	September 16–18, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	45%	1%	0%	0%	0%	6%[w]
Mitchell Research[95][A]	September 11, 2024	580 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	2%	0%	1%	–	4%[w]
CNN/SSRS[147]	August 23–29, 2024	708 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	43%	4%	–	1%	1%	3%
Z to A Research (D)[148][X]	August 23–26, 2024	518 (LV)	–	47%	47%	3%	–	1%	1%	1%
YouGov[105][M]	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.0%	44%	42%	5%	1%	0%	1%	7%[z]
		– (LV)	± 6.0%	47%	46%	4%	0%	0%	0%	3%
TIPP Insights[106][N]	August 20–22, 2024	741 (LV)	± 3.7%	46%	45%	5%	1%	1%	–	2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[108][P]	August 13–17, 2024	1,093 (LV)	–	47%	44%	4%	1%	1%	–	3%
Focaldata[109]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	51%	44%	4%	–	1%	0%	–
		702 (RV)		50%	44%	4%	–	1%	0%	1%
		702 (A)		50%	42%	5%	–	1%	0%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[149]	August 12–15, 2024	530 (LV)	–	44%	45%	5%	–	1%	0%	5%
The Bullfinch Group[110][Q]	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	40%	7%	1%	1%	–	5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[111][I]	August 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	45%	6%	1%	1%	0%	4%
New York Times/Siena College[113]	August 5–8, 2024	619 (RV)	± 4.8%	44%	43%	5%	0%	1%	0%	6%
		619 (LV)		48%	43%	4%	0%	1%	0%	3%
Navigator Research (D)[114]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	44%	5%	1%	0%	0%	6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[115]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	406 (LV)	–	46%	44%	6%	1%	0%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[150]	July 31 – August 3, 2024	771 (LV)	–	41%	42%	5%	–	1%	0%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[117]	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	39%	5%	–	1%	2%	2%
Fox News[119]	July 22–24, 2024	1,012 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	45%	7%	1%	1%	0%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[151]	July 22–24, 2024	512 (LV)	–	41%	44%	7%	–	0%	0%	8%
Glengariff Group[152][W]	July 22–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	41%	10%	–	1%	1%	5%
Emerson College[120]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	44%	44%	5%	1%	1%	0%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Glengariff Group[153][W]	August 26–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	45%	5%	1%	5%
EPIC-MRA[103]	August 23–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	46%	3%	1%	5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[154][Y]	July 17–18, 2024	650 (RV)	± 3.9%	41%	46%	5%	1%	7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)[107][O]	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	44%	43%	5%	8%
Civiqs[155][X]	July 13–16, 2024	532 (RV)	± 5.3%	46%	46%	5%	3%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[154][Y]	July 17–18, 2024	650 (RV)	± 3.9%	46%	49%	5%
EPIC-MRA[156][V]	July 13–17, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	49%	9%
Emerson College[157][Z]	July 15–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	45%	13%
Marketing Resource Group[158]	July 11–13, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	36%	39%	25%[aa]
Public Policy Polling (D)[121][T]	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	46%	47%	7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[159][AA]	July 5–12, 2024	1,025 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	46%	8%
Echelon Insights[160][AB]	July 1–8, 2024	607 (LV)	± 5.2%	45%	48%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[161]	July 1–5, 2024	694 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	43%	9%
Emerson College[162][Z]	June 30 – July 2, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	45%	12%
Remington Research Group (R)[163]	June 29 – July 1, 2024	584 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	45%	13%
EPIC-MRA[164][V]	June 21–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	49%	6%
Emerson College[165]	June 13–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	46%	9%
				49%[d]	51%	–
Mitchell Research[166][A]	June 3, 2024	697 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	48%	4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[167]	May 30–31, 2024	723 (RV)	± 3.6%	45%	45%	10%
		636 (LV)		47%	46%	7%
Mitchell Research[168][A]	May 20–21, 2024	697 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	49%	4%
KAConsulting (R)[169][AC]	May 15–19, 2024	600 (RV)	–	44%	45%	11%
Prime Group[170][AD]	May 9–16, 2024	482 (RV)	–	52%	48%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[122]	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	9%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[171]	May 6–13, 2024	606 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	47%	8%
New York Times/Siena College[172]	April 28 – May 9, 2024	616 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	49%	9%
		616 (LV)		47%	46%	7%
Emerson College[173]	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	45%	11%
				48%[d]	52%	–
CBS News/YouGov[174]	April 19–25, 2024	1,262 (LV)	± 3.1%	51%	49%	–
Kaplan Strategies[175]	April 20–21, 2024	804 (RV)	± 3.5%	36%	51%	13%
John Zogby Strategies[176][AE]	April 13–21, 2024	640 (LV)	–	48%	45%	7%
Fox News[177]	April 11–16, 2024	1,126 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	49%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[178]	April 8–15, 2024	708 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	45%	8%
Marketing Resource Group[179]	April 8–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	36%	42%	22%[aa]
The Bullfinch Group[180][Q]	March 29 – April 3, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	39%	19%
Big Data Poll (R)[181]	March 26–30, 2024	1,218 (RV)	± 2.6%	42%	44%	14%[ab]
		1,218 (RV)		44%[d]	45%	11%[ac]
		1,218 (RV)		41%	46%	13%
		1,145 (LV)		43%	44%	13%[ab]
		1,145 (LV)		45%[d]	46%	9%[ad]
		1,145 (LV)		43%	46%	11%
		1,145 (LV)		48.5%[d]	51.5%	–
Spry Strategies (R)[182]	March 25–28, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	44%	48%	8%
Wall Street Journal[183]	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	48%	7%
Echelon Insights[184][AF]	March 12–19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 5.3%	45%	51%	4%
Emerson College[185]	March 14–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	45%	11%
				50%[d]	50%	–
CNN/SSRS[186]	March 13–18, 2024	1,097 (RV)	± 3.6%	42%	50%	8%
Mitchell Research[187][A]	March 15–16, 2024	627 (LV)	± 3.9%	44%	47%	9%
Quinnipiac University[188]	March 8–12, 2024	1,487 (RV)	± 2.5%	45%	48%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[189]	March 8–12, 2024	698 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	45%	10%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[190][AG]	February 22–25, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	43%	13%
Kaplan Strategies[191]	February 22−23, 2024	1,019 (RV)	± 3.1%	36%	46%	18%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[192]	February 12–20, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	46%	10%
Emerson College[193]	February 20–24, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	44%	46%	10%
EPIC-MRA[194]	February 13–18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	45%	14%
Fox News[195]	February 8–12, 2024	1,106 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	47%	8%
Focaldata[196]	January 17–23, 2024	863 (A)	–	41%	43%	16%[ae]
		– (LV)		45%	44%	11%[af]
		– (LV)		51%[d]	49%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[197]	January 16–21, 2024	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	47%	7%
Target Insyght[198]	January 4–10, 2024	800 (RV)	–	45%	41%	14%
Glengariff Group[199][W]	January 2–6, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	39%	47%	14%
John Zogby Strategies[200]	January 2–4, 2024	602 (LV)	–	44%	47%	9%
CNN/SSRS[201]	November 29 – December 6, 2023	1,197 (RV)	± 3.4%	40%	50%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[202]	November 27 – December 6, 2023	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	46%	12%
Big Data Poll (R)[203]	November 16–19, 2023	1,273 (RV)	± 2.7%	36%	41%	23%[ag]
		1,200 (LV)		37%	42%	21%[ah]
EPIC-MRA[204]	November 10–16, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	46%	13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[205]	October 30 – November 7, 2023	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	43%	43%	14%
Emerson College[206]	October 30 – November 4, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	41%	16%
New York Times/Siena College[123]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	43%	48%	9%
		616 (LV)		46%	46%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[207]	October 5–10, 2023	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	44%	12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[208]	October 7–9, 2023	820 (LV)	–	41%	41%	17%
Marketing Resource Group[209]	October 2–8, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	35%	42%	22%
Emerson College[210]	October 1–4, 2023	468 (RV)	± 4.5%	44%	43%	8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[211][AH]	September 26–27, 2023	679 (RV)	± 3.8%	48%	44%	8%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[212]	September 7–12, 2023	700 (RV)	± 3.7%	46%	43%	11%
EPIC-MRA[213]	August 6–11, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	9%
Emerson College[214]	August 1–2, 2023	1,121 (LV)	± 2.9%	44%	44%	13%
Mitchell Research[215][A]	July 11–13, 2023	639 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	43%	13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[216][AI]	Jul 8–10, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.38%	45%	44%	9%
Prime Group[217][AD]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	50%	50%	–
				40%	43%	17%[ai]
EPIC-MRA[218]	June 8–14, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	44%	12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[219][AI]	April 17–19, 2023	500 (V)	± 3.6%	45%	42%	12%
Public Policy Polling (D)[220][AJ]	December 6–7, 2022	763 (V)	± 3.6%	50%	43%	7%
EPIC-MRA[221]	November 30 – December 6, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	43%	10%
Emerson College[222]	October 28–31, 2022	900 (LV)	± 3.2%	44%	47%	9%
Emerson College[223]	October 12–14, 2022	580 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	44%	12%
EPIC-MRA[224][V]	September 15–19, 2022	600 (LV)	–	48%	44%	8%
Blueprint Polling (D)[225]	August 15–16, 2022	611 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	41%	19%
Blueprint Polling (D)[226]	February 1–4, 2022	632 (LV)	± 3.9%	38%	40%	22%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[227][H]	November 11–16, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	53%	6%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R)[228]	July 15–17, 2024	1,091 (LV)	± 2.9%	43%	45%	4%	1%	1%	6%
EPIC-MRA[156]	July 13–17, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	36%	43%	8%	2%	2%	9%
Emerson College[157][Z]	July 15–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	43%	7%	1%	1%	8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[159][AA]	July 5–12, 2024	1,025 (LV)	± 3.0%	43%	44%	7%	0%	1%	5%[aj]
YouGov[229][C]	July 4–12, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.6%	40%	42%	4%	1%	1%	12%
Echelon Insights[160][AB]	July 1–8, 2024	607 (LV)	± 5.2%	40%	43%	8%	2%	2%	5%[ak]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[161]	July 1–5, 2024	694 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	39%	6%	2%	1%	7%[aj]
EPIC-MRA[164]	June 21–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	38%	42%	10%	2%	2%	6%
Emerson College[165]	June 13–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	44%	5%	1%	1%	7%
Mitchell Research[166][A]	June 3, 2024	697 (LV)	± 3.7%	45%	46%	3%	1%	1%	4%
Mitchell Research[168][A]	May 20–21, 2024	697 (LV)	± 3.7%	45%	46%	5%	1%	1%	2%
KAConsulting (R)[169][AC]	May 15–19, 2024	600 (RV)	–	41%	42%	7%	2%	1%	7%[al]
Prime Group[170][AD]	May 9–16, 2024	482 (RV)	–	44%	42%	10%	2%	2%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[122]	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	40%	7%	1%	2%	8%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[171]	May 6–13, 2024	606 (LV)	± 4.0%	40%	43%	7%	2%	2%	6%
New York Times/Siena College[172]	April 28 – May 9, 2024	616 (RV)	± 4.0%	36%	38%	9%	0%	1%	16%[al]
		616 (LV)		42%	39%	7%	0%	1%	11%[al]
Emerson College[173]	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	43%	5%	1%	1%	8%
Fox News[177]	April 11–16, 2024	1,126 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	42%	9%	2%	2%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[178]	April 8–15, 2024	708 (RV)	± 4.0%	43%	40%	7%	1%	1%	8%
Marketing Resource Group[179]	April 8–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	34%	37%	13%	2%	1%	13%
Wall Street Journal[183]	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	37%	39%	12%	2%	2%	8%
Emerson College[185]	March 14–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	43%	5%	1%	1%	10%
Mitchell Research[187][A]	March 15–16, 2024	627 (LV)	± 3.9%	42%	44%	6%	1%	1%	6%
Quinnipiac University[188]	March 8–12, 2024	1,487 (RV)	± 2.5%	36%	41%	10%	3%	4%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[189]	March 8–12, 2024	698 (RV)	± 4.0%	40%	40%	9%	3%	2%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[192]	February 12–20, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	40%	41%	9%	1%	1%	8%
Emerson College[193]	February 20–24, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	39%	42%	6%	1%	1%	11%
Fox News[195]	February 8–12, 2024	1,106 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	42%	11%	2%	3%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[230]	January 16–21, 2024	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	37%	43%	8%	1%	1%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[231]	November 27 – December 6, 2023	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	35%	39%	10%	2%	1%	13%
Big Data Poll (R)[203]	November 16–19, 2023	1,273 (RV)	± 2.7%	36%	39%	9%	1%	1%	14%[am]
		1,200 (LV)		37%	41%	9%	1%	1%	11%[an]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Civiqs[155][X]	July 13–16, 2024	532 (RV)	± 5.3%	43%	46%	5%	6%
1983 Labs[232]	June 28–30, 2024	563 (LV)	± 4.1%	41%	45%	5%	9%[aj]
P2 Insights[233][AK]	June 11–20, 2024	650 (LV)	± 3.8%	40%	43%	8%	9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[167]	May 30–31, 2024	723 (RV)	± 3.6%	41%	39%	11%	9%
		636 (LV)		44%	43%	8%	5%
P2 Insights[234][AK]	May 13−21, 2024	650 (LV)	± 3.8%	37%	45%	7%	11%
Big Data Poll (R)[181]	March 26–30, 2024	1,218 (RV)	± 2.6%	40%	44%	7%	9%[ao]
		1,218 (RV)		41%[d]	45%	8%	6%[ap]
		1,145 (LV)		41%	44%	7%	13%[aq]
		1,145 (LV)		42%[d]	45%	8%	5%[ar]
Spry Strategies (R)[182]	March 25–28, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	40%	43%	9%	8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[235]	March 14–17, 2024	616 (LV)	–	39%	41%	6%	14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[236]	December 28–30, 2023	832 (LV)	–	37%	39%	9%	15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[237]	November 27–29, 2023	874 (LV)	–	38%	39%	9%	13%
Big Data Poll (R)[203]	November 16–19, 2023	1,273 (RV)	± 2.7%	35%	40%	9%	16%[as]
		1,200 (LV)		36%	41%	8%	11%[at]
New York Times/Siena College[238]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	31%	34%	26%	9%
		616 (LV)		34%	34%	25%	7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[208]	October 7–9, 2023	820 (LV)	–	38%	40%	7%	15%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[154][Y]	July 17–18, 2024	650 (RV)	± 3.9%	44%	45%	5%	3%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[239]	July 16–18, 2024	437 (LV)	–	41%	42%	6%	1%	10%[aj]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[240]	July 8–10, 2024	465 (LV)	–	43%	42%	6%	0%	9%[aj]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[241]	June 8–11, 2024	719 (LV)	–	36%	37%	8%	1%	18%[aj]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[242]	May 2–4, 2024	650 (LV)	–	37%	43%	7%	1%	12%
CBS News/YouGov[174]	April 19–25, 2024	1,262 (LV)	± 3.1%	45%	43%	9%	3%	0%
Big Data Poll (R)[181]	March 26–30, 2024	1,218 (RV)	± 2.6%	40%	43%	10%	1%	6%
		1,218 (RV)		42%[d]	44%	11%	3%	–
		1,145 (LV)		41%	44%	9%	1%	5%
		1,145 (LV)		43%[d]	44%	11%	2%	–

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
CNN/SSRS[186]	March 13–18, 2024	1,097 (RV)	± 3.6%	34%	40%	18%	4%	4%
CNN/SSRS[201]	November 29 – December 6, 2023	1,197 (RV)	± 3.4%	31%	39%	20%	6%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[243]	October 30 – November 7, 2023	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	38%	37%	10%	2%	13%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Green	Other / Undecided
Emerson College[214]	August 1–2, 2023	1,121 (LV)	± 2.9%	41%	43%	4%	11%

Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[176][AE]	April 13–21, 2024	640 (LV)	–	45%	44%	11%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[176][AE]	April 13–21, 2024	640 (LV)	–	42%	41%	17%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[121][T]	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	44%	45%	11%
Glengariff Group[199][W]	January 2–6, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	40%	45%	15%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Gretchen Whitmer Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Fox News[119]	July 22–24, 2024	1,012 (RV)	± 3.0%	52%	46%	2%
Glengariff Group[152][W]	July 22–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	40%	17%
Public Policy Polling (D)[121][T]	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	52%	45%	3%
Emerson College/The Hill[185]	Mar 14–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	45%	5%
Glengariff Group[199][W]	January 2–6, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	6%
Marketing Resource Group[209]	October 2–8, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	40%	13%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Gretchen Whitmer Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[154][Y]	July 17–18, 2024	650 (RV)	± 3.9%	46%	45%	5%	1%	3%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	JB Pritzker Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[121][T]	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	39%	45%	16%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Josh Shapiro Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Fox News[119]	July 22–24, 2024	1,012 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	48%	5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[121][T]	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	43%	46%	11%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Pete Buttigieg Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[121][T]	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	43%	48%	9%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other / Undecided
Fox News[195]	February 8–12, 2024	1,106 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	43%	15%
Glengariff Group[199][W]	January 2–6, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	34%	44%	22%
CNN/SSRS[201]	November 29 – December 6, 2023	1,197 (RV)	± 3.4%	38%	50%	12%
EPIC-MRA[204]	November 10–16, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	36%	47%	17%
New York Times/Siena College[238]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	35%	45%	20%
		616 (LV)		36%	46%	18%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Fox News[195]	February 8–12, 2024	1,106 (RV)	± 3.0%	35%	26%	23%	3%	3%	33%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[237]	November 27–29, 2023	874 (LV)	–	37%	25%	18%	20%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
CNN/SSRS[201]	November 29 – December 6, 2023	1,197 (RV)	± 3.4%	42%	49%	9%
New York Times/Siena College[238]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	42%	16%
		616 (LV)		44%	43%	13%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[212]	September 7–12, 2023	700 (RV)	± 3.7%	48%	42%	10%
Mitchell Research[215][A]	July 11–13, 2023	639 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	31%	25%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[216][AI]	July 8–10, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.38%	44%	46%	7%
EPIC-MRA[218]	June 8–14, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	45%	11%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[219][AI]	April 17–19, 2023	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	43%	45%	12%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[237]	November 27–29, 2023	874 (LV)	–	39%	30%	13%	2%	15%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump

Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump

Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West. vs. Jill Stein

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Results

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%

County flips

Legend

• Democratic   Hold

  Republican   Hold   Gain from Democratic

Trump secured Michigan with 49.7% of the vote, winning 74 counties out of 83, including the state's third-most populous Macomb County. Conversely, Harris won seven out of Michigan's 10 most populous counties, including Wayne County, the state's largest.^[244][245]

Trump became the first Republican candidate to win Michigan (or the election in general) without carrying Kent County, home of Grand Rapids, since Charles Evans Hughes in 1916; Kent County had long been key to Republican victories in Michigan in past elections. Notably, Trump became the first Republican to win a plurality of the vote in Dearborn, home to a large Arab-American community, since 2000.^[246] Trump became the first Republican candidate to win Muskegon County and the Lower Peninsula since George H.W. Bush in 1988. He also became the first Republican candidate to win Michigan without carrying Leelanau County.

Though Harris carried Wayne County, her share of the vote was significantly poorer than Biden's had been in 2020, as it swung toward Trump by 9.2%. She similarly ceded ground across the state as a whole, earning a smaller percentage of the vote than Biden did in 2020 in all but seven counties, mostly concentrated in northwestern areas of the Lower Peninsula. In addition to Wayne County, Trump also achieved significant swings in his favor in Cass, Genesee, and Lake counties, all of which have somewhat notable Black populations, as well as in Isabella and Macomb counties.^[247]

Trump's best result came from rural inland Missaukee County, a county with large Dutch ancestry, while Harris recorded her strongest performance in Washtenaw County, home to the University of Michigan.^[248] Green Party candidate Stein did the best in Wayne County with 2.4% of the vote, likely owing to communities such as Dearborn and Hamtramck.^[249]

2024 United States presidential election in Michigan^[250]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Donald Trump JD Vance	2,816,636	49.73%	+1.89
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	2,736,533	48.31%	−2.31
	Green	Jill Stein Butch Ware	44,607	0.79%	+0.54
	Natural Law	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn) Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn)	26,785	0.47%	+0.42
	Libertarian	Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat	22,440	0.40%	−0.69
	Constitution	Randall Terry Stephen Broden	6,509	0.11%	0.00
	Independent	Cornel West Melina Abdullah	6,664	0.12%	N/A
	Independent	Joseph Kishore[au] Jerry White	2,330	0.04%	N/A
	Write-in		1,682	0.03%	N/A
Total votes			5,664,186	100.0%
	Republican gain from Democratic

By county

County	Donald Trump Republican		Kamala Harris Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Alcona	5,257	70.22%	2,140	28.58%	90	1.20%	3,117	41.64%	7,487
Alger	3,116	59.26%	2,075	39.46%	67	1.28%	1,041	19.80%	5,258
Allegan	45,206	62.77%	25,637	35.60%	1,181	1.63%	19,569	27.17%	72,024
Alpena	10,967	63.61%	6,038	35.02%	236	1.37%	4,929	28.59%	17,241
Antrim	10,341	61.15%	6,330	37.43%	241	1.42%	4,011	23.72%	16,912
Arenac	6,379	69.62%	2,662	29.05%	122	1.33%	3,717	40.57%	9,163
Baraga	2,779	64.09%	1,488	34.32%	69	1.59%	1,291	29.77%	4,336
Barry	25,650	66.31%	12,391	32.03%	642	1.66%	13,259	34.28%	38,683
Bay	34,792	56.72%	25,767	42.01%	779	1.27%	9,025	14.71%	61,338
Benzie	6,895	53.57%	5,780	44.91%	196	1.52%	1,115	8.66%	12,871
Berrien	44,975	53.12%	38,323	45.26%	1,370	1.62%	6,652	7.86%	84,668
Branch	14,848	70.41%	5,911	28.03%	330	1.56%	8,937	42.38%	21,089
Calhoun	38,606	56.29%	28,988	42.26%	996	1.45%	9,618	14.03%	68,590
Cass	18,505	66.29%	9,050	32.42%	360	1.29%	9,455	33.87%	27,915
Charlevoix	10,183	57.60%	7,197	40.71%	299	1.69%	2,986	16.89%	17,679
Cheboygan	10,653	64.73%	5,543	33.68%	261	1.59%	5,110	31.05%	16,457
Chippewa	11,249	61.18%	6,796	36.96%	342	1.86%	4,453	24.22%	18,387
Clare	11,772	68.01%	5,273	30.46%	265	1.53%	6,499	37.55%	17,310
Clinton	26,751	53.42%	22,450	44.83%	873	1.75%	4,301	8.59%	50,074
Crawford	5,613	66.14%	2,752	32.43%	122	1.43%	2,861	33.75%	8,487
Delta	14,109	64.43%	7,462	34.08%	326	1.49%	6,647	30.35%	21,897
Dickinson	10,324	67.28%	4,763	31.04%	257	1.68%	5,561	36.24%	15,344
Eaton	33,102	50.76%	31,056	47.63%	1,050	1.60%	2,046	3.13%	65,208
Emmet	12,465	54.43%	10,005	43.69%	431	1.88%	2,460	10.74%	22,901
Genesee	105,303	47.16%	114,670	51.36%	3,295	1.48%	-9,367	-4.20%	223,268
Gladwin	10,809	69.71%	4,501	29.03%	196	1.26%	6,308	40.68%	15,506
Gogebic	4,803	57.76%	3,385	40.71%	127	1.53%	1,418	17.05%	8,315
Grand Traverse	31,423	49.97%	30,339	48.24%	1,125	1.79%	1,084	1.73%	62,887
Gratiot	12,894	64.91%	6,682	33.64%	288	1.45%	6,212	31.27%	19,864
Hillsdale	18,631	75.04%	5,875	23.66%	322	1.30%	12,756	51.38%	24,828
Houghton	11,181	57.62%	7,881	40.61%	343	1.77%	3,300	17.01%	19,405
Huron	13,224	69.71%	5,522	29.11%	223	1.18%	7,702	40.60%	18,969
Ingham	50,564	34.10%	94,542	63.75%	3,197	2.15%	-43,978	-29.65%	148,303
Ionia	22,179	65.19%	11,338	33.33%	504	1.48%	10,841	31.86%	34,021
Iosco	10,155	64.46%	5,344	33.92%	255	1.62%	4,811	30.54%	15,754
Iron	4,501	64.00%	2,441	34.71%	91	1.29%	2,060	29.29%	7,033
Isabella	16,320	52.82%	14,011	45.34%	569	1.84%	2,309	7.48%	30,900
Jackson	50,199	59.88%	32,348	38.59%	1,280	1.53%	17,851	21.29%	83,827
Kalamazoo	58,671	40.15%	84,501	57.83%	2,947	2.02%	-25,830	-17.68%	146,119
Kalkaska	8,149	70.55%	3,206	27.76%	195	1.69%	4,943	42.79%	11,550
Kent	172,720	46.31%	192,668	51.66%	7,542	2.03%	-19,948	-5.35%	372,931
Keweenaw	896	55.51%	690	42.75%	28	1.74%	206	12.76%	1,614
Lake	4,523	65.27%	2,298	33.16%	109	1.57%	2,225	32.11%	6,930
Lapeer	38,398	69.18%	16,338	29.43%	772	1.39%	22,060	39.75%	55,508
Leelanau	8,035	45.34%	9,406	53.08%	279	1.58%	-1,371	-7.74%	17,720
Lenawee	33,463	60.74%	20,787	37.73%	843	1.53%	12,676	23.01%	55,093
Livingston	81,217	61.20%	49,503	37.30%	1,996	1.50%	31,714	23.90%	132,716
Luce	2,170	72.55%	769	25.71%	52	1.74%	1,401	46.84%	2,991
Mackinac	4,476	61.75%	2,675	36.91%	97	1.34%	1,801	24.84%	7,248
Macomb	284,660	55.81%	214,977	42.15%	10,439	2.04%	69,683	13.66%	510,076
Manistee	8,748	57.09%	6,309	41.17%	266	1.74%	2,439	15.92%	15,323
Marquette	17,459	44.76%	20,866	53.49%	684	1.75%	-3,407	-8.73%	39,009
Mason	10,830	59.86%	6,973	38.54%	288	1.60%	3,857	21.32%	18,091
Mecosta	14,445	64.14%	7,688	34.14%	388	1.72%	6,757	30.00%	22,521
Menominee	8,647	66.07%	4,256	32.52%	184	1.41%	4,391	33.55%	13,087
Midland	28,571	56.71%	20,926	41.54%	883	1.75%	7,645	15.17%	50,380
Missaukee	7,066	77.21%	1,945	21.25%	141	1.54%	5,121	55.96%	9,152
Monroe	57,405	62.73%	32,622	35.65%	1,479	1.62%	24,783	27.08%	91,506
Montcalm	23,946	68.72%	10,368	29.75%	531	1.53%	13,578	38.97%	34,845
Montmorency	4,599	71.85%	1,702	26.59%	100	1.56%	2,897	45.26%	6,401
Muskegon	47,733	50.15%	46,028	48.36%	1,420	1.49%	1,705	1.79%	95,181
Newaygo	20,630	70.56%	8,131	27.81%	477	1.63%	12,499	42.75%	29,238
Oakland	337,791	43.65%	419,519	54.21%	16,603	2.14%	-81,728	-10.56%	773,913
Oceana	9,547	64.14%	5,085	34.16%	252	1.70%	4,462	29.98%	14,884
Ogemaw	8,879	70.23%	3,578	28.30%	185	1.47%	5,301	41.93%	12,642
Ontonagon	2,479	64.49%	1,313	34.16%	52	1.35%	1,166	30.33%	3,844
Osceola	9,639	73.01%	3,326	25.19%	237	1.80%	6,313	47.82%	13,202
Oscoda	3,716	71.50%	1,414	27.21%	67	1.29%	2,302	44.29%	5,197
Otsego	10,693	66.84%	5,052	31.58%	254	1.58%	5,641	35.26%	15,999
Ottawa	106,133	59.45%	69,653	39.02%	2,727	1.53%	36,480	20.43%	178,513
Presque Isle	5,568	63.55%	3,036	34.65%	158	1.80%	2,532	28.90%	8,762
Roscommon	10,582	65.79%	5,290	32.89%	212	1.32%	5,292	32.90%	16,084
Saginaw	52,912	50.88%	49,515	47.61%	1,573	1.51%	3,397	3.27%	104,000
St. Clair	64,277	66.50%	30,844	31.91%	1,542	1.59%	33,433	34.59%	96,663
St. Joseph	19,403	66.11%	9,452	32.20%	495	1.69%	9,951	33.91%	29,350
Sanilac	17,080	73.11%	5,957	25.50%	325	1.39%	11,123	47.61%	23,362
Schoolcraft	3,196	65.25%	1,631	33.30%	71	1.45%	1,565	31.95%	4,898
Shiawassee	24,718	60.65%	15,335	37.63%	699	1.72%	9,383	23.02%	40,752
Tuscola	21,764	70.79%	8,562	27.85%	420	1.36%	13,202	42.94%	30,746
Van Buren	23,407	56.75%	17,175	41.64%	667	1.61%	6,232	15.11%	41,249
Washtenaw	58,844	26.49%	157,152	70.74%	6,173	2.77%	-98,308	-44.25%	222,170
Wayne	288,860	33.61%	537,032	62.49%	33,434	3.90%	-248,172	-28.88%	859,327
Wexford	12,968	66.51%	6,224	31.92%	307	1.57%	6,744	34.59%	19,499
Totals	2,816,636	49.64%	2,736,533	48.23%	121,316	2.13%	80,103	1.41%	5,674,485

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Muskegon (largest municipality: Muskegon)
• Saginaw (largest municipality: Saginaw)

By congressional district

Trump won 8 of 13 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.^{[251][user-generated source]}

District	Harris	Trump	Representative
1st	38.65%	59.89%	Jack Bergman
2nd	34.30%	64.18%	John Moolenaar
3rd	52.96%	45.12%	Hillary Scholten
4th	46.25%	51.92%	Bill Huizenga
5th	35.63%	62.71%	Tim Walberg
6th	60.12%	36.93%	Debbie Dingell
7th	48.53%	49.82%	Elissa Slotkin (118th Congress)
			Tom Barrett (119th Congress)
8th	48.21%	50.20%	Dan Kildee (118th Congress)
			Kristen McDonald Rivet (119th Congress)
9th	33.17%	65.50%	Lisa McClain
10th	45.69%	52.24%	John James
11th	57.06%	40.96%	Haley Stevens
12th	66.57%	28.88%	Rashida Tlaib
13th	69.42%	28.04%	Shri Thanedar

Analysis

This was the first time since 1988 in which Michigan voted more Republican than neighboring Wisconsin, and the first election since 1992 in which Michigan was not the most Democratic-leaning of the three Rust Belt swing states (including Wisconsin and Pennsylvania). Trump's victory made him the first Republican candidate to carry Michigan twice since Ronald Reagan did so in 1980 and 1984. He also won the state by a larger margin than he did in 2016.

Following the 2024 election, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin hold the longest active streak among states of voting for the winning presidential candidate, having done so in the last five presidential elections. In addition, the three states have voted for the same candidate in nine consecutive presidential elections.

See also

• United States presidential elections in Michigan
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. Candidate has suspended campaign, but remains on the ballot.
2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
3. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
4. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
5. "Other" with 2%
6. "Other" with 4%
7. "Someone else" with 1%
8. "Another Candidate" with 3%
9. "Another Candidate" with 2%
10. Another Party's Candidate with 1%
11. "Other" with 3%
12. "A third party / Independent candidate" with 3%
13. "Some other candidate" with 2%
14. "Other" with 1%
15. "Some other candidate" with 1%
16. "Someone else" with 2%
17. "Someone else" with 1%
18. "Someone else" with 1%
19. "Will not vote" with 4%
20. Randall Terry (C) with 0%
21. Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Michigan.
22. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
23. Joseph Kishore (SEP) & Randall Terry (C) with 0% each
24. "Other" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
25. Randall Terry (C), Joseph Kishore (SEP), & Shiva Ayyadurai (I) with 0% each
26. "Will not vote" with 4%
27. "Someone else" with 14%
28. "Someone else" with 8%
29. "Someone else" with 11%
30. "Someone else" with 9%
31. "Another candidate" with 9%
32. "Another candidate" with 7%
33. "Another third party candidate" with 12%; "Would not vote" with 4%
34. "Another third party candidate" with 12%; "Would not vote" with 2%
35. No Labels candidate
36. Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
37. Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
38. Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
39. "Would not vote" with 3%
40. "Would not vote" with 1%
41. "Someone else" with 4%
42. "Someone else" with 6%
43. "Someone else" with 3%
44. "Someone else" with 5%
45. "Another third party candidate" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 2%
46. "Another third party candidate" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 1%
47. Kishore and White are affiliated with the Socialist Equality Party on a national level, which does not have ballot access in Michigan.

Partisan clients

1. Poll commissioned by MIRS
2. Poll sponsored by American Thinker
3. Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
4. Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
5. Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
6. Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
7. Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
8. Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
9. Poll commissioned by AARP
10. Poll conducted for the Article III Project
11. Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
12. Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
13. Poll conducted for the Cato Institute
14. Poll sponsored by American Greatness
15. Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute
16. Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
17. Poll conducted for The Independent Center
18. Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
19. Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics
20. Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
21. Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republican candidates
22. Poll sponsored by The Detroit Free Press
23. Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
24. Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
25. Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
26. Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
27. Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
28. Poll sponsored by NetChoice
29. Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
30. Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
31. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
32. Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
33. Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
34. Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
35. Poll commissioned by Citizens Awareness Project
36. Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, a sponsor for the Democratic Party
37. Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates

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