2024 Michigan Republican presidential nominating contests
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The 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary and caucuses were held on February 27 and on March 2, 2024, respectively, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 55 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a proportional and winner-take-most basis.[1] The primary took place concurrently with its Democratic counterpart, and saw Trump defeat Haley in a 42-point landslide.[2]
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2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary | |||||||||||||||||||
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16 Republican National Convention delegates | |||||||||||||||||||
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2024 Michigan Republican presidential caucuses | |||||||||||||||||||
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39 Republican National Convention delegates | |||||||||||||||||||
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Background
Summarize
Perspective
In the 2016 Michigan Republican presidential primary, Donald Trump won with 36.5% of the vote, carrying 25 out of 59 delegates total. His closest opponents, Governor of Ohio John Kasich and Senator from Texas Ted Cruz, received 24.9% and 24.3% of the vote, respectively, with both candidates receiving 17 delegates.[3]
Michigan GOP 2024 schism
A court case was heard in Grand Rapids by Kent County Judge J. Joseph Rossi in late February determined who controls the state party. Judge Rossi dismissed a lawsuit by Karamo on February 20 to dismiss the case allowing for full hearings on the lawsuit filed by Karamo's critics later in the week regarding whether the RNC recognized chair Hoekstra or Karamo controls the MIGOP.[4] Judge Rossi on February 27 issued a preliminary injunction against Karamo, stating was properly removed as MIGOP chair and barring access by her to MIGOP bank accounts or post office boxes. Karamo declined to say whether she would appeal the ruling and had no comment as to whether the Detroit caucuses will take place.[5][6] A full trial regarding control of the MIGOP is scheduled to take place on June 10.[7] The Michigan Court of Appeals denied a request on February 29 by Karamo to issue a stay on the court order putting her Detroit caucus in doubt.[8] The chaos affected northern Michigan GOP participants from Michigan's 1st congressional district who had planned to go to Detroit but were barred by missing the deadline to take part in the Grand Rapids caucus. So a third gathering is planned the same day in Houghton Lake.[9] A contingent from Michigan's 4th congressional district was also denied credentials for the Grand Rapids caucuses, so a fourth gathering was announced for the same day in Battle Creek.[10] The Detroit gathering was cancelled.[11] Judge Rossi ruled that Karamo was properly removed as MIGOP chair.[12]
Procedure
16 at-large delegates are allocated based on the results of the February 27 primary to candidates who receive at least 12.5% of the statewide vote.
39 district delegates are allocated based on the results of caucuses in each of the state's 13 congressional districts on March 2. Each of the state's thirteen congressional districts are awarded three delegates. The candidate who wins the majority of the vote in a caucus is awarded all that district's delegates; otherwise, the candidate with the highest vote total is awarded two delegates and the candidate with the second-highest vote total is awarded one delegate.
Schedule
Summarize
Perspective
In February 2023, Governor Gretchen Whitmer signed legislation to move up the date of both the Democratic and Republican presidential primaries in Michigan to February 27, 2024, in line with the Democratic National Committee's (DNC) state reorganization plan.[13]
The date violated Republican Party Rule 16(c)(1), which prohibits any state/territory except Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina, from holding their primary/caucus until March 1, 2024, violating any other state/territory by stripping 80% of its delegates at the Republican National Convention.
In response, in June 2023, the Michigan Republican Party (MIGOP) passed a resolution of intent that would allocate 16 delegates based on the results of the February 27 primary and 39 delegates based on the results of caucuses in each of the state's 13 congressional districts on March 2.[14]
The convention held by the faction of the Michigan Republican Party recognized by the Republican National Committee led by Pete Hoekstra will be in Grand Rapids at the Amway Grand Plaza Hotel on March 2,[15] while the faction of the Michigan Republican Party led by Kristina Karamo will hold their convention in Detroit at Huntington Place on the same day.[16] While media is invited to the Karamo caucus, it will be closed to the public.[17] The RNC has indicated that only the delegates from the Hoekstra-led convention will be seated for the 2024 Republican National Convention.[18] A court ruling by Judge Joseph Rossi on February 27 indicated that Karamo was properly removed as MIGOP chair[19] and barred Karamo from conducting business on behalf of the "Michigan Republican State Committee or the Michigan Republican Party".[20] Rossi made his ruling retroactive to January 6.[21] A full trial regarding control of the MIGOP is scheduled to take place on June 10.[22] The Michigan Court of Appeals denied a request on February 29 by Karamo to issue a stay on the court order while her appeal is under consideration, putting her Detroit caucus in doubt.[23] The chaos affected delegates from Michigan's 1st congressional district who had planned to go to Detroit but were barred credentials to take part in the Grand Rapids convention; a third gathering is planned the same day in Houghton Lake.[24] A contingent from Michigan's 4th congressional district was also denied credentials for the Grand Rapids caucuses, so a fourth gathering was announced for the same day in Battle Creek.[25] The Detroit gathering was cancelled.[26]
Primary candidates
The Michigan Secretary of State has identified the following candidates, listed alphabetically, as potential Republican Party presidential candidates in 2024:[27]
- Ryan Binkley
- Chris Christie (withdrew January 10, 2024)
- Ron DeSantis (withdrew January 21, 2024)
- Nikki Haley
- Asa Hutchinson (withdrew January 16, 2024)
- Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrew January 15, 2024)
- Donald Trump
- Uncommitted
Endorsements
Summarize
Perspective
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
State senators
- Aric Nesbitt, District 20 (2023–present) and District 26 (2019–2022); Minority Leader (2023–present)[28]
- Michael Webber, District 9 (2023–present)[29][better source needed]
- Joe Bellino, District 16 (2023–present)[29][better source needed]
- Lana Theis, District 22 (2019–present)[29][better source needed]
- Dan Lauwers, District 25 (2019–present)[29][better source needed]
- Kevin Daley, District 26 (2023–present) and District 31 (2019–2022)[29][better source needed]
State representatives
- William Bruck, District 30 (2023–present)[30]
- Mike Mueller, District 51 (2019–2022) and District 72 (2023–present)[30]
- Mike Harris, District 52 (2022–present)[30]
- Donni Steele, District 54 (2023–present)[30]
- Alicia St. Germaine, District 62 (2023–present)[30]
- Jaime Greene, District 65 (2023–present)[30]
- Pat Outman, District 70 (2021–2022) and District 91 (2023–present)[30]
- Brian BeGole, District 71 (2023–present)[30]
- Bryan Posthumus, District 73 (2021–2022) and District 90 (2023–present)[31]
- Brad Paquette, District 78 (2019–present)[30]
- Phil Green, Michigan State Representative from District 84 (2019–2022) and District 67 (2023–present)[31]
- Luke Meerman, District 88 (2019–present)[30]
- Jerry Neyer, District 92 (2023–present)[30]
- Tom Leonard, District 93 (2013–2019); Republican nominee for Attorney General in 2018[32]
- Timothy Beson, District 96 (2021–present)[30]
- Matthew Bierlein, District 97 (2023–present)[30]
- Gregory S. Alexander, District 98 (2023–present)[30]
- Tom Kunse, Michigan State Representative from District 100 (2023–present)[30]
- Curt VanderWall, District 101 (2017–2018) and District 102 (2023–present)[30]
- John Roth, District 104 (2021–present)[30]
Nikki Haley
State senator
- Jim Stamas, Member of the Michigan Senate from the 36th district (2015–2022)[33]
- Wayne Schmidt, Member of the Michigan Senate from the 37th district (2023–present)[33]
State representatives
- Pamela Hornberger, District 32 (2017-2023)[33]
- Joseph Haveman, District 90 (2009-2014)[33]
Newspapers
- The Detroit News (co-endorsement with Dean Phillips)[34]
Perry Johnson (withdrawn)
Former federal official
- Pete Hoekstra, U.S. Ambassador to the Netherlands (2018–2021); U.S. Representative from MI-02 (1993–2011); Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012[35]
Donald Trump
U.S. Representatives
- Kerry Bentivolio, MI-11 (2013–2015)[36]
- Jack Bergman, MI-01 (2017–present)[37]
- Bill Huizenga, MI-04 (2023–present) and MI-02 (2011–2023)[37]
- John James, MI-10 (2023–present)[37]
- Lisa McClain, MI-09 (2023–present) and MI-10 (2021–2023); Secretary of the House Republican Conference (2023–present)[38]
- John Moolenaar, MI-02 (2023–present) and MI-04 (2015–2023)[37]
- Mike Rogers, MI-08 (2001–2015) and Republican candidate for U.S. Senator from Michigan in 2024[39]
- Tim Walberg, MI-05 (2023–present) and MI-07 (2011–2023, 2007–2009)[37]
State senator
- Jim Runestad, Member of the Michigan Senate from the 23rd district (2023–present) and the 15th district (2019–2022)[40]
State representatives
- Bob Bezotte, District 50 (2023–present) and District 47 (2021–2023)[41]
- Steve Carra, District 36 (2023–present) and District 59 (2021–2023)[41]
- Matt Maddock, District 59 (2023–present) and District 44 (2019–2023)[41]
Former party official
- Meshawn Maddock, co-chair of the Michigan Republican Party (2019–2023)[42]
Former local official
- James Craig, Chief of the Detroit Police Department (2013–2021)[43]
Individuals
- Perry Johnson, disqualified candidate for governor in 2022 and withdrawn candidate for president in 2024[44]
Maps
Endorsed Donald Trump (40)
Endorsed Nikki Haley (1)
No endorsement (13)
Polling
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[45] | through February 24, 2024 | February 27, 2024 | 21.8% | 78.7% | - | Trump +56.9 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Will Hurd |
Asa Hutchinson |
Perry Johnson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College/The Hill[46] | Feb 20–24, 2024 | 486 (LV) | ±3% | – | – | – | 20.3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 69.2% | – | 10.5% |
| Michigan Information and Research Service (MIRS)[47] | Jan 4–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ±4% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 2% | – | 53% | – | 6% |
| CNN/SSRS[48] | Nov 30 – December 7, 2023 | 618 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 13% | – | 1% | – | – | 4% | – | 58% | 1% | 3% |
| Morning Consult[49] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 1,348 (LV) | – | 0% | 3% | 13% | 10% | – | 0% | – | – | 8% | 1% | 65% | – | – |
| Morning Consult[49] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 1,342 (LV) | – | 1% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 0% | 0% | – | 7% | 9% | 1% | 63% | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[50] | Oct 9–10, 2023 | 430 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 6% | – | 0% | – | 2% | 3% | 0% | 63% | – | 8% |
| Morning Consult[49] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,238 (LV) | – | 0% | 4% | 12% | 6% | 0% | 0% | – | 7% | 10% | 1% | 58% | – | 2% |
| Susquehanna University[51] | Sep 7–12, 2023 | 219 (LV) | – | 0% | 0% | 18% | 3% | – | 0% | – | 5% | 5% | 0% | 65% | – | – |
| Morning Consult[49] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 1,299 (LV) | – | 0% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 1% | – | 8% | 8% | 2% | 59% | 0%[c] | – |
| Emerson College[52] | Aug 1–2, 2023 | 498 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 61% | 1% | 6% |
| Morning Consult[49] | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,350 (LV) | – | – | 3% | 18% | 3% | 0% | 1% | – | 10% | 7% | 2% | 55% | – | 1% |
| Mitchell Research[53][A] | Jul 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 13% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 3% | – | 2% | 69% | – | 11% |
| Morning Consult[49] | June 1–30, 2023 | 1,242 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 25% | 3% | 0% | 2% | – | 9% | 3% | 3% | 52% | 1%[d] | – |
| Morning Consult[49] | May 1–31, 2023 | 1,354 (LV) | – | – | – | 25% | 2% | – | 1% | – | 9% | 5% | 1% | 53% | 5%[e] | 1% |
| Morning Consult[49] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 1,356 (LV) | – | – | – | 26% | 3% | – | 0% | – | 10% | 2% | 1% | 53% | 5%[f] | – |
| Morning Consult[49] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 1,378 (LV) | – | – | – | 30% | 3% | – | – | – | 10% | 0% | 1% | 51% | 5%[g] | – |
| Morning Consult[49] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 1,232 (LV) | – | – | – | 32% | 4% | – | – | – | 10% | 0% | 1% | 46% | 6%[h] | 1% |
| Echelon Insights[54] | Feb 13–16, 2023 | 400 (V) | ± 6.0% | – | – | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | 11% | – |
| Morning Consult[49] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 1,709 (LV) | – | – | – | 33% | 1% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 0% | 48% | 5%[i] | 3% |
| Morning Consult[49] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 909 (LV) | – | – | – | 32% | 1% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 0% | 50% | 7%[j] | – |
| Glengariff Group[55] | Jul 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | 13% | – |
Results
Primary
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 761,163 | 68.12% | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| Nikki Haley | 297,124 | 26.59% | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Uncommitted | 33,649 | 3.01% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 13,456 | 1.20% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 4,794 | 0.43% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 3,702 | 0.33% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley | 2,348 | 0.21% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 1,077 | 0.10% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 1,117,313 | 100.00% | 16 | 0 | 16 |
Caucus
CBS called the results for Donald Trump at 6:02PM (EST) with Trump winning all 39 delegates available from the caucus.[58]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 1,575 | 97.77% | 39 | 0 | 39 |
| Nikki Haley | 36 | 2.23% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 1,611 | 100.00% | 39 | 0 | 39 |
| Source: [60] | |||||
See also
Notes
Partisan clients
References
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