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The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary was held on February 24, 2024,[1] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 50 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a selection basis.[2]
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50 Republican National Convention delegates | |||||||||||||||||||
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Held following the Iowa caucuses, the New Hampshire primary, the Nevada primary and caucuses, and the United States Virgin Islands caucuses, the South Carolina primary was the fifth Republican contest in which delegates were awarded to take place this election.[3] South Carolina holds the "first in the South" presidential primary for both major parties.[4]
Nikki Haley, who served as Governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, announced her presidential candidacy in February 2023. Tim Scott, who has represented South Carolina in the U.S. Senate since 2013, entered the race with a campaign announcement in May 2023.[5] He suspended his campaign on November 12, 2023[6] and endorsed Trump on January 19, 2024.[7]
Immediately after polls closed at 7:00pm EST, multiple media outlets called the primary for Trump.[8][9] Trump received the highest number of votes of any candidate for either party in the history of the South Carolina primaries, breaking the record previously held by George W. Bush in 2000.[8][9]
The Republican electorate in South Carolina is noted for having a high proportion of evangelical voters.[10] Socially conservative candidates have performed well in the South Carolina primary in past contests. In the 2012 Republican primary, Newt Gingrich beat eventual nominee Mitt Romney in the state with support from evangelical voters.[11]
In the 2016 South Carolina Republican primary, Donald Trump won with 32.51% of the vote, with the nearest opponent Marco Rubio taking 22.48%. Trump reportedly won 34% of the evangelical vote in the primary, with Ted Cruz taking 26%, and Rubio taking 21%.[12]
29 at-large delegates are awarded to the candidate with the highest statewide vote total. Each of the state's seven congressional districts are awarded three delegates. The candidate with the highest vote total in each congressional district are awarded that district's delegates.
The following 10 candidates had filed by the end of the filing period on October 31, 2023, and secured ballot access.[13]
U.S. Representatives
State senators
State representatives
Mayors
Former party official
Former federal executive officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governor
State executive officials
State senator
State representatives
Notable individuals
Former federal executive official
State senators
State representatives
Former U.S. Representative
Former governor
State senators
State representatives
Mayor
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270toWin[50] | February 16–20, 2024 | February 21, 2024 | 34.6% | 61.6% | 3.8% | Trump +27.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[51] | through February 23, 2024 | February 24, 2024 | 34.0% | 61.6% | 4.4% | Trump +27.6 |
RealClearPolling[52] | February 14, 2024 – February 23, 2024 | February 23, 2024 | 37.5% | 60.8% | 1.7% | Trump +23.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group[53] | Feb 21–23, 2024 | 1093 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | – | 37.5% | – | – | – | – | 58.9% | – | 3.6%[c] |
Suffolk University/USA Today[54] | Feb 15–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | – | – | 63% | – | 2%[d] |
Emerson College/The Hill[55] | Feb 15–17, 2024 | 1197 (LV) | ± 2.8% | – | – | – | 35.4% | – | – | – | – | 57.9% | – | 6.7% |
Insider Advantage[56] | Feb 14–15, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | 60% | 1% | 1% |
Trafalgar Group[57] | Feb 13–15, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | – | 33.6% | – | – | – | – | 63.3% | – | 3% |
The Citadel[58] | Feb 5–11, 2024 | 505 (LV) | ± 5.7% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | 64% | 3% | 2% |
Winthrop University[59] | Feb 2–10, 2024 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | – | – | – | 28.7% | – | – | – | – | 64.9% | 3.3% | 2% |
Washington Post/Monmouth University[60] | Jan 26–30, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | 58% | 2% | 8% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[61] | Jan 28–29, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | 66% | – | 4% |
The Tyson Group/The American Promise[62] | Jan 24–26, 2024 | 543 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | 11% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[61] | Jan 17–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | – | – | 68% | – | 4% |
Emerson College[63] | Jan 2–3, 2024 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 4.8% | 6.6% | 25.1% | 0.2% | – | 3.1% | – | 54.4% | – | 1.9% |
Trafalgar Group[64] | Dec 6–8, 2023 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | 5.8% | 14.4% | 22.8% | 0.3% | – | 6.1% | – | 48.7% | – | 1.9% |
Morning Consult[65] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 856 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 13% | 19% | – | – | 3% | 7% | 57% | – | – |
Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research[66] | Nov 4–12, 2023 | 780 (RV) | ± 3.51% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 0.4% | – | 3.4% | 10.6% | 47.6% | 2.1%[e] | 2.7% |
Morning Consult[65] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 927 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 11% | 15% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 58% | – | – |
CNN/SSRS[67] | Oct 18–25, 2023 | 738 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 0% | 2% | 11% | 22% | 0%[f] | 2% | 1% | 6% | 53% | 0%[g] | 1% |
Morning Consult[65] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 854 (LV) | – | – | 1% | 10% | 13% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 59% | 0%[h] | 1% |
Fox Business[68] | Sep 14–18, 2023 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.5% | <0.5% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 46% | 1%[i] | 3% |
Washington Post/Monmouth University[69] | Sep 6–11, 2023 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 46% | 1%[j] | 4% |
Morning Consult[65] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 910 (LV) | – | – | 1% | 14% | 11% | 0% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 55% | 0%[h] | – |
Trafalgar Group (R)[70] | Aug 17–19, 2023 | 1,054 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 0% | 2% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 48% | 0%[k] | 1% |
Morning Consult[65] | July 1–31, 2023 | 907 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 15% | 12% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 54% | 0%[l] | 1% |
Fox Business[71] | Jul 15–19, 2023 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.5% | <0.5% | 2% | 13% | 14% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 48% | –[m] | 4% |
Morning Consult[65] | June 1–30, 2023 | 907 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 20% | 12% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 48% | 1%[n] | 1% |
National Public Affairs[72] | Jun 20–21, 2023 | 809 (LV) | – | 1% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 41% | – | 6% |
Morning Consult[65] | May 1–31, 2023 | 875 (LV) | – | – | – | 19% | 13% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 52% | 1%[o] | 1% |
National Research[73][A] | May 24–25, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | – | – | 18% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 43% | 1%[p] | 13% |
National Public Affairs[74] | May 15–17, 2023 | 590 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 23% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 38% | – | 8% |
Morning Consult[65] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 810 (LV) | – | – | – | 17% | 17% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 52% | 3%[q] | 1% |
National Public Affairs[75] | Apr 11–14, 2023 | 588 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | – | 21% | 19% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 43% | 1%[r] | 6% |
Winthrop University[76] | Mar 25 – April 1, 2023 | 485 (RV) | ± 4.6% | – | – | 20% | 18% | 0% | 5% | – | 7% | 41% | 5%[s] | 4% |
Morning Consult[65] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 806 (LV) | – | – | – | 22% | 15% | – | 5% | 0% | 4% | 49% | 3%[t] | 2% |
Morning Consult[65] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 689 (LV) | – | – | – | 24% | 18% | – | 5% | – | 7% | 43% | 4%[u] | – |
Neighbourhood Research and Media[77][B] | Feb 7–14, 2023 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.9% | – | – | 22% | 16% | – | 2% | – | 2% | 35% | – | 23% |
Morning Consult[65] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 974 (LV) | – | – | – | 31% | 14% | – | 2% | – | 5% | 45% | 2%[v] | 1% |
Trafalgar Group[78] | Jan 24–26, 2023 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | – | 33% | – | 6% | – | – | 52% | 9%[w] | – |
– | – | – | 21% | – | 3% | – | 23% | 48% | 5%[x] | – | ||||
– | – | 29% | 22% | – | 4% | – | – | 43% | 2%[y] | – | ||||
– | – | 28% | 12% | – | 2% | – | 14% | 43% | 1%[z] | – | ||||
Moore Information[79] | Jan 18–24, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 31% | 12% | – | 4% | – | 5% | 41% | – | 7% |
– | – | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | 62% | – | 9% | ||||
– | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | – | 15% | ||||
Spry Strategies[80] | Jan 17–19, 2023 | 386 (LV) | – | – | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | 15% |
Morning Consult[65] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 530 (LV) | – | – | – | 28% | 13% | – | 4% | – | 5% | 44% | 6%[aa] | – |
Winthrop University[81] | Oct 22 – November 5, 2022 | 1,298 (A) | ± 2.8% | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 19% |
Echelon Insights[82] | Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 | 294 (LV) | ± 5.1% | – | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | 9% |
Trafalgar Group[83] | Mar 25–29, 2021 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 64% | 11%[ab] | 25%[ac] |
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 452,496 | 59.79% | 47 | 47 | |
Nikki Haley | 299,084 | 39.52% | 3 | 3 | |
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 2,953 | 0.39% | |||
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 726 | 0.10% | |||
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 658 | 0.09% | |||
Ryan Binkley | 528 | 0.07% | |||
David Stuckenberg | 361 | 0.05% | |||
Total: | 756,806 | 100.00% | 50 | 0 | 50 |
Source: [85] |
Trump won 6 of the 7 congressional districts.
County | Donald Trump | Nikki Haley | Others | Margin | Total
votes | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | ||
Abbeville | 76.35% | 2,857 | 23.01% | 861 | 0.64% | 24 | 53.34% | 1,996 | 3,742 |
Aiken | 60.79% | 15,179 | 38.66% | 9,653 | 0.55% | 137 | 22.13% | 5,526 | 24,969 |
Allendale | 71.26% | 238 | 28.74% | 96 | 0.00% | 0 | 42.51% | 142 | 334 |
Anderson | 68.69% | 23,735 | 30.60% | 10,572 | 0.71% | 245 | 38.10% | 13,163 | 34,552 |
Bamberg | 64.60% | 637 | 34.89% | 344 | 0.51% | 5 | 29.72% | 293 | 986 |
Barnwell | 77.15% | 1,604 | 22.37% | 465 | 0.48% | 10 | 54.79% | 1,139 | 2,079 |
Beaufort | 43.87% | 17,083 | 55.44% | 21,591 | 0.69% | 269 | -11.58% | -4,508 | 38,943 |
Berkeley | 59.43% | 17,976 | 39.83% | 12,046 | 0.74% | 223 | 19.61% | 5,930 | 30,245 |
Calhoun | 70.24% | 1,397 | 29.26% | 582 | 0.50% | 10 | 40.98% | 815 | 1,989 |
Charleston | 37.72% | 23,881 | 61.71% | 39,072 | 0.57% | 364 | -23.99% | -15,191 | 63,317 |
Cherokee | 85.26% | 7,034 | 14.13% | 1,166 | 0.61% | 50 | 71.13% | 5,868 | 8,250 |
Chester | 78.15% | 2,930 | 21.37% | 801 | 0.48% | 18 | 56.79% | 2,129 | 3,749 |
Chesterfield | 78.57% | 3,440 | 20.76% | 909 | 0.66% | 29 | 57.81% | 2,531 | 4,378 |
Clarendon | 72.09% | 2,846 | 27.51% | 1,086 | 0.41% | 16 | 44.58% | 1,760 | 3,948 |
Colleton | 70.05% | 3,134 | 29.50% | 1,320 | 0.45% | 20 | 40.55% | 1,814 | 4,474 |
Darlington | 73.56% | 5,608 | 25.91% | 1,975 | 0.54% | 41 | 47.65% | 3,633 | 7,624 |
Dillon | 84.61% | 2,018 | 15.18% | 362 | 0.21% | 5 | 69.43% | 1,656 | 2,385 |
Dorchester | 57.11% | 11,725 | 42.03% | 8,629 | 0.86% | 177 | 15.08% | 3,096 | 20,531 |
Edgefield | 73.92% | 2,882 | 25.24% | 984 | 0.85% | 33 | 48.68% | 1,898 | 3,899 |
Fairfield | 65.63% | 1,577 | 33.71% | 810 | 0.67% | 16 | 31.92% | 767 | 2,403 |
Florence | 70.42% | 10,401 | 28.98% | 4,280 | 0.60% | 89 | 41.44% | 6,121 | 14,770 |
Georgetown | 57.14% | 7,617 | 42.34% | 5,644 | 0.52% | 69 | 14.80% | 1,973 | 13,330 |
Greenville | 56.97% | 54,123 | 42.06% | 39,952 | 0.97% | 923 | 14.92% | 14,171 | 94,998 |
Greenwood | 63.77% | 6,427 | 35.66% | 3,594 | 0.57% | 57 | 28.11% | 2,833 | 10,078 |
Hampton | 72.43% | 993 | 26.84% | 368 | 0.73% | 10 | 45.59% | 625 | 1,371 |
Horry | 66.81% | 47,986 | 32.70% | 23,489 | 0.48% | 348 | 34.11% | 24,497 | 71,823 |
Jasper | 57.06% | 3,174 | 42.35% | 2,356 | 0.59% | 33 | 14.70% | 818 | 5,563 |
Kershaw | 65.89% | 6,182 | 33.58% | 3,151 | 0.53% | 50 | 32.30% | 3,031 | 9,383 |
Lancaster | 60.55% | 9,485 | 38.78% | 6,075 | 0.67% | 105 | 21.77% | 3,410 | 15,665 |
Laurens | 76.22% | 7,838 | 23.13% | 2,379 | 0.65% | 67 | 53.08% | 5,459 | 10,284 |
Lee | 78.89% | 994 | 20.24% | 255 | 0.87% | 11 | 58.65% | 739 | 1,260 |
Lexington | 58.11% | 27,460 | 41.21% | 19,475 | 0.68% | 323 | 16.90% | 7,985 | 47,258 |
Marion | 77.07% | 1,906 | 22.40% | 554 | 0.53% | 13 | 54.67% | 1,352 | 2,473 |
Marlboro | 81.92% | 1,405 | 17.43% | 299 | 0.64% | 11 | 64.49% | 1,106 | 1,715 |
McCormick | 62.36% | 1,433 | 36.51% | 839 | 1.13% | 26 | 25.85% | 594 | 2,298 |
Newberry | 64.89% | 3,819 | 34.43% | 2,026 | 0.68% | 40 | 30.47% | 1,793 | 5,885 |
Oconee | 60.19% | 10,230 | 39.21% | 6,664 | 0.61% | 103 | 20.98% | 3,566 | 16,997 |
Orangeburg | 67.26% | 3,815 | 32.18% | 1,825 | 0.56% | 32 | 35.08% | 1,990 | 5,672 |
Pickens | 67.58% | 15,613 | 31.76% | 7,337 | 0.66% | 152 | 35.82% | 8,276 | 23,102 |
Richland | 41.40% | 13,697 | 57.72% | 19,098 | 0.88% | 292 | -16.32% | -5,401 | 33,087 |
Saluda | 72.31% | 2,309 | 27.00% | 862 | 0.69% | 22 | 45.32% | 1,447 | 3,193 |
Spartanburg | 69.75% | 33,039 | 29.44% | 13,946 | 0.80% | 381 | 40.31% | 19,093 | 47,366 |
Sumter | 64.85% | 5,556 | 34.44% | 2,951 | 0.71% | 61 | 30.40% | 2,605 | 8,568 |
Union | 84.18% | 3,193 | 15.45% | 586 | 0.37% | 14 | 68.73% | 2,607 | 3,793 |
Williamsburg | 80.01% | 1,789 | 19.54% | 437 | 0.45% | 10 | 60.47% | 1,352 | 2,236 |
York | 57.91% | 24,231 | 41.39% | 17,318 | 0.70% | 292 | 16.52% | 6,913 | 41,841 |
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