2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
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The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the State of Arizona, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on July 30, 2024.
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All 9 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic hold Republican hold
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District 1
Summarize
Perspective
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![]() Precinct results Schweikert: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Shah: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based in northeastern Phoenix and Scottsdale. The incumbent was Republican David Schweikert, who was re-elected with 50.4% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
Nominee
- David Schweikert, incumbent U.S. representative[2]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
David Schweikert
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
David Schweikert (R) | $3,580,353 | $2,889,975 | $743,314 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[9] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Schweikert (incumbent) | 62,811 | 62.7 | |
Republican | Kim George | 27,587 | 27.5 | |
Republican | Robert Blackie | 9,854 | 9.8 | |
Total votes | 100,252 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Amish Shah, former state representative from the 5th district (2019–2024)[10]
Eliminated in primary
- Andrei Cherny, former chair of the Arizona Democratic Party (2011–2012), nominee for Arizona State Treasurer in 2010, and candidate for the 9th district in 2012[11]
- Marlene Galán-Woods, former KSAZ-TV news anchor and widow of former Republican Arizona Attorney General Grant Woods[12]
- Andrew Horne, orthodontist[13]
- Kurt Kroemer, former CEO of the Arizona Red Cross[14]
- Conor O'Callaghan, global trading executive[15]
Declined
- Jevin Hodge, former state representative from the 8th district (2024) and nominee for this district in 2022[16]
- Hiral Tipirneni, emergency room physician, nominee for this district[a] in 2020, and nominee for the 8th district in the 2018 special and general elections[17]
Endorsements
Andrei Cherny
- U.S. executive officials
- Bill Clinton, 42nd president of the United States (1993–2001)[18]
- U.S representatives
- Seth Moulton, U.S. representative from Massachusetts's 6th congressional district (2015–present)[19]
- Local officials
- Kate Gallego, mayor of Phoenix[20]
- Organizations
Marlene Galán-Woods
- Federal cabinet officials
- Janet Napolitano, former U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security (2009–2013) and former governor of Arizona (2003–2009)[24]
- U.S. representatives
- Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district (2013–present)[25]
- Linda Sánchez, U.S. representative from California's 38th congressional district (2003–present)[26]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
Andrew Horne
- Organizations
- Vote Common Good (co-endorsement with Kroemer)[33]
Kurt Kroemer
- Organizations
- Vote Common Good (co-endorsement with Horne)[33]
Conor O'Callaghan
- US representatives
- Brendan Boyle, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district (2019–present)[34]
- Dan Goldman, U.S. representative from New York's 10th congressional district (2023–present)[34]
- Val Hoyle, U.S. representative from Oregon's 4th congressional district (2023–present)[35]
- Adam Kinzinger, former U.S. representative from Illinois's 16th congressional district (2011–2023) (Republican)[36]
- Max Rose, former U.S. representative from New York's 11th congressional district (2019–2021)[37]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Howie Klein, former president of Reprise Records (1989–2001) and adjunct professor at McGill University[38]
- Heather Digby Parton, political blogger[38]
Amish Shah
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Andrei Cherny (D) | $2,592,326[b] | $2,581,642 | $10,685 |
Marlene Galán-Woods (D) | $1,776,275[c] | $1,773,390 | $2,885 |
Andrew Horne (D) | $1,508,528[d] | $1,483,737 | $24,791 |
Kurt Kroemer (D) | $297,460[e] | $297,460 | $0 |
Conor O'Callaghan (D) | $2,208,809[f] | $2,077,400 | $0 |
Amish Shah (D) | $4,930,584[g] | $3,432,166 | $1,498,419 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[9] |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Andrei Cherny |
Marlene Galán-Woods |
Andrew Horne |
Kurt Kroemer |
Conor O'Callaghan |
Amish Shah |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noble Predictive Insights[45] | June 25–27, 2024 | 420 (LV) | ± 4.78% | 16% | 14% | 8% | 1% | 11% | 16% | 36% |
RMG Research[46][A] | June 10–19, 2024 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 12% | 12% | 11% | – | 17% | 15% | 33%[i] |
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Andrei Cherny | Marlene Galán-Woods | Andrew Horne | Kurt Kroemer | Conor O'Callaghan | Amish Shah | |||||
1 | May 17, 2024 | The Arizona Republic | Steve Goldstien Richard Ruelas |
YouTube | P | P | P | P | P | P |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Amish Shah | 17,214 | 23.5 | |
Democratic | Andrei Cherny | 15,596 | 21.3 | |
Democratic | Marlene Galán-Woods | 15,490 | 21.2 | |
Democratic | Conor O'Callaghan | 13,539 | 18.5 | |
Democratic | Andrew Horne | 8,991 | 12.3 | |
Democratic | Kurt Kroemer | 2,356 | 3.2 | |
Total votes | 73,186 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
Declared
- Michelle Martin[3]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[47] | Tossup | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[48] | Tilt R | October 31, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
Elections Daily[50] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
CNalysis[51] | Tossup | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[52] | Lean R | October 21, 2024 |
Polling
Results
By county
County | David Schweikert Republican |
Amish Shah Democratic |
Margin | Total | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Maricopa | 225,538 | 51.91% | 208,966 | 48.09% | 16,562 | 3.81% | 434,504 |
Totals | 225,538 | 51.91% | 208,966 | 48.09% | 16,562 | 3.81 | 434,504 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Schweikert (incumbent) | 225,538 | 51.9 | ||
Democratic | Amish Shah | 208,966 | 48.1 | ||
Total votes | 434,504 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 2
Summarize
Perspective
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Crane: 50–60% 60–70% Nez: 60–70% 80–90% ≥90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district encompasses much of northeastern Arizona. The incumbent was first-term Republican Eli Crane, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.9% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Jack Smith, former Arizona director for USDA Rural Development and former Yavapai County supervisor[57]
Declined
- Mark Lamb, Pinal County Sheriff (2017–present) (ran for U.S. Senate)[58]
Endorsements
Eli Crane
- Organizations
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Eli Crane (R) | $3,935,292 | $2,625,043 | $1,376,504 |
Jack Smith (R) | $1,350 | $0 | $1,350 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[61] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Eli Crane (incumbent) | 89,480 | 80.5 | |
Republican | Jack Smith | 21,637 | 19.5 | |
Total votes | 111,117 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Jonathan Nez, former president of the Navajo Nation (2019–2023)[62]
Endorsements
Jonathan Nez
- Organizations
- National Organization for Women PAC[63]
- Protect Our Winters Action Fund[64]
- Stonewall Democrats of Arizona[65]
- Labor unions
- Arizona AFL-CIO[66]
- Arizona Building and Construction Trades Council[67]
- Arizona Western States Carpenters[68]
- Communication Workers of America Arizona State Council[69]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 99[70]
- Tribes
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jonathan Nez (D) | $380,266 | $154,214 | $226,052 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[73] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jonathan Nez | 62,033 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 62,033 | 100.0 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[47] | Likely R | October 22, 2024 |
Inside Elections[48] | Likely R | September 12, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Likely R | October 24, 2024 |
Elections Daily[50] | Likely R | October 24, 2024 |
CNalysis[51] | Very Likely R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[52] | Safe R | October 22, 2024 |
Post-primary endorsements
Jonathan Nez (D)
- Executive branch officials
- Kamala Harris, vice president of the United States (2021–present)[74]
- Organizations
Polling
Results
By county
County | Eli Crane Republican |
Jonathan Nez Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Apache | 9,792 | 30.79% | 22,012 | 60.20% | 1 | 0.01% | -12,320 | -38.41% | 31,807 |
Coconino | 24,602 | 35.93% | 43,868 | 64.06% | 10 | 0.01% | -19,266 | -28.13% | 68,480 |
Gila | 17,584 | 66.14% | 8,994 | 38.83% | 7 | 0.03% | 8,590 | 35.44% | 26,585 |
Graham | 101 | 8.86% | 1,039 | 91.14% | 0 | 0% | -938 | -82.28% | 1,140 |
Maricopa | 99 | 16.81% | 490 | 83.19% | 0 | 0.00% | -391 | -66.38% | 589 |
Mohave | 87 | 27.62% | 228 | 73.28% | 0 | 0.00% | -141 | -44.76% | 315 |
Navajo | 26,635 | 53.36% | 23,273 | 46.63% | 2 | 0.01% | 3,362 | 6.74% | 49,910 |
Pinal | 46,905 | 57.29% | 34,964 | 42.70% | 7 | 0.01% | 11,941 | 14.58% | 81,876 |
Yavapai | 95,608 | 65.607% | 50,095 | 34.375% | 26 | 0.018% | 45,513 | 31.232% | 145,729 |
Totals | 221,413 | 54.48% | 184,963 | 45.51% | 55 | 0.01% | 36,450 | 8.97% | 406,431 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Eli Crane (incumbent) | 221,413 | 54.5 | ||
Democratic | Jonathan Nez | 184,963 | 45.5 | ||
Write-in | 55 | 0.01 | |||
Total votes | 406,431 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 3
Summarize
Perspective
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![]() Precinct results Ansari: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Zink: 40–50% Tie No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is majority-Latino and is based in downtown and western Phoenix.[77] The incumbent was Democrat Ruben Gallego, who was re-elected with 77.0% of the vote in 2022.[1] He did not seek re-election, instead successfully running for U.S. Senate.
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Yassamin Ansari, former Phoenix city councilor (2021–2024)[78]
Eliminated in primary
- Raquel Terán, former Minority Leader of the Arizona Senate (2023) from the 26th district (2021–2023) and former chair of the Arizona Democratic Party (2021–2023)[79]
- Duane Wooten, pediatrician[80]
Withdrawn
- Ylenia Aguilar, member of the Central Arizona Water Conservation District Board and the Osborn School District Board[81] (endorsed Terán, ran for Corporation Commission)[82][83]
- Laura Pastor, Phoenix city councilor from the 4th district and daughter of former U.S. Representative Ed Pastor[84]
Declined
- Steve Gallardo, Maricopa County supervisor from the 5th district (2015–present) and former state senator from the 29th district (2003–2009, 2011–2015)[77] (ran for re-election)[85]
- Kate Gallego, mayor of Phoenix (2019–present)[86]
- Ruben Gallego, incumbent U.S. representative (ran for U.S. Senate)[87]
Endorsements
Yassamin Ansari
- Federal legislators
- Seth Moulton, U.S. representative from Massachusetts's 6th congressional district (2015–present)[19]
- State legislators
- Adrian Boafo, Maryland state delegate from the 23rd district (2023–present) (post-primary)[88]
- Labor unions
- Arizona AFL-CIO (co-endorsement with Terán)[27]
- Arizona Building Trades Unions[89]
- Arizona Federation of Teachers[90]
- International Association of Fire Fighters[91]
- Organizations
- Democratic Majority for Israel PAC[92]
- Everytown for Gun Safety (post-primary)[43]
- National Organization for Women PAC[90]
Raquel Terán
- U.S. senators
- Mark Kelly, U.S. senator from Arizona (2020–present)[93]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont (2007–present) (Independent)[94]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[94]
- U.S. representatives
- Ann Kirkpatrick, former U.S. representative from Arizona's 2nd congressional district (2009–2011, 2013–2017, 2019–2023)[95]
- Labor unions
- Arizona AFL-CIO (co-endorsement with Ansari)[27]
- Arizona Education Association[91]
- Communications Workers of America Arizona State Council[96]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 99[91]
- Organizations
- Congressional Hispanic Caucus BOLD PAC[97]
- Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC[98]
- End Citizens United[99]
- Latino Victory[100]
- League of Conservation Voters[101]
- Our Revolution[102]
- People's Action[103]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[104]
- PODER PAC[32]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[105]
- Sunrise Movement[94]
- UnidosUS[106]
- Vote Mama[107]
- Working Families Party[108]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Yassamin Ansari |
Raquel Terán |
Duane Wooten |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lake Research Partners (D)[109][E] | July 10–14, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 30% | 4% | – | 21% |
Target Smart[110][F] | April 24–28, 2024 | 404 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 20% | 30% | 7% | 6% | 37% |
Lake Research Partners (D)[111][E] | April 17–21, 2024 | 425 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 32% | 21% | 8% | – | 34% |
Lake Research Partners (D)[112][E] | October 26 – November 5, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 24% | 23% | – | – | 42% |
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Yassamin Ansari (D) | $1,408,820 | $506,411 | $902,409 |
Raquel Terán (D) | $856,888 | $408,902 | $447,986 |
Duane Wooten (D) | $36,054[j] | $25,477 | $10,576 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[113] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Yassamin Ansari | 19,087 | 44.6 | |
Democratic | Raquel Terán | 19,048 | 44.5 | |
Democratic | Duane Wooten | 4,687 | 10.9 | |
Total votes | 42,822 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Jesus Mendoza[3]
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jeff Zink (R) | $44,132[k] | $47,898 | $15,336 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[113] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Zink | 9,243 | 65.6 | |
Republican | Jesus Mendoza | 4,840 | 34.4 | |
Total votes | 14,083 | 100.0 |
Green primary
Declared
- Alan Aversa, teacher[3]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[47] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[48] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[50] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[51] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[52] | Safe D | October 21, 2024 |
Results
By county
County | Yassamin Ansari Democratic |
Jeff Zink Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Maricopa | 143,336 | 70.94% | 53,705 | 26.58% | 5,008 | 2.48% | 89,631 | 44.36% | 202,065 |
Totals | 143,336 | 70.94% | 53,705 | 26.58% | 5,008 | 2.48% | 89,631 | 44.36% | 202,065 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Yassamin Ansari | 143,336 | 70.9 | ||
Republican | Jeff Zink | 53,705 | 26.6 | ||
Green | Alan Aversa | 5,008 | 2.5 | ||
Write-in | 16 | 0.0 | |||
Total votes | 202,065 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 4
Summarize
Perspective
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![]() Precinct results Stanton: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Cooper: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Greg Stanton, who was re-elected with 56.1% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Greg Stanton, incumbent U.S. representative[2]
Endorsements
Greg Stanton
- Organizations
- AIPAC[4]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[115]
- Feminist Majority PAC[116]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[117]
- League of Conservation Voters[118]
- National Organization for Women PAC[119]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[120]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[121]
- Population Connection Action Fund[122]
- Sierra Club[123]
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce[124]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Greg Stanton (D) | $1,541,651 | $641,796 | $933,196 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[127] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Greg Stanton (incumbent) | 49,178 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 49,178 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Jerone Davison, pastor, former National Football League player, and candidate for this district in 2022[3]
- Dave Giles, engineer, perennial candidate, and nominee for this district in 2016 and 2020[13]
- Zuhdi Jasser, physician and Islamic reformer[129]
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Kelly Cooper (R) | $363,908[l] | $336,052 | $86,600 |
Dave Giles (R) | $69,898[m] | $65,620 | $4,278 |
Zuhdi Jasser (R) | $428,273 | $171,701 | $256,571 |
Jerone Davidson (R) | $32,121 | $31,096 | $1,024 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[127] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kelly Cooper | 18,902 | 32.0 | |
Republican | Zuhdi Jasser | 15,929 | 27.0 | |
Republican | Dave Giles | 13,575 | 23.0 | |
Republican | Jerone Davison | 10,664 | 18.1 | |
Total votes | 59,070 | 100.0 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[47] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[48] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[50] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[51] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[52] | Likely D | October 21, 2024 |
Results
By county
County | Greg Stanton Democratic |
K. Cooper Republican |
Vincent Beck-Jones Green |
Margin | Total | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Maricopa | 176,428 | 52.74% | 152,052 | 45.45% | 6,065 | 1.81% | 24,376 | 7.29% | 334,545 |
Totals | 176,428 | 52.74% | 152,052 | 45.45% | 6,065 | 1.81% | 24,376 | 7.29% | 334,545 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Greg Stanton (incumbent) | 176,428 | 52.7 | ||
Republican | Kelly Cooper | 152,052 | 45.5 | ||
Green | Vincent Beck-Jones | 6,065 | 1.8 | ||
Total votes | 334,545 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 5
Summarize
Perspective
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Biggs: 50–60% 60–70% 70-80% 80-90% Schaffner: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Andy Biggs, who was re-elected with 56.7% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Andy Biggs, incumbent U.S. representative[3]
Endorsements
Andy Biggs
- Organizations
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Andy Biggs (R) | $901,114 | $723,897 | $412,689 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[130] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Andy Biggs (incumbent) | 91,820 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 91,820 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Katrina Schaffner, cosmetology business owner[131]
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Katrina Schaffner (D) | $5,426 | $1,627 | $7,578 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[130] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Katrina Schaffner | 42,396 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 42,396 | 100.0 |
Independents and third-party candidates
Filed paperwork
Withdrawn
- Evan Olson (Independent), sales director (ran for state senate)[133]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[47] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[48] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[50] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[51] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[52] | Safe R | October 21, 2024 |
Results
By county
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Andy Biggs (incumbent) | 255,628 | 60.4 | ||
Democratic | Katrina Schaffner | 167,680 | 39.6 | ||
Total votes | 423,308 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 6
Summarize
Perspective
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
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![]() County results Ciscomani: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Engel: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was first-term Republican Juan Ciscomani, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.8% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Juan Ciscomani, incumbent U.S. representative[2]
Eliminated in primary
- Kathleen Winn, former member of the Maricopa County Community College District Governing Board and candidate for this district in 2022[134]
Endorsements
Juan Ciscomani
Kathleen Winn
- Individuals
- Cindy Biggs, activist and wife of U.S. Representative Andy Biggs[141]
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Juan Ciscomani (R) | $3,358,989 | $961,074 | $2,452,350 |
Kathleen Winn (R) | $80,878 | $76,802 | $4,075 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[142] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Juan Ciscomani (incumbent) | 59,021 | 59.2 | |
Republican | Kathleen Winn | 40,625 | 40.8 | |
Total votes | 99,646 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Kirsten Engel, former state senator from the 10th district (2021) and nominee for this district in 2022[143]
Withdrawn
- Jack O'Donnell, development executive and former Trump Plaza vice president[144]
Endorsements
Kirsten Engel
- U.S. senators
- Mark Kelly, U.S. senator from Arizona (2020–present)[145]
- U.S. representatives
- Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district (2013–present)[146]
- Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)[147]
- Statewide officials
- Gretchen Whitmer, governor of Michigan (2019–present)[148]
- Organizations
- Council for a Livable World[149]
- DCCC Red to Blue[150]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[42]
- End Citizens United[151]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[43]
- EMILY's List[152]
- Giffords[147]
- Human Rights Campaign[153]
- J Street PAC[154]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[155]
- League of Conservation Voters[101]
- National Organization for Women PAC[119]
- National Women's Political Caucus[31]
- NewDem Action Fund[156]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[104]
- Population Connection Action Fund[122]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[105]
- Sierra Club[123]
- UnidosUS[106]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Kirsten Engel (D) | $2,509,530 | $638,525 | $1,872,318 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[142] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kirsten Engel | 78,178 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 78,178 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
Declared
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Vance Cast (L) | $50,009[n] | $36,707 | $13,301 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[142] |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[47] | Tossup | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[48] | Tossup | October 31, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
Elections Daily[50] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
CNalysis[51] | Tossup | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[52] | Likely R | October 21, 2024 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Juan Ciscomani (R) |
Kirsten Engel (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D)[157][G] | July 9–12, 2024 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[158][H] | May 28–30, 2024 | 300 (RV) | ± 5.7% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D)[157][G] | July 9–12, 2024 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Hypothetical polling
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Results
By county
County | Juan Ciscomani Republican |
Kirsten Engel Democratic |
Athena Eastwood Green |
Margin | Total | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Cochise | 30,620 | 65.04% | 14,983 | 31.82% | 1,479 | 3.14% | 15,637 | 33.21% | 47,082 |
Graham | 10,534 | 76.66% | 2,871 | 28.09% | 336 | 2.45% | 7,663 | 55.77% | 13,741 |
Greenlee | 2,110 | 65.77% | 992 | 30.92% | 106 | 3.30% | 1,118 | 34.85% | 3,208 |
Pima | 150,660 | 45.94% | 169,358 | 51.63% | 7,959 | 2.43% | -18,698 | -5.70% | 327,977 |
Pinal | 21,672 | 55.40% | 16,570 | 42.35% | 879 | 2.25% | 5,102 | 13.04% | 39,121 |
Totals | 215,596 | 50.00% | 204,774 | 47.48% | 10,759 | 2.50% | 36,450 | 2.52% | 431,220 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Juan Ciscomani | 215,596 | 50.0 | ||
Democratic | Kirsten Engel | 204,774 | 47.5 | ||
Green | Athena Eastwood | 10,759 | 2.5 | ||
Write-in | 91 | 0.0 | |||
Total votes | 431,220 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 7
Summarize
Perspective
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() Grijalva: 60–70% 60–70% Butierez: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 7th district is majority-Hispanic and covers most of the Mexico–United States border in Arizona, including parts of Tucson and Yuma. The incumbent was Democrat Raúl Grijalva, who won with 64.5% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Raúl Grijalva, incumbent U.S. representative[2]
Endorsements
Raúl Grijalva
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Raúl Grijalva (D) | $330,251 | $223,597 | $312,859 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[163] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raúl Grijalva (incumbent) | 55,133 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 55,133 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Nominee
- Daniel Butierez, painting contractor[3]
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Daniel Butierez (R) | $6,757 | $11,233 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[163] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Daniel Butierez | 24,425 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 24,425 | 100.0 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[47] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[48] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[50] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[51] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[52] | Safe D | October 21, 2024 |
Results
By county
County | Raúl Grijalva Democratic |
Daniel Butierez Republican |
Margin | Total | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Cochise | 6,543 | 62.314% | 3,957 | 37.686% | 2,586 | 24.629% | 10,500 |
Maricopa | 22,394 | 62.00% | 13,726 | 38.00% | 8,668 | 24.00% | 36,120 |
Pima | 113,269 | 65.63% | 59,306 | 34.37% | 53,863 | 31.21% | 172,575 |
Pinal | 847 | 34.28% | 1,624 | 65.72% | -777 | -31.44% | 2,471 |
Totals | 171,954 | 63.45% | 99,057 | 36.55% | 72,897 | 26.90% | 271,011 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raúl Grijalva | 171,954 | 63.5% | ||
Republican | Daniel Butierez | 99,057 | 36.5% | ||
Total votes | 271,011 | 100.0% | |||
Democratic hold |
District 8
Summarize
Perspective
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() Precinct results Hamadeh: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Whitten: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Republican Debbie Lesko, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022 with 96% of the vote (facing only write-in opposition). Lesko announced in October 2023 that she would not seek re-election in 2024.[1]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Abraham Hamadeh, former prosecutor in the Maricopa County Attorney's office and nominee for Attorney General in 2022[164]
Eliminated in primary
- Pat Briody, sales representative[3]
- Trent Franks, former U.S. Representative (2003–2017)[165]
- Anthony Kern, state senator from the 27th district (2023–present) and 2020 fake elector for Donald Trump[166]
- Blake Masters, venture capitalist and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022[167]
- Ben Toma, Speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives (2023–present) from the 27th district (2017–present)[168]
Declined
- Shawnna Bolick, state senator from the 2nd district (2023–present) (ran for re-election)[169]
- Debbie Lesko, incumbent U.S. representative[170] (ran for the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, endorsed Toma)[171][172]
- Steve Montenegro, state representative from the 29th district (2023–present) and candidate for this seat in 2018[173]
- Elijah Norton, Arizona Republican Party treasurer and candidate for the 1st district in 2022[174]
- Austin Smith, state representative from the 29th district (2023–present)[169]
- Kimberly Yee, Arizona State Treasurer (2019–present)[175]
Endorsements
Abraham Hamadeh
- U.S. executive branch officials
- Richard Grenell, acting Director of National Intelligence (2020), U.S. Ambassador to Germany (2018–2020)[176]
- Robert O'Brien, former National Security Adviser (2019–2021)[176]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (co-endorsement with Masters[o])[178]
- Statewide officials
- Adam Laxalt, former Nevada Attorney General (2015–2019)[176]
- Patrick Morrisey, West Virginia Attorney General (2013–present)[176]
- State legislators
- Sonny Borrelli, Majority Leader of the Arizona Senate (2023–present) from the 30th district (2017–present)[176]
- Alexander Kolodin, state representative from the 3rd district (2023–present)[176]
- Adam Kwasman, former state representative from the 11th district (2013–2015)[176]
- Wendy Rogers, state senator from the 7th district (2021–present)[176]
- Janae Shamp, state senator from the 29th district (2023–present)[176]
- Kelli Ward, former state senator from the 5th district (2013–2015) and former chair of the Arizona Republican Party (2019–2023)[176]
- Local officials
- Bernard Kerik, former New York City Police Commissioner (2000–2001)[176]
- Individuals
- Kari Lake, former KSAZ-TV news anchor[179]
- Kash Patel, former Trump aide[176]
- Organizations
Blake Masters
- U.S. executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (co-endorsement with Hamadeh[o])[178]
- U.S. senators
- JD Vance, U.S. senator from Ohio (2023–present)[181]
- U.S. representatives
- Paul Gosar, U.S. representative from Arizona (2011–present)[182]
Ben Toma
- U.S. representatives
- Debbie Lesko, incumbent U.S. representative for this district[172]
- Organizations
Debbie Lesko (not running)
- Organizations
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Pat Briody (R) | $15,618[p] | $15,518 | $100 |
Trent Franks (R) | $277,352[q] | $69,881 | $207,470 |
Abraham Hamadeh (R) | $596,623 | $347,736 | $248,887 |
Anthony Kern (R) | $170,076[r] | $99,994 | $70,082 |
Blake Masters (R) | $6,377,314[s] | $2,026,615 | $2,724,434 |
Ben Toma (R) | $576,571 | $178,456 | $398,115 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[184] |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Trent Franks |
Abe Hamadeh |
Anthony Kern |
Blake Masters |
Ben Toma |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Orbital (R)[185][I] | July 17–18, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 13% | 20% | 5% | 23% | 17% | – | 20% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[186][I] | July 8–9, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 16% | 26% | 4% | 27% | 17% | 2%[t] | 9% |
The Strategy Group Company[187][J] | June 10–12, 2024 | 620 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 12% | 30% | 3% | 19% | 10% | – | 26% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[188][I] | May 13–15, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 14% | 16% | 2% | 28% | 8% | 0%[u] | 32% |
SPRY Strategies[189][K] | April 24–26, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 9% | 16% | 3% | 26% | 9% | – | 37% |
The Tyson Group[190][L] | April 20–22, 2024 | 305 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 11% | 10% | 3% | 16% | 9% | 3%[v] | 48% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[191][I] | January 25–28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 9% | 24% | 1% | 24% | 3% | 3%[w] | 35% |
National Public Affairs (R)[192][J] | December 16–17, 2023 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 6% | 37% | 3% | 14% | 7% | – | 34% |
National Public Affairs (R)[193] | October 23–24, 2023 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | – | 31% | – | 24% | 11% | – | 34% |
Data Orbital (R)[194][I] | October 19–21, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | 18% | 6% | 33% | 7% | 5%[x] | 32% |
Hypothetical polling
Abe Hamadeh vs. Ben Toma
Abe Hamadeh vs. Blake Masters
Blake Masters vs. Ben Toma
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||||||
Briody | Franks | Hamadeh | Kern | Masters | Toma | |||||
1 | April 30, 2024 | Arizona PBS | Rick DeBruhl | YouTube | I | P | P | P | P | P |
Results
![Thumb](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/98/2024_Arizona_Congressional_District_8_GOP_Primary_by_Precinct.svg/640px-2024_Arizona_Congressional_District_8_GOP_Primary_by_Precinct.svg.png)
Hamadeh
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
Masters
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Toma
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
Franks
2–candidate tie
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
No data
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Abraham Hamadeh | 30,686 | 29.9 | |
Republican | Blake Masters | 26,422 | 25.7 | |
Republican | Ben Toma | 21,549 | 21.0 | |
Republican | Trent Franks | 16,714 | 16.3 | |
Republican | Anthony Kern | 4,922 | 4.8 | |
Republican | Pat Briody | 2,336 | 2.3 | |
Total votes | 102,629 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Greg Whitten, biosecurity contractor and former U.S. Department of Defense official[195]
Endorsements
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Greg Whitten (D) | $159,740[y] | $129,362 | $30,379 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[184] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Greg Whitten | 47,406 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 47,406 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
Declared
- Jacob Chansley, author, convicted felon, and participant in the January 6 United States Capitol attack[196]
Independents
Declared
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[47] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[48] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[50] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[51] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[52] | Safe R | October 21, 2024 |
Results
By county
County | Abraham Hamadeh Republican |
Gregory Whitten Democratic |
Margin | Total | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Maricopa | 208,269 | 56.50% | 160,344 | 43.50% | 47,925 | 13.00% | 368,613 |
Totals | 208,269 | 56.50% | 160,344 | 43.50% | 47,925 | 13.00 | 368,613 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Abraham Hamadeh | 208,269 | 56.5 | ||
Democratic | Gregory Whitten | 160,344 | 43.5 | ||
Total votes | 368,613 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 9
Summarize
Perspective
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Gosar: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Smith: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Republican Paul Gosar, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022.[1]
Though Gosar comfortably won, with over 65% of the vote it is the worst showing by a Republican in the 9th District as well as also Gosar's weakest performance since he was first elected to Congress in 2010, while Smith's performance was the for a best for a Democratic in this district with less than 35% of the vote.
Republican primary
Nominee
- Paul Gosar, incumbent U.S. representative[198]
Endorsements
Paul Gosar
- State legislators
- Sonny Borrelli, Majority Leader of the Arizona Senate (2023–present) from the 30th district (2017–present)[199]
- Tim Dunn, state representative from the 25th district (2023–present)[199]
- John Gillette, state representative from the 30th district (2023–present)[199]
- Austin Smith, state representative from the 29th district (2023–present)[199]
- Local officials
- Rodney Glassman, former Tucson city councilor[199]
- Mark Lamb, Pinal County sheriff (2017–present)[199]
- Individuals
- Blake Masters, former president of the Thiel Foundation[199]
- Organizations
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Paul Gosar (R) | $289,507 | $290,944 | $118,322 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[200] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Gosar (incumbent) | 89,308 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 89,308 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Quacy Smith, lawyer[201]
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Quacy Smith (D) | $67,034[z] | $60,889 | $8,232 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[200] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Quacy Smith | 33,784 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 33,784 | 100.0 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[47] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[48] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[50] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[51] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[52] | Safe R | October 21, 2024 |
Results
By county
County | Paul Gosar Republican |
Quacy Smith Democratic |
Margin | Total | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | ||
La Paz | 5,260 | 71.81% | 2,065 | 28.19% | 3,195 | 43.61% | 7,325 |
Maricopa | 137,529 | 58.617% | 97,093 | 40.383% | 40,436 | 12.234% | 234,622 |
Mohave | 82,372 | 78.174% | 22,998 | 21.826% | 59,374 | 56.348% | 105,370 |
Yuma | 24,422 | 69.97% | 10,484 | 30.03% | 13,938 | 39.93% | 34,906 |
Totals | 249,583 | 65.30% | 132,640 | 34.70% | 116,943 | 30.60% | 382,223 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Gosar | 249,583 | 65.3 | ||
Democratic | Quacy Smith | 132,640 | 34.7 | ||
Total votes | 382,223 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
Notes
Summarize
Perspective
- This district was numbered as the 6th district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle.
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by U.S. Term Limits
- Poll sponsored by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
References
External links
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