2022 Arizona Attorney General election

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2022 Arizona Attorney General election

The 2022 Arizona Attorney General election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next attorney general of Arizona concurrently with other federal and state elections. Incumbent Republican attorney general Mark Brnovich was term-limited and could not seek a third term in office.[1] With a margin of 0.01%, Democrat Kris Mayes defeated Republican Abe Hamadeh in one of the closest elections in Arizona history, and the closest attorney general race of the 2022 election cycle. The race is also believed to be the only election directly affected by the deaths of anti-vaccine advocates from COVID-19.[2]

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
2022 Arizona Attorney General election

 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 
  Thumb Thumb
Nominee Kris Mayes Abraham Hamadeh
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,254,809 1,254,529
Percentage 49.94% 49.93%

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Mayes:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Hamadeh:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No votes

Attorney General before election

Mark Brnovich
Republican

Elected Attorney General

Kris Mayes
Democratic

Close

On November 21, the final tally of votes initially left Mayes leading Hamadeh by just 510 votes out of more than 2.5 million cast. This triggered an automatic recount under Arizona law; the recount was completed on December 29 with Mayes winning by an even slimmer 280 vote margin and just 0.01%, making it the closest statewide election in any state in 2022. The results were certified by the Secretary of State and the election process completed on December 29.[3][4] Hamadeh filed a lawsuit to block certification of the election, but state courts rejected it as election challenges could only be filed after certification.[5] Mayes became the first Democrat to win this office since Terry Goddard in 2006.

Hamadeh was later elected to the U.S. House in 2024.

Republican primary

Summarize
Perspective

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Rodney Glassman

U.S. Representatives

Andrew Gould

Statewide officials

Abraham Hamadeh

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

  • Veterans for Trump [18]
Tiffany Shedd

Organizations

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Lacy
Cooper
Rodney
Glassman
Andy
Gould
Dawn
Grove
Abe
Hamadeh
Tiffany
Shedd
Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports[20] July 27–28, 2022 710 (LV) ± 4.0% 4% 21% 12% 6% 26% 4% 6% 20%
OH Predictive Insights[21] July 27, 2022 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 2% 16% 7% 5% 31% 4% 35%
KAConsulting LLC (R)[22] July 11–12, 2022 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 2% 6% 5% 10% 17% 3% 57%
OH Predictive Insights[23] June 30 – July 2, 2022 515 (LV) ± 4.3% 3% 6% 6% 5% 7% 4% 68%
Cygnal (R)[24][A] June 9–10, 2022 – (LV) 1% 4% 6% 4% 10% 5% 72%
OH Predictive Insights[25] April 4–5, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 3% 4% 76%
Close

Results

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Republican primary results by county
  Hamadeh
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Glassman
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Gould
  •   30-40%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[26]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Abraham Hamadeh 265,636 33.56%
Republican Rodney Glassman 186,863 23.60%
Republican Andrew Gould 132,253 16.71%
Republican Dawn Grove 94,670 11.96%
Republican Lacy Cooper 67,742 8.56%
Republican Tiffany Shedd 44,453 5.61%
Total votes 791,617 100.0%
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[26]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kris Mayes 556,351 100.0%
Total votes 556,351 100.0%
Close

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Libertarian primary results [26]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Michael Kielsky (write-in) 571 100.0%
Total votes 571 100.0%
Close

General election

Summarize
Perspective

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Tossup November 3, 2022
Elections Daily[35] Leans R November 1, 2022
Close
Thumb
A yard sign supporting Mayes in Tucson

Post-primary endorsements

Kris Mayes (D)

Polling

Graphical summary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Abraham
Hamadeh (R)
Kristin
Mayes (D)
Other Undecided
Data Orbital (R)[40] November 4–6, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 45% 1%[b] 5%
KAConsulting (R)[41][B] November 2–3, 2022 501 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 39% 10%
Big Data Poll (R)[42] October 31 – November 3, 2022 1,051 (LV) ± 5.0% 49% 46% 6%
HighGround Inc.[43] November 1–2, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 42% 1%[c] 13%
OH Predictive Insights[44] October 24–26, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 45% 12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[45][C] October 14–18, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 45% 4%[d] 10%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[46][A] October 10–16, 2022 1,084 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 43% 10%
HighGround Inc.[47] October 12–13, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 38% 2%[e] 17%
Big Data Poll (R)[48] October 2–5, 2022 974 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 42% 12%
Global Strategy Group (D)[49][D] September 13–20, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 45% 10%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[50] September 14–17, 2022 1,080 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 41% 9%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
January
Contreras (D)
Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[51][E] September 15–22, 2020 481 (LV) ± 4.4% 40% 39% 22%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Certified results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2022 Arizona Attorney General election[52]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Kris Mayes 1,254,613 50.00% +1.74%
Republican Abraham Hamadeh 1,254,102 49.98% −1.74%
Libertarian Samantha Severson (write-in) 418 0.02% N/A
Total votes 2,509,133 100.0%
Close

Recount

On December 5, 2022, following election certification, Secretary of State Katie Hobbs petitioned the Maricopa County Superior Court to initiate a recount for the Attorney General election.[53][54] On the same day, Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Timothy J. Thomason ordered for the recount to begin.[55] Under Arizona state law, an automatic recount is triggered if the margin is ≤0.5%.[56] In the Attorney General race, Democrat Kris Mayes led Republican Abraham Hamadeh by 511 votes, a margin of 0.02%, which fell within the automatic recount threshold.[52]

As of December 28, all counties had completed their recount tabulations, and audited and sent their final results to the Arizona Secretary of State's office. The office was to compile and provide the results to the Maricopa County Superior Court, which may be released upon the court's certification. This hearing was scheduled for the 21st; however, the office motioned the court on that day to reschedule it to the 29th at 10 a.m. (only four days prior to the inauguration of the winner) due to the delays in Pinal County.[57][58][59]

On December 29, Judge Timothy Thomason announced the results of the recount, confirming Kris Mayes as the winner with a reduced margin of 280 votes.[60]

Recount results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2022 Arizona Attorney General election[61]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Kris Mayes 1,254,809 49.94% +1.68%
Republican Abraham Hamadeh 1,254,529 49.93% −1.80%
Write-in 3,052 0.12% +0.11%
Total votes 2,512,390 100.0%
Democratic gain from Republican
Close
By county
More information Kris Mayes Democratic, Abraham Hamadeh Republican ...
[52][61] Kris Mayes
Democratic
Abraham Hamadeh
Republican
County Certified votes Recount votes Change Certified votes Recount votes Change
Apache17,87117,930+598,4818,494+13
Cochise18,48118,480-127,66427,664Steady
Coconino34,04334,043Steady19,70019,700Steady
Gila7,7277,727Steady14,53814,538Steady
Graham3,0843,085+17,6407,640Steady
Greenlee938938Steady1,4621,462Steady
La Paz1,6481,653+53,7753,788+13
Maricopa766,869766,874+5740,960740,965+5
Mohave19,58319,585+260,59260,593+1
Navajo18,11918,129+1021,74821,747-1
Pima236,264236,264Steady157,350157,348-2
Pinal58,95359,068+11582,72483,116+392
Santa Cruz8,7238,721-24,2824,283+1
Yavapai42,81042,813+377,48177,487+6
Yuma19,50019,499-125,70525,704-1
Close
By congressional district

Mayes won 5 out of 9 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.[62]

More information District, Mayes ...
Close

Lawsuit over result

Hamadeh filed a lawsuit regarding the result of the election. On December 20, judge Lee Jantzen of Mohave County Superior Court denied Kris Mayes' and Secretary of State Katie Hobbs' motion to dismiss and stated that Hamadeh "is not alleging political motives or fraud or personal agendas being pushed", but "is simply alleging misconduct by mistake, or omission by election officials, led to erroneous count of votes and which if true could have led to an uncertain result." Jantzen added that honest mistakes by officials could not be used to overturn an election. Kris Mayes' attorney repeatedly stated that the evidence brought forward by Hamadeh was not large enough to ever be accepted by the strict standards of election law.[63][64] Jantzen dismissed one count of the lawsuit, alleging that unverified early ballots were illegal votes.[63]

This allowed for Hamadeh's lawsuit to proceed to an evidentiary hearing, which was held on December 23, lasting for three hours, with the result being that Judge Jantzen, ruling from the bench, denied Hamadeh's election challenge.[65][66][67] Jantzen told Hamadeh's lawyer "you just haven't proven your case", with an absence of "even slight information" that "the election was done illegally or incorrectly." Jantzen declined to accept Hamadeh's lawyer's request to shift the vote margin as not being in the court's purview.[68] Hamadeh's lawyer acknowledged to the court that his findings were insufficient. Mayes' attorney stated he would request the court to sanction him over the frivolous nature of the lawsuit, stating that in 37 years of practice he had "never been involved in such a gigantic waste of time as this case".[69]

Hamadeh filed another lawsuit regarding the election result on January 4, 2023, after Mayes had already been sworn in as attorney general; the new lawsuit cited that the "recount results identified significant, material discrepancies" which were not known to the court during the previous lawsuit.[70] Judge Jantzen rejected this lawsuit in July 2023, writing that election laws "preclude issuing a new trial with extended discovery", and finding that there was no new evidence that could not have been previously produced at the original trial.[71] Hamadeh requested that the Arizona Supreme Court intervene in the lawsuit, but the Arizona Supreme Court responded that Hamadeh should follow the normal process to appeal to the Court of Appeals first, while further sanctioning Hamadeh and his legal team for having "misrepresented to this court that they had sought [a final judgment] when they had not done so".[72] The Arizona Supreme Court sanction involved Hamadeh being ordered to pay over $55,000 for Mayes and Arizona Secretary of State Adrian Fontes' legal fees.[73]

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Refused" with 1%
  3. "Some other candidate" with 1%
  4. Severson (L/WI) with 4%; "Refused" with <1%
  5. "Some other candidate" with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. This poll was sponsored by Hamadeh's campaign
  2. Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.
  3. Poll conducted for The Federalist, a conservative online magazine.
  4. This poll was sponsored by End Citizens United and Let America Vote, who support Mayes
  5. Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

See also

References

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