2014 Ontario general election

The 2014 Ontario general election was held on June 12, 2014, to elect the members of the 41st Parliament of Ontario. The Liberal Party won a majority of seats in the legislature, allowing its leader, Kathleen Wynne, to continue as premier, moving from a minority to majority government. This was the Liberals' fourth consecutive win since 2003 and an improvement from their performance in the 2011 election.^[2] The Progressive Conservatives under Tim Hudak were returned to the official opposition; following the election loss, Hudak announced his resignation as Progressive Conservative leader.^[3] The New Democratic Party under Andrea Horwath remained in third place, albeit with an improved share of the popular vote.

2014 Ontario general election

← 2011 June 12, 2014 (2014-6-12) 2018 →
← outgoing members elected members →
107 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario 54 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout	51.3% (3.1pp)[1]
First party Second party Third party   Leader Kathleen Wynne Tim Hudak Andrea Horwath Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic Leader since January 26, 2013 June 27, 2009 March 7, 2009 Leader's seat Don Valley West Niagara West—Glanbrook Hamilton Centre Last election 53 seats, 37.65% 37 seats, 35.45% 17 seats, 22.74% Seats before 48 37 21 Seats won 58 28 21 Seat change 10 9 Popular vote 1,863,974 1,505,436 1,144,822 Percentage 38.67% 31.23% 23.75% Swing 1.02pp 4.22pp 1.01pp
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom.
Premier before election Kathleen Wynne Liberal Premier after election Kathleen Wynne Liberal

The election was called on May 2, 2014, by Lieutenant Governor David Onley,^[4] upon the recommendation of Wynne following the announcement that the NDP, whose support was critical to the survival of the Liberals' minority government in the Legislative Assembly, would vote against the Liberals' proposed budget.^[5]

With the election, Wynne became the first woman and the first openly gay person to lead a party to a majority victory in an Ontario general election.^[6][7]

Timeline (2011–2014)

Seat changes

40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario - Movement in seats held from 2011 to 2014

Party		2011	Gain/(loss) due to			2014
			Resignation	Byelection hold	Byelection gain
	Liberal	53	(8)	3		48
	Progressive Conservative	37	(2)	1	1	37
	New Democratic	17			4	21
	Vacant	–	1			1
Total		107	(9)	4	5	107

Changes in seats held (2011–2014)

Seat	Before				Change
	Date	Member	Party	Reason	Date	Member	Party
Kitchener—Waterloo	April 27, 2012	Elizabeth Witmer	█ PC	Resignation[a 1]	September 6, 2012	Catherine Fife	█ New Democratic
Vaughan	August 1, 2012	Greg Sorbara	█ Liberal	Resignation[a 2]	September 6, 2012	Steven Del Duca	█ Liberal
London West	February 14, 2013[8]	Chris Bentley	█ Liberal	Resignation[a 3]	August 1, 2013[9]	Peggy Sattler	█ New Democratic
Windsor—Tecumseh	February 14, 2013	Dwight Duncan	█ Liberal	Resignation[a 4]	August 1, 2013	Percy Hatfield	█ New Democratic
Ottawa South	June 12, 2013[10]	Dalton McGuinty	█ Liberal	Resignation	August 1, 2013	John Fraser	█ Liberal
Scarborough—Guildwood	June 27, 2013[11]	Margarett Best	█ Liberal	Resignation	August 1, 2013	Mitzie Hunter	█ Liberal
Etobicoke—Lakeshore	July 2, 2013[12]	Laurel Broten	█ Liberal	Resignation[a 5]	August 1, 2013	Doug Holyday	█ PC
Niagara Falls	September 24, 2013[13]	Kim Craitor	█ Liberal	Resignation	February 13, 2014[14]	Wayne Gates	█ New Democratic
Thornhill	December 31, 2013[15]	Peter Shurman	█ PC	Resignation	February 13, 2014	Gila Martow	█ PC
Brampton—Springdale	March 25, 2014[16]	Linda Jeffrey	█ Liberal	Resignation[a 6]			█ Vacant

1. after being appointed chair of the Workplace Safety & Insurance Board
2. former Chair of the Management Board of Cabinet and Minister of Finance
3. also from the positions of Minister of Aboriginal Affairs and Minister of Energy
4. also from the positions of Minister of Finance and Minister of Government Services
5. also from her position as Minister of Intergovernmental Affairs
6. resigning from the positions of Chair of Cabinet and Minister of Municipal Affairs and Housing, to run for Mayor of Brampton

Other developments

Date	Event
October 6, 2011	Election held for members of the Ontario Legislature in the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario.
November 22, 2011	The 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario opens with a Speech from the throne.[17]
March 28, 2012	Dwight Duncan presents the Government's first minority budget, requiring support from at least one of the other two parties to ensure passage and avoid an early election.
April 10, 2012	NDP Leader Andrea Horwath makes several demands to be met in exchange for her party to support the Liberal budget, which support is necessary for the approval of the budget following Tim Hudak's outright rejection of it.[18]
June 15, 2012	Premier Dalton McGuinty states he will drop the writ if his budget is not passed.[19]
June 20, 2012	The budget bill is passed, after the NDP agrees to abstain, avoiding a summer election.[20]
October 15, 2012	Dalton McGuinty announces his resignation as Premier of Ontario and as Leader of the Ontario Liberal Party.[21]
January 26, 2013	Kathleen Wynne is elected Leader of the Ontario Liberal Party.[22]
February 11, 2013	Wynne is sworn in as Premier, and a new cabinet is sworn in.[23]
February 20, 2013	Wynne resumes the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario with a Speech of the Throne.
May 1, 2014	Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak announces that his caucus will be voting against the Liberals' budget, proposed earlier that day.
May 2, 2014	NDP leader Andrea Horwath announces that the NDP will be voting against the Liberals' proposed budget, triggering a spring election.[5] Following this, Premier Wynne formally asks Lieutenant Governor David Onley to dissolve the legislature and call an election for June 12, 2014.[24]
June 12, 2014	The Liberal Party wins a majority, claiming 58 ridings in the Ontario election.[25] Tim Hudak announced that he is stepping down from his leadership of the PC party.[26]
June 14, 2014	A judicial recount has been requested in the riding of Thornhill.[27]
June 24, 2014	A judge confirms results in Thornhill are in favour of the Progressive Conservatives.[28]

Campaign

Contests

Candidate contests in the ridings

Candidates nominated	Ridings	Party
		Lib	PC	NDP	Green	Ltn	Free	Ind	Comm	Oth[a 1]	Totals
4	14	14	14	14	14						56
5	37	37	37	37	37	24	7	1	1	4	185
6	33	33	33	33	33	28	18	7	3	10	198
7	14	14	14	14	14	13	8	3	3	15	98
8	6	6	6	6	6	5	6	2	1	10	48
9	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	9
10	1	1	1	1	1	1	1		1	3	10
11	1	1	1	1	1	1	1		1	4	11
Total	107	107	107	107	107	73	42	14	11	47	615

1. Minor political parties fielding fewer than ten candidates are aggregated together.

Incumbents not running for reelection

Electoral district	Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee			New MPP
Durham		John O'Toole[29]	Mike Patrick		Granville Anderson
Etobicoke Centre		Donna Cansfield[30]	Yvan Baker		Yvan Baker
Kingston and the Islands		John Gerretsen[31]	Sophie Kiwala		Sophie Kiwala
Kitchener Centre		John Milloy[32]	Daiene Vernile		Daiene Vernile
Newmarket—Aurora		Frank Klees[33][34]	Jane Twinney		Chris Ballard
Ottawa—Orléans		Phil McNeely[35]	Marie-France Lalonde		Marie-France Lalonde
Sudbury		Rick Bartolucci[36]	Andrew Olivier		Joe Cimino

Results

↓
58	28	21
Liberal	PC	NDP

Summary of the standings of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario

Party		Party leader	Candidates	Seats				Popular vote[37][38]
				2011	Dissol.	2014	Change	#	%	Change
	Liberal	Kathleen Wynne	107	53	48	58	5	1,863,974	38.67%	1.02%
	Progressive Conservative	Tim Hudak	107	37	37	28	9	1,505,436	31.23%	4.22%
	New Democratic	Andrea Horwath	107	17	21	21	4	1,144,822	23.75%	1.01%
	Green	Mike Schreiner	107	–	–	–	–	235,911	4.89%	1.97%
	Libertarian	Allen Small	74	–	–	–	–	37,696	0.78%	0.33%
	Freedom	Paul McKeever	42	–	–	–	–	12,381	0.26%	0.05%
	Family Coalition	Eric Ames (interim)	6	–	–	–	–	4,288	0.09%	0.13%
	None of the Above	Greg Vezina	8	–	–	–	–	4,247	0.09%	–
	Independent		14	–	–	–	–	3,854	0.08%	–
	Communist	Elizabeth Rowley	11	–	–	–	–	2,290	0.05%	0.02%
	Canadians' Choice	Bahman Yazdanfar	4	–	–	–	–	1,293	0.03%	0.03%
	Vegan Environmental	Paul Figueiras	5	–	–	–	–	907	0.02%	0.01%
	People's Political Party	Kevin Clarke	5	–	–	–	–	894	0.02%	0.01%
	Northern Ontario Heritage	Edward Deibel	3	–	–	–	–	892	0.02%	–
	Special Needs	Danish Ahmed	3	–	–	–	–	709	0.01%	0.01%
	Confederation of Regions	vacant	2	–	–	–	–	551	0.01%	–
	Trillium	Bob Yaciuk	2	–	–	–	–	397	0.01%	–
	Equal Parenting	Dennis Valenta	2	–	–	–	–	366	0.01%	–
	Socialist	Michael Laxer	2	–	–	–	–	361	0.01%	–
	Moderate	Yuri Duboisky	2	–	–	–	–	335	0.01%	–
	Pauper	John Turmel	3	–	–	–	–	194	–	–
	Declined Vote[39]							31,399	0.64%	+0.59%
	Vacant				1
Total			616	107	107	107		4,820,547

Party		Votes			Seats
	Liberal	1,863,974	38.67%	1.02%	58 / 107 (54%)
	Progressive Conservative	1,505,436	31.23%	4.22%	28 / 107 (26%)
	New Democratic	1,144,822	23.75%	1.01%	21 / 107 (20%)
	Green	235,911	4.89%	1.97%	0 / 107 (0%)
	Libertarian	37,696	0.78%	0.33%	0 / 107 (0%)

Popular vote Liberal   38.67% PC   31.23% New Democratic   23.75% Green   4.89% Others   1.46%

Seats summary Liberal   54.21% PC   26.17% New Democratic   19.63%

Synopsis of results

Main article: Results of the 2014 Ontario general election by riding

Results by riding - 2014 Ontario general election^{[a 1]}

Riding	2011		Winning party						Turnout [a 2]	Votes[a 3]
			Party		Votes	Share	Margin #	Margin %		Lib	PC	NDP	Green	Ind	Other	Total
Ajax—Pickering		Lib		Lib	26,257	51.06%	11,258	21.89%	50.18%	26,257	14,999	8,274	1,589	–	301	51,420
Algoma—Manitoulin		NDP		NDP	14,171	53.41%	7,667	28.90%	49.38%	6,504	4,589	14,171	828	–	441	26,533
Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale		Lib		Lib	24,042	44.56%	5,790	10.73%	59.02%	24,042	18,252	8,415	2,639	–	611	53,959
Barrie		PC		Lib	19,916	40.69%	2,249	4.60%	49.18%	19,916	17,667	7,975	3,018	–	366	48,942
Beaches—East York		NDP		Lib	17,218	40.09%	481	1.12%	56.14%	17,218	5,982	16,737	2,329	–	682	42,948
Bramalea—Gore—Malton		NDP		NDP	23,519	44.32%	5,646	10.64%	45.03%	17,873	9,403	23,519	2,277	–	–	53,072
Brampton—Springdale		Lib		Lib	16,927	40.06%	3,414	8.08%	45.34%	16,927	10,117	13,513	1,311	–	382	42,250
Brampton West		Lib		Lib	24,832	45.23%	11,469	20.89%	42.50%	24,832	13,363	12,985	1,504	–	2,418	54,902
Brant		Lib		Lib	19,396	37.63%	3,949	7.66%	52.51%	19,396	15,447	13,992	2,095	–	614	51,544
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound		PC		PC	20,359	47.55%	8,773	20.49%	53.93%	11,586	20,359	6,787	3,696	–	388	42,816
Burlington		PC		Lib	23,573	43.41%	3,487	6.42%	57.73%	23,573	20,086	7,792	2,250	–	608	54,309
Cambridge		PC		Lib	18,763	38.93%	3,069	6.37%	48.95%	18,763	15,694	10,413	2,726	–	605	48,201
Carleton—Mississippi Mills		PC		PC	30,590	47.49%	10,118	15.71%	56.08%	20,472	30,590	8,744	4,614	–	–	64,420
Chatham-Kent—Essex		PC		PC	14,183	37.83%	2,519	6.72%	51.33%	9,158	14,183	11,664	1,971	–	514	37,490
Davenport		NDP		Lib	16,272	45.61%	1,950	5.47%	49.56%	16,272	2,665	14,322	1,784	–	631	35,674
Don Valley East		Lib		Lib	19,248	55.71%	9,991	28.92%	47.85%	19,248	9,257	4,500	1,256	–	287	34,548
Don Valley West		Lib		Lib	26,215	57.01%	12,133	26.39%	53.90%	26,215	14,082	3,569	1,286	138	690	45,980
Dufferin—Caledon		PC		PC	18,017	39.86%	4,156	9.19%	51.48%	13,861	18,017	5,269	7,518	–	538	45,203
Durham		PC		Lib	19,816	36.45%	1,176	2.16%	55.71%	19,816	18,640	13,094	2,382	–	434	54,366
Eglinton—Lawrence		Lib		Lib	22,855	54.80%	8.776	21.04%	53.99%	22,855	14,079	3,060	1,305	143	264	41,706
Elgin—Middlesex—London		PC		PC	20,946	46.36%	8,912	19.72%	53.98%	9,183	20,946	12,034	2,236	–	784	45,183
Essex		NDP		NDP	28,118	60.34%	17,949	38.52%	50.20%	6,628	10,169	28,118	1,685	–	–	46,600
Etobicoke Centre		Lib		Lib	23,848	50.28%	8,328	17.56%	56.47%	23,848	15,520	5,758	1,254	–	1,052	47,432
Etobicoke—Lakeshore		Lib		Lib	24,311	47.49%	6,724	13.13%	53.73%	24,311	17,587	6,362	2,064	–	869	51,193
Etobicoke North		Lib		Lib	12,168	44.90%	5,065	18.69%	42.71%	12,168	6,163	7,103	677	–	987	27,098
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell		Lib		Lib	23,565	49.74%	8,136	17.17%	53.36%	23,565	15,429	5,902	1,528	296	655	47,375
Guelph		Lib		Lib	22,014	41.52%	10,966	20.68%	55.47%	22,014	11,048	9,385	10,230	–	348	53,025
Haldimand—Norfolk		PC		PC	22,066	52.22%	12,280	29.06%	53.97%	8,331	22,066	9,786	2,071	–	–	42,254
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock		PC		PC	21,641	40.96%	3,129	5.92%	55.98%	18,512	21,641	10,431	2,255	–	–	52,839
Halton		PC		Lib	33,724	44.79%	5,787	7.69%	50.90%	33,724	27,937	9,758	2,618	–	1,262	75,299
Hamilton Centre		NDP		NDP	18,697	52.01%	10,247	28.50%	44.76%	8,450	5,173	18,697	3,067	–	563	35,950
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek		NDP		NDP	19,958	46.81%	7,525	17.65%	48.84%	12,433	7,574	19,958	1,742	–	930	42,637
Hamilton Mountain		NDP		NDP	23,006	46.90%	8,498	17.32%	52.85%	14,508	8,795	23,006	2,047	–	699	49,055
Huron—Bruce		PC		PC	18,512	39.01%	3,865	8.14%	59.96%	14,647	18,512	10,843	1,651	–	1,804	47,457
Kenora—Rainy River		NDP		NDP	12,889	55.66%	6,984	30.16%	46.72%	3,652	5,905	12,889	711	–	–	23,157
Kingston and the Islands		Lib		Lib	20,838	41.59%	6,027	12.03%	52.14%	20,838	10,652	14,811	3,566	–	242	50,109
Kitchener Centre		Lib		Lib	18,472	43.14%	6,922	16.17%	52.28%	18,472	11,550	9,765	2,472	–	557	42,816
Kitchener—Conestoga		PC		PC	17,083	36.36%	1,419	3.02%	50.33%	15,664	17,083	9,958	3,277	–	1,001	46,983
Kitchener—Waterloo		PC		NDP	20,536	37.43%	4,002	7.29%	54.95%	16,534	14,450	20,536	2,859	–	481	54,860
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex		PC		PC	20,710	45.17%	8,550	18.65%	56.93%	9,298	20,710	12,160	2,104	–	1,575	45,847
Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington		PC		PC	21,966	43.52%	6,929	13.73%	53.95%	15,037	21,966	10,184	3,283	–	–	50,470
Leeds—Grenville		PC		PC	23,253	56.07%	14,754	35.58%	52.86%	8,499	23,253	7,219	2,030	–	471	41,472
London—Fanshawe		NDP		NDP	17,903	50.42%	9,707	27.34%	46.42%	7,066	8,196	17,903	1,378	112	853	35,508
London North Centre		Lib		Lib	16,379	35.98%	2,526	5.55%	50.21%	16,379	12,016	13,853	2,445	–	824	45,517
London West		Lib		NDP	22,243	40.36%	5,948	10.79%	56.03%	13,070	16,295	22,243	2,310	–	1,188	55,106
Markham—Unionville		Lib		Lib	21,517	51.33%	7,276	17.36%	44.54%	21,517	14,241	4,205	1,509	–	444	41,916
Mississauga—Brampton South		Lib		Lib	19,923	48.21%	8,672	20.99%	41.48%	19,923	11,251	6,906	1,302	351	1,590	41,323
Mississauga East—Cooksville		Lib		Lib	20,934	52.33%	10,455	26.14%	43.89%	20,934	10,479	6,158	1,408	–	1,022	40,001
Mississauga—Erindale		Lib		Lib	25,356	48.98%	9,882	19.09%	46.90%	25,356	15,474	7,730	1,216	–	1,988	51,764
Mississauga South		Lib		Lib	22,192	50.76%	7,678	17.56%	53.55%	22,192	14,514	4,649	1,418	–	946	43,719
Mississauga—Streetsville		Lib		Lib	22,587	52.57%	10,527	24.50%	46.76%	22,587	12,060	5,885	1,566	–	866	42,964
Nepean—Carleton		PC		PC	30,901	46.77%	8,927	13.51%	55.39%	21,974	30,901	8,628	3,630	–	940	66,073
Newmarket—Aurora		PC		Lib	22,997	43.94%	3,412	6.52%	53.40%	22,997	19,585	6,023	2,144	–	1,584	52,333
Niagara Falls		Lib		NDP	24,131	47.39%	7,429	14.59%	51.21%	7,329	16,702	24,131	1,724	–	1,037	50,923
Niagara West—Glanbrook		PC		PC	23,378	41.82%	7,535	13.48%	58.59%	15,843	23,378	12,423	3,004	–	1,254	55,902
Nickel Belt		NDP		NDP	20,104	62.62%	13,073	40.72%	50.00%	7,031	3,827	20,104	1,145	–	–	32,107
Nipissing		PC		PC	13,085	41.81%	4,703	15.03%	52.49%	8,382	13,085	8,057	1,188	208	377	31,297
Northumberland—Quinte West		PC		Lib	23,419	42.97%	3,836	7.04%	55.81%	23,419	19,583	9,211	2,283	–	–	54,496
Oak Ridges—Markham		Lib		Lib	36,782	45.55%	6,526	8.08%	46.21%	36,782	30,256	9,355	2,791	–	1,571	80,755
Oakville		Lib		Lib	24,717	49.40%	5,796	11.58%	56.13%	24,717	18,921	3,994	1,887	–	518	50,037
Oshawa		PC		NDP	22,232	46.70%	7,692	16.16%	50.19%	9,051	14,540	22,232	1,785	–	–	47,608
Ottawa Centre		Lib		Lib	27,689	52.02%	16,795	31.55%	56.85%	27,689	9,678	10,894	4,163	–	808	53,232
Ottawa—Orléans		Lib		Lib	29,911	53.50%	11,386	20.37%	59.33%	29,911	18,525	5,022	2,036	–	411	55,905
Ottawa South		Lib		Lib	23,708	49.96%	8,473	17.86%	53.71%	23,708	15,235	5,817	2,034	–	656	47,450
Ottawa—Vanier		Lib		Lib	21,810	55.55%	13,060	33.26%	48.86%	21,810	8,750	5,228	3,144	–	329	39,261
Ottawa West—Nepean		Lib		Lib	21,035	44.84%	5,140	10.96%	55.95%	21,035	15,895	6,760	2,899	–	318	46,907
Oxford		PC		PC	18,958	46.24%	8,385	20.45%	51.92%	8,736	18,958	10,573	1,985	–	749	41,001
Parkdale—High Park		NDP		NDP	18,385	40.77%	544	1.21%	56.88%	17,841	5,787	18,385	2,479	–	601	45,093
Parry Sound—Muskoka		PC		PC	15,761	40.73%	5,603	14.48%	52.11%	10,158	15,761	4,999	7,484	–	296	38,698
Perth—Wellington		PC		PC	15,992	38.96%	2,407	5.86%	55.66%	13,585	15,992	7,764	2,005	343	1,359	41,048
Peterborough		Lib		Lib	24,709	46.33%	8,802	16.50%	57.30%	24,709	15,907	9,728	2,287	395	305	53,331
Pickering—Scarborough East		Lib		Lib	23,206	51.96%	10,568	23.66%	54.77%	23,206	12,638	6,600	1,564	–	654	44,662
Prince Edward—Hastings		PC		PC	19,281	41.72%	4,176	9.04%	51.61%	15,105	19,281	8,829	2,448	–	555	46,218
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke		PC		PC	25,241	61.07%	17,344	41.96%	54.32%	7,897	25,241	5,978	1,337	392	489	41,334
Richmond Hill		Lib		Lib	20,455	47.78%	4,813	11.24%	45.69%	20,455	15,642	4,697	1,344	–	670	42,808
St. Catharines		Lib		Lib	19,070	41.00%	5,256	11.30%	54.80%	19,070	13,814	11,350	1,792	–	488	46,514
St. Paul's		Lib		Lib	30,027	59.74%	17,990	35.79%	57.11%	30,027	12,037	5,056	2,569	–	572	50,261
Sarnia—Lambton		PC		PC	18,722	41.01%	2,395	5.25%	57.35%	8,152	18,722	16,327	2,109	–	340	45,650
Sault Ste. Marie		Lib		Lib	17,490	58.53%	9,880	33.06%	50.77%	17,490	3,704	7,610	965	–	115	29,884
Scarborough—Agincourt		Lib		Lib	17,332	49.84%	5,291	15.22%	46.04%	17,332	12,041	4,105	907	–	387	34,772
Scarborough Centre		Lib		Lib	19,390	55.05%	11,791	33.48%	48.09%	19,390	7,599	7,145	1,086	–	–	35,220
Scarborough—Guildwood		Lib		Lib	17,318	49.89%	7,597	21.89%	49.24%	17,318	9,721	5,894	1,034	–	744	34,711
Scarborough—Rouge River		Lib		Lib	16,095	38.71%	3,076	7.40%	47.48%	16,095	11,500	13,019	571	–	398	41,583
Scarborough Southwest		Lib		Lib	18,420	50.23%	9,746	26.58%	49.91%	18,420	7,573	8,674	1,493	185	328	36,673
Simcoe—Grey		PC		PC	25,988	47.12%	8,789	15.94%	52.00%	17,199	25,988	7,793	4,172	–	–	55,152
Simcoe North		PC		PC	22,179	43.96%	5,766	11.43%	53.33%	16,413	22,179	7,846	4,013	–	–	50,451
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry		PC		PC	20,624	51.72%	11,374	28.52%	52.02%	9,250	20,624	8,336	1,067	–	602	39,879
Sudbury		Lib		NDP	14,274	42.24%	978	2.89%	51.92%	13,296	4,663	14,274	1,212	105	243	33,793
Thornhill		PC		PC	21,886	43.99%	106	0.21%	47.83%	21,780	21,886	4,052	1,229	–	804	49,751
Thunder Bay—Atikokan		Lib		Lib	15,176	52.98%	7,124	24.87%	49.02%	15,176	3,779	8,052	964	–	676	28,647
Thunder Bay—Superior North		Lib		Lib	15,519	55.97%	7,350	26.51%	50.41%	15,519	1,991	8,169	997	–	1,049	27,725
Timiskaming—Cochrane		NDP		NDP	14,661	55.48%	8,527	32.27%	50.68%	6,134	4,527	14,661	489	–	615	26,426
Timmins—James Bay		NDP		NDP	11,756	51.18%	6,229	27.12%	45.15%	5,527	5,226	11,756	403	–	60	22,972
Toronto Centre		Lib		Lib	29,935	58.47%	20,437	39.92%	50.86%	29,935	9,498	8,140	2,265	–	1,357	51,195
Toronto—Danforth		NDP		NDP	19,190	44.61%	3,207	7.46%	55.30%	15,983	4,304	19,190	2,351	–	1,189	43,017
Trinity—Spadina		NDP		Lib	26,613	46.34%	9,171	15.97%	49.33%	26,613	8,035	17,442	4,033	–	1,311	57,434
Vaughan		Lib		Lib	33,877	56.21%	16,898	28.04%	44.68%	33,877	16,979	6,942	1,350	–	1,121	60,269
Welland		NDP		NDP	21,326	46.71%	8,393	18.38%	53.20%	9,060	12,933	21,326	1,874	–	460	45,653
Wellington—Halton Hills		PC		PC	22,450	46.61%	8,330	17.29%	55.61%	14,120	22,450	6,804	3,550	–	1,241	48,165
Whitby—Oshawa		PC		PC	24,027	40.65%	5,410	9.15%	54.35%	18,617	24,027	13,621	2,523	–	322	59,110
Willowdale		Lib		Lib	24,300	52.58%	8,832	19.11%	46.88%	24,300	15,468	4,693	1,758	–	–	46,219
Windsor—Tecumseh		Lib		NDP	22,818	62.16%	17,219	46.91%	42.77%	5,599	2,118	22,818	5,493	–	682	36,710
Windsor West		Lib		NDP	15,043	41.41%	1,042	2.87%	42.71%	14,001	5,225	15,043	1,171	891	–	36,331
York Centre		Lib		Lib	16,935	47.89%	5,810	16.43%	46.74%	16,935	11,125	5,645	1,163	–	493	35,361
York—Simcoe		PC		PC	19,025	40.40%	2,749	5.84%	47.53%	16,276	19,025	8,420	2,946	–	419	47,086
York South—Weston		Lib		Lib	15,669	47.85%	3,469	10.59%	46.13%	15,669	3,687	12,200	797	146	249	32,748
York West		Lib		Lib	11,907	46.71%	1,910	7.49%	42.24%	11,907	2,794	9,997	418	111	267	25,494

  = open seat

  = turnout is above provincial average

  = incumbent re-elected

  = incumbency arose from byelection gain

1. "2014 General Election". elections.on.ca. Elections Ontario. Retrieved June 18, 2023.
2. including spoilt ballots
3. minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately

Comparative analysis for ridings (2014 vs 2011)

Summary of riding results by turnout and vote share for winning candidate (comparison vs 2011)^[40]

Riding and winning party				Turnout				Vote share
				%	Change (pp)			%	Change (pp)
Ajax—Pickering		Lib	Hold	50.18	5.34		5.34	51.06	3.73		3.73
Algoma—Manitoulin		NDP	Hold	49.38	-0.05			53.41	8.89		8.89
Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale		Lib	Hold	59.02	2.57		2.57	44.56	0.86		0.86
Barrie		Lib	Gain	49.18	3.18		3.18	40.69	5.88		5.88
Beaches—East York		Lib	Gain	56.14	4.50		4.5	40.09	4.01		4.01
Bramalea—Gore—Malton		NDP	Hold	45.03	4.32		4.32	44.32	6.16		6.16
Brampton—Springdale		Lib	Hold	45.34	4.80		4.8	40.06	-4.36
Brampton West		Lib	Hold	42.50	4.21		4.21	45.23	1.47		1.47
Brant		Lib	Hold	52.51	4.29		4.29	37.63	0.55		0.55
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound		PC	Hold	53.93	-0.77			47.55	0.18		0.18
Burlington		Lib	Gain	57.73	2.90		2.9	43.41	7.33		7.33
Cambridge		Lib	Gain	48.95	2.91		2.91	38.93	5.85		5.85
Carleton—Mississippi Mills		PC	Hold	56.08	2.59		2.59	47.49	-2.80
Chatham-Kent—Essex		PC	Hold	51.33	1.92		1.92	37.83	-3.95
Davenport		Lib	Gain	49.56	3.97		3.97	45.61	4.20		4.2
Don Valley East		Lib	Hold	47.85	1.77		1.77	55.71	4.64		4.64
Don Valley West		Lib	Hold	53.90	2.96		2.96	57.01	-1.30
Dufferin—Caledon		PC	Hold	51.48	3.74		3.74	39.86	-7.09
Durham		Lib	Gain	55.71	5.97		5.97	36.45	7.10		7.1
Eglinton—Lawrence		Lib	Hold	53.99	2.18		2.18	54.80	0.65		0.65
Elgin—Middlesex—London		PC	Hold	53.98	2.70		2.7	46.36	-1.50
Essex		NDP	Hold	50.20	-1.18			60.34	22.35		22.35
Etobicoke Centre		Lib	Hold	56.47	3.85		3.85	50.28	-1.21
Etobicoke—Lakeshore		Lib	Hold	53.73	3.72		3.72	47.49	-3.54
Etobicoke North		Lib	Hold	42.71	2.56		2.56	44.90	-3.55
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell		Lib	Hold	53.36	5.55		5.55	49.74	6.56		6.56
Guelph		Lib	Hold	55.47	5.21		5.21	41.52	-0.92
Haldimand—Norfolk		PC	Hold	53.97	0.67		0.67	52.22	-8.58
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock		PC	Hold	55.98	1.00		1	40.96	-4.48
Halton		Lib	Gain	50.90	4.91		4.91	44.79	5.66		5.66
Hamilton Centre		NDP	Hold	44.76	2.32		2.32	52.01	-9.32
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek		NDP	Hold	48.84	2.58		2.58	46.81	-4.91
Hamilton Mountain		NDP	Hold	52.85	2.40		2.4	46.90	1.73		1.73
Huron—Bruce		PC	Hold	59.96	0.73		0.73	39.01	-3.75
Kenora—Rainy River		NDP	Hold	46.72	0.97		0.97	55.66	6.04		6.04
Kingston and the Islands		Lib	Hold	52.14	7.11		7.11	41.59	-7.26
Kitchener Centre		Lib	Hold	52.28	3.12		3.12	43.14	3.92		3.92
Kitchener—Conestoga		PC	Hold	50.33	3.71		3.71	36.36	-7.82
Kitchener—Waterloo		NDP	Gain	54.95	4.41		4.41	37.43	20.77		20.77
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex		PC	Hold	56.93	2.85		2.85	45.17	-0.56
Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington		PC	Hold	53.95	3.52		3.52	43.52	-6.60
Leeds—Grenville		PC	Hold	52.86	2.22		2.22	56.07	-7.53
London—Fanshawe		NDP	Hold	46.42	0.60		0.6	50.42	9.65		9.65
London North Centre		Lib	Hold	50.21	2.34		2.34	35.98	-7.92
London West		NDP	Gain	56.03	3.03		3.03	40.36	18.64		18.64
Markham—Unionville		Lib	Hold	44.54	3.86		3.86	51.33	-1.25
Mississauga—Brampton South		Lib	Hold	41.48	5.05		5.05	48.21	2.18		2.18
Mississauga East—Cooksville		Lib	Hold	43.89	3.39		3.39	52.33	6.59		6.59
Mississauga—Erindale		Lib	Hold	46.90	2.99		2.99	48.98	3.96		3.96
Mississauga South		Lib	Hold	53.55	2.30		2.3	50.76	0.05		0.05
Mississauga—Streetsville		Lib	Hold	46.76	5.30		5.3	52.57	1.03		1.03
Nepean—Carleton		PC	Hold	55.39	5.48		5.48	46.77	-7.71
Newmarket—Aurora		Lib	Gain	53.40	4.07		4.07	43.94	8.32		8.32
Niagara Falls		NDP	Gain	51.21	1.77		1.77	47.39	21.09		21.09
Niagara West—Glanbrook		PC	Hold	58.59	3.71		3.71	41.82	-9.13
Nickel Belt		NDP	Hold	50.00	0.44		0.44	62.62	7.76		7.76
Nipissing		PC	Hold	52.49	0.63		0.63	41.81	-8.30
Northumberland—Quinte West		Lib	Gain	55.81	3.94		3.94	42.97	4.63		4.63
Oak Ridges—Markham		Lib	Hold	46.21	3.51		3.51	45.55	0.77		0.77
Oakville		Lib	Hold	56.13	3.42		3.42	49.40	1.31		1.31
Oshawa		NDP	Gain	50.19	5.92		5.92	46.70	10.52		10.52
Ottawa Centre		Lib	Hold	56.85	3.12		3.12	52.02	5.20		5.2
Ottawa—Orléans		Lib	Hold	59.33	6.68		6.68	53.50	7.06		7.06
Ottawa South		Lib	Hold	53.71	2.52		2.52	49.96	1.11		1.11
Ottawa—Vanier		Lib	Hold	48.86	2.05		2.05	55.55	4.04		4.04
Ottawa West—Nepean		Lib	Hold	55.95	1.93		1.93	44.84	3.23		3.23
Oxford		PC	Hold	51.92	2.74		2.74	46.24	-8.63
Parkdale—High Park		NDP	Hold	56.88	5.10		5.1	40.77	-5.43
Parry Sound—Muskoka		PC	Hold	52.11	0.33		0.33	40.73	-13.36
Perth—Wellington		PC	Hold	55.66	3.77		3.77	38.96	-1.14
Peterborough		Lib	Hold	57.30	4.11		4.11	46.33	6.40		6.4
Pickering—Scarborough East		Lib	Hold	54.77	5.08		5.08	51.96	5.30		5.3
Prince Edward—Hastings		PC	Hold	51.61	-0.14			41.72	-0.56
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke		PC	Hold	54.32	1.63		1.63	61.07	-9.72
Richmond Hill		Lib	Hold	45.69	3.20		3.2	47.78	0.86		0.86
St. Catharines		Lib	Hold	54.80	3.80		3.8	41.00	0.79		0.79
St. Paul's		Lib	Hold	57.11	6.70		6.7	59.74	1.35		1.35
Sarnia—Lambton		PC	Hold	57.35	5.60		5.6	41.01	-7.31
Sault Ste. Marie		Lib	Hold	50.77	1.42		1.42	58.53	3.57		3.57
Scarborough—Agincourt		Lib	Hold	46.04	2.47		2.47	49.84	2.99		2.99
Scarborough Centre		Lib	Hold	48.09	3.60		3.6	55.05	3.63		3.63
Scarborough—Guildwood		Lib	Hold	49.24	1.59		1.59	49.89	0.96		0.96
Scarborough—Rouge River		Lib	Hold	47.48	4.58		4.58	38.71	-3.17
Scarborough Southwest		Lib	Hold	49.91	2.13		2.13	50.23	6.13		6.13
Simcoe—Grey		PC	Hold	52.00	3.88		3.88	47.12	-7.21
Simcoe North		PC	Hold	53.33	2.35		2.35	43.96	-11.20
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry		PC	Hold	52.02	0.63		0.63	51.72	-3.54
Sudbury		NDP	Gain	51.92	1.97		1.97	42.24	1.51		1.51
Thornhill		PC	Hold	47.83	2.48		2.48	43.99	-2.72
Thunder Bay—Atikokan		Lib	Hold	49.02	2.42		2.42	52.98	14.01		14.01
Thunder Bay—Superior North		Lib	Hold	50.41	2.21		2.21	55.97	10.97		10.97
Timiskaming—Cochrane		NDP	Hold	50.68	0.67		0.67	55.48	5.36		5.36
Timmins—James Bay		NDP	Hold	45.15	-1.68			51.18	1.71		1.71
Toronto Centre		Lib	Hold	50.86	2.44		2.44	58.47	3.54		3.54
Toronto—Danforth		NDP	Hold	55.30	6.00		6	44.61	-9.40
Trinity—Spadina		Lib	Gain	49.33	6.33		6.33	46.34	6.40		6.4
Vaughan		Lib	Hold	44.68	3.60		3.6	56.21	3.19		3.19
Welland		NDP	Hold	53.20	1.56		1.56	46.71	2.05		2.05
Wellington—Halton Hills		PC	Hold	55.61	4.50		4.5	46.61	-9.01
Whitby—Oshawa		PC	Hold	54.35	4.66		4.66	40.65	-7.52
Willowdale		Lib	Hold	46.88	1.48		1.48	52.58	1.73		1.73
Windsor—Tecumseh		NDP	Gain	42.77	-1.92			62.16	29.31		29.31
Windsor West		NDP	Gain	42.71	1.13		1.13	41.41	10.57		10.57
York Centre		Lib	Hold	46.74	1.00		1	47.89	2.53		2.53
York—Simcoe		PC	Hold	47.53	4.62		4.62	40.40	-12.38
York South—Weston		Lib	Hold	46.13	1.27		1.27	47.85	3.30		3.3
York West		Lib	Hold	42.24	3.01		3.01	46.71	-3.78

Maps

• 
  Support for Liberal Party candidates by riding
• 
  Support for Conservative Party candidates by riding
• 
  Support for New Democratic Party candidates by riding
• 
  Support for Green Party candidates by riding
• 
  Support for Libertarian Party candidates by riding

Summary analysis

Number of seats held by party in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario (2014).

Retention swing analysis between parties for the 2014 Ontario general election, compared to the results from the previous 2011 election.

Gallagher index for the results of the Ontario general election, 2014. There is significant distortion noted in the Liberal results.

Polling station in Toronto for the Ontario general election, 2014.

Popular vote party year votes change Liberal 2011    37.65% +1.02pp 2014    38.67% Conservative 2011    35.45% -4.22pp 2014    31.23% NDP 2011    22.74% +1.01pp 2014    23.75% Green 2011    2.92% +1.97pp 2014    4.89% Libertarian 2011    0.45% +0.33pp 2014    0.78% Others 2011    0.79% -0.11pp 2014    0.68%

Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won/lost by party, 2011-2014

Party		2011	Gain from (loss to)					2014
			Lib		PC	NDP
	Liberal	53			7	3	(5)	58
	Conservative	37		(7)			(2)	28
	New Democratic	17	5	(3)	2			21
Total		107	5	(10)	9	3	(7)	107

Pairing off the top three parties, swings were calculated to be:

• PC to Liberal: 2.6%
• PC to NDP: 2.6%
• Liberal to NDP: insignificant

Regional analysis

Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won by region (2014)

Party		Toronto	905 Belt	Ham/Niagara	Central	East	Midwest	Southwest	North	Total
	Liberal	20	14	4	5	7	4	1	3	58
	Conservative		2	1	6	7	6	4	2	28
	New Democratic	2	2	5			1	5	6	21
Total		22	18	10	11	14	11	10	11	107

Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - change in seats by region (2011-2014)

Party		Toronto	905 Belt	Ham/Niagara	Central	East	Midwest	Southwest	North	Total
	Liberal	3		1	4		1	(3)	(1)	5
	Conservative		(1)	(2)	(4)		(2)			(9)
	New Democratic	(3)	1	1			1	3	1	4

Principal races

Party candidates in 2nd place

Party in 1st place		Party in 2nd place			Total
		Lib	PC	NDP
	Liberal	–	43	15	58
	Progressive Conservative	22	–	6	28
	New Democratic	14	7	–	21
Total		36	50	21	107

Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results

Parties		Seats
█ Liberal	█ Progressive Conservative	65
█ Liberal	█ New Democratic	29
█ Progressive Conservative	█ New Democratic	13
Total		107

Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party

Parties	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	Total
█ Liberal	58	36	13			107
█ Progressive Conservative	28	50	28	1		107
█ New Democratic	21	21	62	3		107
█ Green			4	101	2	107
█ Libertarian				1	61	62
█ Northern Ontario Heritage				1		1
█ Freedom					15	15
█ None of the Above					4	4
█ Family Coalition					3	3
█ Independent					2	2
█ Communist					2	2
█ Confederation of Regions					2	2
█ Canadians' Choice					1	1
█ Trillium					1	1

Significant results among independent and minor party candidates

Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:

Riding	Party	Candidates	Votes	Placed
Huron—Bruce	█ FamilyCoalition	Andrew Zettel	1,353	5th
Kitchener—Conestoga	█ Libertarian	David Schumm	1,001	5th
London West	█ Freedom	Al Gretzky	1,188	5th
Oak Ridges—Markham	█ Libertarian	Karl Boelling	1,358	5th
Vaughan	█ Libertarian	Paolo Fabrizio	1,121	5th
Wellington—Halton Hills	█ Libertarian	Jason Cousineau	1,043	5th

Seats changing hands

There were 17 seats that changed allegiance from the 2011 election.

PC to Liberal Barrie Burlington Cambridge Durham Halton Newmarket—Aurora Northumberland—Quinte West

PC to NDP Kitchener—Waterloo Oshawa NDP to Liberal Beaches—East York Davenport Trinity—Spadina

Liberal to NDP London West Niagara Falls Sudbury Windsor—Tecumseh Windsor West

Resulting composition of the 41st Legislative Assembly of Ontario

Source		Party
		Lib	PC	NDP	Total
Seats retained	Incumbents returned	42	28	14	84
	Open seats held	5			5
	Byelection loss reversed	1			1
Seats changing hands	Incumbents defeated	8		2	10
	Open seats gained	2		1	3
	Byelection gains held			4	4
Total		58	28	21	107

Marginal seats

The following seats had a margin of victory of less than 5 percentage points in the election:

Marginal constituencies (Ontario general election, 2014)[41]
Constituency	Rank of parties			Margins		Result
	1st	2nd	3rd	1st vs 2nd	1st vs 3rd
Barrie	40.7%	36.1%	16.3%	4.6%	24.4%		Lib gain
Beaches—East York	40.1%	39.0%	13.9%	1.1%	26.2%		Lib gain
Durham	36.5%	34.3%	24.1%	2.2%	12.4%		Lib gain
Kitchener—Conestoga	36.4%	33.3%	21.2%	3.1%	15.2%		PC hold
Parkdale—High Park	40.8%	40.0%	12.8%	0.8%	28.0%		NDP hold
Sudbury	42.2%	39.4%	13.8%	2.8%	28.4%		NDP gain
Thornhill	44.0%	43.8%	8.1%	0.2%	35.9%		PC hold
Windsor West	41.4%	38.5%	14.4%	2.9%	27.0%		NDP gain

Opinion polls

Voting intention polls released throughout the election campaign were distinctly inconsistent and contradictory,^{[42][43][44][45]} as shown in the graph and table below. During much of the campaign, different pollsters persistently disagreed, frequently by important margins, on whether the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives held the lead, though by the final days most polls showed the Liberals marginally to comfortably ahead. Still, polls completed on the last day of the campaign by Ipsos Reid and EKOS showed vastly divergent support for the NDP, at 30% and 19%, respectively. Also of note, although four different pollsters released results among "likely voters" alongside their results among all eligible voters in an effort to better predict the outcome of the election based on expected voter turnout, in all cases the former proved to be overall poorer predictors than the latter.^[46]

General opinion polls

Evolution of voting intentions during the 2014 Ontario general election campaign. Dots represent results of individual polls. Lines connect successive polls by the same polling firm. Dashes on June 12 represent election results.

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Liberal	PC	NDP	Green	Libertarian	Other	Type of poll	Sample size	Margin of Error
Election 2014	June 12, 2014	HTML	38.65	31.25	23.75	4.84		1.51	Ballot	4,851,333
Forum Research	June 11, 2014	PDF	41	35	20	3		1	IVR	1,054	±3%	19  20
EKOS[2]	June 11, 2014	PDF	37.3	31.3	19.2	8.2		3.9	IVR	1,311	±2.7%	19  20
Abacus Data[2]	June 11, 2014	PDF	35	32	26	6		1	Online	1,882	±2.3%	19  20
Ipsos Reid[2]	June 11, 2014	HTML	33	31	30			5	Online	1,991	±2.4%
EKOS[2]	June 10, 2014	PDF	36.6	30.2	21.5	6.6		5.0	IVR	1,332	±2.7%	19  20
Angus Reid[2]	June 10, 2014	PDF	36	32	26	5		1	Online	1,866	±2.3%	19  20
Forum Research	June 9, 2014	PDF	42	35	19	3		1	IVR	739	±4%	19  20
Léger Marketing	June 9, 2014	PDF	37	37	20	5		1	Online	1,050	±3.2%	19  20
EKOS[2]	June 9, 2014	PDF	34.7	34.5	19.8	6.7		4.3	IVR	1,417	±2.6%	19  20
EKOS[2]	June 8, 2014	PDF	35.9	35.9	17.6	7.7		2.8	IVR	1,331	±2.7%	19  20
Oraclepoll Research	June 8, 2014	PDF	35	36	24	5			Telephone	1,000	±3.1%	19  20
Abacus Data[2]	June 7, 2014	PDF	34	31	28	5		1	Online	1,000	±3.1%	19  20
EKOS[2]	June 6, 2014	PDF	34.2	35.5	20.5	7.4		2.4	IVR	1,767	±2.3%	19  20
Ipsos Reid[2]	June 6, 2014	HTML	35	35	26			4	Online	2,140	±2.4%
Forum Research	June 5, 2014	PDF	39	37	17	6		1	IVR	1,022	±3%	19  20
EKOS[2]	June 5, 2014	PDF	33.9	34.9	20.5	8.4		2.3	IVR	1,690	±2.4%	19  20
EKOS[2]	June 4, 2014	PDF	35.7	30.9	19.8	9.6		4.0	IVR	1,303	±2.7%	19  20
EKOS	June 3, 2014	PDF	36.4	31.0	19.3	8.4		4.9	IVR	997	±3.1%	19  20
EKOS	June 2, 2014	PDF	38.8	30.5	17.8	8.4		4.5	IVR	934	±3.2%	19  20
EKOS	June 1, 2014	PDF	38.5	33.7	16.9	7.8		3.0	IVR	927	±3.2%	19  20
Abacus Data[2]	May 31, 2014	PDF	37	30	24	7		2	Online	1,000	±3.1%	19  20
Ipsos Reid[2]	May 29, 2014	HTML	34	36	23			7	Online	868	±3.8%
Forum Research	May 27, 2014	PDF Archived 2014-05-29 at the Wayback Machine	36	36	20	7		1	IVR	882	±3%	19  20
Oraclepoll Research	May 27, 2014	PDF	32	36	25	7			Telephone	1,000	±3.1%	19  20
Nanos Research	May 26, 2014	PDF	37.7	31.2	23.7	5.3			Telephone	500	±4.4%	19  20
Abacus Data[2]	May 24, 2014	PDF	34	32	25	6		2	Online	1,000	±3.1%	19  20
EKOS	May 23, 2014	PDF	35.8	30.0	20.4	11.9		1.9	IVR	1,215	±2.8%	19  20
Ipsos Reid[2]	May 21, 2014	HTML	31	35	28			6	Online	800	±3.9%
Forum Research	May 20, 2014	PDF	41	34	20	4		1	IVR	1,136	±3%	19  20
Abacus Data[2]	May 16, 2014	PDF	33	33	26	6		2	Online	2,000	±2.2%	19  20
EKOS	May 15, 2014	PDF	37.1	30.3	20.9	7.3		4.5	IVR	1,111	±2.9%	19  20
Ipsos Reid[2]	May 14, 2014	HTML	30	39	24			7	Online	801	±3.9%
Forum Research	May 12, 2014	PDF Archived 2014-05-17 at the Wayback Machine	38	35	21	5		1	IVR	996	±3%	19  20
Ipsos Reid[2]	May 9, 2014	HTML	31	37	28			4	Online	821	±3.9%
Innovative Research	May 6, 2014	PDF	38.8	32.8	19.9	6.5		2.0	Online	1,000	N/A[1]
Innovative Research	May 6, 2014	PDF	38.7	32.8	23.7	4.3		0.5	Telephone	500	±4.4%	19  20
Oraclepoll Research	May 5, 2014	PDF[permanent dead link‍] HTML	31	42	25	3			Telephone	1,000	±3.2%	19  20
Forum Research	May 3, 2014	PDF Archived 2014-05-05 at the Wayback Machine	33	38	22	6		1	IVR	1,845	±2%	19  20
EKOS	May 1, 2014	PDF	34.7	31.6	22.2	9.4		2.0	IVR	1,576	±2.5%	19  20
Election 2011	October 6, 2011	PDF	37.65	35.45	22.74	2.92		1.24	Ballot	4,316,382

¹ Innovative Research states, for Province Wide Online Survey, "Margin of error not applicable, online samples not random."
² Data shown above for campaign-period polls are top-line results, typically among all eligible voters. However, certain pollsters additionally report results among "likely voters" in an effort to better predict the actual outcome of the election. When available, these alternative results are shown in the following table:

Likely voters

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Liberal	PC	NDP	Green	Libertarian	Other
EKOS	June 11, 2014	PDF	42.2	35.9	16.9	2.9		2.1
Abacus Data	June 11, 2014	PDF	36	36	23	5		1
Ipsos Reid	June 11, 2014	HTML	30	36	30			4
EKOS	June 10, 2014	PDF	41.1	33.2	17.1	5.6		2.9
Angus Reid	June 10, 2014	PDF	34	36	24	5		1
EKOS	June 9, 2014	PDF	38.1	36.3	16.9	5.7		3.1
EKOS	June 8, 2014	PDF	42.2	35.4	13.9	6.4		2.0
Abacus Data	June 7, 2014	PDF	34	34	26	5		1
EKOS	June 6, 2014	PDF	40.7	35.7	16.3	5.6		1.8
Ipsos Reid	June 6, 2014	HTML	32	40	24			3
EKOS	June 5, 2014	PDF	39.5	35.6	16.7	6.6		2
EKOS	June 4, 2014	PDF	41.4	32.0	17.8	6.2		3
Abacus Data	May 31, 2014	PDF	37	35	22	5		2
Ipsos Reid	May 29, 2014	HTML	29	41	25			4
Abacus Data	May 24, 2014	PDF	36	33	24	6		1
Ipsos Reid	May 21, 2014	HTML	30	41	26			3
Abacus Data	May 16, 2014	PDF	33	36	25	5		1
Ipsos Reid	May 14, 2014	HTML	31	43	22			4
Ipsos Reid	May 9, 2014	HTML	28	42	27			2

Pre-campaign period

Evolution of voting intentions since the 40th Ontario general election on October 6, 2011. Points represent results of individual polls. Trend lines represent three-poll moving averages.

Pre-campaign period polling (October 2011 – April 2014)
Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Liberal	PC	NDP	Green	Type of poll	Sample size
Ipsos Reid	April 17, 2014	HTML	32	37	27	5	Online	813
Innovative Research	April 14, 2014	PDF	39	30	23	7	Online	800
Nanos Research	April 11, 2014	PDF	36.3	36.0	21.6	5.7	Telephone	503
Forum Research	April 7, 2014	PDF Archived 2014-04-13 at the Wayback Machine	31	38	23	7	IVR	928
Oraclepoll Research	April 7, 2014	PDF	35	34	24	8	Telephone	1,000
EKOS	April 3, 2014	PDF	32.3	27.4	29.0	8.3	IVR	1,234
Innovative Research	March 26, 2014	PDF	38	33	25	4	Online	1,017
Forum Research	March 24, 2014	PDF Archived 2014-04-07 at the Wayback Machine	35	32	25	7	IVR	908
Nanos Research	March 3, 2014	PDF	35.7	32.9	24.5	6.8	Telephone	500
Forum Research	February 25, 2014	HTML	32	35	26	6	IVR	1,014
Ipsos Reid	February 7, 2014	HTML	31	34	31	4	Online	828
Forum Research	January 25, 2014	HTML	33	36	26	4	IVR	1,222
Nanos Research	January 20, 2014	PDF	35.5	28.1	27.4	8.1	Telephone	500
Forum Research	December 18, 2013	HTML	31	38	24	5	IVR	1,044
Forum Research	November 26, 2013	PDF Archived 2013-12-19 at the Wayback Machine	32	38	23	6	IVR	1,126
Ipsos Reid	November 6, 2013	HTML	34	31	31	5	Online	832
Forum Research	October 25, 2013	HTML	31	34	27	7	IVR	1,049
Forum Research	October 1, 2013	HTML	33	36	23	7	IVR	1,093
Nanos Research	September 29, 2013	PDF	36.0	31.3	26.1	6.3	Telephone	500
Campaign Research	September 19, 2013	PDF	36	32	22	8	IVR	1,414
Abacus Data	September 4, 2013	PDF	30	33	30	5	Online	1,000
Forum Research	August 28, 2013	PDF	32	35	26	6	IVR	1,063
Innovative Research	August 27, 2013	HTML	37	30	22	10	Telephone	600
Forum Research	July 22, 2013	PDF	31	36	27	5	IVR	914
Nanos Research	July 14, 2013	PDF	37.2	30.6	27.0	4.9	Telephone	500
EKOS	July 9, 2013	PDF	31.9	28.9	25.9	9.4	IVR	830
Forum Research	June 26, 2013	PDF	33	35	24	8	IVR	1,037
Forum Research	May 28, 2013	PDF	38	34	21	6	IVR	918
EKOS	May 26, 2013	HTML	34.9	29.6	22.6	9.4	IVR	1,152
Ipsos Reid	May 21, 2013	HTML	34	34	26	5	Online	1,772
Abacus Data	May 9, 2013	PDF	34	34	25	6	Online	1,185
Innovative Research	May 9, 2013	PDF	37	30	25	6	Telephone	610
Forum Research	May 3, 2013	PDF	35	35	25	4	IVR	869
Forum Research	April 26, 2013	PDF	36	36	24	4	IVR	1,133
Ipsos Reid	April 17, 2013	HTML	28	37	29	6	Online	1,360
EKOS	April 10, 2013	PDF	30.8	31.7	25.5	9.7	IVR	1,084
Forum Research	March 27, 2013	PDF	33	35	26	5	IVR	1,156
Forum Research	March 1, 2013	PDF	32	32	29	5	IVR	2,773
Forum Research	February 20, 2013	PDF	29	36	28	5	IVR	1,053
Nanos Research	February 13, 2013	PDF	33.6	33.7	26.5	5.4	Telephone	500
EKOS	February 10, 2013	PDF	32.5	28.5	25.6	10.1	IVR	1,797
Abacus Data	February 6, 2013	PDF Archived 2014-04-15 at the Wayback Machine	30	33	31	5	Online	1,020
Innovative Research	January 29, 2013	PDF	31	30	27	9	Telephone	446
Forum Research	January 24, 2013	PDF	27	32	35	5	IVR	1,108
Forum Research	December 17, 2012	PDF	27	33	31	8	IVR	990
Abacus Data	December 8, 2012	PDF Archived 2014-04-15 at the Wayback Machine	28	35	31	5	Online	821
Forum Research	November 28, 2012	PDF	29	35	27	8	IVR	1,127
Oraclepoll Research	November 24, 2012	PDF	26	37	31	6	Telephone
Forum Research	October 31, 2012	PDF	22	37	32	7	IVR	1,102
Innovative Research	October 22, 2012	PDF	28	32	31	9	Telephone	600
Angus Reid	October 17, 2012	PDF	26	36	32	5	Online	802
Forum Research	September 25, 2012	PDF	20	37	35	7	IVR	851
Nanos Research	August 16, 2012	PDF	34.0	34.7	22.1	6.8	Telephone	1,000
Forum Research	August 15, 2012	PDF	27	38	28	6	IVR	1,021
Forum Research	June 15, 2012	PDF	26	38	30	5	IVR	1,098
Forum Research	June 4, 2012	PDF	28	36	30	4	IVR	1,038
Environics	May 25, 2012	PDF	25	37	28	10	Telephone	500
Forum Research	May 14, 2012	PDF	27	34	32	5	IVR	1,072
Nanos Research	May 13, 2012	PDF	31.0	33.6	28.5	5.6	Telephone	500
Forum Research	April 17, 2012	PDF	28	34	31	5	IVR	1,084
Nanos Research	April 15, 2012	PDF	35.4	32.1	26.5	6.0	Telephone	501
Environics	April 13, 2012	HTML	27	37	30	6	Telephone	500
Forum Research	March 28, 2012	PDF	30	34	30	5	IVR	1,131
Forum Research	March 13, 2012	PDF	28	40	23	8	IVR	1,065
Nanos Research	March 5, 2012	PDF	39.9	30.0	24.7	4.3	Telephone	500
Forum Research	February 15, 2012	PDF	32	36	26	5	IVR	1,218
Forum Research	January 18, 2012	PDF	33	41	20	4	IVR	1,041
Nanos Research	November 13, 2011	PDF	39.1	34.5	21.6	3.5	Telephone	500
Innovative Research	November 2, 2011	PDF	39	34	23	4	Online	545
Election 2011	October 6, 2011	PDF	37.65	35.45	22.74	2.92	Ballot	4,316,382

Issues

Economy

Unemployment in Ontario was a major political issue. In particular, the manufacturing sector had shrunk by about 30% or more than 300,000 jobs since 2002.^[47]

The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario proposed a plan called "Million Jobs Plan", outlining their strategy for job creation and economic growth. By reducing tax, government services, energy costs and regulations the PCs projected to create a cumulative 507,488 jobs over eight years.^[48] The plan also called for the reduction of 100,000 civil service jobs. Economists and critics noted fundamental mathematical errors with the PCs' projections. They held, even if the PCs' own data were correctly tabulated, only 50,000 extra jobs would be created (in addition to the 500,000 that would be created anyway without any policy change).^[49]

The Ontario Liberal Party proposed the 10 year "Jobs and Investment Plan", which proposed infrastructure investments as their main strategy to create jobs.^[50]

The Ontario New Democratic Party platform called for targeted tax credits and incentives to encourage job creation.^[51]

The Green Party of Ontario policy proposal stated that it would "focus on your job by lowering payroll taxes for small businesses" as well as investing in transit infrastructure and subsidising energy-saving home improvements.^[52]

The Ontario Libertarian Party called for mass privatization, lower taxes and general deregulation, eliminating many business requirements such as permitting, insurance and certification that they considered to be interfering with job creation.^[53] Their platform called for government spending to be limited to "only core functions of government; defending life, liberty, and property"^[54] and as such would have eliminated industry subsidies or incentives of any kind, particularly in the energy sector.^[55]

The Communist Party of Ontario called for raising the minimum wage to $19/hr as well as introducing a guaranteed annual income, nationalization of the domestic steel industry, and investments in public housing, infrastructure and social programs, while shifting taxes from lower to higher income-earners and businesses.^[56]

Transit

Due to rapid urban and suburban expansion in southern Ontario, traffic congestion had been increasing greatly. A 2013 study by the CD Howe Institute determined that it was costing $7.5-11 billion annually for the economy of Toronto alone.^[57][58]

The Liberals promised $29 billion in infrastructure spending, $15 billion of which would go towards building new transit (mostly LRT) lines in the GTHA, based on the outline of Metrolinx's The Big Move plan, as well as an LRT in Ottawa.^[59][60] A high-speed rail line crossing the province from the southeast into Quebec was also planned. The PCs promised to finish building the Eglinton Crosstown, but cancel all the other planned lines, and instead focus on quickly expanding GO service.^[61] The NDP plan was similar to the Liberal plan, but included an extra $1 billion to get certain projects built faster.^[59]

Endorsements

Media endorsements

The following media outlets made endorsements during the campaign:

Liberal

• Toronto Star^[62]
• Now^[63]
• Torontoist^[64]

Progressive Conservative

• Burlington Post,^[65] The Flamborough Review,^[66] Oakville Beaver^[67][a]
• The Globe and Mail^[68][b]
• National Post^[69]
• Ottawa Citizen^[70]
• Toronto Sun,^[71] Ottawa Sun^[72][c]
• Windsor Star^[73]

New Democratic Party

• Sudbury Star ^[74][b]

Explicitly not endorsing any party

• Hamilton Spectator^[75]
• The Kitchener-Waterloo Record^[76]

Public figure endorsements

• Deputy Mayor of Toronto, and acting mayor, Norm Kelly endorsed Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne.^[77]
• Mayor of Mississauga, Hazel McCallion endorsed Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne.^[78]
• Mayor of Kitchener, Carl Zehr endorsed Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne.^[79]

Notes

1. Same editorial printed in several papers
2. endorsing a minority government
3. Identical editorial printed in multiple cities