Etobicoke—Lakeshore (provincial electoral district)

For the federal and municipal electoral divisions, see Etobicoke—Lakeshore and Ward 3 Etobicoke—Lakeshore.

Etobicoke—Lakeshore is a provincial electoral district in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. It elects one member to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario.

Etobicoke—Lakeshore

Ontario electoral district
Location in Toronto
Provincial electoral district
Legislature	Legislative Assembly of Ontario
MPP	Lee Fairclough Liberal
District created	1987
First contested	1987
Last contested	2025
Demographics
Population (2016)	129,080
Electors (2018)	101,606
Area (km²)	51
Pop. density (per km²)	2,531
Census division(s)	Toronto
Census subdivision(s)	Toronto

It was created in 1987 from Lakeshore.

From 1987 to 1999 the district included all of Etobicoke south of a line following the CP Railway to Kipling Avenue to Bloor Street.

In 1999 the border was moved up to a line following Dundas Street to the 427 to Burnhamthorpe Road to Kipling Avenue to Mimico Creek to the Canadian Pacific Railway to Dundas Street.

In 2007, the borders were not altered.

Members of Provincial Parliament

Etobicoke—Lakeshore
Assembly	Years	Member		Party
Riding created from Lakeshore
34th	1987–1990		Ruth Grier	New Democratic
35th	1990–1995
36th	1995–1999		Morley Kells	Progressive Conservative
37th	1999–2003
38th	2003–2007		Laurel Broten	Liberal
39th	2007–2011
40th	2011–2013
	2013–2014		Doug Holyday	Progressive Conservative
41st	2014–2018		Peter Milczyn	Liberal
42nd	2018–2022		Christine Hogarth	Progressive Conservative
43rd	2022–2025
44th	2025–present		Lee Fairclough	Liberal
Sourced from the Ontario Legislative Assembly[1]

Election results

Winning party in each polling division of Etobicoke—Lakeshore at the 2025 Ontario general election

2025 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Lee Fairclough	25,195	48.52	+12.80
	Progressive Conservative	Christine Hogarth	21,050	40.54	+3.06
	New Democratic	Rozhen Asrani	3,640	7.01	–10.91
	Green	Sean McClocklin	1,218	2.35	–2.40
	New Blue	Tony Siskos	452	0.87	–2.49
	Moderate	Larisa Berson	204	0.39	N/A
	None of the Above	Vitas Naudziunas	165	0.32	–0.06
Total valid votes/expense limit			51,924	99.30	–0.17
Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots			365	0.70	+0.17
Turnout			52,289	46.98	+1.70
Eligible voters			111,312
	Liberal gain from Progressive Conservative		Swing		+4.87
Source: Elections Ontario[2]

Winning party in each polling division of Etobicoke—Lakeshore at the 2022 Ontario general election

v t e 2022 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Progressive Conservative	Christine Hogarth	17,978	37.48	−0.87	$75,837
	Liberal	Lee Fairclough	17,136	35.73	+11.48	$88,272
	New Democratic	Farheen Alim	8,595	17.92	−14.97	$68,196
	Green	Thomas Yanuziello	2,278	4.75	+1.13	$1,471
	New Blue	Mary Markovic	1,612	3.36		$4,739
	Independent	Bill Denning	186	0.39		$460
	None of the Above	Vitas Naudziunas	181	0.38		$0
Total valid votes/expense limit			47,966	99.47	+0.40	$149,099
Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots			255	0.53	−0.40
Turnout			48,221	45.28	−13.33
Eligible voters			105,778
	Progressive Conservative hold		Swing		−6.17
Source(s) "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 2022. Archived from the original on 2023-05-18. "Statistical Summary by Electoral District" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 2022. Archived from the original on 2023-05-21.

v t e 2018 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Christine Hogarth	22,626	38.35	+4.25
	New Democratic	Phil Trotter	19,401	32.89	+20.36
	Liberal	Peter Milczyn	14,305	24.25	-23.34
	Green	Chris Caldwell	2,138	3.62	-0.47
	Libertarian	Mark Wrzesniewski	360	0.61	N/A
	Moderate	Ian Lytvyn	163	0.28	N/A
Total valid votes			58,993	100.0
	Progressive Conservative notional gain from Liberal		Swing		–8.06
Source: Elections Ontario[3]

2014 general election redistributed results[4]
Party		Vote	%
	Liberal	22,916	47.59
	Progressive Conservative	16,420	34.10
	New Democratic	6,032	12.53
	Green	1,971	4.09
	Others	817	1.70

2014 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Peter Milczyn	24,311	47.48	+5.18
	Progressive Conservative	Doug Holyday	17,587	34.35	-12.40
	New Democratic	P. C. Choo	6,362	12.43	+5.02
	Green	Angela Salewsky	2,064	4.03	+1.78
	Libertarian	Mark Wrzesniewski	336	0.66	+0.22
	Socialist	Natalie Lochwin	236	0.46	–
	Freedom	Jeff Merklinger	198	0.39	+0.26
	Moderate	Ian Lytvyn	108	0.21	–
Total valid votes			51,202	100.0
	Liberal gain from Progressive Conservative		Swing		+8.79
Source: Elections Ontario[5]

Ontario provincial by-election, August 1, 2013 Resignation of Laurel Broten
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Doug Holyday	16,034	46.75	+17.51
	Liberal	Peter Milczyn	14,506	42.30	-8.72
	New Democratic	P. C. Choo	2,542	7.41	-8.04
	Green	Angela Salewsky	771	2.25	-0.43
	Special Needs	Dan King	157	0.46	+0.07
	Libertarian	Hans Kunov	152	0.44	+0.05
	People's	Kevin Clarke	87	0.25
	Freedom	Wayne Simmons	46	0.13	-0.27
Total valid votes			34,295	100.00
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			214	0.62
Turnout			34,509	37.95
Eligible voters			90,927
	Progressive Conservative gain		Swing		+13.12
Source: Elections Ontario[6]

Police detective Steve Ryan had originally been nominated by the Progressive Conservatives, however, according to party leader Tim Hudak, Ryan was unable to run in the by-election due to injuries sustained in a work related automobile accident; city councillor Doug Holyday was recruited to be the party's candidate instead.^[7]

2011 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Laurel Broten	22,169	51.02	+5.03
	Progressive Conservative	Simon Nyilassy	12,705	29.24	-1.43
	New Democratic	Dionne Coley	6,713	15.45	+2.17
	Green	Angela Salewsky	1,164	2.68	- 5.21
	Freedom	Mark Brombacher	174	0.40
	Libertarian	Hans Kunov	172	0.40
	Socialist	Natalie Lochwin	125	0.29
	Independent	John Letonja	113	0.26
	Independent	Thane MacKay	113	0.26
Total valid votes			43,448	100.00
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			255	0.58
Turnout			43,703	50.01
Eligible voters			87,390
	Liberal hold		Swing		+3.23
Source: Elections Ontario[8]

2007 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Laurel Broten	20,218	45.99	+1.83
	Progressive Conservative	Tom Barlow	13,482	30.67	-1.92
	New Democratic	Andrea Németh	5,837	13.28	-6.81
	Green	Jerry Schulman	3,467	7.89	+6.30
	Independent	Janice Murray	480	1.09	+0.59
	Family Coalition	Bob Williams	478	1.09	+0.01
Total valid votes			43,962	100.00
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			397	0.90
Turnout			44,359	53.62
Eligible voters			82,728
Elections Ontario:[9]

2003 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Laurel Broten	19,680	44.16	+8.31
	Progressive Conservative	Morley Kells	14,524	32.59	-14.39
	New Democratic	Irene Jones	8,952	20.09	+5.37
	Green	Junyee Wang	708	1.59
	Family Coalition	Ted Kupiec	480	1.08	+0.12
	Independent	Janice Murray	225	0.50	-0.18
Total valid votes			44,569	100.00
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			237	0.53
Turnout			44,806	59.52
Eligible voters			75,279
Elections Ontario:[10]

1999 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Morley Kells	20,602	46.98	+1.75
	Liberal	Laurel Broten	15,723	35.85	+6.27
	New Democratic	Vicki Obedkoff	6,457	14.72	-10.45
	Family Coalition	Kevin McGourty	423	0.96
	Natural Law	Don Jackson	349	0.80	+0.16
	Independent	Janice Murray	299	0.68
Total valid votes			43,853	100.00
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			527	1.20
Turnout			44,380	60.34
Eligible voters			73,551
Elections Ontario:[11]

1995 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Morley Kells	14,879	45.23	+29.69
	Liberal	Bruce Davis	9,074	27.58	+5.15
	New Democratic	Ruth Grier	8,279	25.17	-32.83
	Libertarian	Daniel Hunt	270	0.82
	Natural Law	Geraldine Jackson	209	0.64
	Independent	Julie Northrup	186	0.56
Total valid votes			32,897	100.00
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			431	1.31
Turnout			33,328	66.55
Eligible voters			50,083
Elections Ontario:[12]

1990 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	New Democratic	Ruth Grier	18,118	58.00	+13.41
	Liberal	Sam Shephard	7,006	22.43	-15.04
	Progressive Conservative	Jeff Knoll	4,854	15.54	+1.22
	Family Coalition	Trish O'Connor	1,053	3.37	-0.25
	Green	Phaedra Livingstone	629	0.67
Total valid votes			31,660	100.00
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			447	1.51
Turnout			32,137	66.15
Eligible voters			48,584
Toronto Star[13]

1987 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%
	New Democratic	Ruth Grier	14,821	44.59
	Liberal	Frank Sgarlata	12,454	37.47
	Progressive Conservative	Al Kolyn	4,760	14.32
	Family Coalition	Michael Doyle	1,203	3.62
Total valid votes			33,238	100.00
Turnout			33,529	65.88
Eligible voters			50,895
Elections Ontario:[14]
Toronto Star:[15]

2007 electoral reform referendum

2007 Ontario electoral reform referendum
Side		Votes	%
	First Past the Post	25,800	60.8
	Mixed member proportional	16,658	39.2
	Total valid votes	42,458	100.0