Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke (provincial electoral district)

For the federal electoral district, see Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke (federal electoral district).

Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke is a provincial electoral district in Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario since 1999.

Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke

Ontario electoral district
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke shown within the Eastern Ontario region
Provincial electoral district
Legislature	Legislative Assembly of Ontario
MPP	Billy Denault Progressive Conservative
District created	1999
First contested	1999
Last contested	2025
Demographics
Population (2016)	103,495
Electors (2018)	81,550
Area (km²)	12,385
Pop. density (per km²)	8.4
Census division(s)	Nipissing, Renfrew
Census subdivision(s)	Arnprior, Bonnechere Valley, Deep River, Laurentian Valley, Madawaska Valley, McNab/Braeside, Pembroke, Petawawa, Renfrew, Whitewater Region

It is represented by Billy Denault of the Progressive Conservative Party.

The population of the riding in 2006 was 98,803.

Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke includes all of Renfrew County and a small section of Nipissing District around Algonquin Provincial Park.

The largest community in the riding is the city of Pembroke; other communities include Arnprior, Barry's Bay, Chalk River, Cobden, Deep River, Eganville, Killaloe, Petawawa and Renfrew.

Until recently, the riding was a Liberal stronghold both federally and provincially; however, a growing agricultural and religious base has turned this into one of the most conservative areas in Ontario. It was the only riding the Liberals had and lost in the 2003 provincial election.

Geography

The riding consists of

• the County of Renfrew; and
• the part of the Territorial District of Nipissing lying south and east of and including the townships of Deacon, Lister, Anglin, Dickson, Preston and Airy.

History

The provincial electoral district was created in 1999 when provincial ridings were defined to have the same borders as federal ridings.

Members of Provincial Parliament

Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke
Assembly	Years	Member		Party
Riding created
37th	1999–2003		Sean Conway	Liberal
38th	2003–2007		John Yakabuski	Progressive Conservative
39th	2007–2011
40th	2011–2014
41st	2014–2018
42nd	2018–2022
43rd	2022–2025
44th	2025–present		Billy Denault

Election results

2025 Ontario general election
The 2025 general election will be held on February 27.
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Progressive Conservative	Billy Denault	24,297	54.8%	-6.32
	Liberal	Oliver Jacob	9,804	22.1%	+12.33
	New Democratic	Marshall Buchanan	6,607	14.9%	-2.2
	Ontario Party	Kevin Holm	1,587	3.6%	+0.71
	Green	Anna Dolan	1,123	2.5%	-1.1
	New Blue	Mark Dickson	893	2%	-2.65
Total valid votes/expense limit
Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots
Turnout
Eligible voters

v t e 2022 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Progressive Conservative	John Yakabuski	24,563	61.12	−8.07	$37,426
	New Democratic	Kurt Stoll	6,872	17.10	+0.36	$29,868
	Liberal	Oliver A. Jacob	3,928	9.77	+0.02	$1,685
	New Blue	Thomas O'Connor	1,868	4.65		$8,416
	Green	Anna Dolan	1,470	3.66	+0.68	$455
	Ontario Party	Kade MacWilliams	1,162	2.89		$2,875
	Confederation of Regions	Murray Reid	325	0.81	+0.03	$642
Total valid votes/expense limit			40,188	99.41	+0.47	$122,280
Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots			239	0.59	-0.47
Turnout			40,427	46.29	-13.45
Eligible voters			85,768
	Progressive Conservative hold		Swing		−4.22
Source(s) "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 2022. Archived from the original on 2023-05-18. "Statistical Summary by Electoral District" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 2022. Archived from the original on 2023-05-21.

v t e 2018 Ontario general election: Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	John Yakabuski	33,350	69.19	+8.13
	New Democratic	Ethel Lavalley	8,066	16.73	+2.27
	Liberal	Jackie Agnew	4,701	9.75	-9.35
	Green	Anna Dolan	1,436	2.98	-0.25
	Confederation of Regions	Murray Reid	373	0.77	-0.42
	Libertarian	Jesse Wood	273	0.57
Total valid votes			48,199	100.00
Turnout				61.99
Eligible voters			77,758
	Progressive Conservative hold		Swing
Source: Elections Ontario[1]

v t e 2014 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	John Yakabuski	25,241	61.06	-9.72
	Liberal	Rod Boileau	7,897	19.10	+3.12
	New Democratic	Brian Dougherty	5,978	14.46	+3.49
	Green	Benjamin Wright	1,337	3.23	+1.76
	Confederation of Regions	Murray Reid	489	1.19	+0.40
	Independent	Chad Beckwith-Smith	392	0.95
Total valid votes			41,334	100.00
	Progressive Conservative hold		Swing		-6.42
Source: Elections Ontario[2]

2011 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	John Yakabuski	27,594	70.78	+8.43
	Liberal	John O'Leary	6,231	15.98	–8.73
	New Democratic	Brian Dougherty	4,277	10.97	+3.38
	Green	Kyle Jones	574	1.47	–2.96
	Confederation of Regions	Murray Reid	309	0.79	+0.59
Total valid votes			38,985	100.0
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			107	0.27
Turnout			39,092	52.69
Eligible voters			74,191
	Progressive Conservative hold		Swing		+8.58
Source: Elections Ontario[3]

2007 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	John Yakabuski	24,975	62.35	+18.21
	Liberal	Sean Kelly	9,905	24.71	-17.95
	New Democratic	Felicite Stairs	3,038	7.59	-4.07
	Green	Mark MacKenzie	1,777	4.43	+2.89
	Family Coalition	Bruce Dean	292	0.72
	Confederation of Regions	Tilton Beaumont	76	0.20
Total valid votes			40,063	100.0

2003 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	John Yakabuski	19,274	44.14	+3.76
	Liberal	Derek Nighbor	18,629	42.66	-10.69
	New Democratic	Felicite Stairs	5,092	11.66	+6.44
	Green	Chris Walker	671	1.54	+0.89
Total valid votes			43,666	100.0

1999 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%
	Liberal	Sean Conway	23,435	53.35
	Progressive Conservative	Leo Jordan	17,738	40.38
	New Democratic	Gerry Boyer	2,295	5.22
	Green	Thane C. Heins	287	0.65
	Natural Law	Andr Giordano	172	0.39
Total valid votes			43,927	100.0

2007 Electoral Reform Referendum

2007 Ontario electoral reform referendum
Side		Votes	%
	First Past the Post	28,818	74.5
	Mixed member proportional	9,859	25.5
	Total valid votes	38,677	100.0