2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election

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2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election

The 2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of West Virginia, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Republican state Attorney General Patrick Morrisey was elected to his first term in office after defeating Democratic Huntington mayor Steve Williams in the general election.[1] Incumbent Republican Jim Justice was term-limited and was unable to seek re-election to a third consecutive term in office; he instead ran for the U.S. Senate.[2]

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election

 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 
 
Nominee Patrick Morrisey Steve Williams
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 459,300 233,976
Percentage 62.0% 31.6%

Morrisey:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Governor before election

Jim Justice
Republican

Elected Governor

Patrick Morrisey
Republican

Close

First elected in 2016 as a Democrat by 6.8 percentage points, Justice switched parties in August 2017 and won re-election in 2020 as a Republican by 33.3 percentage points. Primary elections took place on May 14, 2024.[3] This is the first time since 1972 that Republicans won consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state. However, Morrisey performed worse than Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, who outperformed Morrisey by 7.98 percentage points. Additionally, Williams outperformed Kamala Harris by 3.48 percentage points.

Background

A conservative rural southeastern state, West Virginia is considered extremely Republican at the federal and state levels; Republicans hold all statewide executive offices and supermajorities in both state legislative houses, and from 2015 until he became an Independent in 2024, Senator Joe Manchin had been the state's only congressional Democrat. In the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump carried West Virginia by 38.93 percentage points.

With Jim Justice term-limited and unable to run for a third consecutive term as Governor, the Republican primary was expected to be competitive and crowded. Most analysts considered Republicans to be a heavy favorite, given the state's partisan lean and the margin from the previous election.[4]

Republican primary

Summarize
Perspective

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Moore Capito

Federal politicians

Statewide politicians

Newspapers

Chris Miller

Individuals

Patrick Morrisey

Debates

More information No., Date ...
2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election Republican primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican Republican Republican
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Morrisey Capito Miller Warner
1 Dec. 8, 2023 MetroNews Hoppy Kercheval YouTube A P P P
2 Feb. 29, 2024 Hoppy Kercheval YouTube P P P P
3 Apr. 30, 2024 WSAZ-3 WSAZ-3 P P P P
Close

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of April 28, 2024, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of April 28, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Patrick Morrisey (R) $3,624,343 $3,078,086 $695,276
Moore Capito (R) $2,131,285 $1,519,377 $599,354
Chris Miller (R) $1,615,788 $6,175,751 $519,538
Mac Warner (R) $559,038 $372,948 $172,787
Source: West Virginia Secretary of State[25]
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Moore
Capito
Chris
Miller
Patrick
Morrisey
Mac
Warner
Other Undecided
Emerson College[26] May 2–5, 2024 558 (LV) ± 4.1% 29% 21% 33% 15% 3%[b]
Research America[27][A] April 24 – May 1, 2024 407 (LV) ± 4.9% 24% 25% 32% 10% 3% 6%
NMB Research[28][B] April 20–22, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 31% 14% 23% 13% 18%
Research America[29][A] April 3–9, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 29% 16% 31% 12% 3% 10%
WPA Intelligence[30][C] April 1–3, 2024 501 (LV) ± 4.4% 20% 19% 37% 14% 9%
Emerson College[31] March 19–21, 2024 735 (LV) ± 3.6% 14% 16% 33% 6% 29%
WPA Intelligence[32][C] November 27–29, 2023 507 (LV) ± 4.4% 23% 10% 39% 14% 14%
American Pulse Research
& Polling
(R)[33][D]
November 13–14, 2023 414 (LV) ± 4.8% 23% 10% 31% 14% 23%
CAMP[34][E] November 10–12, 2023 863 (LV) ± 3.26% 18% 11% 24% 21% 5% 21%
Orion Strategies[35][F] June 17–20, 2023 651 (LV) ± 6.0% 30% 5% 31% 9% 8%[c] 17%
National Research Inc.[36] February 23–28, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 15% 6% 28% 11% 6%[d] 29%
Close

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
  Morrisey
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Capito
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Miller
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Patrick Morrisey 75,111 33.28%
Republican Moore Capito 62,181 27.55%
Republican Chris Miller 46,010 20.39%
Republican Mac Warner 36,170 16.03%
Republican Mitch Roberts 3,138 1.39%
Republican Kevin Christian 3,088 1.37%
Total votes 225,698 100.00%
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Williams 89,545 100.00%
Total votes 89,545 100.00%
Close

Other candidates

Mountain Party

Nominee

Libertarian Party

Nominee

  • Erika Kolenich, attorney and nominee for governor in 2020[42]

Constitution Party

Nominee

Independents

Declined

  • Joe Manchin, U.S. Senator (2010–2025) and former governor (2005–2010) (endorsed Williams)[44]

General election

Summarize
Perspective

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[45] Solid R June 13, 2024
Inside Elections[46] Solid R July 14, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] Safe R June 4, 2024
RCP[48] Solid R July 13, 2024
Elections Daily[49] Safe R July 12, 2023
CNalysis[50] Solid R August 17, 2024
Close

Post-primary endorsements

Patrick Morrisey (R)

Federal officials

Steve Williams (D)

Federal officials

  • Joe Manchin, U.S. Senator (2010–2025) and former governor (2005–2010)[44]

Debates

More information No., Date ...
2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election debate[52]
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Morrisey Williams
1 Oct. 29, 2024 MetroNews Hoppy Kercheval C-SPAN P P
Close

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of October 25, 2024, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of October 25, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Patrick Morrisey (R) $6,824,464 $6,183,264 $1,351,895
Steve Williams (D) $250,255 $92,274 $156,426
Source: West Virginia Secretary of State[53]
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Patrick
Morrisey (R)
Steve
Williams (D)
Undecided
Research America[54][G] August 21–27, 2024 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 49% 35% 16%[e]
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Patrick
Morrisey (R)
Joe
Manchin (I)
Steve
Williams (D)
Other Undecided
Kaplan Strategies[55] June 4, 2024 464 (LV) ± 4.6% 34% 26% 21% 1% 18%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Patrick Morrisey vs. Joe Manchin vs. Steve Williams

Results

Thumb
More information Party, Candidate ...
2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election[58][59]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Patrick Morrisey 459,300 61.99% Decrease 1.50%
Democratic Steve Williams 233,976 31.58% Increase 1.36%
Libertarian Erika Kolenich 21,228 2.87% Steady
Constitution S. Marshall Wilson 16,828 2.27% N/A
Mountain Chase Linko-Looper 9,596 1.30% Decrease 0.14%
Write-in 10 0.00% Decrease 0.05%
Total votes 740,938 100.00% N/A
Republican hold
Close

By congressional district

Morrisey won both congressional districts.[60]

More information District, Morrisey ...
District Morrisey Williams Representative
1st 60% 34% Carol Miller
2nd 63% 30% Alex Mooney (118th Congress)
Riley Moore (119th Congress)
Close

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Mitch Roberts with 2%; Kevin Christian with 1%
  3. J.B. McCuskey with 3%; "Another candidate" with 5%
  4. J.B. McCuskey and Jeff Mullins with 3%
  5. "Someone else" with 5%

Partisan clients

  1. This poll was sponsored by West Virginia MetroNews and The Health Plan
  2. This poll was sponsored by the Coalition for West Virginia’s Future, which supports Capito
  3. Poll commissioned by Black Bear PAC, which supports Morrissey
  4. This poll was sponsored by WMOV
  5. This poll was sponsored by American Freedom Builders, which supports Warner
  6. This poll was sponsored by the West Virginia Chamber of Commerce
  7. Poll sponsored by West Virginia MetroNews

References

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