2014 United States Senate election in Michigan

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2014 United States Senate election in Michigan

The 2014 United States Senate election in Michigan was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Michigan, concurrently with the election of the governor of Michigan, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
2014 United States Senate election in Michigan

 2008 November 4, 2014 2020 
 
Nominee Gary Peters Terri Lynn Land
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,704,936 1,290,199
Percentage 54.61% 41.33%

Peters:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Land:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      

U.S. senator before election

Carl Levin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Gary Peters
Democratic

Close

Incumbent Democratic Senator Carl Levin decided to retire instead of running for re-election to a seventh term. Primary contests took place on August 5, 2014, with U.S. Representative Gary Peters and former Michigan Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land unopposed on the Democratic and Republican primary ballots, respectively.[1] Peters defeated Land in the general election, becoming the only freshman Democratic senator in the 114th Congress.

This was the first open seat election in Michigan since 1994 and the first on this seat since 1918. This was the first election since 1990 that the winner was of a different party than the concurrent gubernatorial election.

Democratic primary

Summarize
Perspective

Candidates

Declared

Failed to qualify

Declined

Endorsements

Gary Peters

Politicians

Newspapers and other media

Organizations

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Deborah
Dingell
Jennifer
Granholm
Dan
Kildee
Gary
Peters
Other Undecided Harper Polling[29] March 9–10, 2013 ± 23.29% 57.50% 6.40% 12.81% 45% 25%
Mitchell Research[30] March 19 & 21, 2013 387 ±4.98% 30%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gary Peters 504,102 100.00%
Total votes 504,102 100.00%
Close

Republican primary

Summarize
Perspective

After Terri Lynn Land declared her candidacy in June 2013, Republicans attempted to recruit U.S. Representative Dave Camp and Oakland County District Court Judge Kimberly Small to run instead.[32] Camp, after earlier having said that he was not interested in running, reconsidered it, and Land indicated that she would consider dropping out if Camp decided to run.[33] Republicans were initially reluctant to rally around Land,[34][35] but after Camp and Small declined to run, other Republicans like U.S. Representative Justin Amash and Holland Mayor Kurt Dykstra also said no, and a late attempt to convince cardiologist Rob Steele to run failed, Land emerged as the de facto nominee.[35]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Matthew Wiedenhoeft, businessman and former minor league hockey player and coach (running for the state house)[3][37]

Declined

Endorsements

Terri Lynn Land

Politicians

Organizations

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Justin
Amash
Saul
Anuzis
Dave
Camp
Kurt
Dykstra
Roger
Kahn
Terri Lynn
Land
Pete
Lund
Jim
Murray
Mike
Rogers
G. Scott
Romney
Ronna Romney
McDaniel
Kimberly
Small
Rob
Steele
Undecided
Harper Polling[66] March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ±2.35% 10.57% 8.94% 17.07% 25.85% 37.56%
Mitchell Research[30] March 19 & 21, 2013 438 ±4.68% 18% 11% 21% 19% 31%
Murray Comm's[67] May 20, 2013 1,158 ±4.68% 10.28% 1.38% 9.93% 5.18% 28.84% 4.66% 1.21% 35.66% 2.85%
PPP[68] May 30 – June 2, 2013 334 ±5.4% 16% 7% 21% 1% 15% 18% 2% 1% 20%
Harper Polling[69] September 4, 2013 958 ±3.17% 16% 45% 2% 4% 33%
50% 13% 37%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Terri Lynn Land 588,084 100.00%
Total votes 588,084 100.00%
Close

Minor parties

Libertarian Party

U.S. Taxpayers Party

  • Richard A. Matkin[72]

Green Party

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Jeff Jones, retired financial services industry worker and pastor[74]
  • Paul Marineau, attorney and former mayor pro tem of Douglas[75]

General election

Summarize
Perspective

Campaign

Early on, the open seat was considered to be competitive. However, various missteps by the Land campaign[76] as well as Land's reluctance to appear in public after suffering a meltdown in front of the media in May,[77][78] weighed down the Land campaign, allowing Peters to open up a consistent lead in the polls beginning in September. The Republican establishment effectively gave up on Land's campaign the following month.[79][80]

Debates

Peters agreed to four debates; Land did not respond to invitations.[81] Negotiations between the Land and Peters campaigns broke down over the format of proposed debates between the two candidates.[82]

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[83] Lean D November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[84] Likely D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[85] Likely D November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[86] Likely D November 3, 2014
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Terri Lynn
Land (R)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling[29] March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 21% 29% 50%
Mitchell Research[87] March 19 & 21, 2013 571 ± 4.1% 33% 32% 35%
Public Policy Polling[88] May 30 – June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 41% 36% 23%
Denno Research[89] July 23–24, 2013 600 ± 4% 39% 39% 22%
Mitchell Research[90] August 26, 2013 1,881 ± 2.23% 36% 39% 25%
EPIC-MRA[91] September 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 38% 37% 25%
MRG/Mitchell Research[92] October 6–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 39% 40% 21%
Public Policy Polling[93] October 14–15, 2013 642 ± 3.9% 43% 36% 21%
Inside Michigan Politics[94] October 29, 2013 794 ± 4% 43% 38% 19%
Denno Research[95] November 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% 37% 36% 27%
Public Policy Polling[96] December 5–8, 2013 1,034 ± 3% 40% 42% 18%
Harper Polling[97] January 7–8, 2014 1,004 ± 3.09% 36% 44% 20%
Rasmussen Reports[98] January 14–15, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 35% 37% 8% 20%
Harper Polling[99] January 19–20, 2014 750 ± 3.58% 37% 42% 21%
EPIC-MRA[100] February 5–11, 2014 600 ± 4% 38% 41% 21%
Clarity Campaigns[101] February 22–23, 2014 859 ± 2.55% 46% 40% 14%
Denno Research[102] March 9–10, 2014 600 ± 4% 40% 37% 2% 22%
Marketing Resource Group[103] March 24–28, 2014 600 ± 4.1% 38% 40% 22%
Public Policy Polling[104] April 3–6, 2014 825 ± 3.4% 41% 36% 23%
Mitchell Research[105] April 9, 2014 1,460 ± 2.56% 38% 44% 18%
Harper Polling[106] April 7–8, 2014 538 ± 4.22% 40% 43% 18%
Magellan Strategies[107] April 14–15, 2014 875 ± 3.31% 46% 41% 8% 5%
Hickman Analytics[108] April 24–30, 2014 502 ± 4.4% 42% 37% 21%
EPIC-MRA[109] May 17–20, 2014 600 ± 4% 44% 38% 18%
Glengariff Group[110] May 20–22, 2014 600 ± 4.3% 40% 35% 25%
Mitchell Research[111] June 6, 2014 961 ± 3.16% 45% 42% 14%
Magellan Strategies[112] June 5 & 8, 2014 753 ± 3.57% 50% 41% 5% 4%
Public Policy Polling[113] June 26–29, 2014 578 ± 4.1% 41% 36% 24%
NBC News/Marist[114] July 7–10, 2014 870 ± 3.3% 43% 37% 2% 19%
Denno Research[115] July 9–11, 2014 600 ± 4% 40% 37% 23%
EPIC-MRA[116] July 12–15, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 36% 19%
Mitchell Research[117] July 7–17, 2014 600 ± 4% 43% 38% 19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[118] July 5–24, 2014 3,849 ± 2.8% 44% 45% 1% 10%
Benenson Strategy Group[119] July 26–29, 2014 900 ± 3.2% 47% 42% 11%
Rasmussen Reports[120] July 28–29, 2014 750 ± 4% 45% 39% 6% 10%
Marketing Resource Group[121] July 26–30, 2014 600 ± 4% 47% 40% 13%
Harper Polling[122] August 4–5, 2014 549 ± 4.18% 45% 44% 11%
Mitchell Research[123] August 5, 2014 626 ± 5% 45% 44% 11%
Lake Research Partners[124] August 6–11, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 42% 38% 19%
EPIC-MRA[125] August 22–25, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 39% 16%
Mitchell Research[126] August 27, 2014 1,004 ± 3.09% 46% 44% 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[127] August 18 – September 2, 2014 2,897 ± 3% 42% 43% 2% 13%
Glengariff Group[128] September 3–5, 2014 600 ± 4% 47% 37% 4% 13%
Public Policy Polling[129] September 4–7, 2014 687 ± 3.7% 43% 36% 7%[130] 13%
45% 40% 15%
Suffolk[131] September 6–10, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 46% 37% 6%[132] 11%
Denno Research[133] September 11–13, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 38% 18%
Mitchell Research[134] September 14, 2014 829 ± 3.4% 43% 41% 8%[135] 9%
Magellan Strategies[136] September 14–15, 2014 717 ± 3.66% 45% 40% 5%[137] 5%
Rasmussen Reports[120] September 17–18, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% 39% 5% 15%
We Ask America[138] September 18–19, 2014 1,182 ± 3% 42% 39% 5%[139] 14%
Public Policy Polling[140] September 18–19, 2014 852 ± 3.4% 47% 40% 13%
Target Insyght[141] September 22–24, 2014 616 ± 4% 48% 38% 6% 7%
EPIC-MRA[142] September 25–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 42% 33% 11% 14%
Mitchell Research[143] September 29, 2014 1,178 ± 2.86% 49% 36% 5%[139] 9%
Lake Research Partners[124] September 27–30, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 36% 18%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[144] September 20 – October 1, 2014 2,560 ± 2% 46% 41% 2% 11%
Marketing Resource Group[145] September 30 – October 2, 2014 600 ± 4% 47% 36% 16%
Public Policy Polling[146] October 2–3, 2014 654 ± 3.8% 49% 42% 9%
Glengariff Group[147] October 2–4, 2014 600 ± 4% 44% 35% 6% 15%
Wenzel Strategies[148] October 6–7, 2014 615 ± 3.93% 47% 44% 9%
Mitchell Research[149] October 9, 2014 1,306 ± 2.71% 48% 43% 4%[150] 6%
Mitchell Research[151] October 12, 2014 1,340 ± 2.68% 50% 39% 4%[152] 8%
Lake Research Partners[153] October 11–13, 2014  ? ± ? 49% 37% 14%
Clarity Campaign Labs[154] October 12–14, 2014 967 ± 3.16% 49% 36% 18%
EPIC-MRA[155] October 17–19, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 34% 4% 16%
Mitchell Research[156] October 19, 2014 919 ± 3.23% 51% 38% 4%[152] 7%
Clarity Campaign Labs[157] October 19–20, 2014 1,032 ± ? 48% 33% 19%
Public Policy Polling[158] October 20–21, 2014 723 ± ? 53% 39% 8%
Rasmussen Reports[120] October 20–22, 2014 1,000 ± 3% 51% 42% 3% 4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[144] October 16–23, 2014 2,394 ± 3% 49% 41% 1% 10%
Glengariff Group[159] October 22–24, 2014 600 ± 4% 48% 33% 6% 14%
Mitchell Research[160] October 27, 2014 1,159 ± 2.88% 52% 38% 5%[161] 5%
EPIC-MRA[162] October 26–28, 2014 600 ± 4% 50% 35% 5% 10%
Public Policy Polling[163] November 1–2, 2014 914 ± 3.2% 51% 38% 4%[152] 6%
54% 41% 5%
Mitchell Research[164] November 2, 2014 1,224 ± 2.8% 52% 40% 4%[152] 4%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Deborah
Dingell (D)
Justin
Amash (R)
Other Undecided
Mitchell Research[30] March 19 & 21, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 38% 28% 34%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Deborah
Dingell (D)
Terri Lynn
Land (R)
Other Undecided
Mitchell Research[30] March 19 & 21, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 31% 35% 34%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Deborah
Dingell (D)
Mike
Rogers (R)
Other Undecided
Mitchell Research[30] March 19 & 21, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 34% 29% 37%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Deborah
Dingell (D)
Ronna Romney
McDaniel (R)
Other Undecided
Mitchell Research[30] March 19 & 21, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 36% 29% 35%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jennifer
Granholm (D)
Justin
Amash (R)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling[29] March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 42% 34% 23%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jennifer
Granholm (D)
Terri Lynn
Land (R)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling[29] March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 43% 40% 17%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jennifer
Granholm (D)
Mike
Rogers (R)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling[29] March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 42% 40% 18%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jennifer
Granholm (D)
G. Scott
Romney (R)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling[29] March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 43% 40% 17%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carl
Levin (D)
Justin
Amash (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[165] December 13–16, 2012 650 ± 3.8% 53% 32% 15%
Public Policy Polling[166] March 2–4, 2013 702 ± 3.7% 49% 34% 18%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carl
Levin (D)
Roger
Kahn (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[165] December 13–16, 2012 650 ± 3.8% 53% 31% 17%
Public Policy Polling[166] March 2–4, 2013 702 ± 3.7% 50% 30% 20%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carl
Levin (D)
Candice
Miller (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[165] December 13–16, 2012 650 ± 3.8% 52% 34% 14%
Public Policy Polling[166] March 2–4, 2013 702 ± 3.7% 46% 35% 19%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carl
Levin (D)
Mike
Rogers (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[165] December 13–16, 2012 650 ± 3.8% 55% 31% 14%
Public Policy Polling[166] March 2–4, 2013 702 ± 3.7% 49% 33% 18%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carl
Levin (D)
Bill
Schuette (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[165] December 13–16, 2012 650 ± 3.8% 54% 32% 15%
Public Policy Polling[166] March 2–4, 2013 702 ± 3.7% 51% 32% 17%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
LOLGOP[167] (D) Justin
Amash (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[168] May 30 – June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 23% 22% 55%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Justin
Amash (R)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling[29] March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 23% 19% 57%
Mitchell Research[30] March 19 & 21, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 39% 29% 32%
Public Policy Polling[88] May 30 – June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 42% 30% 29%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Saul
Anuzis (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] May 30 – June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 44% 24% 32%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Dave
Camp (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] May 30 – June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 43% 31% 26%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Kurt
Dykstra (R)
Other Undecided
Mitchell Research[90] August 26, 2013 1,881 ± 2.23% 38% 37% 25%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Roger
Kahn (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] May 30 – June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 44% 26% 30%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Mike
Rogers (R)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling[29] March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 20% 23% 57%
Mitchell Research[30] March 19 & 21, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 36% 31% 33%
EPIC-MRA[169] May 11–15, 2013 600 ± 4% 37% 30% 33%
Public Policy Polling[88] May 30 – June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 42% 32% 25%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
G. Scott
Romney (R)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling[29] March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 26% 29% 45%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Ronna Romney
McDaniel (R)
Other Undecided
Mitchell Research[30] March 19 & 21, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 36% 29% 35%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Kimberly
Small (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] May 30 – June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 42% 26% 32%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Rob
Steele (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] May 30 – June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 44% 26% 29%
Close
Hypothetical polling

With Dingell

With Granholm

With Levin

With LOLGOP

With Peters

Results

Peters was declared the winner right when the polls closed in Michigan.

More information Party, Candidate ...
2014 United States Senate election in Michigan[170]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Gary Peters 1,704,936 54.61% −8.05%
Republican Terri Lynn Land 1,290,199 41.33% +7.48%
Libertarian Jim Fulner 62,897 2.01% +0.44%
Constitution Richard Matkin 37,529 1.20% +0.56%
Green Chris Wahmhoff 26,137 0.84% −0.06%
Write-in 77 0.00% N/A
Total votes 3,121,775 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold
Close

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[171][172]

By congressional district

Peters won 9 of 14 congressional districts, including four that elected Republicans.[173]

More information District, Peters ...
Close

Post-election

Land ended up paying a fee of $66,000 to the Federal Election Commission for a violation of the Federal Election Campaign Act related to the 2014 campaign.[174][175]

Peters would run again in 2020 to retain the Senate seat he won,[176] while Land would go on to win a seat on the Board of Governors for Wayne State University in the same year.[177]

See also

References

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