The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 18 U.S. representatives from the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's 18 congressional districts.
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All 18 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The elections coincided with the 2018 gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
In January 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional map, ruling it had been unfairly gerrymandered to favor Republicans. New maps were subsequently adopted in February 2018.[1][2]
The 2018 general election saw the Democrats gain four seats and the Republicans gain one seat, for a Democratic net gain of three seats, changing the state's representation from 12 to 6 Republican to a 9–9 tie. In addition, Pennsylvanians in several districts elected female candidates to the U.S. House, thus ending four years of all-male Congressional representation in the state.[3]
Redistricting
In January 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional map, ruling it had been unfairly gerrymandered to favor Republicans.[4][5] New maps were subsequently adopted in February 2018, for use in the 2018 elections and took effect with representation in 2019.[2]
Overview
Statewide
Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Democratic | 18 | 2,712,665 | 54.92% | 9 | 3 | 50.00% | |
Republican | 17 | 2,206,260 | 44.67% | 9 | 3 | 50.00% | |
Libertarian | 2 | 10,950 | 0.22% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Write-in | 1 | 9,452 | 0.19% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Total | 38 | 4,939,327 | 100.0% | 18 | 100.00% |
District
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania:[6]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 160,745 | 48.74% | 169,053 | 51.26% | 0 | 0.00% | 329,798 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 159,600 | 79.02% | 42,382 | 20.98% | 0 | 0.00% | 201,982 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 3 | 287,610 | 93.38% | 20,387 | 6.62% | 0 | 0.00% | 307,997 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 4 | 211,524 | 63.52% | 121,467 | 36.48% | 0 | 0.00% | 332,991 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 5 | 198,639 | 65.19% | 106,075 | 34.81% | 0 | 0.00% | 304,714 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 6 | 177,704 | 58.88% | 124,124 | 41.12% | 0 | 0.00% | 301,828 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 7 | 140,813 | 53.49% | 114,437 | 43.47% | 8,011 | 3.04% | 263,261 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 8 | 135,603 | 54.64% | 112,563 | 45.36% | 0 | 0.00% | 248,166 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 9 | 100,204 | 40.25% | 148,723 | 59.75% | 0 | 0.00% | 248,927 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 10 | 141,668 | 48.68% | 149,365 | 51.32% | 0 | 0.00% | 291,033 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 11 | 113,876 | 41.02% | 163,708 | 58.98% | 0 | 0.00% | 277,584 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 12 | 82,825 | 33.96% | 161,047 | 66.04% | 0 | 0.00% | 243,872 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 13 | 74,733 | 29.51% | 178,533 | 70.49% | 0 | 0.00% | 253,266 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 14 | 110,051 | 42.09% | 151,386 | 57.91% | 0 | 0.00% | 261,437 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
District 15 | 78,327 | 32.16% | 165,245 | 67.84% | 0 | 0.00% | 243,572 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 16 | 124,109 | 47.30% | 135,348 | 51.58% | 2,939 | 1.12% | 262,396 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 17 | 183,162 | 56.26% | 142,417 | 43.74% | 0 | 0.00% | 325,579 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
District 18 | 231,472 | 96.08% | 0 | 0.00% | 9,452 | 3.92% | 240,924 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
Total | 2,712,665 | 54.92%% | 2,206,260 | 44.67% | 20,402 | 0.41% | 4,939,327 | 100.0% |
District 1
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Fitzpatrick: 50–60% 60–70% Wallace: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district previously consisted of central and South Philadelphia, the City of Chester, the Philadelphia International Airport and other small sections of Delaware County.[7] Under the new congressional map that was in place in 2019 (represented per 2018's elections), the first district overlaps with much of the former 8th district, which was represented by Republican Representative Brian Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick took office in 2017, succeeding his brother, former Representative Mike Fitzpatrick. The new 1st district consists of Bucks County and a small portion of Montgomery County.[7]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Brian Fitzpatrick, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Dean Malik, former Bucks County Assistant District Attorney and candidate for this seat in 2010 & 2016[8]
Withdrawn
- Valerie Mihalek, former Yardley Borough council member and deputy district director for former U.S. Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick[9]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) | 31,374 | 67.00 | |
Republican | Dean Malik | 15,451 | 33.00 | |
Total votes | 46,825 | 100.00 |
Democratic primary
The old 8th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.[10]
Candidates
Nominee
- Scott Wallace, charitable foundation director and grandson of former Vice President Henry Wallace[11]
Eliminated in primary
Declined
- Diane Ellis-Marseglia, Bucks County commissioner[14]
Campaign
The race featured a number of negative ads between Reddick and Wallace. With Reddick's campaign releasing an ad calling Wallace a “Maryland multi-millionaire” and stating that he had case an absentee ballot cast from his second home in a South African “gated luxury estate”. The Wallace campaign responded with an ad higlishting Reddick flubbing a question about the so-called “global gag rule” during a campaign stop in Ottsville,[15] and for her having been registered as a Republican for most of her adult life.[16]
Many DC Democrats expressed excitement about Wallace's potential to spend big to defeat Fitzpatrick, especially in the expensive Philadelphia market. He loaned his campaign $2.5 million while Reddick only raised $363,000 and was shunned by most party strategists.[17]
Endorsements
U.S. Representatives
- Lois Frankel, U.S. Representative from Florida's 21st congressional district[18]
- Seth Moulton, U.S. Representative from Massachusetts's 6th congressional district[19]
Statewide officials
Organizations
- EMILY's List[21]
- Moms Demand Action
- Montgomery County Democratic Committee[22]
- VoteVets[23]
- With Honor Fund
Organizations
- Bucks County Democratic Committee[24]
- Congressional Progressive Caucus
- Friends of the Earth Action[25]
- People for the American Way[26]
Local officials
- Diane Ellis-Marseglia, Bucks County commissioner
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Scott Wallace | 27,652 | 56.49 | |
Democratic | Rachel Reddick | 17,288 | 35.32 | |
Democratic | Steven Bacher | 4,006 | 8.18 | |
Total votes | 48,946 | 100.00 |
General election
Endorsements
U.S. Representative
Statewide officials
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[28]
- American Federation of Government Employees
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees
- Communications Workers of America[29]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[30]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters
- International Organization of Masters, Mates & Pilots
- National Education Association
- United Mine Workers of America
Organizations
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, former vice president of the United States
- Barack Obama, former president of the United States[34]
U.S. Senators
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)
Labor unions
Organizations
- 21st Century Democrats
- Congressional Progressive Caucus
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[37]
- End Citizens United[38]
- Friends of the Earth Action
- Indivisible[39]
- J Street
- Moms Demand Action
- MoveOn[40]
- National Organization for Women
- People for the American Way
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
- Sierra Club[41]
- Working Families Party[42]
Local officials
- Diane Ellis-Marseglia, Bucks County commissioner
Organizations
- Firearm Owners Against Crime[43]
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Brian Fitzpatrick | Scott Wallace | |||||
1 | October 19, 2018 | Bucks County Chamber of Commerce Pennsylvania Cable Network League of Women Voters of Bucks County |
Carlo Borgia | [44] | P | P |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Fitzpatrick (R) |
Scott Wallace (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College[45] | October 26–29, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.7% | 47% | 46% | – | 7% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[46] | October 11–14, 2018 | 570 | ± 4.6% | 43% | 50% | – | 8% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Fitzpatrick)[47] | October 2–4, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 42% | – | – |
Monmouth University[48] | September 27 – October 1, 2018 | 353 | ± 5.2% | 50% | 46% | 1% | 3% |
Monmouth University[49] | May 31 – June 3, 2018 | 254 LV | ± 6.5% | 48% | 47% | 0% | 5% |
451 RV | ± 4.6% | 49% | 42% | 1% | 8% | ||
DCCC (D)[50] | May 12–14, 2018 | 540 | ± 4.2% | 48% | 46% | — | 6% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) | 169,053 | 51.26 | |
Democratic | Scott Wallace | 160,745 | 48.74 | |
Total votes | 329,798 | 100.00 | ||
Republican hold |
Analysis
Fitzpatrick held out to win re-election, despite many similar suburban districts held by Republicans falling to Democrats in the 2018 cycle. Fitzpatrick did this by establishing a reputation for himself as an independent centrist who attained endorsements from several usually-left-leaning and nonpartisan groups without enraging the more fervently pro-Trump wing of the Republican party. Analysts considered the Democratic nominee Scott Wallace an unusually weak candidate: he was a wealthy heir who moved to the district, opening up accusations of carpetbagging, and made several gaffes and missteps. Editor Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report wrote that Wallace was perhaps the weakest candidate of the 2018 cycle.[60]
District 2
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Boyle: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Torres: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district consists of the northern half of Philadelphia. It mostly overlaps with the old 1st District. That district's incumbent, Democrat Bob Brady, had served since 1998, but did not run for reelection. The incumbent of the old 2nd district is Dwight Evans, but Evans opted to follow most of his constituents into the 3rd District.[7]
The new map drew the home of fellow Democrat Brendan Boyle, who had represented the neighboring 13th District since 2015, into the 2nd, leading to speculation that he would run for reelection there. Soon after the new map was released, Boyle confirmed that he would indeed run in the 2nd.[61]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Brendan Boyle, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Michele Lawrence, former Senior Vice President for Wells Fargo[62]
Declined
- Bob Brady, incumbent U.S. Representative
Endorsements
Labor unions
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brendan Boyle (incumbent) | 23,261 | 64.5 | |
Democratic | Michele Lawrence | 12,814 | 35.5 | |
Total votes | 36,075 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Torres, community activist
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Torres | 7,443 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 7,443 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brendan Boyle (incumbent) | 159,600 | 79.0 | |
Republican | David Torres | 42,382 | 21.0 | |
Total votes | 201,982 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 3
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Evans: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district was previously located in Northwestern Pennsylvania, but now covers downtown and northern Philadelphia, and overlaps with much of the previous 2nd district.[7] The incumbent from the 2nd district is Democrat Dwight Evans, who had held office since 2016. Evans defeated incumbent Democratic Representative Chaka Fattah in the 2016 Democratic primary, and then went on to be elected with 90% in both the general election and a simultaneous special election for the remainder of the term after Fattah resigned.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dwight Evans, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Kevin Johnson
Endorsements
Labor unions
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dwight Evans (incumbent) | 72,106 | 80.8 | |
Democratic | Kevin Johnson | 17,153 | 19.2 | |
Total votes | 89,259 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bryan Leib
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bryan E. Leib | 3,331 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 3,331 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dwight Evans (incumbent) | 287,610 | 93.4 | |
Republican | Bryan E. Leib | 20,387 | 6.6 | |
Total votes | 307,997 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 4
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Dean: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% David: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The old 4th district was in South Central Pennsylvania, but the new 4th district is centered in Montgomery County. The district overlaps with the former 13th district. The incumbent from this district, Democrat Brendan Boyle, could have sought re-election in either this district or the new 2nd district, which absorbed his home and most of old 13th's share of Philadelphia.[7] Boyle opted to run in the 2nd, making the 4th an open seat.
Democratic primary
State Senator Daylin Leach had announced that he would run for Congress in the old 7th District, but was expected to switch races after his home was drawn into the new 4th. However, on February 24, 2018, Leach succumbed to pressures from fellow Democrats, including Governor Tom Wolf, to abandon his congressional campaign in the face of accusations of sexual harassment. However, he remained in his Pennsylvania Senate seat.[65]
Candidates
Nominee
- Madeleine Dean, state representative
Eliminated in primary
- Shira Goodman, public policy advocate[66]
- Joe Hoeffel, former U.S. Representative, nominee for Senate in 2004 and candidate for governor in 2010[67]
Withdrawn
- Mary Jo Daley, state representative (endorsed Dean)[68]
- Daylin Leach, state senator and candidate for the 13th district in 2014[69]
Declined
- Allyson Schwartz, former U.S. Representative and candidate for governor in 2014[70]
Endorsements
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Madeleine Dean | 42,625 | 72.6 | |
Democratic | Shira Goodman | 9,645 | 16.4 | |
Democratic | Joe Hoeffel | 6,431 | 11.0 | |
Total votes | 58,701 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dan David, investor
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dan David | 28,889 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 28,889 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Executive branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)[71]
State legislators
- Mary Jo Daley, state representative
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[28]
- Communications Workers of America[29]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[30]
- Service Employees International Union[35]
Organizations
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Madeleine Dean | 211,524 | 63.5 | |
Republican | Dan David | 121,467 | 36.5 | |
Total votes | 332,991 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 5
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Scanlon: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kim: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The old 5th district was in North Central Pennsylvania, but the new 5th district consists of Delaware County, portions of southern Philadelphia, and a sliver of Montgomery County. The district overlaps with much of the old 7th district, whose incumbent Republican Representative Pat Meehan chose not to seek re-election, due to allegations regarding a sexual harassment complaint that was settled with the use of taxpayer funds,[7][74] and subsequently resigned from office in April.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Pearl Kim, former Deputy Attorney General of Pennsylvania
Disqualified
- Paul Addis[75]
Declined
- Pat Meehan, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Pearl Kim | 33,685 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 33,685 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mary Gay Scanlon, attorney and former Wallingford-Swarthmore School Board member
Eliminated in primary
- Larry Arata, teacher and environmental advocate
- Margo L. Davidson, state representative
- Thaddeus Kirkland, Mayor of Chester
- Richard Lazer, former Deputy Mayor of Philadelphia
- Lindy Li, financial manager and candidate for this seat in 2014
- Ashley Lunkenheimer, former assistant U.S. attorney in the Eastern District of Pennsylvania
- Molly Sheehan, scientist
- Greg Vitali, state representative
- Theresa Wright, entrepreneur
Withdrawn
Endorsements
Labor unions
- Pennsylvania Conference of Teamsters[75]
- United Association Local 690[75]
Governors
- Ed Rendell, former Governor of Pennsylvania (2003–2011)[80]
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Margo Davidson |
Thaddeus Kirkland |
Rich Lazer |
Lindy Li |
Ashley Lunkenheimer |
Mary Gay Scanlon |
Molly Sheehan |
Greg Vitali |
Theresa Wright |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chism Strategies Advocacy & Elections[81] | May 2018 | 638 | ±3.8 | — | — | 7% | — | 11% | 22% | — | 17% | — | — | 57% |
Independence Communications and Consulting[82] | April 2018 | 858 | ±3.3 | — | — | 7% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 7% | 13% | — | 7% | 27% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Vitali)[83] | April 23–24, 2018 | 562 | — | 5% | 4% | 5% | — | 6% | 18% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 5% | 25% |
Forum
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Larry Arata | George Badey III | Shelly Chauncey | Margo L. Davidson | Thaddeus Kirkland | Richard Lazer | Lindy Li | Ashley Lunkenheimer | Dan Muroff | Mary Gay Scanlon | Molly Sheehan | Greg Vitali | David Wertime | Theresa Wright | |||||
1[79] | April 5, 2018 | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | A | |||
2[84] | May 1, 2018 | League of Women Voters of Central Delaware County |
Jennifer Levy-Tatum | YouTube | P | W | W | P | A | A | P | P | W | P | P | P | W | P |
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mary Gay Scanlon | 16,804 | 28.4 | |
Democratic | Ashley Lunkenheimer | 9,044 | 15.3 | |
Democratic | Richard Lazer | 8,892 | 15.0 | |
Democratic | Molly Sheehan | 6,099 | 10.3 | |
Democratic | Greg Vitali | 5,558 | 9.4 | |
Democratic | Lindy Li | 4,126 | 7.0 | |
Democratic | Theresa Wright | 3,046 | 5.2 | |
Democratic | Thaddeus Kirkland | 2,327 | 3.9 | |
Democratic | Margo L. Davidson | 2,275 | 3.9 | |
Democratic | Larry Arata | 913 | 1.5 | |
Total votes | 59,084 | 100.0 |
General election
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Mary Gay Scanlon | Pearl Kim | |||||
1 | Oct. 25, 2018 | League of Women Voters of Central Delaware County Pennsylvania Cable Network |
Heidi Gold | C-SPAN | P | P |
Endorsements
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Likely D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Safe D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mary Gay Scanlon | 198,639 | 65.2 | |
Republican | Pearl Kim | 106,075 | 34.8 | |
Total votes | 304,714 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 6
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Houlahan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% McCauley: 50–60% 60–70% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district consists of Chester County and Reading.[7] The incumbent is Republican Ryan Costello, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 57% of the vote in 2016. On March 24, 2018, Costello announced that he would no longer seek re-election due to the growing Democratic voter demographic in the 6th district.[85] Costello formally withdrew his name on March 27.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Greg McCauley
Withdrawn
- Ryan Costello, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg McCauley | 31,611 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 31,611 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chrissy Houlahan, former United States Air Force Captain, engineer and businesswoman
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chrissy Houlahan | 34,947 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 34,947 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Executive branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)[86]
U.S. Senators
- Bob Casey Jr., U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania (2007–present), 34th Treasurer of Pennsylvania (2005–2007), 49th Auditor General of Pennsylvania (1997–2005)[86]
U.S. Representatives
- Brendan Boyle, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district (2015–2019), state representative from the 170th district (2009–2015)[86]
- Matt Cartwright, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district (2013–2019)[86]
- Dwight Evans, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district (2016–2019), state representative from the 203rd district[86]
- Conor Lamb, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district (2018–2019)[87]
State officials
- Jason Kander, 39th Missouri Secretary of State (2013–2017), host of Majority 54 and founder of Let America Vote[88]
- Tom Wolf, 74th governor of Pennsylvania (2015–present)[89]
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[28]
- American Federation of Teachers Pennsylvania[90]
- Communications Workers of America[29]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[30]
- Plumbers and Pipefitters Local 520[86]
- Plumbers Local 690[86]
- Service Employees International Union Pennsylvania State Council[64][35]
- Sheet Metal Workers' Local Union No. 19[86]
Organizations
- 314 Action[86]
- Brady Campaign[72]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[37]
- EMILY's List[73][86]
- End Citizens United[86][38]
- Feminist Majority Political Action Committee[91]
- Human Rights Campaign[92]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[93]
- New Democrat Coalition[94]
- New Politics[86]
- Off the Sidelines[86]
- Sierra Club[41]
- VoteVets.org[86]
- With Honor Fund[95]
Local officials
- John Fetterman, mayor of Braddock (2006–2019) and Democratic nominee for lieutenant governor in 2018[96]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Likely D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chrissy Houlahan | 177,704 | 58.9 | |
Republican | Greg McCauley | 124,124 | 41.1 | |
Total votes | 301,828 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 7
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Wild: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Nothstein: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 7th district was formerly centered on Delaware County, but the new district consisted of much of the Lehigh Valley. The new 7th district overlapped with much of the former 15th district, which was represented by retired Republican Representative Charlie Dent, who resigned early.[7]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Marty Nothstein, chairman of the Lehigh County Board of Commissioners[98]
Eliminated in primary
- Dean Browning, former member of the Lehigh County Board of Commissioners[99]
Withdrawn
- Ryan Mackenzie, state representative[100]
- Mike Pries, Dauphin County commissioner[101]
- Justin Simmons, state representative[102]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Marty Nothstein | 16,004 | 50.5 | |
Republican | Dean Browning | 15,696 | 49.5 | |
Total votes | 31,700 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Susan Wild, former Allentown Solicitor[103]
Eliminated in primary
- David Clark, Catasauqua resident[104]
- Rick Daugherty, former chair of the Lehigh County Democratic Party and nominee for this seat in 2012 & 2016[105]
- Greg Edwards, pastor[106]
- John Morganelli, Northampton County District Attorney, candidate for Pennsylvania Attorney General in 2000, 2004 & 2016 and nominee in 2008[107]
- Roger Ruggles, Easton city councilmember[108]
Withdrawn
Endorsements
State legislators
- Lisa Boscola, State Senator
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Susan Wild | 15,001 | 33.3 | |
Democratic | John Morganelli | 13,565 | 30.1 | |
Democratic | Greg Edwards | 11,510 | 25.6 | |
Democratic | Roger Ruggles | 2,443 | 5.4 | |
Democratic | Rick Daugherty | 1,718 | 3.8 | |
Democratic | David Clark | 766 | 1.7 | |
Total votes | 45,003 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- BIPAC[31]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[113]
Local officials
- Jim Martin, Lehigh County District Attorney[114]
Executive branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)[71]
U.S. Representative
Statewide officials
- Ed Rendell, former governor of Pennsylvania
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[28]
- Communications Workers of America[29]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[30]
- Service Employees International Union[35]
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[37]
- EMILY's List[73]
- End Citizens United[38]
- MoveOn[40]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- Sierra Club[41]
Celebrities
- Tim Heidecker, comedian[115]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Marty Nothstein (R) |
Susan Wild (D) |
Tim Silfies (L) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Muhlenberg College[116] | October 14–18, 2018 | 411 | ± 5.5% | 41% | 48% | 5% | – |
DeSales University[117] | September 28 – October 7, 2018 | 405 | ± 4.5% | 31% | 50% | 8% | 11% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[118] | September 21–25, 2018 | 539 | ± 4.7% | 42% | 50% | – | 8% |
Monmouth University[119] | September 5–9, 2018 | 299 LV | ± 5.7% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 7% |
401 RV | ± 4.9% | 40% | 46% | 3% | 11% | ||
Muhlenberg College[120] | April 24 – May 3, 2018 | 408 | ± 5.5% | 31% | 42% | 5% | 21% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Lean D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Susan Wild | 140,813 | 53.5 | |
Republican | Marty Nothstein | 114,437 | 43.5 | |
Libertarian | Tim Silfies | 8,011 | 3.0 | |
Total votes | 263,261 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 8
| |||||||||||||||||
Cartwright: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Chrin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 8th district was previously centered on Bucks County, but now consists of portions of Northeastern Pennsylvania, including the city of Scranton. The new district overlaps with much of the former 17th district, which was represented by Democratic Representative Matt Cartwright.[7] Cartwright had held office since 2013.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Matt Cartwright, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Matt Cartwright (incumbent) | 36,040 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 36,040 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Chrin, businessman[121]
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Kuniegel
- Joe Peters, former federal prosecutor[122]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Chrin | 15,136 | 48.4 | |
Republican | Joe Peters | 10,927 | 34.9 | |
Republican | Robert Kuniegel | 5,218 | 16.7 | |
Total votes | 31,281 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Executive branch officials
- Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States (2017–2021)
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[124]
Organizations
- National Federation of Independent Business
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[113]
- National Right to Life Committee
- NRA Political Victory Fund[125]
State representatives
- Aaron Kaufer, state representative from the 120th district (2015–present)
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Cartwright (D) |
John Chrin (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research[126] | October 28–29, 2018 | 446 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 40% | 1%[127] | 2% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[128] | October 16–19, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.7% | 52% | 40% | – | 8% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Likely D | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Likely D | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Matt Cartwright (incumbent) | 135,603 | 54.6 | |
Republican | John Chrin | 112,563 | 45.4 | |
Total votes | 248,166 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 9
| |||||||||||||||||
Meuser: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Wolff: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The old 9th district was in South Central Pennsylvania, but the new 9th district is in east central Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with the old 11th district, which was represented by retiring Republican Representative Lou Barletta.[7]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- George Halcovage Jr.
- Scott Uehlinger, delegate to the 2016 Republican National Convention
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dan Meuser | 26,568 | 53.0 | |
Republican | George Halcovage Jr. | 12,032 | 24.0 | |
Republican | Scott Uehlinger | 11,541 | 23.0 | |
Total votes | 50,141 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Laura Quick, delivery driver
- Gary Wegman, dentist
Endorsements
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Denny Wolff | 11,020 | 40.7 | |
Democratic | Gary Wegman | 8,450 | 31.2 | |
Democratic | Laura Quick | 7,616 | 28.1 | |
Total votes | 27,086 | 100.0 |
General election
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Dan Meuser | Denny Wolff | |||||
1 | Oct. 30, 2018 | WVIA-TV | Larry Vojtko | YouTube | P | P |
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dan Meuser (R) |
Denny Wolff (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling and Research[129] | October 23–25, 2018 | 271 | ± 5.9% | 57% | 36% | 1%[130] | 6% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dan Meuser | 148,723 | 59.7 | |
Democratic | Denny Wolff | 100,204 | 40.3 | |
Total votes | 248,927 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 10
| |||||||||||||||||
Perry: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Scott: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 10th district was previously in Northeastern Pennsylvania, but it now overlaps with much of the former 4th district in South Central Pennsylvania. Under the map released in 2018, the 10th district includes Harrisburg and a portion of York County.[7] The incumbent from the 4th district is Republican Scott Perry, who had represented his district since 2013. He was re-elected to a third term with 66% of the vote in 2016. Several Democrats sought to challenge Perry in 2018, with George Scott, a 20-year Army veteran and Lutheran pastor, receiving the party's nomination.[131][132][133]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Scott Perry, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Scott Perry (incumbent) | 57,407 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 57,407 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- George Scott, Lutheran pastor and former Army Lt. Colonel
Eliminated in primary
- Shavonnia Corbin-Johnson, former assistant to the director for the Office of Management and Budget[134]
- Eric Ding, public health scientist[135]
- Alan Howe, Air Force veteran
Withdrawn
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | George Scott | 13,924 | 36.3 | |
Democratic | Shavonnia Corbin-Johnson | 13,376 | 34.9 | |
Democratic | Eric Ding | 6,912 | 18.0 | |
Democratic | Alan Howe | 4,157 | 10.8 | |
Total votes | 38,369 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[137]
Organizations
Debates
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Scott Perry | George Scott | |||||
1 | September 17, 2018 | Rotary Club of York | [139] | P | P | |
2 | October 18, 2018 | American Association of University Women WGAL-TV |
Janelle Stelson Mike Straub |
[140] | P | P |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Perry (R) |
George Scott (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College[141] | October 23–26, 2018 | 498 | ± 4.7% | 45% | 43% | – | 12% |
Susquehanna Polling and Research[142] | October 19–21, 2018 | 366 | ± 5.2% | 49% | 46% | 1%[130] | 4% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[143] | September 24–25, 2018 | 650 | – | 44% | 43% | – | 12% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Scott)[144] | June 8–10, 2018 | 654 | ± 4.1% | 45% | 41% | – | 14% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Lean R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Scott Perry (incumbent) | 149,365 | 51.3 | |
Democratic | George Scott | 141,668 | 48.7 | |
Total votes | 291,033 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 11
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Smucker: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% King: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The old 11th district was in Northeastern Pennsylvania, but the district now overlaps with much of the former 16th district in South Central Pennsylvania. The new district consists of Lancaster County and portions of York County. The incumbent from the former 16th district is Republican Lloyd Smucker, who had held office since 2017.[7]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lloyd Smucker, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) | 34,002 | 58.6 | |
Republican | Chet Beiler | 24,063 | 41.4 | |
Total votes | 58,065 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Christina Hartman, a former nonprofit executive who lost against Smucker in 16th had filed for a rematch;[145] however, following the court-ordered redrawing, she considered switching to run in the more competitive 10th before withdrawing from the race altogether.[136]
Candidates
Nominee
- Jess King, nonprofit director
Withdrawn
Endorsements
State legislators
- Mike Sturla, state representative[149]
Statewide officials
- Katie McGinty, former chief of staff to Governor Tom Wolf, former Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection, candidate for the governorship in 2014 and nominee for Senate in 2016
- Ed Rendell, former governor of Pennsylvania
Organizations
State legislators
- Tom Houghton, former state representative and nominee for PA-16 seat in 2014
Labor unions
Organizations
Local officials
- Bill Peduto, Mayor of Pittsburgh
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jess King | 22,794 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 22,794 | 100.0 |
General election
Meteorologist Drew Anderson planned to run without party affiliation and expected to be listed that way on the November ballot.[152] However, he failed to file papers in time, and was not in the race.[153]
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Lloyd Smucker | Jess King | |||||
1 | Oct. 30, 2018 | Eastern York School District WGAL York County Economic Alliance |
Janelle Stelson Mike Straub |
[154][155][156][157] | P | P |
Endorsements
U.S. Senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007–present)[158]
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[28]
- Communications Workers of America[29]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[30]
- Service Employees International Union[35]
Organizations
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lloyd Smucker (R) |
Jess King (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling and Research[164] | October 21–22, 2018 | 311 | ± 5.6% | 50% | 46% | 1%[130] | 3% |
Public Policy Polling (D-King)[165] | September 12–13, 2018 | 552 | ± 4.2% | 44% | 35% | – | 21% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) | 163,708 | 59.0 | |
Democratic | Jess King | 113,876 | 41.0 | |
Total votes | 277,584 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 12
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Marino: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Friedenburg: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The old 12th district was in Southwestern Pennsylvania, but the new district is in North Central Pennsylvania. It overlaps with the former 10th district, which was represented by Republican Tom Marino.[7] Marino had held office since 2011.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tom Marino, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Douglas McLinko
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Marino (incumbent) | 39,537 | 67.0 | |
Republican | Douglas McLinko | 19,435 | 33.0 | |
Total votes | 58,972 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Marc Friedenburg, teacher
Eliminated in primary
- Judith Herschel, certified drug and alcohol counselor
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Marc Friedenburg | 12,713 | 50.6 | |
Democratic | Judith Herschel | 12,407 | 49.4 | |
Total votes | 25,120 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Marino (incumbent) | 161,047 | 66.0 | |
Democratic | Marc Friedenburg | 82,825 | 34.0 | |
Total votes | 243,872 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 13
| |||||||||||||||||
Joyce: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Ottaway: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
|
The old 13th district was in Southeastern Pennsylvania, but the new district is in Western Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with much of the old 9th district, which was represented by retiring Republican Representative Bill Shuster.[7]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Joyce, physician
Eliminated in primary
- Stephen Bloom, state representative
- John Eichelberger, state senator
- Art Halvorson, businessman, Coast Guard veteran and candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
- Benjamin Hornberger, laborer and former Marine
- Doug Mastriano, retired Army colonel
- Travis Schooley, businessman and candidate for this seat in 2012 & 2014
- Bernard Washabaugh II
Declined
- Bill Shuster, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Joyce | 14,615 | 21.9 | |
Republican | John Eichelberger | 13,101 | 19.6 | |
Republican | Stephen Bloom | 12,195 | 18.3 | |
Republican | Doug Mastriano | 10,485 | 15.7 | |
Republican | Art Halvorson | 10,161 | 15.2 | |
Republican | Travis Schooley | 3,030 | 4.5 | |
Republican | Bernie Washabaugh | 1,908 | 2.9 | |
Republican | Ben Hornberger | 1,182 | 1.8 | |
Total votes | 66,677 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Brent Ottaway
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brent Ottaway | 21,096 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 1,096 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Joyce (R) |
Brent Ottaway (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling and Research[166] | October 25–26, 2018 | 303 | ± 5.6% | 57% | 36% | 2%[167] | 5% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Joyce | 178,533 | 70.5 | |
Democratic | Brent Ottaway | 74,733 | 29.5 | |
Total votes | 253,266 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 14
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Reschenthaler: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Boerio: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
|
The old 14th district consisted of the city of Pittsburgh and parts of surrounding suburbs, but the new district consists of suburbs to the south and west of Pittsburgh. The district overlaps with much of the former 18th district.[7] The winner of the 2018 special election, Democrat Conor Lamb, ran in the more competitive 17th district.[168]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bibiana Boerio, businesswoman and chief of staff to former representative Joe Sestak
Eliminated in primary
- Tom Prigg
- Adam Sedlock, psychologist
- Bob Solomon, physician and candidate for this seat in 2018
Declined
- Conor Lamb, incumbent U.S. Representative (running in the 17th)
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bibiana Boerio | 17,755 | 43.0 | |
Democratic | Adam Sedlock | 9,944 | 24.1 | |
Democratic | Bob Solomon | 7,831 | 19.0 | |
Democratic | Tom Prigg | 5,724 | 13.9 | |
Total votes | 41,254 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Guy Reschenthaler, state senator and candidate for this seat in 2018
Eliminated in primary
- Rick Saccone, state representative and nominee for this seat in 2018
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Guy Reschenthaler | 23,245 | 55.4 | |
Republican | Rick Saccone | 18,734 | 44.6 | |
Total votes | 41,979 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Likely R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Likely R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Likely R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Safe R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Safe R (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Safe R (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Safe R (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Guy Reschenthaler | 151,386 | 57.9 | |
Democratic | Bibiana Boerio | 110,051 | 42.1 | |
Total votes | 261,437 | 100.0 | ||
Republican gain from Democratic |
District 15
| |||||||||||||||||
Thompson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Boser: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The old 15th district was in Eastern Pennsylvania, but the new district is in Western Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with much of the former 5th district, which was represented by Republican G.T. Thompson.[7] Thompson had held office since 2009.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- G.T. Thompson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
- Dave Reed, Majority Leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives[169]
Withdrew
- Ryan Mackenzie, Member of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives for the 134th district, withdrew in March following redistricting[170]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | G.T. Thompson (incumbent) | 44,893 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 44,893 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Susan Boser, teacher
Eliminated in primary
- Wade Jodun
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Susan Boser | 20,135 | 74.5 | |
Democratic | Wade Jodun | 6,902 | 25.5 | |
Total votes | 27,037 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | G.T. Thompson (incumbent) | 165,245 | 67.8 | |
Democratic | Susan Boser | 78,327 | 32.2 | |
Total votes | 243,572 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 16
| |||||||||||||||||
Kelly: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% DiNicola: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The former 16th district was in Southeastern Pennsylvania, but the redrawn 16th district is in Northwestern Pennsylvania, overlapping with the former 3rd district.[7] The incumbent from the 3rd district was Republican Mike Kelly, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term unopposed in 2016. Kelly had considered running for the U.S. Senate, but announced he would run for re-election instead.[171]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mike Kelly, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Kelly (incumbent) | 39,412 | 98.7 | |
Write-in | 525 | 1.3 | ||
Total votes | 39,937 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ron DiNicola, U.S. Marine veteran, Erie County solicitor, nominee for Pennsylvania's 21st congressional district in 1996[172]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Labor unions
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||
Ron DiNicola | Robert Multari | Chris Rieger | |||||
1[173] | April 16, 2018 | Allegheny College Center for Political Participation The Meadville Tribune |
Rick Green Keith Gushard Marley Parish |
[174] | P | P | P |
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ron DiNicola | 23,480 | 59.7 | |
Democratic | Chris Rieger | 9,758 | 24.8 | |
Democratic | Robert Multari | 5,914 | 15.0 | |
Write-in | 172 | 0.4 | ||
Total votes | 39,324 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Newspapers
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[28]
- Communications Workers of America[29]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[30]
- Service Employees International Union[35]
Organizations
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Mike Kelly | Ron DiNicola | |||||
1 | October 8, 2018 | Mercyhurst University WKBN-TV |
Sean Lafferty | [178] | P | P |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Kelly (R) |
Ron DiNicola (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research[126] | October 29–30, 2018 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 51% | 1%[127] | 1% |
DCCC (D)[179] | October 9–10, 2018 | 548 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[180] | October 5–8, 2018 | 532 | ± 4.8% | 50% | 42% | – | 8% |
Normington, Petts & Associates (D-DiNicola)[181] | June 5–7, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 44% | – | 6% |
Public Policy Polling (D-DiNicola)[182] | May 21–22, 2018 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 48% | 43% | – | 10% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Kelly (incumbent) | 135,348 | 51.5 | |
Democratic | Ronald DiNicola | 124,109 | 47.3 | |
Libertarian | Ebert "Bill" Beeman | 2,939 | 1.1 | |
Write-in | 167 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 262,563 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 17
| |||||||||||||||||
Lamb: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Rothfus: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The former 17th district was in Northeastern Pennsylvania, but the new 17th district consists of suburbs west of Pittsburgh. The district overlaps with parts of the former 12th district, which was represented by Republican Keith Rothfus.[7] Rothfus had held office since 2013, and ran for reelection in the new 17th.[183]
The new map drew the home of Democrat Conor Lamb, who won a special election for the old 18th District, into the new 17th. The 17th is far less Republican than its predecessor, and voted for Democrats downballot, leading to speculation that Lamb would run for a full term in the 17th regardless of the special election result.[7] On March 14, Democratic officials in Beaver County, which is entirely within the 17th, received a written request from Lamb for their endorsement in the 2018 general election.[184] On March 20, Lamb formally filed to run for a full term in the 17th.[185]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Keith Rothfus, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Keith Rothfus (incumbent) | 38,513 | 98.3 | |
Write-in | 649 | 1.7 | ||
Total votes | 39,162 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Conor Lamb, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Conor Lamb (incumbent) | 52,590 | 99.1 | |
Write-in | 467 | 0.9 | ||
Total votes | 53,057 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[186]
Organizations
- BIPAC[31]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program[33]
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Conor Lamb | Keith Rothfus | |||||
1 | October 16, 2018 | WTAE-TV | Mike Clark | [187] | P | P |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Keith Rothfus (R) |
Conor Lamb (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University[188] | October 5–8, 2018 | 354 | ± 5.2% | 42% | 54% | 0% | 4% |
Monmouth University[189] | July 19–22, 2018 | 355 LV | ± 5.2% | 40% | 53% | 2% | 5% |
401 RV | ± 4.9% | 39% | 51% | 2% | 9% | ||
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Lean D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Conor Lamb (incumbent) | 183,162 | 56.2 | |
Republican | Keith Rothfus (incumbent) | 142,417 | 43.7 | |
Write-in | 184 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 325,763 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 18
| |||||||||||||||||
Doyle: 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 18th district formerly consisted of the southern suburbs of Pittsburgh, but the new district is now centered on Pittsburgh itself. The district overlaps with the former 14th district, which was represented by Democrat Michael F. Doyle.[7] Doyle had held office since 1995. He ran unopposed in the general election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michael F. Doyle, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike Doyle (incumbent) | 52,080 | 75.6 | |
Democratic | Janis Brooks | 16,549 | 24.0 | |
Write-in | 260 | 0.4 | ||
Total votes | 68,889 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike Doyle (incumbent) | 231,472 | 96.1 | |
Write-in | 9,452 | 3.9 | ||
Total votes | 240,924 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
See also
References
External links
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