2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
 | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 36.1%( 5.6%) | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||
  Wolf: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Corbett: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
Incumbent Governor Tom Corbett was defeated by Tom Wolf,[1] becoming the first incumbent Pennsylvania governor to lose re-election since William Bigler in 1854, and the first Republican to ever do so.[2][lower-alpha 1] This was the only governorship Democrats flipped in the 2014 midterms. Wolf was sworn in on January 20, 2015, marking the most recent time the Pennsylvania governor's office changed partisan control.
Corbett was considered vulnerable, as reflected in his low approval ratings. An August 2013 Franklin & Marshall College poll found that only 17% of voters thought Corbett was doing an "excellent" or "good" job, only 20% thought he deserved to be reelected, and 62% said the state was "off on the wrong track".[3] Politico called Corbett the most vulnerable incumbent governor in the country,[4] The Washington Post ranked the election as the most likely for a party switch,[5] and the majority of election forecasters rated it "likely Democratic".
Democrats flipped the counties of Erie, Lawrence, Beaver, Alleghany, Greene, Fayette, Cambria, Centre, Clinton, Northumberland, Dauphin, Luzerne, Monroe, Northampton, Carbon, Schuylkill, Lehigh, Berks, Bucks, and Chester. Meanwhile, this is the last time these counties have voted Democratic in a statewide election: Lawrence, Greene, Fayette, Cambria, Clinton, Northumberland, Carbon, and Schuylkill.
This is the first Pennsylvania gubernatorial election since 1982 in which the winner was of the same party as the incumbent president, and the first time since 1934 this occurred during a Democratic administration. This also remains the last time that a Pennsylvania gubernatorial election has been decided by a single-digit margin, as Democrats have won each subsequent election by large double-digit margins. Additionally, it was the most recent election where Pennsylvania voted for a gubernatorial candidate of a different party from fellow Rust Belt states Michigan and Wisconsin.[6]
Democrats and Republicans have alternated in the governorship of Pennsylvania every eight years from 1950 to 2010.[7] This has been referred to as "the cycle",[8][9] but it was broken with a Democratic Party win in 2014. Pennsylvania has also voted against the party of the sitting president in 18 of the last 19 gubernatorial contests dating back to 1938; Democrats lost 16 of the previous 17 Pennsylvania gubernatorial races with a Democratic president in the White House, a pattern begun in 1860.[10] The last incumbent governor to be defeated for re-election was Democrat William Bigler in 1854. Until 1968, governors could only serve one term; the state constitution now allows governors to serve two consecutive terms.[11] Libertarian nominee Ken Krawchuk failed to file the paperwork to be on the ballot in time and was excluded from the election as a result.
Incumbent Tom Corbett filed to run, as did Bob Guzzardi, an attorney and conservative activist. However, Guzzardi failed to file a statement of financial interests as required by law, after being told by an employee of the State Department that it was unnecessary. Four Republicans, backed by the state Republican Party, sued to have him removed from the race. The case reached the state Supreme Court, which ordered that Guzzardi's name be struck from the ballot.[12] NASCAR Camping World Truck Series veteran Norm Benning backed Governor Corbett during the later half of the NASCAR season with "Re-Elect Tom Corbett" posted on his truck.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett |
Bob Guzzardi |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing | January 22, 2014 | 956 | ± ? | 42% | 23% | 35% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett |
Someone else |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing | January 22, 2014 | 956 | ± ? | 38% | 41% | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 491 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | 373 | ± 5.1% | 37% | 49% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 490 | ± 6% | 45% | 37% | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett |
Bruce Castor |
Jim Gerlach |
Mike Kelly |
Tom Smith |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 491 | ± 4.4% | 42% | — | 31% | — | — | 26% |
| 42% | — | — | 31% | — | 27% | ||||
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | 373 | ± 5.1% | 43% | 23% | — | — | — | 35% |
| 37% | — | — | — | 33% | 30% | ||||
| Harper Polling Archived March 9, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | February 27–28, 2013 | ± | 49.04% | 21.07% | — | — | — | 29.89% | |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 490 | ± 6% | 51% | 11% | — | — | — | 38% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Corbett (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 373,465 | 100.00% | |||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Hanger |
Tom Knox |
Jo Ellen Litz |
Robert McCord |
Kathleen McGinty |
Max Myers |
Ed Pawl- owski |
Allyson Schwartz |
Joe Sestak |
Tim Solobay |
Mike Stack |
Jack Wagner |
Tom Wolf |
Other | Unde- cided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhlenberg | May 13–15, 2014 | 414 | ±5% | — | — | — | 11% | 7% | — | — | 16% | — | — | — | — | 41% | — | 25% |
| Harper Archived May 14, 2014, at the Wayback Machine | May 12–13, 2014 | 559 | ±4.14% | — | — | — | 15% | 5% | — | — | 15% | — | — | — | — | 50% | — | 16% |
| F&M College | May 6–12, 2014 | 530 | ±4.3% | — | — | — | 11% | 6% | — | — | 19% | — | — | — | — | 41% | 3% | 20% |
| Muhlenberg | April 28–30, 2014 | 417 | ±5% | — | — | — | 13% | 3% | — | — | 14% | — | — | — | — | 42% | — | 28% |
| GQR** | Mar. 31–Apr. 3, 2014 | 600 | ±? | — | — | — | 14% | 5% | — | — | 12% | — | — | — | — | 52% | — | 16% |
| F&M College | March 25–31, 2014 | 524 | ±4.3% | — | — | — | 8% | 6% | — | — | 9% | — | — | — | — | 40% | 6% | 31% |
| Harper Archived January 16, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | Feb. 22–23, 2014 | 501 | ±4.38% | 7% | — | — | 8% | 6% | — | — | 14% | — | — | — | 7% | 40% | — | 19% |
| F&M College | Feb. 18–23, 2014 | 548 | ±4.2% | 1% | — | — | 3% | 1% | — | — | 9% | — | — | — | — | 36% | 1% | 48% |
| PPP | Nov. 22–25, 2013 | 436 | ±4.7% | 8% | — | 2% | 10% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 21% | — | — | — | 17% | 2% | — | 27% |
| Harper Archived November 13, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | Nov. 9–10, 2013 | 649 | ±3.85% | 7% | — | — | 12% | 15% | — | 6% | 22% | — | — | — | — | 5% | — | 34% |
| GHY^ | Aug. 27–29, 2013 | 506 | ± 4.4% | — | — | — | 6% | 6% | — | — | 25% | — | — | — | — | 6% | — | 57% |
| BSG* Archived March 5, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | July 16–18, 2013 | 800 | ±3.46% | — | — | — | 10% | 15% | — | — | 34% | — | — | — | — | 11% | — | 30% |
| Quinnipiac Archived June 13, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | May 30–Jun. 4, 2013 | 460 | ± 4.6% | 1% | — | — | 4% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 18% | — | — | 1% | — | 2% | 1% | 63% |
| Quinnipiac | April 19–24, 2013 | 547 | ± 4.2% | 0% | — | — | 3% | — | — | 1% | 15% | 15% | — | 1% | — | 3% | 2% | 60% |
| GSG Archived March 6, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | March 9–12, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | 1% | — | — | 5% | 5% | — | 3% | 18% | 15% | 3% | 1% | — | 2% | — | 47% |
| 1% | — | — | 7% | 7% | — | 3% | 21% | — | 3% | 2% | — | 2% | — | 54% | ||||
| — | — | — | 12% | — | — | — | 31% | — | — | — | — | 7% | — | 49% | ||||
| GQR** | March 2–7, 2013 | 602 | ±3.99% | 1% | 1% | — | 7% | 3% | — | — | 16% | 21% | — | 2% | — | 3% | 1% | 45% |
| Harper Archived March 9, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | Feb. 27–28, 2013 | ? | ±? | 0.82% | 2.88% | — | 7% | — | — | — | 18.52% | 19.75% | — | — | — | 1.23% | — | 49.79% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Wolf | 488,917 | 57.86% | |
| Democratic | Allyson Schwartz | 149,027 | 17.64% | |
| Democratic | Rob McCord | 142,311 | 16.84% | |
| Democratic | Katie McGinty | 64,754 | 7.66% | |
| Total votes | 845,009 | 100.00% | ||
As of mid-October, Wolf had raised $27.6 million and spent $21.1 million while Corbett had raised $20.6 million and spent $19.3 million. The two campaigns had run over 21,000 television ads, costing over $13 million.[112]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[113] | Likely D (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[114] | Safe D (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[115] | Likely D (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[116] | Likely D (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett (R) |
Tom Wolf (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhlenberg College | October 27–29, 2014 | 409 | ± 5% | 39% | 51% | 6% | 4% |
| Magellan Strategies | October 27–28, 2014 | 1,433 | ± 2.6% | 43% | 50% | — | 7% |
| Harper Polling Archived February 8, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | October 26–27, 2014 | 680 | ± 3.76% | 40% | 50% | — | 10% |
| Franklin & Marshall | October 20–26, 2014 | 326 LV | ± 5.1% | 40% | 53% | 1% | 5% |
| 738 RV | ± 3.4% | 37% | 53% | 1% | 9% | ||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 3,111 | ± 3% | 39% | 52% | 0% | 8% |
| Magellan Strategies | October 13–14, 2014 | 1,131 | ± 2.9% | 42% | 49% | — | 9% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 30 – October 5, 2014 | 907 | ± 3.3% | 38% | 55% | 2% | 5% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 3,283 | ± 2% | 41% | 50% | 0% | 9% |
| Robert Morris University | September 26–29, 2014 | 500 | ± 4% | 34% | 57% | — | 9% |
| Mercyhurst University | September 15–24, 2014 | 479 | ± 4.48% | 28% | 43% | 2% | 27% |
| Franklin & Marshall | September 15–22, 2014 | 231 LV | ± 6.4% | 37% | 57% | 2% | 5% |
| 520 RV | ± 4.3% | 33% | 54% | 4% | 9% | ||
| Magellan Strategies Archived September 26, 2014, at the Wayback Machine | September 17–18, 2014 | 1,120 | ± 2.9% | 40% | 49% | — | 11% |
| Muhlenberg College | September 16–18, 2014 | 429 | ± 5% | 33% | 54% | 4% | 9% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 3–8, 2014 | 1,161 | ± 2.9% | 35% | 59% | 2% | 4% |
| Harper Polling Archived January 10, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | September 2–3, 2014 | 665 | ± 3.2% | 41% | 52% | — | 7% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 3,560 | ± 2% | 39% | 50% | 2% | 10% |
| Robert Morris University | August 18–22, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 25% | 56% | — | 20% |
| Franklin & Marshall | August 18–25, 2014 | 520 | ± 4.3% | 24% | 49% | 1% | 25% |
| Magellan Strategies Archived September 12, 2014, at the Wayback Machine | July 30–31, 2014 | 1,214 | ± 2.83% | 38% | 50% | — | 12% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 4,150 | ± ? | 39% | 52% | 2% | 7% |
| Franklin & Marshall | June 23–29, 2014 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 25% | 47% | 1% | 27% |
| Quinnipiac University | May 29 – June 2, 2014 | 1,308 | ± 2.7% | 33% | 53% | 1% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 30 – June 1, 2014 | 835 | ± 3.4% | 30% | 55% | — | 15% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 27–28, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 31% | 51% | 4% | 14% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived February 27, 2014, at the Wayback Machine | February 19–24, 2014 | 1,405 | ± 2.6% | 33% | 52% | 1% | 13% |
| Gravis Marketing | January 22–23, 2014 | 717 | ± 4% | 34% | 41% | — | 24% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | December 11–16, 2013 | 1,061 | ± 3% | 37% | 44% | 1% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 32% | 44% | — | 24% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 39% | 39% | 2% | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 33% | 42% | — | 25% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 29% | — | 30% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett (R) |
John Hanger (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University Archived February 27, 2014, at the Wayback Machine | February 19–24, 2014 | 1,405 | ± 2.6% | 37% | 40% | 4% | 20% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | December 11–16, 2013 | 1,061 | ± 3% | 42% | 37% | 2% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 32% | 51% | — | 16% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 42% | 41% | 2% | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 34% | 41% | — | 25% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 37% | — | 21% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett (R) |
Kathleen Kane (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 42% | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett (R) |
Tom Knox (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 40% | 39% | 1% | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett (R) |
Robert McCord (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University Archived February 27, 2014, at the Wayback Machine | February 19–24, 2014 | 1,405 | ± 2.6% | 36% | 43% | 4% | 17% |
| Gravis Marketing | January 22–23, 2014 | 717 | ± 4% | 36% | 48% | — | 16% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | December 11–16, 2013 | 1,061 | ± 3% | 39% | 42% | 2% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 31% | 50% | — | 18% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived June 13, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | May 30–June 4, 2013 | 1,032 | ± 3.1% | 35% | 43% | 1% | 20% |
| Quinnipiac University | April 19–24, 2013 | 1,235 | ± 2.8% | 35% | 44% | 1% | 20% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 42% | 38% | 1% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 34% | 45% | — | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 35% | — | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett (R) |
Kathleen McGinty (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University Archived February 27, 2014, at the Wayback Machine | February 19–24, 2014 | 1,405 | ± 2.6% | 38% | 40% | 3% | 18% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | December 11–16, 2013 | 1,061 | ± 3% | 37% | 44% | 1% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 32% | 47% | — | 21% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett (R) |
Michael Nutter (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 38% | — | 21% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett (R) |
Ed Pawlowski (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | December 11–16, 2013 | 1,061 | ± 3% | 39% | 41% | 2% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 33% | 45% | — | 22% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 38% | 44% | 2% | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett (R) |
Ed Rendell (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 40% | 46% | — | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett (R) |
Allyson Schwartz (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University Archived February 27, 2014, at the Wayback Machine | February 19–24, 2014 | 1,405 | ± 2.6% | 38% | 44% | 3% | 15% |
| Gravis Marketing | January 22–23, 2014 | 717 | ± 4% | 35% | 44% | — | 21% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | December 11–16, 2013 | 1,061 | ± 3% | 37% | 45% | 1% | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 33% | 48% | — | 20% |
| Benenson Strategy Group Archived March 5, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | August 6–8, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 41% | 49% | — | 10% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived June 13, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | May 30–June 4, 2013 | 1,032 | ± 3.1% | 35% | 45% | 1% | 19% |
| Public Opinion Strategies Archived March 5, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | April 30–May 2, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 34% | 46% | — | 20% |
| Quinnipiac University | April 19–24, 2013 | 1,235 | ± 2.8% | 34% | 47% | 2% | 17% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 39% | 42% | 1% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 34% | 45% | — | 21% |
| Benenson Strategy Group | January 15–17, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 42% | 50% | — | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 34% | — | 25% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett (R) |
Joe Sestak (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University | April 19–24, 2013 | 1,235 | ± 2.8% | 34% | 48% | 1% | 17% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 38% | 47% | 1% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 34% | 45% | — | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 36% | — | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett (R) |
Mike Stack (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 39% | 40% | 1% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Corbett (R) |
Jack Wagner (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University Archived February 27, 2014, at the Wayback Machine | February 19–24, 2014 | 1,405 | ± 2.6% | 37% | 44% | 3% | 15% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | December 11–16, 2013 | 1,061 | ± 3% | 36% | 48% | 1% | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 30% | 50% | — | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Gerlach (R) |
Allyson Schwartz (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 31% | 39% | — | 29% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Guzzardi (R) |
Robert McCord (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing | January 22–23, 2014 | 717 | ± 4% | 31% | 43% | — | 26% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Guzzardi (R) |
Allyson Schwartz (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing | January 22–23, 2014 | 717 | ± 4% | 33% | 42% | — | 25% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Guzzardi (R) |
Tom Wolf (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing | January 22–23, 2014 | 717 | ± 4% | 30% | 38% | — | 31% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Kelly (R) |
Allyson Schwartz (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 33% | 41% | — | 27% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Wolf Mike Stack |
1,920,355 | 54.93% | +9.42% | |
| Republican | Tom Corbett (incumbent) Jim Cawley (incumbent) |
1,575,511 | 45.07% | −9.42% | |
| Total votes | 3,495,866 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | |||||
Corbett won 10 of 18 congressional districts, despite losing statewide to Wolf. However, at the time, most of the districts were gerrymanders drawn by Republican legislators.[118] Wolf won the 6th, 7th and 8th districts, which all elected Republicans to the House.
| District | Corbett | Wolf | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 16% | 84% | Bob Brady |
| 2nd | 8% | 92% | Chaka Fattah |
| 3rd | 54% | 46% | Mike Kelly |
| 4th | 56% | 44% | Scott Perry |
| 5th | 51% | 49% | Glenn Thompson |
| 6th | 49% | 51% | Jim Gerlach |
| Ryan Costello | |||
| 7th | 48% | 52% | Patrick Meehan |
| 8th | 48% | 52% | Mike Fitzpatrick |
| 9th | 55% | 45% | Bill Shuster |
| 10th | 59% | 41% | Tom Marino |
| 11th | 53% | 47% | Lou Barletta |
| 12th | 53% | 47% | Keith Rothfus |
| 13th | 30% | 70% | Brendan Boyle |
| 14th | 30% | 70% | Mike Doyle |
| 15th | 50% | 50% | Charlie Dent |
| 16th | 54% | 46% | Joe Pitts |
| 17th | 39% | 61% | Matt Cartwright |
| 18th | 54% | 46% | Tim Murphy |
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