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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 18 U.S. representatives from the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's 18 congressional districts.
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All 18 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The elections coincided with the 2018 gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
In January 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional map, ruling it had been unfairly gerrymandered to favor Republicans. New maps were subsequently adopted in February 2018.[1][2]
The 2018 general election saw the Democrats gain four seats and the Republicans gain one seat, for a Democratic net gain of three seats, changing the state's representation from 12 to 6 Republican to a 9–9 tie. In addition, Pennsylvanians in several districts elected female candidates to the U.S. House, thus ending four years of all-male Congressional representation in the state.[3]
In January 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional map, ruling it had been unfairly gerrymandered to favor Republicans.[4][5] New maps were subsequently adopted in February 2018, for use in the 2018 elections and took effect with representation in 2019.[2]
Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
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No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Democratic | 18 | 2,712,665 | 54.92% | 9 | 3 | 50.00% | |
Republican | 17 | 2,206,260 | 44.67% | 9 | 3 | 50.00% | |
Libertarian | 2 | 10,950 | 0.22% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Write-in | 1 | 9,452 | 0.19% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Total | 38 | 4,939,327 | 100.0% | 18 | 100.00% |
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania:[6]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 160,745 | 48.74% | 169,053 | 51.26% | 0 | 0.00% | 329,798 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 159,600 | 79.02% | 42,382 | 20.98% | 0 | 0.00% | 201,982 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 3 | 287,610 | 93.38% | 20,387 | 6.62% | 0 | 0.00% | 307,997 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 4 | 211,524 | 63.52% | 121,467 | 36.48% | 0 | 0.00% | 332,991 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 5 | 198,639 | 65.19% | 106,075 | 34.81% | 0 | 0.00% | 304,714 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 6 | 177,704 | 58.88% | 124,124 | 41.12% | 0 | 0.00% | 301,828 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 7 | 140,813 | 53.49% | 114,437 | 43.47% | 8,011 | 3.04% | 263,261 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 8 | 135,603 | 54.64% | 112,563 | 45.36% | 0 | 0.00% | 248,166 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 9 | 100,204 | 40.25% | 148,723 | 59.75% | 0 | 0.00% | 248,927 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 10 | 141,668 | 48.68% | 149,365 | 51.32% | 0 | 0.00% | 291,033 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 11 | 113,876 | 41.02% | 163,708 | 58.98% | 0 | 0.00% | 277,584 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 12 | 82,825 | 33.96% | 161,047 | 66.04% | 0 | 0.00% | 243,872 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 13 | 74,733 | 29.51% | 178,533 | 70.49% | 0 | 0.00% | 253,266 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 14 | 110,051 | 42.09% | 151,386 | 57.91% | 0 | 0.00% | 261,437 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
District 15 | 78,327 | 32.16% | 165,245 | 67.84% | 0 | 0.00% | 243,572 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 16 | 124,109 | 47.30% | 135,348 | 51.58% | 2,939 | 1.12% | 262,396 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 17 | 183,162 | 56.26% | 142,417 | 43.74% | 0 | 0.00% | 325,579 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
District 18 | 231,472 | 96.08% | 0 | 0.00% | 9,452 | 3.92% | 240,924 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
Total | 2,712,665 | 54.92%% | 2,206,260 | 44.67% | 20,402 | 0.41% | 4,939,327 | 100.0% |
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Fitzpatrick: 50–60% 60–70% Wallace: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district previously consisted of central and South Philadelphia, the City of Chester, the Philadelphia International Airport and other small sections of Delaware County.[7] Under the new congressional map that was in place in 2019 (represented per 2018's elections), the first district overlaps with much of the former 8th district, which was represented by Republican Representative Brian Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick took office in 2017, succeeding his brother, former Representative Mike Fitzpatrick. The new 1st district consists of Bucks County and a small portion of Montgomery County.[7]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) | 31,374 | 67.0 | |
Republican | Dean Malik | 15,451 | 33.0 | |
Total votes | 46,825 | 100.0 |
The old 8th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.[10]
The race featured a number of negative ads between Reddick and Wallace. With Reddick's campaign releasing an ad calling Wallace a “Maryland multi-millionaire” and stating that he had case an absentee ballot cast from his second home in a South African “gated luxury estate”. The Wallace campaign responded with an ad higlishting Reddick flubbing a question about the so-called “global gag rule” during a campaign stop in Ottsville,[15] and for her having been registered as a Republican for most of her adult life.[16]
Many DC Democrats expressed excitement about Wallace's potential to spend big to defeat Fitzpatrick, especially in the expensive Philadelphia market. He loaned his campaign $2.5 million while Reddick only raised $363,000 and was shunned by most party strategists.[17]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Scott Wallace | 27,652 | 56.5 | |
Democratic | Rachel Reddick | 17,288 | 35.3 | |
Democratic | Steven Bacher | 4,006 | 8.2 | |
Total votes | 48,946 | 100.0 |
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Brian Fitzpatrick | Scott Wallace | |||||
1 | October 19, 2018 | Bucks County Chamber of Commerce Pennsylvania Cable Network League of Women Voters of Bucks County |
Carlo Borgia | [44] | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Fitzpatrick (R) |
Scott Wallace (D) |
Other | Undecided |
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NYT Upshot/Siena College[45] | October 26–29, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.7% | 47% | 46% | – | 7% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[46] | October 11–14, 2018 | 570 | ± 4.6% | 43% | 50% | – | 8% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Fitzpatrick)[47] | October 2–4, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 42% | – | – |
Monmouth University[48] | September 27 – October 1, 2018 | 353 | ± 5.2% | 50% | 46% | 1% | 3% |
Monmouth University[49] | May 31 – June 3, 2018 | 254 LV | ± 6.5% | 48% | 47% | 0% | 5% |
451 RV | ± 4.6% | 49% | 42% | 1% | 8% | ||
DCCC (D)[50] | May 12–14, 2018 | 540 | ± 4.2% | 48% | 46% | — | 6% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[51] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) | 169,053 | 51.3 | |
Democratic | Scott Wallace | 160,745 | 48.7 | |
Total votes | 329,798 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
Fitzpatrick held out to win re-election, despite many similar suburban districts held by Republicans falling to Democrats in the 2018 cycle. Fitzpatrick did this by establishing a reputation for himself as an independent centrist who attained endorsements from several usually-left-leaning and nonpartisan groups without enraging the more fervently pro-Trump wing of the Republican party. Analysts considered the Democratic nominee Scott Wallace an unusually weak candidate: he was a wealthy heir who moved to the district, opening up accusations of carpetbagging, and made several gaffes and missteps. Editor Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report wrote that Wallace was perhaps the weakest candidate of the 2018 cycle.[60]
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Boyle: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Torres: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district consists of the northern half of Philadelphia. It mostly overlaps with the old 1st District. That district's incumbent, Democrat Bob Brady, had served since 1998, but did not run for reelection. The incumbent of the old 2nd district is Dwight Evans, but Evans opted to follow most of his constituents into the 3rd District.[7]
The new map drew the home of fellow Democrat Brendan Boyle, who had represented the neighboring 13th District since 2015, into the 2nd, leading to speculation that he would run for reelection there. Soon after the new map was released, Boyle confirmed that he would indeed run in the 2nd.[61]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Brendan Boyle (incumbent) | 23,261 | 64.5 | |
Democratic | Michele Lawrence | 12,814 | 35.5 | |
Total votes | 36,075 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | David Torres | 7,443 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 7,443 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Brendan Boyle (incumbent) | 159,600 | 79.0 | |
Republican | David Torres | 42,382 | 21.0 | |
Total votes | 201,982 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Evans: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district was previously located in Northwestern Pennsylvania, but now covers downtown and northern Philadelphia, and overlaps with much of the previous 2nd district.[7] The incumbent from the 2nd district is Democrat Dwight Evans, who had held office since 2016. Evans defeated incumbent Democratic Representative Chaka Fattah in the 2016 Democratic primary, and then went on to be elected with 90% in both the general election and a simultaneous special election for the remainder of the term after Fattah resigned.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Dwight Evans (incumbent) | 72,106 | 80.8 | |
Democratic | Kevin Johnson | 17,153 | 19.2 | |
Total votes | 89,259 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Bryan E. Leib | 3,331 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 3,331 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Dwight Evans (incumbent) | 287,610 | 93.4 | |
Republican | Bryan E. Leib | 20,387 | 6.6 | |
Total votes | 307,997 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Dean: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% David: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The old 4th district was in South Central Pennsylvania, but the new 4th district is centered in Montgomery County. The district overlaps with the former 13th district. The incumbent from this district, Democrat Brendan Boyle, could have sought re-election in either this district or the new 2nd district, which absorbed his home and most of old 13th's share of Philadelphia.[7] Boyle opted to run in the 2nd, making the 4th an open seat.
State Senator Daylin Leach had announced that he would run for Congress in the old 7th District, but was expected to switch races after his home was drawn into the new 4th. However, on February 24, 2018, Leach succumbed to pressures from fellow Democrats, including Governor Tom Wolf, to abandon his congressional campaign in the face of accusations of sexual harassment. However, he remained in his Pennsylvania Senate seat.[65]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Madeleine Dean | 42,625 | 72.6 | |
Democratic | Shira Goodman | 9,645 | 16.4 | |
Democratic | Joe Hoeffel | 6,431 | 11.0 | |
Total votes | 58,701 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Dan David | 28,889 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 28,889 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Madeleine Dean | 211,524 | 63.5 | |
Republican | Dan David | 121,467 | 36.5 | |
Total votes | 332,991 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Scanlon: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kim: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The old 5th district was in North Central Pennsylvania, but the new 5th district consists of Delaware County, portions of southern Philadelphia, and a sliver of Montgomery County. The district overlaps with much of the old 7th district, whose incumbent Republican Representative Pat Meehan chose not to seek re-election, due to allegations regarding a sexual harassment complaint that was settled with the use of taxpayer funds,[7][74] and subsequently resigned from office in April.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Pearl Kim | 33,685 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 33,685 | 100.0 |
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Governors
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Margo Davidson |
Thaddeus Kirkland |
Rich Lazer |
Lindy Li |
Ashley Lunkenheimer |
Mary Gay Scanlon |
Molly Sheehan |
Greg Vitali |
Theresa Wright |
Other | Undecided |
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Chism Strategies Advocacy & Elections[81] | May 2018 | 638 | ±3.8 | — | — | 7% | — | 11% | 22% | — | 17% | — | — | 57% |
Independence Communications and Consulting[82] | April 2018 | 858 | ±3.3 | — | — | 7% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 7% | 13% | — | 7% | 27% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Vitali)[83] | April 23–24, 2018 | 562 | — | 5% | 4% | 5% | — | 6% | 18% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 5% | 25% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Larry Arata | George Badey III | Shelly Chauncey | Margo L. Davidson | Thaddeus Kirkland | Richard Lazer | Lindy Li | Ashley Lunkenheimer | Dan Muroff | Mary Gay Scanlon | Molly Sheehan | Greg Vitali | David Wertime | Theresa Wright | |||||
1[79] | April 5, 2018 | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | A | |||
2[84] | May 1, 2018 | League of Women Voters of Central Delaware County |
Jennifer Levy-Tatum | YouTube | P | W | W | P | A | A | P | P | W | P | P | P | W | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Mary Gay Scanlon | 16,804 | 28.4 | |
Democratic | Ashley Lunkenheimer | 9,044 | 15.3 | |
Democratic | Richard Lazer | 8,892 | 15.0 | |
Democratic | Molly Sheehan | 6,099 | 10.3 | |
Democratic | Greg Vitali | 5,558 | 9.4 | |
Democratic | Lindy Li | 4,126 | 7.0 | |
Democratic | Theresa Wright | 3,046 | 5.2 | |
Democratic | Thaddeus Kirkland | 2,327 | 3.9 | |
Democratic | Margo L. Davidson | 2,275 | 3.9 | |
Democratic | Larry Arata | 913 | 1.5 | |
Total votes | 59,084 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Mary Gay Scanlon | Pearl Kim | |||||
1 | Oct. 25, 2018 | League of Women Voters of Central Delaware County Pennsylvania Cable Network |
Heidi Gold | C-SPAN | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[51] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Likely D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Safe D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Mary Gay Scanlon | 198,639 | 65.2 | |
Republican | Pearl Kim | 106,075 | 34.8 | |
Total votes | 304,714 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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Houlahan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% McCauley: 50–60% 60–70% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district consists of Chester County and Reading.[7] The incumbent is Republican Ryan Costello, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 57% of the vote in 2016. On March 24, 2018, Costello announced that he would no longer seek re-election due to the growing Democratic voter demographic in the 6th district.[85] Costello formally withdrew his name on March 27.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Greg McCauley | 31,611 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 31,611 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Chrissy Houlahan | 34,947 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 34,947 | 100.0 |
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Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[51] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Likely D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Chrissy Houlahan | 177,704 | 58.9 | |
Republican | Greg McCauley | 124,124 | 41.1 | |
Total votes | 301,828 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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Wild: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Nothstein: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district was formerly centered on Delaware County, but the new district consisted of much of the Lehigh Valley. The new 7th district overlapped with much of the former 15th district, which was represented by retired Republican Representative Charlie Dent, who resigned early.[7]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Marty Nothstein | 16,004 | 50.5 | |
Republican | Dean Browning | 15,696 | 49.5 | |
Total votes | 31,700 | 100.0 |
State legislators
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Susan Wild | 15,001 | 33.3 | |
Democratic | John Morganelli | 13,565 | 30.1 | |
Democratic | Greg Edwards | 11,510 | 25.6 | |
Democratic | Roger Ruggles | 2,443 | 5.4 | |
Democratic | Rick Daugherty | 1,718 | 3.8 | |
Democratic | David Clark | 766 | 1.7 | |
Total votes | 45,003 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Marty Nothstein (R) |
Susan Wild (D) |
Tim Silfies (L) |
Undecided |
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Muhlenberg College[116] | October 14–18, 2018 | 411 | ± 5.5% | 41% | 48% | 5% | – |
DeSales University[117] | September 28 – October 7, 2018 | 405 | ± 4.5% | 31% | 50% | 8% | 11% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[118] | September 21–25, 2018 | 539 | ± 4.7% | 42% | 50% | – | 8% |
Monmouth University[119] | September 5–9, 2018 | 299 LV | ± 5.7% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 7% |
401 RV | ± 4.9% | 40% | 46% | 3% | 11% | ||
Muhlenberg College[120] | April 24 – May 3, 2018 | 408 | ± 5.5% | 31% | 42% | 5% | 21% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Lean D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Susan Wild | 140,813 | 53.5 | |
Republican | Marty Nothstein | 114,437 | 43.5 | |
Libertarian | Tim Silfies | 8,011 | 3.0 | |
Total votes | 263,261 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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Cartwright: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Chrin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district was previously centered on Bucks County, but now consists of portions of Northeastern Pennsylvania, including the city of Scranton. The new district overlaps with much of the former 17th district, which was represented by Democratic Representative Matt Cartwright.[7] Cartwright had held office since 2013.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Matt Cartwright (incumbent) | 36,040 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 36,040 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Chrin | 15,136 | 48.4 | |
Republican | Joe Peters | 10,927 | 34.9 | |
Republican | Robert Kuniegel | 5,218 | 16.7 | |
Total votes | 31,281 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Cartwright (D) |
John Chrin (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research[126] | October 28–29, 2018 | 446 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 40% | 1%[127] | 2% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[128] | October 16–19, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.7% | 52% | 40% | – | 8% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Likely D | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Likely D | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Matt Cartwright (incumbent) | 135,603 | 54.6 | |
Republican | John Chrin | 112,563 | 45.4 | |
Total votes | 248,166 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Meuser: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Wolff: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The old 9th district was in South Central Pennsylvania, but the new 9th district is in east central Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with the old 11th district, which was represented by retiring Republican Representative Lou Barletta.[7]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dan Meuser | 26,568 | 53.0 | |
Republican | George Halcovage Jr. | 12,032 | 24.0 | |
Republican | Scott Uehlinger | 11,541 | 23.0 | |
Total votes | 50,141 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Denny Wolff | 11,020 | 40.7 | |
Democratic | Gary Wegman | 8,450 | 31.2 | |
Democratic | Laura Quick | 7,616 | 28.1 | |
Total votes | 27,086 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Dan Meuser | Denny Wolff | |||||
1 | Oct. 30, 2018 | WVIA-TV | Larry Vojtko | YouTube | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dan Meuser (R) |
Denny Wolff (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling and Research[129] | October 23–25, 2018 | 271 | ± 5.9% | 57% | 36% | 1%[130] | 6% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dan Meuser | 148,723 | 59.7 | |
Democratic | Denny Wolff | 100,204 | 40.3 | |
Total votes | 248,927 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| |||||||||||||||||
Perry: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Scott: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 10th district was previously in Northeastern Pennsylvania, but it now overlaps with much of the former 4th district in South Central Pennsylvania. Under the map released in 2018, the 10th district includes Harrisburg and a portion of York County.[7] The incumbent from the 4th district is Republican Scott Perry, who had represented his district since 2013. He was re-elected to a third term with 66% of the vote in 2016. Several Democrats sought to challenge Perry in 2018, with George Scott, a 20-year Army veteran and Lutheran pastor, receiving the party's nomination.[131][132][133]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Scott Perry (incumbent) | 57,407 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 57,407 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | George Scott | 13,924 | 36.3 | |
Democratic | Shavonnia Corbin-Johnson | 13,376 | 34.9 | |
Democratic | Eric Ding | 6,912 | 18.0 | |
Democratic | Alan Howe | 4,157 | 10.8 | |
Total votes | 38,369 | 100.0 |
Executive branch officials
Organizations
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Scott Perry | George Scott | |||||
1 | September 17, 2018 | Rotary Club of York | [139] | P | P | |
2 | October 18, 2018 | American Association of University Women WGAL-TV |
Janelle Stelson Mike Straub |
[140] | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Perry (R) |
George Scott (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College[141] | October 23–26, 2018 | 498 | ± 4.7% | 45% | 43% | – | 12% |
Susquehanna Polling and Research[142] | October 19–21, 2018 | 366 | ± 5.2% | 49% | 46% | 1%[130] | 4% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[143] | September 24–25, 2018 | 650 | – | 44% | 43% | – | 12% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Scott)[144] | June 8–10, 2018 | 654 | ± 4.1% | 45% | 41% | – | 14% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Lean R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Scott Perry (incumbent) | 149,365 | 51.3 | |
Democratic | George Scott | 141,668 | 48.7 | |
Total votes | 291,033 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Smucker: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% King: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The old 11th district was in Northeastern Pennsylvania, but the district now overlaps with much of the former 16th district in South Central Pennsylvania. The new district consists of Lancaster County and portions of York County. The incumbent from the former 16th district is Republican Lloyd Smucker, who had held office since 2017.[7]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) | 34,002 | 58.6 | |
Republican | Chet Beiler | 24,063 | 41.4 | |
Total votes | 58,065 | 100.0 |
Christina Hartman, a former nonprofit executive who lost against Smucker in 16th had filed for a rematch;[145] however, following the court-ordered redrawing, she considered switching to run in the more competitive 10th before withdrawing from the race altogether.[136]
State legislators
Statewide officials
Organizations
State legislators
Labor unions
Organizations
Local officials
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jess King | 22,794 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 22,794 | 100.0 |
Meteorologist Drew Anderson planned to run without party affiliation and expected to be listed that way on the November ballot.[152] However, he failed to file papers in time, and was not in the race.[153]
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Lloyd Smucker | Jess King | |||||
1 | Oct. 30, 2018 | Eastern York School District WGAL York County Economic Alliance |
Janelle Stelson Mike Straub |
[154][155][156][157] | P | P |
U.S. Senators
Labor unions
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lloyd Smucker (R) |
Jess King (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling and Research[164] | October 21–22, 2018 | 311 | ± 5.6% | 50% | 46% | 1%[130] | 3% |
Public Policy Polling (D-King)[165] | September 12–13, 2018 | 552 | ± 4.2% | 44% | 35% | – | 21% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) | 163,708 | 59.0 | |
Democratic | Jess King | 113,876 | 41.0 | |
Total votes | 277,584 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Marino: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Friedenburg: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The old 12th district was in Southwestern Pennsylvania, but the new district is in North Central Pennsylvania. It overlaps with the former 10th district, which was represented by Republican Tom Marino.[7] Marino had held office since 2011.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Marino (incumbent) | 39,537 | 67.0 | |
Republican | Douglas McLinko | 19,435 | 33.0 | |
Total votes | 58,972 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Marc Friedenburg | 12,713 | 50.6 | |
Democratic | Judith Herschel | 12,407 | 49.4 | |
Total votes | 25,120 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Marino (incumbent) | 161,047 | 66.0 | |
Democratic | Marc Friedenburg | 82,825 | 34.0 | |
Total votes | 243,872 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| |||||||||||||||||
Joyce: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Ottaway: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
|
The old 13th district was in Southeastern Pennsylvania, but the new district is in Western Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with much of the old 9th district, which was represented by retiring Republican Representative Bill Shuster.[7]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Joyce | 14,615 | 21.9 | |
Republican | John Eichelberger | 13,101 | 19.6 | |
Republican | Stephen Bloom | 12,195 | 18.3 | |
Republican | Doug Mastriano | 10,485 | 15.7 | |
Republican | Art Halvorson | 10,161 | 15.2 | |
Republican | Travis Schooley | 3,030 | 4.5 | |
Republican | Bernie Washabaugh | 1,908 | 2.9 | |
Republican | Ben Hornberger | 1,182 | 1.8 | |
Total votes | 66,677 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brent Ottaway | 21,096 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 1,096 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Joyce (R) |
Brent Ottaway (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling and Research[166] | October 25–26, 2018 | 303 | ± 5.6% | 57% | 36% | 2%[167] | 5% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Joyce | 178,533 | 70.5 | |
Democratic | Brent Ottaway | 74,733 | 29.5 | |
Total votes | 253,266 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Reschenthaler: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Boerio: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
|
The old 14th district consisted of the city of Pittsburgh and parts of surrounding suburbs, but the new district consists of suburbs to the south and west of Pittsburgh. The district overlaps with much of the former 18th district.[7] The winner of the 2018 special election, Democrat Conor Lamb, ran in the more competitive 17th district.[168]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bibiana Boerio | 17,755 | 43.0 | |
Democratic | Adam Sedlock | 9,944 | 24.1 | |
Democratic | Bob Solomon | 7,831 | 19.0 | |
Democratic | Tom Prigg | 5,724 | 13.9 | |
Total votes | 41,254 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Guy Reschenthaler | 23,245 | 55.4 | |
Republican | Rick Saccone | 18,734 | 44.6 | |
Total votes | 41,979 | 100.0 |
Labor unions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Likely R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Likely R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Likely R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Safe R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Safe R (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Safe R (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Safe R (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Guy Reschenthaler | 151,386 | 57.9 | |
Democratic | Bibiana Boerio | 110,051 | 42.1 | |
Total votes | 261,437 | 100.0 | ||
Republican gain from Democratic |
| |||||||||||||||||
Thompson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Boser: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The old 15th district was in Eastern Pennsylvania, but the new district is in Western Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with much of the former 5th district, which was represented by Republican G.T. Thompson.[7] Thompson had held office since 2009.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | G.T. Thompson (incumbent) | 44,893 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 44,893 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Susan Boser | 20,135 | 74.5 | |
Democratic | Wade Jodun | 6,902 | 25.5 | |
Total votes | 27,037 | 100.0 |
Labor unions
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | G.T. Thompson (incumbent) | 165,245 | 67.8 | |
Democratic | Susan Boser | 78,327 | 32.2 | |
Total votes | 243,572 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| |||||||||||||||||
Kelly: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% DiNicola: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The former 16th district was in Southeastern Pennsylvania, but the redrawn 16th district is in Northwestern Pennsylvania, overlapping with the former 3rd district.[7] The incumbent from the 3rd district was Republican Mike Kelly, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term unopposed in 2016. Kelly had considered running for the U.S. Senate, but announced he would run for re-election instead.[171]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Kelly (incumbent) | 39,412 | 98.7 | |
Write-in | 525 | 1.3 | ||
Total votes | 39,937 | 100.0 |
Labor unions
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||
Ron DiNicola | Robert Multari | Chris Rieger | |||||
1[173] | April 16, 2018 | Allegheny College Center for Political Participation The Meadville Tribune |
Rick Green Keith Gushard Marley Parish |
[174] | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ron DiNicola | 23,480 | 59.7 | |
Democratic | Chris Rieger | 9,758 | 24.8 | |
Democratic | Robert Multari | 5,914 | 15.0 | |
Write-in | 172 | 0.4 | ||
Total votes | 39,324 | 100.0 |
Newspapers
Labor unions
Organizations
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Mike Kelly | Ron DiNicola | |||||
1 | October 8, 2018 | Mercyhurst University WKBN-TV |
Sean Lafferty | [178] | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Kelly (R) |
Ron DiNicola (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research[126] | October 29–30, 2018 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 51% | 1%[127] | 1% |
DCCC (D)[179] | October 9–10, 2018 | 548 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[180] | October 5–8, 2018 | 532 | ± 4.8% | 50% | 42% | – | 8% |
Normington, Petts & Associates (D-DiNicola)[181] | June 5–7, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 44% | – | 6% |
Public Policy Polling (D-DiNicola)[182] | May 21–22, 2018 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 48% | 43% | – | 10% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Kelly (incumbent) | 135,348 | 51.5 | |
Democratic | Ronald DiNicola | 124,109 | 47.3 | |
Libertarian | Ebert "Bill" Beeman | 2,939 | 1.1 | |
Write-in | 167 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 262,563 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| |||||||||||||||||
Lamb: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Rothfus: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The former 17th district was in Northeastern Pennsylvania, but the new 17th district consists of suburbs west of Pittsburgh. The district overlaps with parts of the former 12th district, which was represented by Republican Keith Rothfus.[7] Rothfus had held office since 2013, and ran for reelection in the new 17th.[183]
The new map drew the home of Democrat Conor Lamb, who won a special election for the old 18th District, into the new 17th. The 17th is far less Republican than its predecessor, and voted for Democrats downballot, leading to speculation that Lamb would run for a full term in the 17th regardless of the special election result.[7] On March 14, Democratic officials in Beaver County, which is entirely within the 17th, received a written request from Lamb for their endorsement in the 2018 general election.[184] On March 20, Lamb formally filed to run for a full term in the 17th.[185]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Keith Rothfus (incumbent) | 38,513 | 98.3 | |
Write-in | 649 | 1.7 | ||
Total votes | 39,162 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Conor Lamb (incumbent) | 52,590 | 99.1 | |
Write-in | 467 | 0.9 | ||
Total votes | 53,057 | 100.0 |
Executive branch officials
Organizations
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Conor Lamb | Keith Rothfus | |||||
1 | October 16, 2018 | WTAE-TV | Mike Clark | [187] | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Keith Rothfus (R) |
Conor Lamb (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University[188] | October 5–8, 2018 | 354 | ± 5.2% | 42% | 54% | 0% | 4% |
Monmouth University[189] | July 19–22, 2018 | 355 LV | ± 5.2% | 40% | 53% | 2% | 5% |
401 RV | ± 4.9% | 39% | 51% | 2% | 9% | ||
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Lean D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Conor Lamb (incumbent) | 183,162 | 56.2 | |
Republican | Keith Rothfus (incumbent) | 142,417 | 43.7 | |
Write-in | 184 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 325,763 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
| |||||||||||||||||
Doyle: 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 18th district formerly consisted of the southern suburbs of Pittsburgh, but the new district is now centered on Pittsburgh itself. The district overlaps with the former 14th district, which was represented by Democrat Michael F. Doyle.[7] Doyle had held office since 1995. He ran unopposed in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike Doyle (incumbent) | 52,080 | 75.6 | |
Democratic | Janis Brooks | 16,549 | 24.0 | |
Write-in | 260 | 0.4 | ||
Total votes | 68,889 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike Doyle (incumbent) | 231,472 | 96.1 | |
Write-in | 9,452 | 3.9 | ||
Total votes | 240,924 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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