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The 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Governor Butch Otter won re-election, defeating his Democratic opponent Keith G. Allred.
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County results Otter: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Allred: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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A former Lieutenant Governor and U.S. Representative, Otter won an open seat race in 2006 against Democratic Party nominee Jerry Brady with 52.67% of the vote.
Both Rammell and Ullman sought support from followers of the Tea Party movement by criticizing Otter's 2009 attempt to raise Idaho's gas tax.[5]
In August 2009, Rammell drew criticism for joking about buying a license to hunt President Barack Obama.[6]
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Walt Bayes |
Butch Otter |
Ron"Pete" Peterson |
Rex Rammell |
Sharon Ullman |
Tamara Wells |
Un- decided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon (report) | May 17–19, 2010 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 1% | 60% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 25% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Butch Otter (incumbent) | 89,117 | 54.6 | |
| Republican | Rex Rammell | 42,436 | 26.0 | |
| Republican | Sharon Ullman | 13,749 | 8.4 | |
| Republican | Pete Peterson | 8,402 | 5.2 | |
| Republican | Walt Bayes | 4,825 | 3.0 | |
| Republican | Tamara Wells | 4,544 | 2.8 | |
| Republican | Fred Nichols | 38 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 163,111 | 100 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Keith Allred | 22,386 | 81.7 | |
| Democratic | Lee Chaney | 5,026 | 18.3 | |
| Total votes | 27,412 | 100 | ||
Between January 1 and May 9, 2010, Allred led Otter in fundraising, having raised $241,000 to Otter's $193,000. Allred said, "We are picking up momentum and are right where we want to be." However, Otter limited his fundraising activity while the Idaho Legislature was in session.[12]
Allred has criticized Otter for backing cuts to public education spending, which led the Idaho Association of Commerce and Industry to launch a website attacking Allred.[5]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[13] | Safe R | October 14, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[14] | Safe R | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[15] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Likely R | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[17] | Likely R | October 28, 2010 |
| Poll source | Dates administered | Butch Otter (R) | Keith Allred (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[18] | August 31, 2010 | 52% | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports[19] | July 15, 2010 | 53% | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports[20] | May 11, 2010 | 54% | 32% |
| Rasmussen Reports[20] | March 23, 2010 | 60% | 28% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Butch Otter (incumbent) | 267,483 | 59.11% | +6.44% | |
| Democratic | Keith G. Allred | 148,680 | 32.85% | −11.25% | |
| Independent | Jana M. Kemp | 26,655 | 5.89% | ||
| Libertarian | Ted Dunlap | 5,867 | 1.30% | −0.31% | |
| Independent | Pro-Life | 3,850 | 0.85% | −0.77% | |
| Majority | 118,803 | 26.25% | +17.69% | ||
| Turnout | 452,535 | ||||
| Republican hold | Swing | ||||
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