2024 Washington Public Lands Commissioner election

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2024 Washington Public Lands Commissioner election

The 2024 Washington Public Lands Commissioner election was held on November 5, 2024. Democrat Dave Upthegrove, a King County councilmember, defeated Republican Jaime Herrera Beutler, a former U.S. Representative from Washington's 3rd congressional district.[1] The top-two primary was held on August 6.[2] Incumbent Public Lands Commissioner Hilary Franz, elected in 2016 and re-elected in 2020, did not seek a third term, opting to run instead for governor.[3][4]

Quick Facts Candidate, Party ...
2024 Washington Public Lands Commissioner election

 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 
 
Candidate Dave Upthegrove Jaime Herrera Beutler
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,969,936 1,765,121
Percentage 52.62% 47.15%

Upthegrove:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Herrera Beutler:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes

Public Lands Commissioner before election

Hilary Franz
Democratic

Elected Public Lands Commissioner

Dave Upthegrove
Democratic

Close

The primary saw a close race with the Democratic vote split across five candidates, causing a recount in order to determine the winners and narrowly avoiding a lockout for the Democratic Party.[5]

Background

Summarize
Perspective

Current Public Lands Commissioner Hilary Franz, elected in 2016 and re-elected in 2020, did not seek a third term. She initially chose to run for governor, later dropping out of that race to instead run for the U.S. House.[6] During the primary election, the race drew many candidates, including five Democrats and two Republicans. It was suggested that the numerous Democratic candidates might split the vote enough so that the two Republican candidates advance to the general election, locking out Democrats from the office.[7]

The results of the primary election had Republican Jaime Herrera Beutler lead while the second-place position remained tight between Democrat Dave Upthegrove and Republican Sue Kuehl Pederson, with a margin of only 51 votes between the two. This triggered an automatic hand recount per Washington state laws.[8][9] After a recount and certification of the results showed Upthegrove with a lead of 49 votes, he advanced to the general election thus ensuring that Democrats would not be locked out of the general election.[10]

During their campaigns, both Upthegrove and Beutler focused on the protection and management of forests and public lands albeit with differing views of how such aims would be achieved. Upthegrove emphasized preservation of public lands, especially legacy forests (mature natural forests), and maintaining a balance between conservation and economical value of the forests. Beutler focused on the generation of revenue via logging and other activities to keep lands economically and environmentally sustainable, claiming that excessive preservation of legacy forests can lead to susceptibility to disease, raise wildfire risks, and reduce the stream of revenue on which schools and other public services rely. On tribal issues, Upthegrove supported strengthening the role of co-management with tribes while Beutler supported continuing Franz's creation of a tribal liaison.[11][8]

Primary election

Summarize
Perspective

Washington is one of two states that holds a top-two primary, meaning all candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two advance to the general election.

Democratic candidates

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Republican candidates

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

  • Sue Kuehl Pederson, retired utility manager and runner-up for public lands commissioner in 2020[12]

Endorsements

Sue Kuehl Pederson (R)
Mona Das (D) (withdrawn)

State legislators

Local officials

Rebecca Saldaña (D) (withdrawn)

Organizations

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Patrick
DePoe (D)
Jaime Herrera
Beutler (R)
Allen
Lebovitz (D)
Sue Kuehl
Pederson (R)
Dave
Upthegrove (D)
Kevin Van
De Wege (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[37][A] July 24–25, 2024 581 (LV) ± 4.0% 4% 18% 3% 12% 6% 5% 5%[b] 48%
Public Policy Polling (D)[38][A] May 15–16, 2024 615 (LV) ± 4.0% 1% 16% 5% 12% 4% 2% 58%
Public Policy Polling (D)[39][A] November 14–15, 2023 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 5% 18% 14% 3% 2% 11%[c] 48%
Close

Forum

More information No., Date ...
2024 Washington Public Lands Commissioner primary candidate forum
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic Republican Republican Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Anderson DePoe Herrera
Beutler
Kuehl
Pederson
Lebovitz Upthegrove Van De Wege
1 Jul. 18, 2024 League of Women Voters of Washington
The Columbian
The Reflector
Craig Brown TVW P P P P P P P
Close

Results

A top-two primary took place on August 6. All candidates were listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two advanced to the general election in November. Results were certified by county canvassing boards on August 20, showing Democrat Dave Upthegrove in second place, with a margin of only 51 votes (0.0027% of the total votes) over Republican Sue Kuehl Pederson, enough to trigger an automatic hand recount per Washington state laws.[40][9]

On September 3, hand recounts returned with Upthegrove holding a 53-vote margin over Pederson.[34][41] Results were certified on September 4, with Dave Upthegrove holding a final margin of 49 votes over Sue Kuehl Pederson, ensuring that Democrats would not be locked out of the general election.[42][10]

Thumb
Blanket primary results by county
  Herrera Beutler
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Upthegrove
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Pederson
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Van De Wege
  •   20–30%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Blanket primary election results[43][44]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jaime Herrera Beutler 419,309 22.033
Democratic Dave Upthegrove 396,304 20.824
Republican Sue Kuehl Pederson 396,255 20.821
Democratic Patrick DePoe 267,944 14.079
Democratic Allen Lebovitz 194,118 10.200
Democratic Kevin Van De Wege 143,174 7.523
Democratic Jeralee Anderson 84,353 4.432
Write-in 1,658 0.087
Total votes 1,903,115 100.0
Close

General election

Summarize
Perspective

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Dave
Upthegrove (D)
Jaime
Herrera Beutler (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[45][A] October 16–17, 2024 571 (LV) ± 4.1% 46% 38% 16%
Strategies 360[46] October 11–16, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 38% 15%
Cascade PBS/Elway Research[47] October 8–12, 2024 401 (LV) ± 5.0% 41% 35% 24%
Close

Debates & forums

More information No., Date ...
2024 Washington Public Lands Commissioner debates & candidate forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Dave Upthegrove Jaime Herrera Beutler
1 Sep. 18, 2024 Association of Washington Business Bill Lucia TVW P P
2 Sep. 25, 2024 League of Women Voters of Washington
and Benton-Franklin Counties
Northwest Public Broadcasting
Matt Loveless YouTube P P
3 Oct. 2, 2024 The Impact Mike McClanahan TVW P P
4 Oct. 7, 2024 Society of American Foresters Samantha Chang TVW P P
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2024 Washington Public Lands Commissioner election[48]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Dave Upthegrove 1,969,936 52.62% −4.07%
Republican Jaime Herrera Beutler 1,765,121 47.15% +3.94%
Write-in 8,394 0.22% +0.12%
Total votes 3,743,451 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold
Close

By congressional district

Upthegrove won six of 10 congressional districts, with the remaining four going to Herrera Beutler, including two that elected Democrats.[49]

More information District, Upthegrove ...
Close

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Jeralee Anderson (D) with 5%
  3. Rebecca Saldaña (D) with 6%; Mona Das (D) with 5%
  4. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. Poll conducted for The Cascadia Advocate

References

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