2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

For related races, see 2024 United States presidential election.

The 2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. Massachusetts voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Reporting	99% as of Nov. 11, 2024, 12:40 PM EST
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Home state California Florida Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance Electoral vote 11 0 Popular vote 2,072,571 1,234,961 Percentage 61.3% 36.5%
County results Municipality results Harris   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70% Tie   40-50%
President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

A New England state, Massachusetts had been a Democratic leaning state since 1928, and a Democratic stronghold since 1960, and is still considered a deeply blue state today.^[a] Democrats have consistently defeated Republicans by large margins in Massachusetts since 1996. In 2020, Biden won the state by more than 33%, the largest margin since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term, and became the party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21.^[1][2][3] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.^[4] The Republican nominee was former president Donald Trump.^[5]

Harris won Massachusetts, including every county in the state, winning it by 25 points. This was an 8-point smaller margin than Biden, following a trend of blue states, such as New York, California and Illinois, shifting significantly red as a result of poor turnout for Democrats compared to 2020 and 2016.^[6] This was the first time that a Democrat won less than 50% of the vote in Bristol County since 1992, and the first time a Republican candidate won Fall River since 1924. In addition, it was the first time a Republican candidate won Westport and Seekonk (both also in Bristol County) and West Springfield (in Hampden County) since 1984. This was also the first time a Republican candidate won Somerset since 1956, and the first time since 1984 that a Democratic candidate failed to reach 50% of the vote in Wareham.

Four other minor candidates appeared on the ballot,^[7] including Green-Rainbow Party candidate Jill Stein, Libertarian candidate Chase Oliver, Socialism and Liberation Party Claudia de la Cruz, and independent perennial candidate Shiva Ayyaduria. Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., did not appear on the ballot in his home state.^[8]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary

The Massachusetts Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Massachusetts Democratic primary, March 5, 2024^[9]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	533,096	80.5%	91		91
No Preference	60,236	9.1%	1		1
Dean Phillips	29,728	4.5%
Marianne Williamson	20,402	3.1%
Other candidates	10,135	1.5%
Cenk Uygur (write-in)	82	<0.1%
Blank ballots	8,930	1.3%
Total:	662,609	100%	92		92

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary

The Massachusetts Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Massachusetts Republican primary, March 5, 2024^[10]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	343,189	59.56%	40	0	40
Nikki Haley	211,440	36.69%	0	0	0
No Preference	5,717	0.99%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	5,217	0.91%	0	0	0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	3,981	0.69%	0	0	0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)	1,738	0.30%	0	0	0
Other candidates	1,674	0.29%	0	0	0
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)	619	0.11%	0	0	0
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)	527	0.09%	0	0	0
Blank ballots	2,148	0.37%	0	0	0
Total:	576,250	100.00%	40	0	40

Libertarian primary

Main article: 2024 Libertarian Party presidential primaries § Schedule

The Massachusetts Libertarian primary was held on March 5, 2024.

Massachusetts Libertarian primary, March 5, 2024

Candidate	Votes	Percentage
No Preference	3,982	36.45%
Chase Oliver	1,453	13.30%
Jacob Hornberger	1,089	9.97%
Michael Rectenwald	546	5.00%
Lars Mapstead	399	3.65%
Mike ter Maat	314	2.87%
All Others	2,161	19.78%
Blank ballots	980	8.97%
Total:	10,924	100.00%
Source:[11]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[12]	Solid D	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[13]	Solid D	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14]	Safe D	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[15]	Safe D	December 14, 2023
CNalysis[16]	Solid D	December 30, 2023
CNN[17]	Solid D	January 14, 2024
The Economist[18]	Safe D	June 12, 2024
538[19]	Solid D	June 11, 2024
RCP[20]	Solid D	June 26, 2024
NBC News[21]	Safe D	October 6, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
ActiVote[22]	October 2–30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	66%	34%	–
Emerson College[23][A]	October 24–26, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	59%	36%	5%[c]
				60%[d]	37%	3%[c]
ActiVote[24]	September 6 – October 16, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	67%	33%	–
MassINC Polling Group[25][B]	September 12–18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.1%	63%	35%	2%[e]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire[26]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	744 (LV)	± 3.6%	60%	34%	–	2%	1%	3%[f]
YouGov[27][C]	October 3–10, 2024	700 (A)	± 4.8%	56%	30%	–	2%	1%	11%[g]
Suffolk University[28][D]	October 1–4, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	61%	32%	–	1%	0%	6%[g]
University of New Hampshire[29]	September 12–16, 2024	546 (LV)	± 4.1%	62%	31%	–	2%	0%	5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
MassINC Polling Group[30]	October 29 – November 1, 2024	582 (LV)	± 4.9%	61%	31%	2%	0%	1%	0%	5%[h]
MassINC Polling Group[25]	September 12–18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.1%	60%	32%	3%	0%	1%	0%	4%[i]

Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Suffolk University[31][D]	July 16–18, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	29%	24%
University of New Hampshire[32]	May 16–20, 2024	526 (LV)	± 4.3%	68%	32%	–
John Zogby Strategies[33][E]	April 13–21, 2024	534 (LV)	–	55%	36%	9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[34]	February 29 – March 3, 2024	271 (RV)	–	58%	34%	8%[j]
		263 (LV)		59%	34%	7%[j]
University of Massachusetts Lowell[35]	October 18–25, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 4.1%	58%	32%	10%
Emerson College[36]	September 7–8, 2022	708 (LV)	± 3.6%	54%	34%	12%
University of Massachusetts Lowell[37]	June 7–15, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 4.0%	60%	31%	9%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire[32]	May 16–20, 2024	526 (LV)	± 4.3%	55%	26%	10%	1%	2%	6%
MassINC Polling Group[38][F]	March 21–29, 2024	1,002 (RV)	± 3.4%	44%	26%	7%	2%	–	21%[k]
				46%[d]	28%	9%	2%	–	15%[l]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
YouGov[39][C]	May 17–30, 2024	700 (A)	± 4.4%	48%	27%	9%	16%
Suffolk University[40][D]	April 16–20, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	52%	22%	8%	18%
Suffolk University[41]	February 2–5, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	45%	26%	9%	21%
YouGov[42][C]	October 13–20, 2023	700 (V)	± 5.1%	43%	21%	17%	19%

Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[33][E]	April 13–21, 2024	534 (LV)	–	48%	42%	10%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[33][E]	April 13–21, 2024	534 (LV)	–	46%	33%	21%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Results

Swing by county^[43]

Legend

•   Republican — +2.5–5%
•   Republican — +5–7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%

2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts^[44][45]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	2,072,571	61.3%	−4.3
	Republican	Donald Trump JD Vance	1,234,961	36.5%	+4.36
	Green-Rainbow	Jill Stein Gloria Caballero-Roca[m]	25,392	0.8%	+0.19
	Independent	Shiva Ayyadurai Crystal Ellis	19,011	0.6%
	Libertarian	Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat	17,367	0.5%	−0.79
	Socialism and Liberation	Claudia de la Cruz Karina Garcia	12,267	0.4%	0.0
	Write-in				0.0
Total votes			3,381,569	100%

See also

• United States presidential elections in Massachusetts
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. George H.W. Bush was the last Republican presidential nominee to win any counties in Massachusetts in 1988.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. "Someone else" with 3%
4. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
5. "Would not vote" with 1%
6. Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) & "Another Candidate" with 1% each
7. Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) & Shiva Ayyadurai (I) with 1% each
8. "Prefer not to say" with 2%; "Another candidate" & "Would not vote for president" with 1% each
9. "Another candidate" with 2%; "Would not vote" with 1%
10. "Another candidate" with 5%
11. "Another candidate" & "Would not vote" with 3% each
12. "Another candidate" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 3%
13. Replacement for Butch Ware, Stein's vice presidential nominee.

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by WHDH
2. Poll sponsored by CommonWealth Beacon and WBUR
3. Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB-TV
4. Poll sponsored by The Boston Globe
5. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
6. Poll sponsored by CommonWealth Beacon and WGBH-TV

References

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