2024 United States presidential election in Illinois

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

The 2024 United States presidential election in Illinois took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Illinois voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Illinois has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College this election, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.^[1]

2024 United States presidential election in Illinois

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Turnout	70.42%
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Home state California Florida Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance Electoral vote 19 0 Popular vote 3,062,863 2,449,079 Percentage 54.37% 43.47%
County results Congressional district results Precinct results Harris   30–40%   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Trump   20–30%   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Tie
President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Illinois is a strongly blue state in the Great Lakes region anchored by Chicago, with the sparsely populated southern region of the state being culturally influenced by the Upper South and Bible Belt. It has a reputation for being by far the most liberal state in the Great Lakes region. The state has voted for the Democratic candidate in every presidential election beginning in 1992 (doing so by at least 10% each time), including voting for Senator Barack Obama from Illinois in 2008 and 2012 and Chicago-born Hillary Clinton in 2016. This was the first election since 1868 in which Illinois did not have 20 or more electoral votes.

Illinois was won by the Democratic candidate Kamala Harris. Illinois shifted noticeably towards Trump, with Harris winning the state by under an 11 point margin, six points down from Biden. The state’s red shift was caused by low Democratic turnout in Cook County, home to Chicago with Harris receiving about 300,000 fewer votes than Biden in Cook County, while Trump ran marginally ahead of his 2020 raw vote total in Chicago, Cook as a whole, and statewide.^[2] Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without Kendall County or McLean County.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Illinois Democratic presidential primary

The Illinois Democratic primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida,^[a] Kansas, and Ohio.

Illinois Democratic primary, March 19, 2024^[3]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	739,646	91.5%	147		147
Marianne Williamson	28,777	3.6%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)	25,615	3.2%
Frankie Lozada (withdrawn)	14,513	1.8%
Total:	808,551	100.00%	147	27	174

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Illinois Republican presidential primary

The Illinois Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, and Ohio.

Illinois Republican primary, March 19, 2024^[4]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	479,556	80.50%	64	0	64
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)	86,278	14.48%	0	0	0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	16,990	2.85%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	9,758	1.64%	0	0	0
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)	3,114	0.52%	0	0	0
Total:	595,696	100.00%	64	0	64

General election

Candidates

See also: Ballot access in the 2024 United States presidential election

On August 23, 2024, the Illinois State Board of Elections met in Chicago and Springfield to certify the following list of candidates to appear on the general election ballot:

• Kamala Harris / Tim Walz — Democratic
• Donald Trump / JD Vance — Republican
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. / Nicole Shanahan — Independent

The board also issued rulings to the nomination papers of third party and independent candidates, including placeholder candidates for the Libertarian and Green Party tickets, as well as for Kennedy and Shanahan. Both the Libertarian and Green tickets were removed from the ballot, lacking the minimum required number of 25,000 valid signatures, while Kennedy remained.^[5]

Campaign

Convention

Harris delivering her acceptance speech on the final day of the Democratic National Convention.

The 2024 Democratic National Convention was held from August 19 to 22, 2024, at the United Center in Chicago.^[6] It was the first instance of a major party's presidential nominating convention held in Illinois since 1996.^[7] Here, party delegates voted on their platform for the election and formally nominated vice president Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee, with Minnesota governor Tim Walz as her running mate.

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report[8]	Solid D	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[9]	Solid D	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe D	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[11]	Safe D	June 13, 2024
CNalysis[12]	Solid D	December 30, 2023
CNN[13]	Solid D	January 14, 2024
The Economist[14]	Likely D	August 23, 2024
538[15]	Solid D	October 2, 2024
RCP[16]	Likely D	June 26, 2024
NBC News[17]	Safe D	October 6, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
ActiVote[18]	October 4–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–
ActiVote[19]	September 3 – October 5, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	59%	41%	–
ActiVote[20]	August 6–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[21][A]	April 13–21, 2024	643 (LV)	–	53%	40%	7%
Emerson College[22]	October 1–4, 2023	468 (RV)	± 4.5%	43%	34%	23%
Cor Strategies[23]	August 24–27, 2023	811 (RV)	–	55%	35%	10%
Emerson College[24][B]	October 20–24, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	37%	14%
Public Policy Polling (D)[25][C]	October 10–11, 2022	770 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	42%	7%
Emerson College[26]	September 21–23, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	38%	11%

Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[21][A]	April 13–21, 2024	643 (LV)	–	46%	43%	11%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[21][A]	April 13–21, 2024	643 (LV)	–	48%	37%	15%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	J. B. Pritzker Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[25]	October 10–11, 2022	770 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	42%	7%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Cor Strategies[23]	August 24–27, 2023	811 (RV)	–	53%	35%	12%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

J. B. Pritzker vs. Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Results

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%
•   Republican — +12.5-15%
•   Republican — +>15%

2024 United States presidential election in Illinois^[27]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	3,062,863	54.37%	3.17%
	Republican	Donald Trump JD Vance	2,449,079	43.47%	2.92%
	Independent	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Nicole Shanahan	80,426	1.43%	N/A
	Green (Write-in)	Jill Stein Butch Ware	31,023	0.55%	0.04%
	Libertarian (Write-in)	Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat	3,510	0.06%	1.04%
	Socialism and Liberation (Write-in)	Claudia De la Cruz Karina Garcia	2,877	0.05%	0.07%
	Independent (Write-in)	Cornel West Melina Abdullah	1,569	0.03%	N/A
	American Solidarity (Write-in)	Peter Sonski Lauren Onak	1,391	0.02%	0.13%
	All other write-ins	Various	572	0.01%	N/A
Total votes			5,633,310	100.00%	N/A

By county

County	Kamala Harris Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Adams	8,111	25.43%	23,161	72.61%	628	1.96%	−15,050	−47.18%	31,900
Alexander	904	39.72%	1,341	58.92%	31	1.36%	−437	−19.20%	2,276
Bond	2,117	26.41%	5,692	71.01%	207	2.58%	−3,575	−44.60%	8,016
Boone	10,159	41.71%	13,673	56.14%	525	2.15%	−3,514	−14.43%	24,357
Brown	467	18.95%	1,938	78.62%	60	2.43%	−1,471	−59.67%	2,465
Bureau	5,900	36.71%	9,784	60.88%	387	2.41%	−3,884	−24.17%	16,071
Calhoun	560	20.86%	2,059	76.71%	65	2.43%	−1,499	−55.85%	2,684
Carroll	2,600	33.09%	5,082	64.68%	175	2.23%	−2,482	−31.59%	7,857
Cass	1,438	27.44%	3,712	70.83%	91	1.73%	−2,274	−43.39%	5,241
Champaign	54,314	60.18%	32,965	36.52%	2,977	3.30%	21,349	23.66%	90,256
Christian	4,026	25.81%	11,278	72.29%	296	1.90%	−7,252	−46.48%	15,600
Clark	1,927	23.42%	6,130	74.50%	171	2.08%	−4,203	−51.08%	8,228
Clay	1,054	15.55%	5,610	82.77%	114	1.68%	−4,556	−67.22%	6,778
Clinton	4,447	23.03%	14,407	74.62%	452	2.35%	−9,960	−51.59%	19,306
Coles	7,495	34.68%	13,606	62.95%	512	2.37%	−6,111	−28.27%	21,613
Cook	1,447,821	69.63%	583,852	28.08%	47,566	2.29%	863,969	41.55%	2,079,239
Crawford	2,048	22.87%	6,727	75.13%	179	2.00%	−4,679	−52.26%	8,954
Cumberland	1,059	18.28%	4,627	79.89%	106	1.83%	−3,568	−61.61%	5,792
DeKalb	23,648	49.71%	22,716	47.75%	1,206	2.54%	932	1.96%	47,570
DeWitt	2,058	26.49%	5,529	71.18%	181	2.33%	−3,471	−44.69%	7,768
Douglas	2,198	26.02%	6,076	71.92%	174	2.06%	−3,878	−45.90%	8,448
DuPage	251,164	54.52%	191,243	41.51%	18,261	3.97%	59,921	13.01%	460,668
Edgar	1,816	22.91%	5,955	75.11%	157	1.98%	−4,139	−52.20%	7,928
Edwards	457	13.87%	2,794	84.80%	44	1.33%	−2,337	−70.93%	3,295
Effingham	3,617	18.88%	15,124	78.96%	413	2.16%	−11,507	−60.08%	19,154
Fayette	1,632	16.95%	7,847	81.52%	147	1.53%	−6,215	−64.57%	9,626
Ford	1,643	24.99%	4,778	72.67%	154	2.34%	−3,135	−47.68%	6,575
Franklin	4,257	24.00%	13,200	74.41%	282	1.59%	−8,943	−50.41%	17,739
Fulton	5,980	36.89%	9,827	60.62%	405	2.49%	−3,847	−23.73%	16,212
Gallatin	561	22.13%	1,923	75.86%	51	2.01%	−1,362	−53.73%	2,535
Greene	1,220	20.08%	4,719	77.68%	136	2.24%	−3,499	−57.60%	6,075
Grundy	9,143	34.28%	16,997	63.74%	528	1.98%	−7,854	−29.46%	26,668
Hamilton	739	17.62%	3,385	80.71%	70	1.67%	−2,646	−63.09%	4,194
Hancock	2,183	23.97%	6,708	73.67%	215	2.36%	−4,525	−49.70%	9,106
Hardin	357	18.47%	1,546	79.98%	30	1.55%	−1,189	−61.51%	1,933
Henderson	1,026	29.57%	2,369	68.27%	75	2.16%	−1,343	−38.70%	3,470
Henry	9,226	36.64%	15,359	60.99%	596	2.37%	−6,133	−24.35%	25,181
Iroquois	2,747	20.57%	10,376	77.70%	231	1.73%	−7,629	−57.13%	13,354
Jackson	11,394	50.46%	10,614	47.00%	574	2.54%	780	3.46%	22,582
Jasper	912	16.77%	4,449	81.81%	77	1.42%	−3,537	−65.04%	5,438
Jefferson	4,240	25.38%	12,189	72.97%	275	1.65%	−7,949	−47.59%	16,704
Jersey	2,816	23.98%	8,684	73.95%	243	2.07%	−5,868	−49.97%	11,743
Jo Daviess	5,051	40.50%	7,136	57.22%	285	2.28%	−2,085	−16.72%	12,472
Johnson	1,241	20.33%	4,798	78.62%	64	1.05%	−3,557	−58.29%	6,103
Kane	120,077	53.45%	99,260	44.18%	5,323	2.37%	20,817	9.27%	224,660
Kankakee	18,399	38.50%	28,285	59.19%	1,101	2.31%	−9,886	−20.69%	47,785
Kendall	32,977	49.55%	31,970	48.04%	1,602	2.41%	1,007	1.51%	66,549
Knox	9,838	44.13%	11,917	53.45%	540	2.42%	-2,079	−9.32%	22,295
Lake	184,642	58.89%	120,402	38.40%	8,514	2.71%	64,240	20.49%	313,558
LaSalle	21,029	39.91%	30,717	58.30%	942	1.79%	−9,688	−18.39%	52,688
Lawrence	1,283	20.94%	4,715	76.97%	128	2.09%	−3,432	−56.03%	6,126
Lee	6,105	37.75%	9,680	59.86%	387	2.39%	−3,575	−22.11%	16,172
Livingston	4,311	25.94%	11,970	72.02%	340	2.04%	−7,659	−46.08%	16,621
Logan	3,543	28.07%	8,757	69.38%	321	2.55%	−5,214	−41.31%	12,621
Macon	18,009	39.57%	26,562	58.37%	938	2.06%	−8,553	−18.80%	45,509
Macoupin	6,892	29.42%	16,065	68.35%	546	2.33%	−9,173	−39.03%	23,503
Madison	56,341	42.18%	73,925	55.34%	3,317	2.48%	−17,584	−13.16%	133,583
Marion	4,116	24.50%	12,409	73.85%	278	1.65%	−8,293	−49.35%	16,803
Marshall	1,913	31.09%	4,119	66.93%	122	1.98%	−2,206	−35.84%	6,154
Mason	1,773	27.69%	4,464	69.73%	165	2.58%	−2,691	−42.04%	6,402
Massac	1,683	25.11%	4,939	73.68%	81	1.21%	−3,256	−48.57%	6,703
McDonough	4,736	39.38%	6,987	58.10%	302	2.52%	−2,251	−18.72%	12,025
McHenry	75,370	46.22%	83,933	51.47%	3,779	2.31%	−8,563	−5.25%	163,082
McLean	44,495	51.08%	40,290	46.25%	2,330	2.67%	4,205	4.83%	87,115
Menard	1,834	28.41%	4,499	69.69%	123	1.90%	−2,665	−41.28%	6,456
Mercer	2,950	35.23%	5,215	62.28%	208	2.49%	−2,265	−27.05%	8,373
Monroe	6,473	30.80%	14,055	66.88%	486	2.32%	−7,582	−36.08%	21,014
Montgomery	3,573	26.97%	9,378	70.80%	295	2.23%	−5,805	−43.83%	13,246
Morgan	4,848	33.03%	9,607	65.46%	222	1.51%	−4,759	−32.43%	14,677
Moultrie	1,615	24.67%	4,816	73.56%	116	1.77%	−3,201	−48.89%	6,547
Ogle	8,883	34.30%	16,450	63.51%	567	2.19%	−7,567	−29.21%	25,900
Peoria	40,564	50.88%	36,896	46.28%	2,262	2.84%	3,668	4.60%	79,722
Perry	2,146	23.16%	6,949	75.00%	170	1.84%	−4,803	−51.84%	9,265
Piatt	3,204	33.56%	6,104	63.94%	238	2.50%	−2,900	−30.38%	9,546
Pike	1,302	17.30%	6,086	80.88%	137	1.82%	−4,784	−63.58%	7,525
Pope	416	19.48%	1,698	79.53%	21	0.99%	−1,282	−60.05%	2,135
Pulaski	769	32.23%	1,583	66.35%	34	1.42%	−814	−34.12%	2,386
Putnam	1,254	37.46%	2,014	60.16%	80	2.38%	−760	−22.70%	3,348
Randolph	3,461	24.08%	10,624	73.92%	288	2.00%	−7,163	−49.84%	14,373
Richland	1,747	22.48%	5,889	75.77%	136	1.75%	−4,142	−53.29%	7,772
Rock Island	34,126	53.59%	28,061	44.07%	1,492	2.34%	6,065	9.52%	63,679
Saline	2,634	24.78%	7,830	73.67%	165	1.55%	−5,196	−48.89%	10,629
Sangamon	46,074	46.18%	50,979	51.09%	2,720	2.73%	−4,905	−4.91%	99,773
Schuyler	961	25.51%	2,720	72.21%	86	2.28%	−1,759	−46.70%	3,767
Scott	488	18.83%	2,071	79.90%	33	1.27%	−1,583	−61.07%	2,592
Shelby	2,240	19.14%	9,267	79.18%	196	1.68%	−7,027	−60.04%	11,703
St. Clair	63,433	52.61%	54,021	44.80%	3,118	2.59%	9,412	7.81%	120,572
Stark	725	26.22%	1,983	71.72%	57	2.06%	−1,258	−45.50%	2,765
Stephenson	8,278	39.28%	12,347	58.58%	451	2.14%	−4,069	−19.30%	21,076
Tazewell	24,325	35.54%	42,451	62.02%	1,666	2.44%	−18,126	−26.48%	68,442
Union	2,285	27.64%	5,837	70.60%	146	1.76%	−3,552	−42.96%	8,268
Vermilion	9,254	31.21%	19,777	66.70%	620	2.09%	−10,523	−35.49%	29,651
Wabash	1,200	22.25%	4,095	75.93%	98	1.82%	−2,895	−53.68%	5,393
Warren	2,711	36.29%	4,579	61.30%	180	2.41%	−1,868	−25.01%	7,470
Washington	1,564	20.59%	5,892	77.56%	141	1.85%	−4,328	−56.97%	7,597
Wayne	1,155	13.93%	7,019	84.66%	117	1.41%	−5,864	−70.73%	8,291
White	1,390	19.62%	5,586	78.84%	109	1.54%	−4,196	−59.22%	7,085
Whiteside	11,012	41.48%	14,898	56.11%	640	2.41%	−3,886	−14.63%	26,550
Will	162,874	49.52%	157,672	47.93%	8,391	2.55%	5,202	1.59%	328,937
Williamson	9,890	29.81%	22,686	68.38%	598	1.81%	−12,796	−38.57%	33,174
Winnebago	59,942	49.13%	59,257	48.56%	2,819	2.31%	685	0.57%	122,018
Woodford	5,958	28.03%	14,837	69.79%	463	2.18%	−8,879	−41.76%	21,258
Totals	3,062,863	54.19%	2,449,079	43.33%	140,161	2.48%	613,784	10.86%	5,652,103

By congressional district

Harris won 14 of 17 congressional districts.^{[28][user-generated source]}

District	Harris	Trump	Representative
1st	65%	33%	Jonathan Jackson
2nd	66%	33%	Robin Kelly
3rd	65%	34%	Delia Ramirez
4th	63%	35%	Chuy García
5th	68%	31%	Mike Quigley
6th	52%	46%	Sean Casten
7th	82%	17%	Danny Davis
8th	53%	46%	Raja Krishnamoorthi
9th	68%	31%	Jan Schakowsky
10th	60%	38%	Brad Schneider
11th	55%	44%	Bill Foster
12th	28%	71%	Mike Bost
13th	55%	44%	Nikki Budzinski
14th	52%	47%	Lauren Underwood
15th	29%	69%	Mary Miller
16th	38%	61%	Darin LaHood
17th	51%	47%	Eric Sorensen

Analysis

The 2024 Presidential Election resulted in Kamala Harris carrying the state of Illinois, a historic Democratic stronghold in the Midwest. Illinois has not been won by a Republican candidate at the presidential level since 1988 as a result of most of the population being concentrated in the Chicago metropolitan area. However, Illinois took a massive 6.1% shift towards the right from 2020.^[29] This rightward shift was a result of Republicans making ground in the highly populated collar counties combined with low voter turn-out for Democrats in Cook County, home of Chicago.^[30][31] Illinois's shifts represents broader trends across the country with Donald Trump making improvements with key-demographics, such as Hispanics.^[32] Donald Trump's improvement among most demographics can be attributed to peoples' concern regarding the state of the economy and the inflation rate.^[33]

See also

• United States presidential elections in Illinois
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. The state party only nominated Joe Biden as a candidate, cancelling the primary.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear

Partisan clients

1. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
2. Poll sponsored by WGN-TV
3. Poll sponsored by WBEZ & The Chicago Sun-Times