2024 California's 47th congressional district election

For broader coverage of this topic, see California's 47th congressional district.

The 2024 California's 47th congressional district election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the United States representative for California's 47th congressional district, concurrently with elections for the other U.S. House districts in California and the rest of the country, as well as the 2024 U.S. Senate race in California, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election was held on March 5, 2024, concurrently with the Super Tuesday presidential primaries. The Southern California-based 47th district is centered in Orange County and includes the cities of Costa Mesa, Huntington Beach, Irvine, Newport Beach, and Seal Beach, as well as portions of Laguna Beach, Laguna Hills, and Laguna Woods.

2024 California's 47th congressional district election

← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →

Candidate Dave Min Scott Baugh Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 181,655 171,501 Percentage 51.44% 48.56%

U.S. Representative before election Katie Porter Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Dave Min Democratic

The incumbent is Democrat Katie Porter, who was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2022. She is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate.^[1] Porter was first elected in 2018, unseating incumbent Republican Mimi Walters. She later gained national fame for her progressive politics and frequently went viral for grilling corporate executives during congressional hearings.^[2] During the primary elections, AIPAC spent an unprecedented $4.6 million against Min.^[3][4]

The general election pit former state assemblyman Scott Baugh, a Republican, against state senator Dave Min, a Democrat. Candidates eliminated in the primary election included Democratic attorney Joanna Weiss and Republican businessman Max Ukropina.

The race was expected to be highly competitive as it is a slightly blue suburban district with no incumbent. Both House Democrats and House Republicans listed California's 47th district among their highest-priority districts in the 2024 election.^[5][6] Democrat Joe Biden won the district with 54.5% of the vote in the 2020 presidential election.^[7]

On the night of November 12, 2024, after a week of counting and an estimate of 86% of the vote reporting, Baugh conceded the race to Min, who was leading with 50.9% of the vote at the time.^[8]

Primary election

Candidates

Advanced to general

• Scott Baugh (Republican), former minority leader of the California state assembly, former chair of the Orange County Republican Party, and runner-up for this district in 2022^[9]
• Dave Min (Democratic), state senator and candidate for this district^[a] in 2018^[10]

Eliminated in primary

• Terry Crandall (no party preference), Santa Ana College economics professor^[11]
• Tom McGrath (no party preference), chemical engineer^[11]
• Long Pham (Republican), former member of the Orange County Department of Education Board of Directors and perennial candidate^[11]
• Boyd Roberts (Democratic), realtor and perennial candidate^[11]
• Bill Smith (no party preference), retired attorney^[11]
• Max Ukropina (Republican), businessman and former aide to U.S. Representatives John Campbell and David Valadao^[12]
• Joanna Weiss (Democratic), attorney and law professor^[13]
• Shariq Zaidi (Democratic), security guard^[11]

Withdrawn

• Julia Hashemieh (Republican), outpatient surgery company CEO^[14]
• Dom Jones (Democratic), gym owner and The Amazing Race 34 contestant (ran for state assembly)^[15]
• Harley Rouda (Democratic), former U.S. Representative^[16] (endorsed Weiss)^[17]
• Mike Schaefer, member of the California State Board of Equalization from the 4th district (2019–present)^[18] (ran for U.S. Senate in Nevada)^[19]

Declined

• Katrina Foley (Democratic), Orange County supervisor^[20] (endorsed Rouda, then Weiss)^[21]
• Josh Newman (Democratic), state senator (ran for re-election)^[22]
• Katie Porter (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative (ran for U.S. Senate, endorsed Min)^[1][10]

Endorsements

Scott Baugh (R)

U.S. representatives

• Kevin McCarthy, U.S. representative from CA-22 (2009–2023) and former Speaker of the House (2023)^[23]
• Tom McClintock, U.S. representative from CA-5 (2009–present)^[24]
• Steve Scalise, U.S. representative from LA-01 (2008–present) and House Majority Leader (2023–present)^[25]
• Michelle Steel, U.S. representative from CA-45 (2021–present)^[26]

State legislators

• Diane Dixon, AD-72 (2022–present)^[27]
• Janet Nguyen, SD-36 (2022–present)^[27]

Local officials

• Mike Carroll, Irvine city councilor (2020–present)^[28]
• Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor (2008–2012)^[29]
• Donald P. Wagner, chair of the Orange County Board of Supervisors (2023–present) from the 3rd district (2019–present)^[28]

Political parties

• California Republican Party^[26]

Organizations

• California College Republicans^[30]
• California ProLife Council^[31]
• California Rifle and Pistol Association (co-endorsement with Pham)^[32]
• Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association PAC^[33]
• Club for Growth^[34]
• National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund^[35]

Long Pham (R)

Organizations

• California Rifle and Pistol Association (co-endorsement with Baugh)^[32]

Dave Min (D)

U.S. representatives

• Judy Chu, CA-28 (2009–present)^[36]
• Andy Kim, NJ-3 (2019–present)^[37]
• Grace Meng, NY-9 (2013–present)^[36]
• Kevin Mullin, CA-15 (2023–present)^[37]
• Scott Peters, CA-50 (2013–present)^[37]
• Katie Porter, CA-47 (2019–present)^[10]
• Mark Takano, CA-41 (2013–present)^[38]

Statewide officials

• Rob Bonta, Attorney General of California (2021–present)^[39]
• Eleni Kounalakis, Lieutenant Governor of California (2019–present)^[36] (co-endorsement with Weiss)^[40]
• Ricardo Lara, California Insurance Commissioner (2019–present)^[38]
• Fiona Ma, California State Treasurer (2019–present)^[41]
• Tony Thurmond, California State Superintendent of Public Instruction (2019–present)^[42]

State legislators

• 24 state senators^[38]
• 33 state assemblymembers^[38]

Individuals

• Sal Rosselli, president of National Union of Healthcare Workers^[37]

Newspapers and other media

• Los Angeles Times (primary only)^[43]

Political parties

• California Democratic Party^[44]
• Orange County Democratic Party^[45]

Organizations

• AAPI Victory Fund^[46]
• Asian American Action Fund^[47]
• ASPIRE PAC^[48]
• California Environmental Voters^[49]
• Democrats of Greater Irvine^[50]
• Emgage PAC^[51]
• League of Conservation Voters^[52]
• Sierra Club^[53]
• Vote Common Good^[54]

Labor unions

• American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees California^[55]
• American Federation of Teachers and California Federation of Teachers^[49]
• Association for Los Angeles Deputy Sheriffs^[56]
• California Labor Federation^[57]
• International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 47 and 441^[42][58]
• International Brotherhood of Teamsters District Joint Council 42^[59]
• International Union of Painters and Allied Trades District Council 36^[21]
• Los Angeles Police Protective League^[60]
• National Education Association^[61]
• National Union of Healthcare Workers^[37]
• Orange County Employees Association^[58]
• Orange County Labor Federation^[62]
• Service Employees International Union^[42]
• United Food and Commercial Workers Local 324^[58]

Max Ukropina (R)

Political parties

• American Independent Party^[63]

Joanna Weiss (D)

U.S. representatives

• Julia Brownley, U.S. representative from California's 26th congressional district (2013–present)^[64]
• Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district (2013–present)^[65]
• Josh Harder, U.S. representative from California's 9th congressional district (2019–present)^[66]
• Sydney Kamlager-Dove, U.S. representative from California's 37th congressional district (2023–present)^[64]
• Harley Rouda, former U.S. representative from California's 48th congressional district (2019–2021)^[17]
• Eric Swalwell, U.S. representative from California's 14th congressional district (2013–present)^[64]

Statewide officials

• Eleni Kounalakis, Lieutenant Governor of California (2019–present)^[40] (co-endorsement with Min)^[36]

State assemblymembers

• Cottie Petrie-Norris, AD-73 (2018–present)^[21]

Local officials

• Katrina Foley, Orange County Supervisor from the 5th district (2021–present) (previously endorsed Rouda)^[21]

Organizations

• Democratic Majority for Israel^[67]
• EMILY's List^[68]
• Feminist Majority PAC^[69]
• National Women's Political Caucus^[70]
• NewDem Action Fund^[71]
• Pro-Israel America^[72]

Dom Jones (D) (withdrawn)

Individuals

• Howie Klein, former president of Reprise Records (1989–2001) and adjunct professor at McGill University^[73]

Harley Rouda (D) (withdrawn)

U.S. representatives

• Madeleine Dean, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district (2019–present)^[74]
• John Garamendi, U.S. representative from California's 8th congressional district (2009–present)^[75]
• Jim McGovern, U.S. representative from Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district (1997–present)^[74]
• Dean Phillips, U.S. representative from Minnesota's 3rd congressional district (2019–present)^[75]
• Max Rose, former U.S. representative from New York's 11th congressional district (2019–2021)^[74]
• Mikie Sherrill, U.S. representative from New Jersey's 11th congressional district (2019–present)^[75]
• David Trone, U.S. representative from Maryland's 6th congressional district (2019–present)^[74]

Local officials

• Katrina Foley, Orange County Supervisor from the 5th district (2021–present) (switched endorsement to Weiss after Rouda withdrew)^[21]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Scott Baugh (R)	Dave Min (D)	Max Ukropina (R)	Joanna Weiss (D)	Other	Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[76][A]	February 12–14, 2024	366 (LV)	± 5.1%	27%	22%	9%	16%	9%	17%
RMG Research[77][B]	November 14–19, 2023	300 (LV)	± 5.7%	17%	12%	4%	7%	4%[c]	56%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Dave Min (D)	$1,731,136	$1,507,057	$224,079
Boyd Roberts (D)	$6,762	$8,369	$0
Joanna Weiss (D)	$2,151,268[d]	$1,538,667	$612,601
Scott Baugh (R)	$2,010,374	$313,132	$1,707,928
Max Ukropina (R)	$595,201	$436,787	$158,414
Terry Crandall (NPP)	$13,985	$12,461	$1,523
Tom McGrath (NPP)	$14,033	$8,895	$5,138
Bill Smith (NPP)	$15,000[e]	$7,770	$7,230
Source: Federal Election Commission[78]

Results

2024 California's 47th congressional district primary^[79][80]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Scott Baugh	49,799	32.8
	Democratic	Dave Min	39,080	25.7
	Democratic	Joanna Weiss	28,948	19.0
	Republican	Max Ukropina	22,729	15.0
	Republican	Long Pham	4,195	2.8
	No party preference	Terry Crandall	2,400	1.6
	Democratic	Boyd Roberts	2,012	1.3
	No party preference	Tom McGrath	1,321	0.9
	No party preference	Bill Smith	902	0.6
	Democratic	Shariq Zaidi	672	0.4
Total votes			152,058	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report[81]	Lean D	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[82]	Tossup	March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[83]	Lean D	September 19, 2024
Elections Daily[84]	Lean R (flip)	November 4, 2024
CNalysis[85]	Lean D	November 4, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

Dave Min (D)

U.S. representatives

• Adam Schiff, CA-30 (2001–present)^[86]

Statewide officials

• Gavin Newsom, Governor of California (2019–present)^[87]

Newspapers

• Los Angeles Times^[88]

Organizations

• Congressional Progressive Caucus^[89]
• DCCC Red to Blue^[90]
• Democratic Majority for Israel^[91]
• Emgage PAC^[51]
• End Citizens United^[92]
• Everytown for Gun Safety^[93]
• League of Conservation Voters^[52]
• Natural Resources Defense Council^[94]
• Our Revolution^[95]
• Reproductive Freedom for All^[96]

Scott Baugh (R)

Newspapers

• Orange County Register^[97]

Organizations

• Congressional Leadership Fund^[98]
• National Federation of Independent Business^[99]
• National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund^[35]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Dave Min (D)	Scott Baugh (R)	Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[100][A]	October 17–18, 2024	401 (LV)	± 4.9%	40%	43%	17%
WPA Intelligence (R)[100][A]	September 24–26, 2024	–	–	45%	42%	13%
USC/CSU[101]	September 14–21, 2024	525 (LV)	± 4.3%	46%	49%	5%[f]
Public Policy Polling (D)[102][C]	October 24–30, 2023	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	42%	43%	15%
Public Policy Polling (D)[103][D]	June 14–15, 2023	555 (LV)	± 4.2%	37%	39%	24%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Joanna Weiss (D)	Scott Baugh (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[102][C]	October 24–30, 2023	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	43%	42%	15%

Hypothetical polling

Scott Baugh vs. Joanna Weiss

Results

2024 California's 47th congressional district election^[104]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Dave Min	181,694	51.44%	−0.28
	Republican	Scott Baugh	171,524	48.56%	+0.28
Total votes			353,218	100.0%
	Democratic hold

Notes

1. Poll conducted for Baugh's campaign
2. Poll sponsored by U.S. Term Limits
3. Poll conducted for Weiss's campaign
4. Poll conducted for Min's campaign

1. This district was numbered as the 45th district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. "Someone else" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 0%
4. $225,000 of this total was self-funded by Weiss
5. $15,000 of this total was self-funded by Weiss
6. "Won't vote" with 1%