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The 2024 California's 47th congressional district election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the United States representative for California's 47th congressional district, concurrently with elections for the other U.S. House districts in California and the rest of the country, as well as the 2024 U.S. Senate race in California, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election was held on March 5, 2024, concurrently with the Super Tuesday presidential primaries. The Southern California-based 47th district is centered in Orange County and includes the cities of Costa Mesa, Huntington Beach, Irvine, Newport Beach, and Seal Beach, as well as portions of Laguna Beach, Laguna Hills, and Laguna Woods.
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| Reporting | as of Nov. 16, 5:30 PM PST | |||||||||||||||
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The incumbent is Democrat Katie Porter, who was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2022. She is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate.[1] Porter was first elected in 2018, unseating incumbent Republican Mimi Walters. She later gained national fame for her progressive politics and frequently went viral for grilling corporate executives during congressional hearings.[2] During the primary elections, AIPAC spent an unprecedented $4.6 million against Min.[3][4]
The general election pit former state assemblyman Scott Baugh, a Republican, against state senator Dave Min, a Democrat. Candidates eliminated in the primary election included Democratic attorney Joanna Weiss and Republican businessman Max Ukropina.
The race was expected to be highly competitive as it is a slightly blue suburban district with no incumbent. Both House Democrats and House Republicans listed California's 47th district among their highest-priority districts in the 2024 election.[5][6] Democrat Joe Biden won the district with 54.5% of the vote in the 2020 presidential election.[7]
On the night of November 12, 2024, after a week of counting and an estimate of 86% of the vote reporting, Baugh conceded the race to Min, who was leading with 50.9% of the vote at the time.[8]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Scott Baugh (R) |
Dave Min (D) |
Max Ukropina (R) |
Joanna Weiss (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence (R)[A] | February 12–14, 2024 | 366 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 27% | 22% | 9% | 16% | 9% | 17% |
| RMG Research[B] | November 14–19, 2023 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 7% | 4%[c] | 56% |
| Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Dave Min (D) | $1,731,136 | $1,507,057 | $224,079 |
| Boyd Roberts (D) | $6,762 | $8,369 | $0 |
| Joanna Weiss (D) | $2,151,268[d] | $1,538,667 | $612,601 |
| Scott Baugh (R) | $2,010,374 | $313,132 | $1,707,928 |
| Max Ukropina (R) | $595,201 | $436,787 | $158,414 |
| Terry Crandall (NPP) | $13,985 | $12,461 | $1,523 |
| Tom McGrath (NPP) | $14,033 | $8,895 | $5,138 |
| Bill Smith (NPP) | $15,000[e] | $7,770 | $7,230 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[76] | |||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Scott Baugh | 49,799 | 32.8 | |
| Democratic | Dave Min | 39,080 | 25.7 | |
| Democratic | Joanna Weiss | 28,948 | 19.0 | |
| Republican | Max Ukropina | 22,729 | 15.0 | |
| Republican | Long Pham | 4,195 | 2.8 | |
| No party preference | Terry Crandall | 2,400 | 1.6 | |
| Democratic | Boyd Roberts | 2,012 | 1.3 | |
| No party preference | Tom McGrath | 1,321 | 0.9 | |
| No party preference | Bill Smith | 902 | 0.6 | |
| Democratic | Shariq Zaidi | 672 | 0.4 | |
| Total votes | 152,058 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[79] | Lean D | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[80] | Tossup | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[81] | Lean D | September 19, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[82] | Lean R (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
| CNalysis[83] | Lean D | November 4, 2024 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Dave Min (D) |
Scott Baugh (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence (R)[A] | October 17–18, 2024 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[A] | September 24–26, 2024 | – | – | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| USC/CSU | September 14–21, 2024 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 49% | 5%[f] |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[C] | October 24–30, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[D] | June 14–15, 2023 | 555 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 37% | 39% | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joanna Weiss (D) |
Scott Baugh (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[C] | October 24–30, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dave Min | 175,216 | 51.36% | ||
| Republican | Scott Baugh | 165,337 | 48.64% | ||
| Total votes | 341,175 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
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