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Gubernatorial election held in Brazil From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2022 São Paulo state election took place in the state of São Paulo, Brazil on 2 October 2022 and 30 October 2022 (second round, if necessary). Voters elected a Governor, Vice Governor, one Senator, 70 representatives for the Chamber of Deputies, and 94 Legislative Assembly members. The incumbent Governor, Rodrigo Garcia, of the Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB), was eligible for a second term and ran for reelection.[1]
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Opinion polls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 78.37% (first round) 78.93% (second round) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Gubernatorial election | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Candidate with the most votes per municipality in the 2nd round (645): Tarcísio de Freitas (566 municipalities) Fernando Haddad (79 municipalities) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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All 94 seats of the Legislative Assembly | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Senatorial election | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Candidate with the most votes per municipality (645): Marcos Pontes (564 municipalities) Márcio França (78 municipalities) Edson Aparecido (3 municipalities) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Garcia was elected Vice Governor in 2018 and took office as the governor on 1 April 2022, with the resignation of the incumbent João Doria, due to his then candidacy for the Presidency of Republic, which he ended up withdrawing on 23 May 2022.[2] Garcia was defeated on his reelection bid and Tarcísio de Freitas was elected as governor of São Paulo, ending the 28 year consecutive rule of the Brazilian Social Democracy Party on the state.[3] For the election to the Federal Senate, the seat occupied by the incumbent senator José Serra (PSDB) since 2015, was at dispute, but he decided to run for a seat at the Chamber of Deputies. However, he wasn't elected.[4] Marcos Pontes, a member of the Liberal Party, was elected to replace Serra on the Federal Senate.[5]
The governor and vice governor elected in this election will serve a term that is a few days longer. This is due to Constitutional Amendment No. 111, which amended the Constitution of Brazil and stipulated that the mandate of elected governors will begin on 1 January 2023 and end on 6 January 2027.[6]
Note: This section only presents the main dates of the 2022 electoral calendar, check the TSE official website (in Portuguese) and other official sources for detailed information.
Electoral calendar | |
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15 May | Start of crowdfunding of candidates |
20 July to 5 August | Party conventions for choosing candidates and coalitions |
16 August to 30 September | Period of exhibition of free electoral propaganda on radio, television and on the internet related to the first round |
2 October | First round of 2022 elections |
7 October to 28 October | Period of exhibition of free electoral propaganda on radio, television and on the internet related to the second round |
30 October | Second round of 2022 elections |
until 19 December | Delivery of electoral diplomas for those who were elected in the 2022 elections by the Brazilian Election Justice |
The result of the last state election and the current situation in the Legislative Assembly of São Paulo is given below:
Affiliation | Members | +/– | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Elected[7] | Current[8] | |||
PL | 6 | 19 | 13 | |
PSDB | 8 | 13 | 5 | |
PT | 10 | 10 | ||
UNIÃO | New | 8 | 8 | |
PODE | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
Republicanos | 6 | 7 | 1 | |
PP | 4 | 5 | 1 | |
MDB | 3 | 3 | ||
PSD | 2 | 3 | 1 | |
PSOL | 4 | 3 | 1 | |
Cidadania | 2 | 2 | ||
Avante | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
PCdoB | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
PDT | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
NOVO | 4 | 2 | 2 | |
Agir | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
PRTB | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Patriota | 1 | 1 | ||
REDE | 1 | 1 | ||
Solidarity | 1 | 1 | ||
PSB | 8 | 1 | 7 | |
PHS | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
PROS | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
PV | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
PTB | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
DEM | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
PSL | 15 | 0 | 15 | |
Total | 94 | – |
The party conventions began on July 20 and will continue until 5 August. The following political parties have already confirmed their candidacies. Political parties have until 15 August 2022 to formally register their candidates.[9]
Party | Candidate | Most relevant political office or occupation | Party | Running mate | Coalition | Electoral number | TV time per party/coalition | Refs. | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tarcísio de Freitas |
Minister of Infrastructure of Brazil (2019–2022) |
Social Democratic Party (PSD) |
Felicio Ramuth |
São Paulo Can Do More
|
10 | 2min and 24sec | [13][14][15] | |||
Workers' Party (PT) |
Fernando Haddad |
Mayor of São Paulo (2013–2017) |
Lúcia França |
Together for São Paulo
|
13 | 2min and 17sec | [19][20][21] |
Party | Candidate | Most relevant political office or occupation | Party | Running mate | Coalition | Electoral number | TV time per party/coalition | Refs. | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB) | Rodrigo Garcia |
Governor of São Paulo (since 2022) |
Brazil Union (UNIÃO) |
Eugênio Zuliani |
São Paulo Forward | 45 | 4min and 13sec | [25][26] | ||
Democratic Labour Party (PDT) |
Mayor of Santana de Parnaíba (2013–2021) |
Democratic Labour Party (PDT) |
Gleides Sodré | — | 12 | 44sec | [27] | |||
New Party (NOVO) |
Vinicius Poit |
Federal Deputy from São Paulo (since 2019) |
New Party (NOVO) |
Doris Alves | —[lower-alpha 1] | 30 | 21sec | [28][29] | ||
Altino Prazeres Júnior |
Chemical worker. Former president of the Chemical Industries' Workers Union of Pernambuco and the São Paulo Metro Workers Union | Flávia Bischain | — | 16 | — | [30] | ||||
Gabriel Colombo |
Bachelor of Agronomy and former leader of the Postgraduate National Association (ANPG) | Aline Miglioli | —[31] | 21 | — | [32][33][34] | ||||
Christian Democracy (DC) |
Antonio Jorge | Lawyer |
Christian Democracy (DC) |
Vitor Rocca | — | 27 | — | [35] | ||
Workers' Cause Party (PCO) |
Edson Dorta Silva |
Secretary-general of the National Federation of Correios (in 2001 and 2012) |
Workers' Cause Party (PCO) |
Lílian Miranda | — | 29 | — | [36][37][38] | ||
Popular Unity (UP) | Carol Vigliar |
Political activist and member of the Women's Movement Olga Benário. | Popular Unity (UP) | Eloiza Alves |
—[39] | 80 | — | [40] | ||
The television time reserved for political propaganda for each election will be distributed among all parties and coalitions that have a candidate and representation in the Chamber of Deputies. | Total: 10 minutes |
[41] |
The party conventions began on 20 July and will continue until 5 August 2022. The following political parties have already confirmed their candidacies. Political parties have until 15 August 2022 to formally register their candidates.[9]
Party | Candidate | Most relevant political office or occupation | Party | Candidates for Alternate Senators | Coalition | Electoral number | Refs. | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Labour Party (PDT) |
Aldo Rebelo |
Minister of Defence of Brazil (2015–2016) |
Democratic Labour Party (PDT) |
1st alternate senator: Maria Auxiliadora |
— | 123 | [49][50] | ||
2nd alternate senator: Antonio Carlos Fernandes Jr | |||||||||
Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) |
Edson Aparecido |
Secretary of Health of São Paulo (2018–2022) |
Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) |
1st alternate senator: Augusto Castro |
São Paulo Forward
|
150 | [51] | ||
Podemos (PODE) |
2nd alternate senator: Elsa Oliveira | ||||||||
Luiz Carlos "Mancha" Prates | Former president of the Metalworkers Union of São José dos Campos and licensed director of CSP-Conlutas. | 1st alternate senator: Eliana Ferreira |
— | 161 | [52] | ||||
2nd alternate senator: Soraya de Matos | |||||||||
Brazilian Communist Party (PCB) |
Tito Flávio Bellini |
Professor at the Federal University of Triângulo Mineiro (UFTM), with a doctorate in history at the São Paulo State University (UNESP).[53] | 1st alternate senator: Ernesto Pichler |
—[31] | 211 | [54][55][56] | |||
2nd alternate senator: Felipe Queiroz | |||||||||
Liberal Party (PL) |
Marcos Pontes |
Minister of Science, Technology and Innovation of Brazil (2019–2022) |
Liberal Party (PL) |
1st alternate senator: Alberto da Fonseca |
São Paulo Can Do More
|
222 | [57] | ||
2nd alternate senator: Sirlange Manganhoto | |||||||||
Christian Democracy (DC) |
Marco Azkoul | Civil Police delegate |
Christian Democracy (DC) |
1st alternate senator: José Carlos Eymael |
— | 270 | [58] | ||
2nd alternate senator: Armando Barreto | |||||||||
Janaina Paschoal |
State Deputy of São Paulo (2019–2023) |
1st alternate senator: Nohara Paschoal |
— | 287 | [49][59] | ||||
2nd alternate senator: Jorge Coutinho Paschoal | |||||||||
Workers' Cause Party (PCO) |
Antônio Carlos Silva |
Math teacher, founder of the Workers' Party (PT) and the political current "Workers' Cause" (responsible for the foundation of the Workers' Cause Party (PCO), of which he is also a member of its national executive) and union leader. |
Workers' Cause Party (PCO) |
1st alternate senator: Nilson Ferreira |
— | 290 | [38][60] | ||
2nd alternate senator: Adonize Meireles | |||||||||
New Party (NOVO) |
Ricardo Mellão |
State Deputy of São Paulo (since 2019) |
New Party (NOVO) |
1st alternate senator: Rodrigo Fonseca |
—[lower-alpha 2] | 300 | [49][29][61] | ||
2nd alternate senator: Isabel Teixeira | |||||||||
Márcio França |
Governor of São Paulo (2018–2019) |
Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) |
1st alternate senator: Juliano Medeiros[62] |
Together for São Paulo
|
400 | [49][65] | |||
2nd alternate senator: Doralice Fehr | |||||||||
Popular Unity (UP) | Vivian Mendes |
President of Popular Unity in the state of São Paulo, bachelor in Social Communication from UNESP and member of the Commission for Relatives of Political Dead and Disappeared. | Popular Unity (UP) | 1st alternate senator: Márcia Damásio |
—[39] | 800 | [40] | ||
2nd alternate senator: Selma Maria de Almeida |
For the first time in the Brazilian general elections since 1989, television and radio stations, newspapers and news websites group themselves into pools to hold gubernatorial debates, by request of the campaigns in order to reduce the number of debates scheduled for the 2022 elections.[73]
As of 29 August 2022, the following presidential debates were held or scheduled (times in UTC−03:00):[74][75]
2022 São Paulo gubernatorial election debates | ||||||||
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No. | Date, time and location | Hosts | Moderators | Participants | ||||
Key: P Present A Absent I Invited N Not invited |
PT | Rep | PSDB | NOVO | PDT | |||
Haddad | Freitas | Garcia | Poit | Cezar | ||||
1.1 | Sunday, 7 August 2022, 22:00, São Paulo | Band TV, BandNews TV, BandNews FM, Rádio Bandeirantes | Rodolfo Schneider | P | P | P | P | P |
1.2 | Tuesday, 13 September 2022, 22:00, São Paulo | TV Cultura, Cultura FM, Rádio Brasil Atual | Leão Serva, Fabíola Cidral | P | P | P | P | P |
1.3 | Saturday, 17 September 2022, 18:30, Osasco | SBT, O Estado de S. Paulo, Veja, Terra, NovaBrasil FM | Carlos Nascimento | P | P | P | P | P |
1.4 | Tuesday, 27 September 2022, 22:30, São Paulo | Rede Globo, G1 | César Tralli | P | P | P | P | P |
2.1 | Monday, 10 October 2022, 22:00, São Paulo | Rede Bandeirantes, BandNews TV, BandNews FM, Rádio Bandeirantes | Rodolfo Schneider | P | P | Out | ||
2.2 | Friday, 14 October 2022, 18:30, São Paulo | SBT, O Estado de S. Paulo, Veja, NovaBrasil FM | Carlos Nascimento | P | A | |||
2.3 | Monday, 17 October 2022, 22:00, São Paulo | TV Cultura, Cultura FM, UOL, Folha de S. Paulo | Vera Magalhães | P | A | |||
2.4 | Thursday, 27 October 2022, 22:30, São Paulo | Rede Globo, G1 | César Tralli | P | P |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
The first round is scheduled to take place on 2 October 2022.[76]
2022
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Haddad PT |
Tarcísio Republicanos |
Garcia PSDB |
Elvis PDT |
Poit NOVO |
Colombo PCB |
Prazeres PSTU |
Carol UP |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Datafolha[77] | 27–29 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 35% | 26% | 18% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 16% | 9% |
Atlas[78] | 23–27 Sep 2022 | 2.200 | 33% | 28,6% | 22,5% | 0,6% | 1,9% | 0,3% | 0,1% | 0,4% | 0,9%[lower-alpha 3] | 11,8% | 4,4% |
Genial/Quaest[79] | 22–25 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 31% | 21% | 20% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 4] | 23% | 10% |
Datafolha[80] | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 34% | 23% | 19% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 5] | 20% | 9% |
Ipec[81] | 17–19 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 34% | 22% | 18% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 6] | 20% | 8% |
Datafolha[82] | 13–15 Sep 2022 | 1.808 | 36% | 22% | 19% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 7] | 18% | 14% |
Badra[83] | 12–14 Sep 2022 | 2.666 | 33,3% | 26,7% | 21,4% | 0,7% | 1,3% | 1,2% | 0,4% | 1,2% | 1,6%[lower-alpha 8] | 12,2% | 6,6% |
Ipespe[84] | 5–7 Sep 2022 | 1.000 | 36% | 21% | 16% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 24% | 15% |
Genial/Quaest[85] | 2–5 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 33% | 20% | 15% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 9] | 27% | 13% |
Ipec/Globo[86] | 3–5 Sep 2022 | 1.504 | 36% | 21% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 10] | 22% | 15% |
Datafolha[87] | 30 Aug–1 Sep 2022 | 1.808 | 35% | 21% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 11] | 22% | 14% |
Globo/Ipec[88] | 27–29 Aug 2022 | 1.504 | 32% | 17% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 12] | 35% | 15% |
Badra Comunicação[89] | 25–27 Aug 2022 | 2.666 | 36% | 24% | 16,2% | 0,9% | 1,6% | 2,4% | 1,4% | 1,8% | 2,7%[lower-alpha 13] | 13% | 12% |
Atlas[90] | 20–24 Aug 2022 | 1.600 | 28,4% | 24,1% | 14,4% | 0,4% | 1,5% | 0,7% | 0,1% | 3% | 0,6%[lower-alpha 14] | 26,6% | 4,3% |
Paraná Pesquisas[91] | 18–22 Aug 2022 | 1.880 | 32,4% | 23,4% | 15,6% | 0,5% | 0,9% | 0,3% | 0,3% | 0,6% | 0,3%[lower-alpha 15] | 25,7% | 9% |
RealTime Big Data[92] | 19–20 Aug 2022 | 2.000 | 34% | 20% | 20% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0%[lower-alpha 16] | 23% | 14% |
Datafolha[93] | 16–18 Aug 2022 | 1.812 | 38% | 16% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 17] | 28% | 22% |
Globo/Ipec[94] | 12–14 Aug 2022 | 1.200 | 29% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1%[lower-alpha 18] | 39% | 17% |
Modal Mais/Futura[95] | 8–10 Aug 2022 | 1.000 | 28,7% | 21,2% | 9,8% | 0,8% | 1,6% | 1,6% | 0,5% | 0,8% | 0,6%[lower-alpha 19] | 34,6% | 7,5% |
32,9% | 25,9% | 17,6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23,6% | 7% | |||
Genial/Quaest[96] | 5–8 Aug 2022 | 2.000 | 34% | 14% | 14% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1%[lower-alpha 20] | 32% | 20% |
RealTime Big Data[97] | 1–2 Aug 2022 | 2.000 | 33% | 20% | 19% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0%[lower-alpha 21] | 24% | 13% |
34% | 22% | 20% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | 12% | |||
31 July 2022 | Abraham Weintraub withdrawns his candidacy to run for federal deputy.[98] | ||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Haddad PT |
Tarcísio Republicanos |
Garcia PSDB |
Elvis PDT |
Poit NOVO |
Weintraub PMB |
Colombo PCB |
Prazeres PSTU |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
Paraná Pesquisas[99] | 25–28 Jul 2022 | 1.880 | 33,2% | 22,5% | 14% | 0,5% | 1,2% | 0,3% | 0,9% | 0,3% | – | 17% | 10,7% |
Badra Comunicação[100] | 21–23 Jul 2022 | 2.666 | 41,3% | 17,9% | 13,1% | 2,5% | 1,9% | 0,9% | 1,9% | 1% | – | 19,5% | 23,4% |
Real Time Big Data[101] | 8–9 Jul 2022 | 1.500 | 34% | 20% | 16% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | [lower-alpha 22] | 26% | 14% |
35% | 21% | 18% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26% | 14% | |||
Jul 2022 | Former Governor Márcio França withdrawns his candidacy to run for Senator.[102] Ramuth withdrawns his candidacy to run as running mate of Tarcísio Gomes de Freitas. [103] | ||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Haddad PT |
Tarcísio Republicanos |
França PSB |
Garcia PSDB |
Elvis PDT |
Ramuth PSD |
Poit NOVO |
Weintraub PMB |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
Genial/Quaest[104] | 1–4 Jul 2022 | 1.640 | 29% | 12% | 18% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 23] | 28% | 11% |
35% | 14% | – | 12% | – | 2% | 2% | – | – | 36% | 21% | |||
38% | 15% | – | 14% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | 23% | |||
39% | 28% | – | 17% | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 24] | 16% | 11% | |||
Datafolha[105] | 28–30 Jun 2022 | 1.806 | 28% | 12% | 16% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3%[lower-alpha 25] | 25% | 12% |
34% | 13% | – | 13% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5%[lower-alpha 26] | 29% | 21% | |||
Paraná Pesquisas[106] | 27–30 Jun 2022 | 1.820 | 30,6% | 19,2% | 17% | 9,2% | 0,1% | 0,7% | 1,5% | 0,4% | 0,7%[lower-alpha 27] | 20,5% | 11,4% |
31,2% | 19,8% | 18,3% | 9,6% | – | – | – | – | – | 21,1% | 11,4% | |||
36,5% | 22,9% | – | 12,6% | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | 13,6% | |||
36,2% | 31,2% | – | 11,8% | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 28] | 20,8% | 5% | |||
Exame/Ideia[107] | 3–8 Jun 2022 | 1.200 | 27% | 17% | 14% | 11% | – | 1% | 1% | 0,4% | 0,4%[lower-alpha 29] | 28% | 10% |
31% | 17% | – | 14% | – | 1% | 2% | 0,4% | 0,5%[lower-alpha 30] | 33% | 14% | |||
Paraná Pesquisas[108] | 22–26 May 2022 | 1.880 | 28,6% | 17,9% | 17,7% | 7,3% | 0,4% | 1,2% | 0,5% | 0,3% | 1,2%[lower-alpha 31] | 25% | 10,7% |
29% | 18,2% | 18,7% | 7,5% | – | – | – | – | – | 26,5% | 10,3% | |||
34,5% | 21,7% | – | 10,5% | – | – | – | – | – | 33,3% | 12,8% | |||
Real Time Big Data[109] | 20–21 May 2022 | 1.500 | 29% | 15% | 15% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – | 30% | 14% |
– | 15% | 27% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | – | 43% | 12% | |||
33% | 20% | – | 10% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | – | 31% | 13% | |||
30% | 16% | 16% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | 31% | 14% | |||
Quaest/Genial[110] | 6–9 May 2022 | 1.640 | 30% | 10% | 17% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 32] | 33% | 13% |
37% | 12% | – | 8% | – | 2% | 2% | – | – | 39% | 25% | |||
– | 12% | 29% | 9% | – | 2% | 3% | – | – | 45% | 17% | |||
39% | 14% | – | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | 25% | |||
Instituto Gerp[111] | 25–29 Apr 2022 | 1.600 | 26% | 13% | 15% | 4% | – | 3% | 1% | – | 1%[lower-alpha 33] | 35% | 11% |
Paraná Pesquisas[112] | 24–29 Apr 2022 | 1.820 | 29,7% | 15,2% | 18,6% | 5,6% | 0,4% | 1% | 1,9% | 0,7% | 0,2%[lower-alpha 34] | 26,8% | 11,1% |
30,3% | 15,7% | 19,2% | 6,5% | – | – | – | – | – | 28,4% | 11,1% | |||
34,2% | 19,5% | – | 8,6% | – | – | – | – | – | 37,7% | 14,7% | |||
31,6% | 30,1% | – | 9,2% | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 35] | 29,1% | 1,5% | |||
Govnet/Opinião Pesquisa[113] | 20–25 Apr 2022 | 800 | 26,04% | 9,66% | 13,2% | 3,06% | 0,86% | 1,59% | 1,1% | 0,49% | 2,32%[lower-alpha 36] | 41,69% | 12,84% |
35,45% | 10,39% | – | 3,67% | 0,98% | 1,71% | 1,71% | 0,98% | 2,44%[lower-alpha 37] | 42,67% | 25,06% | |||
– | 10,27% | 25,67% | 3,55% | 1,1% | 1,59% | 1,59% | 0,49% | 2,69%[lower-alpha 38] | 53,06% | 15,4% | |||
Ipespe[114] | 6–9 Apr 2022 | 1.000 | 29% | 10% | 20% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 39] | 29% | 9% |
30% | 14% | 20% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | 10% | |||
35% | 18% | – | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | 17% | |||
39% | 29% | – | 11% | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 40] | 21% | 10% | |||
Datafolha[115] | 5–6 Apr 2022 | 1.806 | 29% | 10% | 20% | 6% | – | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 41] | 30% | 9% |
35% | 11% | – | 11% | – | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 42] | 33% | 24% | |||
Mar 2022 | The state deputy of São Paulo, Arthur do Val (Mamãe Falei) withdrew his candidacy to São Paulo's government on early March 2022 after private audios of him saying that "Ukrainian women are easier because they are poor" became viral in Brazil.[116] Boulos withdrew his candidature on March 21, 2022, in order to run for a seat at the Chamber of Deputies of Brazil.[117] | ||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Haddad PT |
Tarcísio Ind. |
França PSB |
Garcia PSDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Abreu PODE |
Poit NOVO |
Weintraub Ind. |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
Paraná Pesquisas[118] | 27–31 Mar 2022 | 1.820 | 30,2% | 12,6% | 17,1% | 3,5% | – | 4,2% | 0,9% | 0,5% | 0,8%[lower-alpha 43] | 30,1% | 13,1% |
31,1% | 12,7% | 17,6% | 3,8% | – | 1,4% | – | 1%[lower-alpha 44] | 32,3% | 13,5% | ||||
31,4% | 12,9% | 18,4% | 4% | – | – | 33,3% | 13% | ||||||
Real Time Big Data[119] | 25–27 Mar 2022 | 1.500 | 27% | 14% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 45] | 34% | 13% | |
27% | 15% | 15% | 7% | – | 1% | – | – | 35% | 12% | ||||
32% | 20% | – | 9% | 2% | 37% | 12% | |||||||
– | 17% | 29% | 9% | 2% | 43% | 12% | |||||||
Quaest/Genial[120] | 11–14 Mar 2022 | 1.640 | 24% | 9% | 18% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 46] | 33% | 6% |
30% | 11% | – | 5% | – | 7% | 3% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 47] | 42% | 19% | |||
31% | 12% | 6% | – | 4% | 3%[lower-alpha 48] | 44% | 19% | ||||||
35% | 15% | 8% | – | – | 42% | 20% | |||||||
15 Feb 2022 | Lula confirms Geraldo Alckmin as his running mate in 2022 Brazilian general election.[121] | ||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Haddad PT |
Alckmin Ind. |
França PSB |
Garcia PSDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Tarcísio Ind. |
Poit NOVO |
Weintraub Ind. |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
Ipespe[122] | 14–16 Feb 2022 | 1.000 | 20% | 20% | 12% | 3% | 10% | 7% | 1% | 2% | – | 25% | Tie |
28% | – | 18% | 5% | 11% | 10% | – | – | 28% | 10% | ||||
– | 31% | 6% | – | 15% | – | – | 48% | 16% | |||||
33% | – | 7% | 16% | – | – | 45% | 17% | ||||||
38% | 10% | 25% | – | – | 27% | 13% | |||||||
6% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 4%[lower-alpha 49] | 77% | 2% |
2021
15 Dec 2021 | Geraldo Alckmin decides to leave the Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB) after being affiliated by 33 years on the political party.[123] | ||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Haddad PT |
França PSB |
Alckmin PSDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Tarcísio Ind. |
Val PATRI |
Garcia PSDB |
Weintraub Ind. |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paraná Pesquisas[124] | 13–17 Dec 2021 | 1.818 | 16% | – | 30,2% | 12,5% | 6,3% | 4,6% | 5,4% | – | 0,8%[lower-alpha 50] | 24,3% | 14,2% |
– | 24,3% | – | 18,6% | 6,7% | 5,2% | 7,9% | 1%[lower-alpha 51] | 36,3% | 5,7% | ||||
Datafolha[125] | 13–16 Dec 2021 | 2.034 | 19% | 13% | 28% | 10% | 5% | 2% | – | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 52] | 20% | 9% |
28% | 19% | – | 11% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 53] | 25% | 9% | |||
– | 28% | – | 18% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 54] | 30% | 10% | |||
Ipespe/Valor[126] | 29 Nov–1 Dec 2021 | 1.000 | 19% | – | 23% | 11% | 8% | – | 3% | – | – | 36% | 4% |
– | 19% | – | 23% | 10% | – | 5% | – | – | 43% | 4% | |||
27% | – | – | 13% | 13% | – | 6% | – | – | 41% | 14% | |||
26 Nov 2021 | Tarcísio Gomes de Freitas, the Minister of Infrastructure of Jair Bolsonaro, decides to run for the Government of São Paulo. [127] | ||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Haddad PT |
França PSB |
Alckmin PSDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Val PATRI |
Garcia PSDB |
Weintraub Ind. |
Skaf MDB |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
Datafolha[128] | 13–15 Sep 2021 | 2.034 | 17% | 15% | 26% | 11% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 5%[lower-alpha 55] | 20% | 9% |
23% | 19% | – | 13% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 7%[lower-alpha 56] | 26% | 4% | ||||
EXAME/IDEIA[129] | 23–26 Aug 2021 | 2.000 | 16% | 15% | 19% | 14% | 4% | 5% | – | 7% | 4%[lower-alpha 57] | 16% | 3% |
Paraná Pesquisas[130] | 7–10 Jun 2021 | 1.818 | 8,5% | 11% | 17,6% | 12,3% | 5,2% | 0,4% | – | 8,1% | 19,8%[lower-alpha 58] | 17% | 2,2% |
– | 12% | 19,6% | 15,2% | 5,3% | – | – | 8,5% | 20,9%[lower-alpha 59] | 18,4% | 1,3% | |||
– | 14,3% | – | 16,2% | 5,6% | 1,8% | – | 10,7% | 26,2%[lower-alpha 60] | 25,2% | 10% | |||
– | 13,3% | 23,7% | 16,6% | 8,1% | 1,3% | – | 9,2% | 5%[lower-alpha 61] | 24,8% | 7,1% | |||
– | 15,6% | – | 17% | 6,2% | – | – | 10,3% | 23%[lower-alpha 62] | 28,1% | 6% | |||
14 May 2021 | Rodrigo Garcia leaves Democrats (DEM) and decides to join Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB).[131] | ||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Haddad PT |
França PSB |
Alckmin PSDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Val PATRI |
Garcia DEM |
Weintraub Ind. |
Skaf MDB |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
Atlas/El País[132] | 7–11 May 2021 | 1.050 | 14,6% | 12,5% | – | 17% | 6,9% | 2,5% | – | 16,4% | – | 30,1% | 0,6% |
– | 11,5% | – | 26,3% | 7,5% | – | – | 17,9% | 13,3%[lower-alpha 63] | 23,5% | 8,4% | |||
25,3% | 10,4% | – | – | 6,6% | – | 14,9% | 13,5% | 12,2%[lower-alpha 64] | 17,1% | 10,4% | |||
Ipespe/Valor[133] | 5–7 Apr 2021 | 1.000 | 20% | 18% | 17% | 5% | 1% | 4% | – | – | 36% | 2% | |
– | 17% | 17% | 16% | 5% | – | – | 8%[lower-alpha 65] | 36% | Tie | ||||
Govnet/Opinião Pesquisa[134] | 17–23 Mar 2021 | 812 | 21,06% | 13,92% | 10,59% | – | – | 3,82% | 1,48% | 5,67% | 10,71%[lower-alpha 66] | 32,76% | 7,14% |
23,89% | 16,38% | – | – | 4,56% | 2,71% | 7,88% | 13,3%[lower-alpha 67] | 31,28% | 7,51% | ||||
23,52% | 15,15% | 14,9% | – | 4,56% | – | 2,59% | 7,02% | 1,23%[lower-alpha 68] | 31,03% | 8,37% |
The second round (if necessary) is scheduled to take place on 30 October 2022.[135]
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Tarcísio Republicanos |
Haddad PT |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022 election | 30 Oct | – | 55.27% | 44.73% | 21.07% | 10.54% |
Ipec | 26–29 Oct | 2,000 | 46% | 42% | 12% | 3% |
17–19 Oct | 1,806 | 46% | 42% | 12% | 4% | |
Atlas | 26–29 Oct | 2,500 | 51.2% | 46,3% | 2,6% | 4.9% |
Badra Comunicação | 23–27 Oct | 1,810 | 48% | 44% | 7% | 4% |
Paraná Pesquisas | 23–27 Oct | 1,810 | 52.2% | 36.9% | 10.9% | 15.3% |
Brasmarket | 22–25 Oct | 800 | 53.5% | 32,4% | 20,1% | 21,1% |
Brasmarket | 17–19 Oct | 800 | 55.0% | 34,6% | 10,4% | 20,4% |
Ipec | 23–25 Oct | 2,000 | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% |
RealTime Big Data | 24–25 Oct | 1,200 | 50% | 39% | 11% | 11% |
Atlas | 21–25 Oct | 2,500 | 51.7% | 44,7% | 3,6% | 7% |
Brasmarket | 17–19 Oct | 800 | 55.0% | 34,6% | 10,4% | 20,4% |
RealTime Big Data | 17–18 Oct | 1,200 | 49% | 36% | 15% | 13% |
Datafolha | 17–19 Oct | 1,806 | 49% | 40% | 11% | 9% |
Paraná Pesquisas | 16–20 Oct | 1,810 | 51.0% | 37.3% | 11.4% | 13,3% |
Modalmais/Futura | 10–12 Oct | 1,200 | 54.2% | 38.4% | 7.4% | 15.8% |
Paraná Pesquisas | 9–13 Oct | 1,810 | 49.9% | 39.2% | 10.7% | 10,7% |
RealTime Big Data | 10–11 Oct | 1,200 | 48% | 36% | 16% | 12% |
Atlas | 9–13 Oct | 2,500 | 53.2% | 42,4% | 4,5% | 10,8% |
Ipec | 9–11 Oct | 2,000 | 46% | 41% | 13% | 5% |
Datafolha | 5–7 Oct | 1,806 | 50% | 40% | 10% | 10% |
Paraná Pesquisas | 4–6 Oct | 1,810 | 50.4% | 38.4% | 11.2% | 12% |
2022
Haddad vs. Tarcísio de Freitas
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Haddad PT |
Tarcísio Republicanos |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Datafolha[77] | 27–29 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 48% | 40% | 12% | 8% |
Atlas[78] | 23–27 Sep 2022 | 2.200 | 40,1% | 40,7% | 19,1% | 0,6% |
Genial/Quaest[79] | 22–25 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 42% | 39% | 19% | 3% |
Datafolha[80] | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 49% | 38% | 12% | 11% |
Ipec[81] | 17–19 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 44% | 34% | 21% | 10% |
Datafolha[82] | 13–15 Sep 2022 | 1.808 | 54% | 36% | 10% | 18% |
Ipespe[84] | 5–7 Sep 2022 | 1.000 | 48% | 35% | 17% | 13% |
Genial/Quaest[85] | 2–5 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 42% | 36% | 22% | 6% |
Ipec/Globo[86] | 3–5 Sep 2022 | 1.504 | 43% | 32% | 25% | 11% |
Datafolha[87] | 30 Aug–1 Sep | 1.808 | 51% | 36% | 12% | 15% |
Globo/Ipec[88] | 27–29 Aug | 1.504 | 47% | 31% | 22% | 16% |
RealTime Big Data[92] | 19–20 Aug | 2.000 | 39% | 30% | 31% | 9% |
Datafolha[136] | 16–18 Aug | 1.812 | 53% | 31% | 16% | 22% |
Modal Mais/Futura[31] | 8–10 Aug | 1.000 | 40% | 40,2% | 19,7% | 0,2% |
Genial/Quaest[96] | 5–8 Aug | 2.000 | 44% | 31% | 26% | 13% |
Real Time Big Data[97] | 1–2 Aug | 2.000 | 39% | 29% | 32% | 10% |
Paraná Pesquisas[99] | 25–28 Jul | 1.880 | 40,4% | 34,5% | 25% | 5,9% |
Real Time Big Data[137] | 8–9 Jul | 1.500 | 38% | 29% | 33% | 9% |
Genial/Quaest[104] | 1–4 Jul | 1.640 | 44% | 28% | 29% | 16% |
EXAME/IDEIA[107] | 3–8 Jun | 1.200 | 36% | 31% | 33% | 5% |
Real Time Big Data[109] | 20–21 May | 1.500 | 35% | 27% | 38% | 8% |
Quaest/Genial[110] | 6–9 May | 1.640 | 45% | 23% | 32% | 22% |
Ipespe[114] | 6–9 Apr | 1.000 | 40% | 27% | 33% | 13% |
28 March 2022 | Tarcísio de Freitas joins Republicans in order to run in the 2022 São Paulo gubernatorial election. [138] | |||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Haddad PT |
Tarcísio Ind. |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
Quaest/Genial[120] | 11–14 Mar | 1.640 | 42% | 27% | 28% | 15% |
Haddad vs. Garcia
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Haddad PT |
Garcia PSDB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Datafolha[77] | 27–29 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 45% | 40% | 12% | 5% |
Atlas[78] | 23–27 Sep 2022 | 2.200 | 34,6% | 41% | 24,4% | 6,4% |
Genial/Quaest[79] | 22–25 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 36% | 45% | 19% | 9% |
Datafolha[80] | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 46% | 41% | 14% | 5% |
Ipec[81] | 17–19 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 41% | 33% | 25% | 8% |
Datafolha[82] | 13–15 Sep 2022 | 1.808 | 47% | 41% | 13% | 6% |
Ipespe[84] | 5–7 Sep 2022 | 1.000 | 46% | 37% | 18% | 9% |
Genial/Quaest[85] | 2–5 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 40% | 35% | 25% | 5% |
Ipec/Globo[86] | 3–5 Sep 2022 | 1.504 | 42% | 31% | 28% | 11% |
Datafolha[87] | 30 Aug–1 Sep | 1.808 | 48% | 38% | 14% | 10% |
Globo/Ipec[88] | 27–29 Aug | 1.504 | 45% | 29% | 26% | 16% |
RealTime Big Data[92] | 19–20 Aug | 2.000 | 37% | 32% | 33% | 5% |
Datafolha[136] | 16–18 Aug | 1.812 | 51% | 32% | 17% | 19% |
Modal Mais/Futura[31] | 8–10 Aug | 1.000 | 36,6% | 37,3% | 26,2% | 0,7% |
Genial/Quaest[96] | 5–8 Aug | 2.000 | 41% | 32% | 28% | 9% |
Real Time Big Data[97] | 1–2 Aug | 2.000 | 37% | 29% | 34% | 8% |
Paraná Pesquisas[99] | 25–28 Jul | 1.880 | 38,2% | 26,8% | 35,1% | 11,4% |
Real Time Big Data[137] | 8–9 Jul | 1.500 | 38% | 24% | 38% | 14% |
Genial/Quaest[104] | 1–4 Jul | 1.640 | 42% | 27% | 30% | 15% |
EXAME/IDEIA[107] | 3–8 Jun | 1.200 | 38% | 29% | 34% | 9% |
Real Time Big Data[109] | 20–21 May | 1.500 | 36% | 21% | 43% | 15% |
Quaest/Genial[110] | 6–9 May | 1.640 | 44% | 21% | 35% | 23% |
Ipespe[114] | 6–9 Apr | 1.000 | 39% | 23% | 38% | 16% |
Quaest/Genial[120] | 11–14 Mar | 1.640 | 41% | 25% | 34% | 16% |
Tarcísio de Freitas vs. Garcia
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Tarcísio Republicanos |
Garcia PSDB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlas[78] | 23–27 Sep 2022 | 2.200 | 34,5% | 36% | 29,5% | 1,5% |
Genial/Quaest[79] | 22–25 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 31% | 40% | 29% | 9% |
Ipec[81] | 17–19 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 32% | 33% | 36% | 1% |
Ipespe[84] | 5–7 Sep 2022 | 1.000 | 31% | 32% | 37% | 1% |
Genial/Quaest[85] | 2–5 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 30% | 32% | 38% | 2% |
Ipec/Globo[86] | 3–5 Sep 2022 | 1.504 | 31% | 32% | 38% | 1% |
Globo/Ipec[88] | 27–29 Aug | 1.504 | 31% | 28% | 41% | 3% |
RealTime Big Data[92] | 19–20 Aug | 2.000 | 30% | 31% | 39% | 1% |
Modal Mais/Futura[31] | 8–10 Aug | 1.000 | 35,1% | 30,3% | 34,6% | 4,8% |
Genial/Quaest[96] | 5–8 Aug | 2.000 | 26% | 29% | 45% | 3% |
Real Time Big Data[97] | 1–2 Aug | 2.000 | 29% | 30% | 41% | 1% |
Paraná Pesquisas[99] | 25–28 Jul | 1.880 | 33,2% | 27,2% | 39,5% | 6% |
Real Time Big Data[137] | 8–9 Jul | 1.500 | 28% | 24% | 48% | 4% |
Genial/Quaest[104] | 1–4 Jul | 1.640 | 25% | 28% | 47% | 3% |
EXAME/IDEIA[107] | 3–8 Jun | 1.200 | 32% | 30% | 39% | 2% |
Real Time Big Data[109] | 20–21 May | 1.500 | 26% | 18% | 56% | 8% |
Quaest/Genial[110] | 6–9 May | 1.640 | 23% | 23% | 54% | Tie |
28 March 2022 | Tarcísio de Freitas joins Republicans in order to run in the 2022 São Paulo gubernatorial election. [138] | |||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Tarcísio Ind. |
Garcia PSDB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
Quaest/Genial[120] | 11–14 Mar | 1.640 | 29% | 18% | 53% | 11% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Haddad PT |
França PSB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Genial/Quaest[104] | 1–4 Jul | 1.640 | 38% | 36% | 26% | 2% |
EXAME/IDEIA[107] | 3–8 Jun | 1.200 | 34% | 34% | 32% | Tie |
Real Time Big Data[109] | 20–21 May | 1.500 | 33% | 33% | 34% | Tie |
Quaest/Genial[110] | 6–9 May | 1.640 | 38% | 32% | 29% | 6% |
Quaest/Genial[120] | 11–14 Mar | 1.640 | 38% | 33% | 28% | 5% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
França PSB |
Tarcísio Republicanos |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Genial/Quaest[104] | 1–4 Jul | 1.640 | 44% | 24% | 32% | 20% |
EXAME/IDEIA[107] | 3–8 Jun | 1.200 | 37% | 33% | 30% | 4% |
Real Time Big Data[109] | 20–21 May | 1.500 | 37% | 24% | 39% | 13% |
Quaest/Genial[110] | 6–9 May | 1.640 | 42% | 20% | 39% | 22% |
Ipespe[114] | 6–9 Apr | 1.000 | 39% | 25% | 36% | 14% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
França PSB |
Garcia PSDB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Genial/Quaest[104] | 1–4 Jul | 1.640 | 43% | 22% | 35% | 21% |
EXAME/IDEIA[107] | 3–8 Jun | 1.200 | 38% | 33% | 29% | 5% |
Real Time Big Data[109] | 20–21 May | 1.500 | 42% | 17% | 41% | 25% |
Quaest/Genial[110] | 6–9 May | 1.640 | 41% | 18% | 41% | 23% |
Ipespe[114] | 6–9 Apr | 1.000 | 42% | 20% | 38% | 22% |
Quaest/Genial[120] | 11–14 Mar | 1.640 | 44% | 15% | 41% | 29% |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
2022
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
França PSB |
Pontes PL |
Paschoal PRTB |
Aldo PDT |
Mellão NOVO |
Edson MDB |
Tito PCB |
Vivian UP |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Datafolha[77] | 27–29 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 34% | 21% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 69] | 28% | 13% |
Ipec[139] | 24–26 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 30% | 19% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 70] | 31% | 11% |
Genial/Quaest[140] | 22–25 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 26% | 25% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 71] | 35% | 1% |
Datafolha[80] | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 31% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3%[lower-alpha 72] | 31% | 12% |
Badra[83] | 12–14 Sep 2022 | 2.666 | 34,5% | 23,4% | 6,5% | 3,2% | 1,8% | 2,0% | 1,7% | 2,9% | 4,0%[lower-alpha 73] | 20% | 11,1% |
Ipespe[84] | 5–7 Sep 2022 | 1.000 | 28% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 74] | 39% | 13% |
Paraná Pesquisas[141] | 4–8 Sep 2022 | 1.880 | 31,2% | 16,4% | 9,8% | 2,8% | 1,2% | 2,3% | 0,5% | 0,6% | 2,0%[lower-alpha 75] | 33,3% | 14,8% |
Ipec/Globo[142] | 3–5 Sep 2022 | 1.504 | 31% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4%[lower-alpha 76] | 34% | 18% |
Genial/Quaest[143] | 2–5 Sep 2022 | 2.000 | 25% | 23% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 77] | 36% | 2% |
Datafolha[144] | 30 Aug−1 Sep 2022 | 1.808 | 30% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 5%[lower-alpha 78] | 32% | 17% |
Globo/Ipec[145] | 27–29 Aug 2022 | 1.504 | 25% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5%[lower-alpha 79] | 43% | 13% |
Badra Comunicação[89] | 25–27 Aug 2022 | 2.666 | 30,3% | 19,9% | 9% | 5,4% | 2,8% | 2,7% | 2,4% | 2,8% | 5,1%[lower-alpha 80] | 19,5% | 10,4% |
Atlas[146] | 20–24 Aug 2022 | 1.600 | 22,4% | 17% | 9,5% | 2,4% | 0,7% | 0,7% | 0,5% | 2,6% | 0,7%[lower-alpha 81] | 43,4% | 5,4% |
Paraná Pesquisas[147] | 18–22 Aug 2022 | 1.880 | 29,7% | 12,3% | 10% | 2% | 0,5% | 1,7% | 0,3% | 0,8% | 0,9%[lower-alpha 82] | 42,8% | 17,4% |
RealTime Big Data[148] | 19–20 Aug 2022 | 2.000 | 28% | 13% | 15% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0%[lower-alpha 83] | 39% | 14% |
Globo/Ipec[149] | 12–14 Aug 2022 | 1.200 | 20% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 20%[lower-alpha 84] | 41% | Tie |
Modal Mais/Futura[31] | 8–10 Aug 2022 | 1.000 | 28,2% | 19,2% | – | – | 0,5% | 1,4% | 0,2% | 0,8% | 7,9%[lower-alpha 85] | 41,7% | 9% |
Genial/Quaest[96] | 5–8 Aug 2022 | 2.000 | 29% | 12% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | – | 6%[lower-alpha 86] | 37% | 17% |
23 Jul–4 Aug 2022 | Paulo Skaf had his candidacy for the Senate replaced by the candidacy of Marcos Pontes.[150] Edson Aparecido is chosen as a candidate for the Senate on Rodrigo Garcia's ticket. [151] | ||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
França PSB |
Pontes PL |
Skaf Republicanos |
Paschoal PRTB |
Nise PROS |
Aldo PDT |
Milton UNIÃO |
Mellão NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
Real Time Big Data[97] | 1–2 Aug 2022 | 2.000 | 26% | 10% | – | 16% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 4%[lower-alpha 87] | 37% | 10% |
Paraná Pesquisas[99] | 25–28 Jul 2022 | 1.880 | 24,9% | 9,9% | – | 10,6% | 1,9% | 3,5% | 5,1% | 0,9% | 1,4%[lower-alpha 88] | 41,7% | 14,3% |
23 Jul 2022 | Marcos Pontes is announced as the Liberal Party's candidate for the Senate. [152] | ||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
França PSB |
Zambelli PL |
Skaf Republicanos |
Paschoal PRTB |
Nise PROS |
Aldo PDT |
Milton UNIÃO |
Mellão NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
Badra Comunicação[100] | 21–23 Jul 2022 | 2.666 | 28,5% | 10,3% | – | 9,2% | 1,9% | 3% | 8,7% | 2,5% | 14,8%[lower-alpha 89] | 21,2% | 13,7% |
Real Time Big Data[153] | 8–9 Jul 2022 | 1.500 | 23% | – | 12% | 13% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 4%[lower-alpha 90] | 36% | 10% |
23% | 8% | – | 14% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 5%[lower-alpha 91] | 40% | 9% | |||
24% | – | – | 15% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 10%[lower-alpha 92] | 41% | 9% | |||
23% | – | – | 14% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 12%[lower-alpha 93] | 41% | 9% | |||
Genial/Quaest[154] | 1–4 Jul 2022 | 1.640 | 27% | 9% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 94] | 29% | 14% |
30% | 10% | 14% | 8% | – | 3% | – | – | 2%[lower-alpha 95] | 28% | 16% | |||
42% | – | – | 15% | – | 6% | – | – | 4%[lower-alpha 96] | 34% | 27% | |||
Paraná Pesquisas[155] | 27–30 Jun 2022 | 1.820 | 14% | – | 6,6% | 9,3% | 1,8% | 1,2% | 4,1% | 0,4% | 43,2%[lower-alpha 97] | 19,5% | 29,2% |
– | – | – | 11% | 2,2% | – | 5,5% | 1,1% | 53,5%[lower-alpha 98] | 26,6% | 42,5% | |||
30 Jun 2022 | José Luiz Datena withdraws his candidacy. [156] | ||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Datena PSC |
França PSB |
Zambelli PL |
Skaf Republicanos |
Paschoal PRTB |
Nise PROS |
Milton UNIÃO |
Mellão NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
EXAME/IDEIA[107] | 3–8 Jun 2022 | 1.200 | 19% | 14% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3%[lower-alpha 99] | 38% | 5% |
7 Jun 2022 | Sergio Moro has his transfer of electoral domicile suspended by a decision of the Regional Electoral Court of the state of São Paulo (TRE-SP) and will not be able to run in the state. [157] | ||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Datena PSC |
Moro UNIÃO |
França PSB |
Skaf Republicanos |
Paschoal PRTB |
Nise PROS |
Milton UNIÃO |
Mellão NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
Paraná Pesquisas[108] | 22–26 May 2022 | 1.880 | 22,3% | 16,5% | 13,2% | 6,1% | 6% | 1,1% | – | 0,3% | 14,1%[lower-alpha 100] | 20,5% | 5,8% |
26,8% | – | 15,2% | 7,2% | 6,5% | 1,3% | 3,5% | 0,4% | 14,7%[lower-alpha 101] | 24,5% | 11,6% | |||
32,4% | – | 18,1% | – | 10,8% | 2,6% | 4,4% | 0,7% | – | 30,9% | 14,3% | |||
Real Time Big Data[158] | 20–21 May 2022 | 1.500 | 29% | 20% | 16% | – | 6% | 2% | – | 1% | 3%[lower-alpha 102] | 23% | 9% |
– | – | – | 14% | 9% | – | 4% | 1% | 34%[lower-alpha 103] | 38% | 20% | |||
33% | – | 21% | – | 8% | – | 5% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 104] | 31% | 12% | |||
27% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 5% | 1% | 25%[lower-alpha 105] | 32% | 2% | |||
Quaest/Genial[110] | 6–9 May 2022 | 1.640 | 28% | 16% | 11% | 10% | 5% | – | – | 1% | 11%[lower-alpha 106] | 19% | 12% |
– | – | – | 22% | 9% | – | – | 2% | 30%[lower-alpha 107] | 38% | 8% | |||
Instituto Gerp[111] | 25–29 Apr
2022 |
1.600 | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 108] | 36% | 3% |
Paraná Pesquisas[112] | 24–29 Apr
2022 |
1.820 | 29% | 21,8% | 13,7% | – | 8,5% | 2,7% | – | 0,4% | – | 23,9% | 7,2% |
34,5% | – | 16,3% | – | 10,1% | 2,9% | 6,5% | 0,6% | – | 29,2% | 18,2% | |||
1 Apr 2022 | José Luiz Datena leaves Brazil Union (UNIÃO) and decides to join Social Christian Party (PSC). [159] | ||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Datena UNIÃO |
França PSB |
Paschoal PRTB |
Skaf MDB |
Haddad PT |
Nise PTB |
Milton UNIÃO |
Mellão NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
Paraná Pesquisas[160] | 27–31 Mar 2022 | 1.820 | 32% | 15,4% | 11,2% | 10,2% | – | – | – | 1,4% | 0,4%[lower-alpha 109] | 29,4% | 16,6% |
34,6% | 19,3% | 12,3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 33,7% | 15,3% | |||
Real Time Big Data[161] | 25–27 Mar 2022 | 1.500 | 32% | 19% | 6% | 11% | – | 2% | – | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 110] | 28% | 13% |
33% | – | 7% | 12% | 20% | – | – | – | – | 28% | 13% | |||
27% | 11% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 5%[lower-alpha 111] | 39% | 9% | ||||
Quaest/Genial[120] | 11–14 Mar
2022 |
1.640 | 39% | 15% | 6% | 13% | – | – | – | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 112] | 24% | 24% |
42% | 21% | 8% | – | – | – | – | 3% | – | 26% | 21% |
2021
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Datena PSL |
Moro PODE |
França PSB |
Boulos PSOL |
Suplicy PT |
Skaf MDB |
Paschoal PSL |
Serra PSDB |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paraná Pesquisas[124] | 13–17 Dec 2021 | 1.818 | 25,7% | 19,8% | – | – | – | 7,4% | 7,7% | – | 18,5%[lower-alpha 113] | 21% | 5,9% |
EXAME/IDEIA[129] | 23–26 Aug 2021 | 2.000 | – | – | 19% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 7%[lower-alpha 114] | 19% | 2% |
Paraná Pesquisas[130] | 7–10 Jun 2021 | 1.818 | 29,1% | – | – | – | 19% | – | 10,1% | 8,3% | 11,2%[lower-alpha 115] | 22,3% | 10,1% |
– | – | – | – | 23,5% | – | 12,2% | 10,9% | 21,5%[lower-alpha 116] | 31,9% | 11,3% |
Candidate | Running mate | Party | First round | Second round | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | ||||
Tarcísio de Freitas | Felício Ramuth (PSD) | Republicanos | 9,881,995 | 42.32 | 13,480,190 | 55.27 | |
Fernando Haddad | Lúcia França (PSB) | PT | 8,337,139 | 35.70 | 10,908,972 | 44.73 | |
Rodrigo Garcia (incumbent) | Eugênio Zuliani (UNIÃO) | PSDB | 4,296,293 | 18.40 | |||
Vinicius Poit | Doris Alves | NOVO | 388,974 | 1.67 | |||
Elvis Cezar | Gleides Sodré | PDT | 281,712 | 1.21 | |||
Carol Vigliar | Eloiza Alves | UP | 88,767 | 0.38 | |||
Gabriel Colombo | Aline Miglioli | PCB | 46,727 | 0.20 | |||
Altino Prazeres | Flávia Bischain | PSTU | 14,859 | 0.06 | |||
Antonio Jorge | Vitor Rocca | DC | 10,778 | 0.05 | |||
Edson Dorta | Lilian Miranda | PCO | 5,305 | 0.02 | |||
Total | 23,352,549 | 100.00 | 24,389,162 | 100.00 | |||
Valid votes | 23,352,549 | 86.02 | 24,389,162 | 89.20 | |||
Invalid votes | 2,149,776 | 7.92 | 1,849,223 | 6.76 | |||
Blank votes | 1,645,522 | 6.06 | 1,102,462 | 4.03 | |||
Total votes | 27,147,847 | 100.00 | 27,340,847 | 100.00 | |||
Registered voters/turnout | 34,639,761 | 78.37 | 34,639,761 | 78.93 | |||
Republicanos gain from PSDB | |||||||
Source: Superior Electoral Court |
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Marcos Pontes | PL | 10,714,913 | 49.68 | |
Márcio França | PSB | 7,822,518 | 36.27 | |
Edson Aparecido | MDB | 1,655,224 | 7.67 | |
Janaína Paschoal | PRTB | 447,550 | 2.07 | |
Ricardo Mellão | NOVO | 311,321 | 1.44 | |
Vivian Mendes | UP | 280,460 | 1.30 | |
Aldo Rebelo | PDT | 230,833 | 1.07 | |
Tito Bellini | PCB | 59,449 | 0.28 | |
Marco Azkoul | DC | 19,337 | 0.09 | |
Luis Carlos Prates | PSTU | 14,598 | 0.07 | |
Antônio Carlos | PCO | 13,280 | 0.06 | |
Total | 21,569,483 | 100.00 | ||
Valid votes | 21,569,483 | 79.45 | ||
Invalid votes | 3,029,752 | 11.16 | ||
Blank votes | 2,548,612 | 9.39 | ||
Total votes | 27,147,847 | 100.00 | ||
Registered voters/turnout | 34,639,761 | 78.37 | ||
PL gain from PSDB | ||||
Source: Superior Electoral Court |
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