The 2018 United States Senate election in Wisconsin took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate from Wisconsin . This election coincided with a gubernatorial election , U.S. House elections and various other state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic senator Tammy Baldwin won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican nominee Leah Vukmir by more than 10 percentage points. This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election . The primary elections were held on August 14, with a filing deadline on June 1. Baldwin was unopposed for the Democratic nomination, while Vukmir defeated Charles Barman, Griffin Jones, George Lucia and Kevin Nicholson in the Republican primary.[1]
Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...
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Endorsements
Tammy Baldwin
U.S. Senators
Cory Booker , U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013-present)[3]
Tammy Duckworth , U.S. Senator from Illinois (2017-present)[4]
Dick Durbin , U.S. Senator from Illinois (1997-present), Senate Minority Whip (2015-2021)[5]
Russ Feingold , former U.S. Senator from Wisconsin (1993-2011)[6]
Al Franken , former U.S. Senator from Minnesota (2009-2018)[7]
Kamala Harris , U.S. Senator from California (2017-2021)[8]
Maggie Hassan , U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (2017-present)[9]
Doug Jones , U.S. Senator from Alabama (2018-2021)[10]
Catherine Cortez Masto , U.S. Senator from Nevada (2017-present)[11]
Jeff Merkley , U.S. Senator from Oregon (2009-present)[12]
Gary Peters , U.S. Senator from Michigan (2015-present)[13]
Bernie Sanders , U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007-present) (Independent) [14]
Elizabeth Warren , U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013-present)[15]
Sheldon Whitehouse , U.S. Senator from Rhode Island (2007-present)[16]
Organizations
Results
More information Party, Candidate ...
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Candidates
Declined
David Clarke , former Milwaukee County Sheriff[34] [35]
Sean Duffy , U.S. Representative (running for reelection )[36] [37]
Scott Fitzgerald , State Senate Majority Leader[36]
Mike Gallagher , U.S. Representative[36]
Glenn Grothman , U.S. Representative[36]
Eric Hovde, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012 [36] [38]
Rebecca Kleefisch , Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin [39]
Dale Kooyenga , state representative[36]
Nicole Schneider, businesswoman[40] [41]
Duey Stroebel , state senator
Charlie Sykes , talk radio host[43]
Scott Walker , Governor of Wisconsin (running for reelection )[44]
Endorsements
Kevin Nicholson
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
State legislators
Organizations
Newspapers
Leah Vukmir
Federal officials
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State legislators
Scott Allen , state assemblyman from the 97th district (2015-present)[64]
Joan Ballweg , state assemblywoman from the 41st district (2005-2021)[64]
Kathy Bernier , state assemblywoman from the 68th district (2011-2019)[64]
Mark Born , state assemblyman from the 39th district (2013-present)[66]
Janel Brandtjen , state assemblyman from the 22nd district (2015-present)[64]
Ed Brooks , state assemblyman from the 50th district (2009-2019)[66]
Robert Brooks , state assemblyman from the 60th district (2015-present)[64]
Dave Craig , state senator from the 28th district (2017-2021)
Alberta Darling , state senator from the 8th district (1993-2022)
Mary Felzkowski , state assemblywoman from the 35th district (2013-2021)[69]
Dan Feyen , state senator from the 18th district (2017-present)[64]
Scott Fitzgerald , Wisconsin State Senate Majority Leader (2013-2021), state senator from the 13th district (1995-2021)[36]
Rick Gundrum , state assemblyman from the 58th district (2018-present)[66]
Cody Horlacher , state assemblyman from the 33rd district (2015-2023)[64]
André Jacque , state assemblyman from the 2nd district (2011-2019)[64]
John Jagler , state assemblyman from the 37th district (2013-2021)[64]
Adam M. Jarchow , state assemblyman from the 28th district (2015-2019)[64]
Dan Kapanke , state senator from the 32nd district (2005-2011)[64]
Terry Katsma , state assemblyman from the 26th district (2015-present)[64]
Samantha Kerkman , state assemblywoman from the 61st district (2013-2022)[64]
Joel Kitchens , state assemblyman from the 1st district (2015-present)[64]
Joel Kleefisch , state assemblyman from the 38th district (2005-2019)[70]
Dan Knodl , state assemblyman from the 24th district (2009-present)[64]
Dean Knudson , state assemblyman from the 30th district (2011-2017)[64]
Scott Krug , state assemblyman from the 72nd district (2011-present)[64]
Mike Kuglitsch , state assemblyman from the 84th district (2011-2022)[64]
Bob Kulp , state assemblyman from the 69th district (2013-2021)[64]
Mary Lazich , Wisconsin Senate President (2015-2017), state senator from the 28th district (1998-2017)[64]
Devin LeMahieu , state senator from the 9th district (2015-present)[64]
Amy Loudenbeck , state assemblywoman from the 31st district (2013-2023), 45th district (2011-2013)[64]
John Macco , state assemblyman from the 88th district (2015-present)[66]
Howard Marklein , Wisconsin Senate President Pro Tempore (2017-2021), state senator from the 17th district (2015-present)[64]
Dave Murphy , state assemblyman from the 56th district (2013-present)[64]
Stephen Nass , state senator from the 11th district (2015-present)[64]
Adam Neylon , state senator from the 98th district (2013-present)[64]
John Nygren , state assemblyman from the 89th district (2007-2020)[64]
Luther Olsen , state senator from the 14th district (2005-2021)[64]
Jim Ott , state assemblyman from the 23rd district (2007-2021)[64]
Jerry Petrowski , state senator from the 29th district (2012-present)[64]
Treig Pronschinske , state assemblyman from the 92nd district (2017-present)[69]
Romaine Quinn , state assemblywoman from the 75th district (2015-2021)[64]
Mike Rohrkaste , state assemblyman from the 55th district (2015-2021)[64]
Roger Roth , Wisconsin Senate President (2017-2021), state senator from the 19th district (2015-present)[66]
Joe Sanfelippo , state assemblyman from the 15th district (2013-2023)[64]
Michael Schraa , state assemblyman from the 53rd district (2013-present)[64]
Ken Skowronski , state assemblyman from the 82nd district (2014-2023)[64]
Patrick Snyder , state assemblyman from the 85th district (2017-present)[64]
John Spiros , state assemblyman from the 86th district (2013-present)[64]
Rob Stafsholt , state assemblyman from the 29th district (2017-2021)[64]
David Steffen , state assemblyman from the 4th district (2015-present)[71]
Jim Steineke , Wisconsin Assembly Majority Leader (2015-2022), state assemblyman from the 5th district (2011-2022)[64]
Duey Stroebel , state senator from the 20th district (2015-present)
Rob Swearingen , state assemblyman from the 34th district (2013-present)[69]
Gary Tauchen , state assemblyman from the 6th district (2007-2023)[64]
Patrick Testin , state senator from the 24th district (2017-present)[64]
Jeremy Thiesfeldt , state assemblyman from the 52nd district (2011-2023)[64]
Travis Tranel , state assemblyman from the 49th district (2011-present)[72]
Van Wanggaard , state senator from the 21st district (2015-present)[73]
Tom Weatherston , state assemblyman from the 62nd district (2013-2019)[64]
Chuck Wichgers , state assemblyman from the 83rd district (2017-2023)[64]
Shannon Zimmerman , state assemblyman from the 30th district (2017-present)[64]
Local officials
Dave Ament, Mayor of New Berlin [64]
David Beth, Kenosha County Sheriff[64]
Christopher Bossert, Washington County Supervisor[66]
John Bulawa, Washington County Supervisor[72]
Michael Crowley, Waukesha County Supervisor[72]
Paul Decker, Waukesha County Board Chairman[64]
Paul Farrow , Waukesha County Executive (2015-present)[64]
Tyson Fettes, Racine County Register of Deeds[64]
Adam Gerol, Ozaukee County District Attorney[64]
Tricia Hanson, Racine County District Attorney[64]
Darlene Johnson, Waukesha County Supervisor[64]
Bob Long, St. Croix County Supervisor[72]
Travis Nez, former Price County Supervisor[64]
Michael Nieskes, St. Croix County District Attorney[72]
Harley Raebe, Green Lake County Supervisor[64]
Dale Schmidt, Dodge County Sheriff[64]
Dan Sebring, Milwaukee County Supervisor[64]
Lawrence Smith, Winnebago County Supervisor[66]
Peter Sorce, Washington County Supervisor[64]
John Spears, Vernon County Sheriff[64]
Daniel P. Vrakas , Waukesha County Executive (2005-2015)[64]
Chuck Wood, Waukesha County Supervisor[64]
Fred Zaug, Waupaca County Supervisor[72]
David Zimmerman, Waukesha County Supervisor[72]
Individuals
Organizations
Polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Kevin Nicholson
Leah Vukmir
Other
Undecided
Emerson College [85]
July 26–28, 2018
238
± 6.5%
35%
35%
3%
27%
Marist College [86]
July 15–19, 2018
355
± 6.1%
38%
28%
<1%
34%
Hodas & Associates (R-Restoration PAC) [87]
July 12–16, 2018
600
± 3.0%
33%
20%
–
47%
Marquette University [88]
July 11–15, 2018
266
± 7.0%
32%
34%
2%
30%
Marquette University [89]
June 13–17, 2018
274
± 6.9%
37%
32%
1%
30%
Hodas & Associates (R-Restoration PAC) [90]
June 7–12, 2018
600
± 3.0%
28%
14%
–
58%
The Tarrance Group (R-Wisconsin Next PAC) [91]
May 31 – June 4, 2018
800
± 3.5%
29%
36%
–
35%
American Viewpoint (R-Vukmir) [92]
May 29–31, 2018
500
± 4.4%
32%
30%
–
–
Hodas & Associates (R-Restoration PAC) [93]
April 30 – May 3, 2018
240
± 6.0%
46%
15%
–
–
WPA Intelligence (R-Nicholson) [94]
April 2–4, 2018
1,028
± 3.1%
45%
27%
–
28%
Marquette University [95]
February 25 – March 1, 2018
243
± 8.2%
28%
19%
2%
49%
WPA Intelligence (R-Nicholson) [96]
January 22–23, 2018
350
± 5.2%
48%
9%
1%[a]
42%
WPA Intelligence (R-Nicholson) [96]
January 2–3, 2018
350
± 5.2%
27%
10%
2%[b]
60%
WPA Intelligence (R-Nicholson) [97]
December 6–7, 2017
1,004
± 3.1%
30%
23%
2%[b]
45%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
David Clarke
Sean Duffy
Undecided
Magellan Strategies (R) [98]
February 15–16, 2017
300
± 5.7%
32%
26%
42%
Close
Results
Results by county
30–40%
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Close
Endorsements
Leah Vukmir (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State legislators
Scott Allen , state assemblyman from the 97th district (2015-present)[64]
Joan Ballweg , state assemblywoman from the 41st district (2005-2021)[64]
Kathy Bernier , state assemblywoman from the 68th district (2011-2019)[64]
Mark Born , state assemblyman from the 39th district (2013-present)[66]
Janel Brandtjen , state assemblyman from the 22nd district (2015-present)[64]
Ed Brooks , state assemblyman from the 50th district (2009-2019)[66]
Robert Brooks , state assemblyman from the 60th district (2015-present)[64]
Dave Craig , state senator from the 28th district (2017-2021)
Alberta Darling , state senator from the 8th district (1993-2022)
Mary Felzkowski , state assemblywoman from the 35th district (2013-2021)[69]
Dan Feyen , state senator from the 18th district (2017-present)[64]
Scott Fitzgerald , Wisconsin State Senate Majority Leader (2013-2021), state senator from the 13th district (1995-2021)[36]
Rick Gundrum , state assemblyman from the 58th district (2018-present)[66]
Cody Horlacher , state assemblyman from the 33rd district (2015-2023)[64]
André Jacque , state assemblyman from the 2nd district (2011-2019)[64]
John Jagler , state assemblyman from the 37th district (2013-2021)[64]
Adam M. Jarchow , state assemblyman from the 28th district (2015-2019)[64]
Dan Kapanke , state senator from the 32nd district (2005-2011)[64]
Terry Katsma , state assemblyman from the 26th district (2015-present)[64]
Samantha Kerkman , state assemblywoman from the 61st district (2013-2022)[64]
Joel Kitchens , state assemblyman from the 1st district (2015-present)[64]
Joel Kleefisch , state assemblyman from the 38th district (2005-2019)[70]
Dan Knodl , state assemblyman from the 24th district (2009-2023)[64]
Dean Knudson , state assemblyman from the 30th district (2011-2017)[64]
Scott Krug , state assemblyman from the 72nd district (2011-present)[64]
Mike Kuglitsch , state assemblyman from the 84th district (2011-2022)[64]
Bob Kulp , state assemblyman from the 69th district (2013-2021)[64]
Mary Lazich , Wisconsin Senate President (2015-2017), state senator from the 28th district (1998-2017)[64]
Devin LeMahieu , state senator from the 9th district (2015-present)[64]
Amy Loudenbeck , state assemblywoman from the 31st district (2013-2023), 45th district (2011-2013)[64]
John Macco , state assemblyman from the 88th district (2015-present)[66]
Howard Marklein , Wisconsin Senate President Pro Tempore (2017-2021), state senator from the 17th district (2015-present)[64]
Dave Murphy , state assemblyman from the 56th district (2013-present)[64]
Stephen Nass , state senator from the 11th district (2015-present)[64]
Adam Neylon , state senator from the 98th district (2013-present)[64]
John Nygren , state assemblyman from the 89th district (2007-2020)[64]
Luther Olsen , state senator from the 14th district (2005-2021)[64]
Jim Ott , state assemblyman from the 23rd district (2007-2021)[64]
Jerry Petrowski , state senator from the 29th district (2012-present)[64]
Treig Pronschinske , state assemblyman from the 92nd district (2017-present)[69]
Romaine Quinn , state assemblywoman from the 75th district (2015-2021)[64]
Mike Rohrkaste , state assemblyman from the 55th district (2015-2021)[64]
Roger Roth , Wisconsin Senate President (2017-2021), state senator from the 19th district (2015-2023)[66]
Joe Sanfelippo , state assemblyman from the 15th district (2013-2023)[64]
Michael Schraa , state assemblyman from the 53rd district (2013-present)[64]
Ken Skowronski , state assemblyman from the 82nd district (2014-2023)[64]
Patrick Snyder , state assemblyman from the 85th district (2017-present)[64]
John Spiros , state assemblyman from the 86th district (2013-present)[64]
Rob Stafsholt , state assemblyman from the 29th district (2017-2021)[64]
David Steffen , state assemblyman from the 4th district (2015-present)[71]
Jim Steineke , Wisconsin Assembly Majority Leader (2015-2022), state assemblyman from the 5th district (2011-2022)[64]
Duey Stroebel , state senator from the 20th district (2015-present)
Rob Swearingen , state assemblyman from the 34th district (2013-present)[69]
Gary Tauchen , state assemblyman from the 6th district (2007-2023)[64]
Patrick Testin , state senator from the 24th district (2017-present)[64]
Jeremy Thiesfeldt , state assemblyman from the 52nd district (2011-2023)[64]
Travis Tranel , state assemblyman from the 49th district (2011-present)[72]
Van Wanggaard , state senator from the 21st district (2015-present)[73]
Tom Weatherston , state assemblyman from the 62nd district (2013-2019)[64]
Chuck Wichgers , state assemblyman from the 83rd district (2017-2023)[64]
Shannon Zimmerman , state assemblyman from the 30th district (2017-present)[64]
Local officials
Dave Ament, Mayor of New Berlin [64]
David Beth, Kenosha County Sheriff[64]
Christopher Bossert, Washington County Supervisor[66]
John Bulawa, Washington County Supervisor[72]
Michael Crowley, Waukesha County Supervisor[72]
Paul Decker, Waukesha County Board Chairman[64]
Paul Farrow , Waukesha County Executive (2015-present)[64]
Tyson Fettes, Racine County Register of Deeds[64]
Adam Gerol, Ozaukee County District Attorney[64]
Tricia Hanson, Racine County District Attorney[64]
Darlene Johnson, Waukesha County Supervisor[64]
Bob Long, St. Croix County Supervisor[72]
Travis Nez, former Price County Supervisor[64]
Michael Nieskes, Racine County District Attorney[72]
Harley Raebe, Green Lake County Supervisor[64]
Dale Schmidt, Dodge County Sheriff[64]
Dan Sebring, Milwaukee County Supervisor[64]
Lawrence Smith, Winnebago County Supervisor[66]
Peter Sorce, Washington County Supervisor[64]
John Spears, Vernon County Sheriff[64]
Daniel P. Vrakas , Waukesha County Executive (2005-2015)[64]
Chuck Wood, Waukesha County Supervisor[64]
Fred Zaug, Waupaca County Supervisor[72]
David Zimmerman, Waukesha County Supervisor[72]
Individuals
Organizations
Tammy Baldwin (D)
Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
Cory Booker , U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013-present)[3]
Tammy Duckworth , U.S. Senator from Illinois (2017-present)[4]
Dick Durbin , U.S. Senator from Illinois (1997-present), Senate Minority Whip (2015-2021)[5]
Russ Feingold , U.S. Senator from Wisconsin (1993-2011)[6]
Al Franken , U.S. Senator from Minnesota (2009-2018)[7]
Kamala Harris , U.S. Senator from California (2017-2021)[8]
Maggie Hassan , U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (2017-present)[9]
Doug Jones , U.S. Senator from Alabama (2018-2021)[10]
Catherine Cortez Masto , U.S. Senator from Nevada (2017-present)[11]
Jeff Merkley , U.S. Senator from Oregon (2009-present)[12]
Gary Peters , U.S. Senator from Michigan (2015-present)[13]
Bernie Sanders , U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007-present) (Independent) [14]
Elizabeth Warren , U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013-present)[15]
Sheldon Whitehouse , U.S. Senator from Rhode Island (2007-present)[16]
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Predictions
More information Source, Ranking ...
Close
Notes
The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Tammy Baldwin (D)
Leah Vukmir (R)
Other
Undecided
Research Co. [130]
November 1–3, 2018
450
± 4.6%
50%
39%
–
11%
Emerson College [131]
October 29–31, 2018
604
± 4.1%
53%
44%
–
3%
Marquette University [132]
October 24–28, 2018
1,154 LV
± 3.2%
54%
43%
–
1%
1,400 RV
± 3.0%
52%
42%
–
3%
Ipsos [133]
October 12–18, 2018
1,193
± 3.0%
54%
39%
3%
5%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) [134]
October 10–11, 2018
816
± 3.4%
52%
42%
–
6%
Marquette University [135]
October 3–7, 2018
799 LV
± 3.9%
53%
43%
–
2%
1,000 RV
± 3.6%
53%
42%
–
3%
Marist College [136]
September 30 – October 3, 2018
571 LV
± 4.8%
54%
40%
1%
5%
781 RV
± 4.1%
53%
40%
1%
6%
Ipsos [133]
September 14–24, 2018
1,109
± 3.0%
52%
39%
4%
5%
Marquette University [137]
September 12–16, 2018
614 LV
± 4.4%
53%
42%
–
2%
800 RV
± 4.0%
52%
40%
–
4%
Suffolk University [138]
August 18–24, 2018
500
± 4.4%
50%
42%
–
8%
Marquette University [139]
August 15–19, 2018
601 LV
± 4.5%
49%
47%
–
2%
800 RV
± 4.0%
51%
43%
–
4%
Emerson College [140]
July 26–28, 2018
632
± 4.2%
50%
36%
4%
10%
Marist College [86]
July 15–19, 2018
906
± 3.8%
55%
38%
1%
6%
SurveyMonkey /Axios [141]
June 11 – July 2, 2018
968
± 4.5%
56%
40%
–
4%
Marquette University [89]
June 13–17, 2018
800
± 4.0%
49%
40%
–
8%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) [142]
March 15–16, 2018
910
± 3.3%
51%
39%
–
10%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Tammy Baldwin (D)
Generic Republican
Undecided
SurveyMonkey /Axios [144]
February 12 – March 5, 2018
1,668
± 3.6%
49%
46%
5%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Tammy Baldwin (D)
David Clarke (R)
Other
Undecided
Magellan Strategies (R) [98]
February 9–10, 2017
500
± 4.4%
49%
35%
2%
14%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Tammy Baldwin (D)
Sean Duffy (R)
Other
Undecided
Magellan Strategies (R) [98]
February 9–10, 2017
500
± 4.4%
49%
36%
2%
13%
Close
Hypothetical polling
with Kevin Nicholson
with generic Republican
with David Clarke
with Sean Duffy
Results
Despite initial expectations of a potentially close race, Baldwin ended up winning by over 10 percentage points, which was the highest margin of victory for a Wisconsin Democratic statewide candidate in 2018. She ran up the margins in the traditional Democratic strongholds of Milwaukee and Madison, but also won in western Wisconsin, Green Bay and most of the counties bordering Illinois , including Racine , Rock , and Kenosha counties.[145] This is the largest margin of victory for the Democrats in a major Wisconsin statewide campaign (presidential, senate, gubernatorial) since 2008.
More information Party, Candidate ...
Close
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
As a result of partisan gerrymandering , Baldwin only won 3 out of the state's 8 Congressional districts, despite winning the election comfortably by over 10 percentage points.
More information District, Vukmir ...
Close
Jones sent out an email to supporters soliciting donations to Baldwin.
Siskind, Amy [@Amy_Siskind] (October 8, 2018). "END Mitch McConnell's reign of terror. Donate/volunteer for these close senate races: Jacky Rosen, NV Phil Bredesen, TN Claire McCaskill, MO Bill Nelson, FL Joe Donnelly, IN Heidi Heitkamp, ND Beto O'Rourke, TX Kyrsten Sinema, AZ Tammy Baldwin, WI" (Tweet ). Retrieved October 20, 2018 – via Twitter .
"Ipsos" . Archived from the original on September 21, 2018. Retrieved September 26, 2018 .
Official campaign websites