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The 2016 United States Senate election in Nevada was held November 8, 2016 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The state primary election was held June 14, 2016.[1]
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Cortez Masto: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Heck: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democratic Senator Harry Reid, the Senate Minority Leader and former Senate Majority Leader, initially said he would seek re-election to a sixth term, but announced on March 26, 2015, that he would retire instead.[2][3] Democratic former State Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto defeated Republican U.S. Representative Joe Heck in the general election on November 8, 2016. Heck won sixteen of the state's seventeen counties; however, since Cortez Masto won Clark County, which comprises nearly three-quarters of the state's population, she defeated Heck statewide by almost 27,000 votes, and became the first female and first Latina senator in Nevada's history. As of 2023, this would be the last time Washoe County voted for a Republican Senate candidate.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Catherine Cortez Masto | 81,944 | 81.0% | |
Democratic | Allen Rheinhart | 5,645 | 6.0% | |
Democratic | None of these candidates | 5,498 | 5.0% | |
Democratic | Liddo Susan O'Briant | 4,834 | 5.0% | |
Democratic | Bobby Mahendra | 3,760 | 3.0% | |
Total votes | 101,681 | 100.0% |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Heck |
Sharron Angle |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies[61] | March 28–30, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 67% | 11% | 3% | 17% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Joe Heck | 74,517 | 65.0% | |
Republican | Sharron Angle | 26,142 | 23.0% | |
Republican | None of these candidates | 3,902 | 3.0% | |
Republican | Thomas Heck | 3,570 | 3.0% | |
Republican | Eddie Hamilton | 2,507 | 2.0% | |
Republican | D'Nese Davis | 1,937 | 1.8% | |
Republican | Bill Tarbell | 1,179 | 1.0% | |
Republican | Robert Leeds | 662 | 0.6% | |
Republican | Juston Preble | 582 | 0.5% | |
Republican | Carlo Poliak | 279 | 0.2% | |
Total votes | 114,827 | 100.0% |
Dates | Location | Cortez Masto | Heck | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 14, 2016 | North Las Vegas, Nevada | Participant | Participant | [67] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[68] | Tossup | November 2, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[69] | Lean D | November 7, 2016 |
Rothenberg Political Report[70] | Tossup | November 3, 2016 |
Daily Kos[71] | Lean D | November 8, 2016 |
Real Clear Politics[72] | Tossup | November 7, 2016 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) |
Joe Heck (R) |
None of These Candidates |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey[73] | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,207 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 45% | — | — | 5% |
Gravis Marketing[74] | November 3–6, 2016 | 1,158 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 43% | — | — | 8% |
SurveyMonkey[75] | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 1,124 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 46% | — | — | 5% |
Emerson College[76] | November 4–5, 2016 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 47% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 2] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey[77] | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 1,016 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 46% | — | — | 5% |
SurveyMonkey[78] | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 937 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 48% | 47% | — | — | 5% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[79] | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 44% | — | — | 9% |
JMC Analytics & Polling (R)[80][upper-alpha 1] | October 28 – November 1, 2016 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | 3% | 1% | 7% |
The Times Picayune/Lucid[81] | October 28 – November 1, 2016 | 892 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 41% | — | — | 13% |
CNN/ORC[82] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | 790 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 49% | — | 3%[lower-alpha 3] | 1% |
860 (RV) | 47% | 48% | — | 4%[lower-alpha 4] | 1% | |||
SurveyMonkey[83] | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 994 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | — | — | 6% |
SurveyMonkey[84] | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | — | — | 6% |
Emerson College[85] | October 26–27, 2016 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 44% | 48% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 5] | 6% |
Gravis Marketing (R)[86][upper-alpha 2] | October 25, 2016 | 875 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 44% | — | — | 6% |
Marist College[87] | October 20–24, 2016 | 707 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 49% | – | 4% | 5% |
985 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 47% | – | 4% | 6% | ||
Bendixen & Amandi International[88][upper-alpha 3] | October 20–23, 2016 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 44% | – | 2% | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[89][upper-alpha 4] | October 20–22, 2016 | 826 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 41% | – | 7%[lower-alpha 6] | 8% |
Monmouth University[90] | October 14–17, 2016 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 42% | 45% | 5% | 4%[lower-alpha 7] | 4% |
CNN/ORC[91] | October 10–15, 2016 | 698 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 45% | — | 2%[lower-alpha 8] | 1% |
862 (RV) | 50% | 44% | — | 4%[lower-alpha 9] | 2% | |||
CBS News/YouGov[92] | October 12–14, 2016 | 996 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 39% | 39% | – | 4%[lower-alpha 10] | 18% |
JMC Analytics & Polling (R)[93][upper-alpha 1] | October 10–13, 2016 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 35% | 4% | 6%[lower-alpha 11] | 16% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[94][upper-alpha 5] | October 11–12, 2016 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 12] | 5% |
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[95][upper-alpha 6] | October 10–11, 2016 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 40% | – | 8%[lower-alpha 13] | 11% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[96][upper-alpha 7] | October 10–11, 2016 | 986 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 39% | — | — | 18% |
Emerson College[97] | October 2–4, 2016 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 45% | – | 7% | 7% |
Hart Research Associates (D)[98] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | — | — | 7% |
Bendixen & Amandi International[99][upper-alpha 3] | September 27–29, 2016 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 47% | — | — | 8% |
Suffolk University[100] | September 27–29, 2016 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 35% | 38% | 4% | 5%[lower-alpha 14] | 18% |
Fox News[101] | September 18–20, 2016 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 43% | 5% | 7% | 8% |
805 (RV) | 34% | 41% | 8% | 7% | 10% | |||
Rasmussen Reports (R)[102][upper-alpha 4] | September 16–18, 2016 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 44% | – | 6%[lower-alpha 15] | 11% |
Insights West[103] | September 12–14, 2016 | 398 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 43% | — | 4%[lower-alpha 16] | 14% |
Monmouth University[104] | September 11–13, 2016 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | 3% | 4%[lower-alpha 17] | 4% |
GQR Research (D)[105][upper-alpha 6] | September 6–8, 2016 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | — | — | 4% |
Marist College[106] | September 6–8, 2016 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 47% | – | 1% | 7% |
915 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 45% | – | 1% | 8% | ||
Public Policy Polling (D)[107] | September 6–7, 2016 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 41% | — | — | 16% |
Suffolk University[108] | August 15–17, 2016 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 37% | 6% | 6%[lower-alpha 18] | 14% |
CBS News/YouGov[109] | August 2–5, 2016 | 993 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 35% | 38% | — | 4%[lower-alpha 19] | 23% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[110][upper-alpha 4] | July 29–31, 2016 | 750 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 42% | – | 6%[lower-alpha 20] | 11% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[111][upper-alpha 4] | July 22–24, 2016 | 750 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 46% | – | 5%[lower-alpha 21] | 12% |
Monmouth University[112] | July 7–10, 2016 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 42% | 6% | 6%[lower-alpha 22] | 7% |
GQR Research (D)[113][upper-alpha 8] | June 11–20, 2016 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 41% | 46% | — | — | – |
Gravis Marketing[114] | May 24–25, 2016 | 1,637 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 45% | 43% | — | — | 12% |
Gravis Marketing[115] | February 14–15, 2016 | 1,366 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | – | — | 15% |
Gravis Marketing[116] | December 23–27, 2015 | 909 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 47% | – | – | 16% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[117] | July 13–14, 2015 | 677 (V) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 41% | — | — | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Harry Reid (D) |
Brian Krolicki (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[118] | February 21–22, 2015 | 955 | ± 3% | 45% | 46% | — | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Harry Reid (D) |
Adam Laxalt (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[118] | February 21–22, 2015 | 955 | ± 3% | 46% | 48% | — | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Harry Reid (D) |
Brian Sandoval (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harper Polling[119] | July 26–29, 2014 | 602 | ± 3.99% | 43% | 53% | — | 4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dina Titus (D) |
Sharron Angle (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[120] | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | 54% | 31% | — | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dina Titus (D) |
Adam Laxalt (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[120] | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | 46% | 44% | — | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dina Titus (D) |
Michael Roberson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[120] | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | 48% | 41% | — | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dina Titus (D) |
Brian Sandoval (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[120] | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | 37% | 55% | — | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) |
Sharron Angle (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[115] | February 14–15, 2016 | 1,366 | ± 3% | 46% | 33% | — | 21% |
Gravis Marketing[121] | December 23–27, 2015 | 909 | ± 3% | 45% | 32% | — | 22% |
Gravis Marketing[120] | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | 53% | 30% | — | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) |
Adam Laxalt (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[120] | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | 44% | 39% | — | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) |
Michael Roberson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[120] | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | 47% | 35% | — | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) |
Brian Sandoval (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[120] | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | 37% | 53% | — | 10% |
with Harry Reid
with Dina Titus
with Catherine Cortez Masto
Cortez Masto won her bid to succeed Harry Reid 47.10-44.67, or by 2.43%, running 0.01% better than Hillary Clinton.[122]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Catherine Cortez Masto | 521,994 | 47.10% | −3.19% | |
Republican | Joe Heck | 495,079 | 44.67% | +0.12% | |
None of These Candidates | 42,257 | 3.81% | +1.56% | ||
Independent American | Tom Jones | 17,128 | 1.55% | +1.11% | |
Independent | Thomas Sawyer | 14,208 | 1.28% | N/A | |
Independent | Tony Gumina | 10,740 | 0.97% | N/A | |
Independent | Jarrod Williams | 6,888 | 0.62% | N/A | |
Total votes | 1,108,294 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
County[123] | Catherine Cortez Masto
Democratic |
Joe Heck
Republican |
None of these Candidates | Tom Jones
Independent American |
Thomas Sawyer
Independent |
Tony Gumina
Independent |
Jarrod Williams
Independent |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Carson City | 9,741 | 39.24% | 13,027 | 52.47% | 895 | 3.61% | 448 | 1.80% | 358 | 1.44% | 201 | 0.81% | 156 | 0.63% | -3,286 | -13.23% | 24,826 |
Churchill | 2,240 | 20.56% | 7,711 | 70.78% | 352 | 3.23% | 246 | 2.26% | 192 | 1.76% | 95 | 0.87% | 58 | 0.53% | -5,471 | -50.22% | 10,894 |
Clark | 386,179 | 51.27% | 303,734 | 40.32% | 29,849 | 3.96% | 11,307 | 1.50% | 9,359 | 1.24% | 7,985 | 1.06% | 4,830 | 0.64% | 82,445 | 10.95% | 753,243 |
Douglas | 8,410 | 30.42% | 17,587 | 63.6% | 767 | 2.77% | 350 | 1.27% | 282 | 1.02% | 153 | 0.55% | 101 | 0.37% | -9,177 | -33.19% | 27,650 |
Elko | 3,199 | 17.42% | 13,462 | 73.29% | 723 | 3.94% | 394 | 3.1% | 360 | 1.96% | 135 | 0.74% | 94 | 0.51% | -10,263 | -55.88% | 18,367 |
Esmeralda | 66 | 15.71% | 312 | 74.29% | 13 | 3.1% | 22 | 5.24% | 3 | 0.71% | 4 | 0.95% | 0 | 0.00% | -246 | -58.57% | 420 |
Eureka | 88 | 10.36% | 692 | 81.51% | 29 | 3.42% | 16 | 1.88% | 16 | 1.88% | 5 | 0.59% | 3 | 0.35% | -604 | -71.14% | 849 |
Humboldt | 1,406 | 20.57% | 4,397 | 64.34% | 235 | 3.44% | 127 | 1.86% | 126 | 1.84% | 62 | 0.91% | 31 | 0.45% | -2,991 | -43.77% | 6,834 |
Lander | 417 | 18.29% | 1,704 | 74.74% | 113 | 4.96% | 54 | 2.37% | 49 | 2.15% | 23 | 1.01% | 33 | 1.45% | -1,287 | -56.45% | 2,280 |
Lincoln | 315 | 14.85% | 1,609 | 75.86% | 91 | 4.29% | 51 | 2.40% | 27 | 1.27% | 20 | 0.94% | 8 | 0.38% | -1,294 | -61.01% | 2,121 |
Lyon | 6,323 | 26.82% | 15,231 | 64.60% | 780 | 3.31% | 534 | 2.26% | 375 | 1.59% | 216 | 0.92% | 119 | 0.50% | -8,908 | -37.78% | 23,578 |
Mineral | 627 | 31.54% | 1,141 | 57.39% | 89 | 4.48% | 47 | 2.36% | 45 | 2.26% | 20 | 1.01% | 19 | 0.96% | -514 | -25.85% | 1,988 |
Nye | 5,253 | 27.13% | 11,611 | 59.97% | 929 | 4.80% | 747 | 3.86% | 390 | 2.01% | 248 | 1.28% | 182 | 0.94% | -6,358 | -32.84% | 19,360 |
Pershing | 466 | 23.63% | 1,286 | 65.21% | 77 | 3.90% | 67 | 3.40% | 45 | 2.28% | 19 | 0.96% | 12 | 0.61% | -800 | -41.58% | 1,972 |
Storey | 791 | 31.10% | 1,551 | 60.99% | 83 | 3.26% | 58 | 2.28% | 34 | 1.34% | 19 | 0.75% | 7 | 0.28% | -760 | -29.89% | 2,543 |
Washoe | 95,750 | 46.04% | 97,433 | 46.85% | 7,064 | 3.40% | 2,553 | 1.23% | 2,453 | 1.18% | 1,506 | 0.72% | 1,198 | 0.58% | -1,683 | -0.81% | 207,957 |
White Pine | 723 | 19.29% | 2,591 | 69.11% | 168 | 4.48% | 107 | 2.85% | 94 | 2.51% | 37 | 0.99% | 29 | 0.77% | -1,868 | -49.82% | 3,749 |
Totals | 521,994 | 47.10% | 495,079 | 44.67% | 42,257 | 3.81% | 17,128 | 1.55% | 14,208 | 1.28% | 10,740 | 0.97% | 6,888 | 0.62% | 26,915 | 2.43% | 1,108,294 |
Cortez Masto won 2 of 4 congressional districts, with the remaining 2 going to Heck, including one that elected a Democrat.[124]
District | Cortez Masto | Heck | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 60% | 30% | Dina Titus |
2nd | 40% | 53% | Mark Amodei |
3rd | 45% | 47% | Joe Heck |
Jacky Rosen | |||
4th | 49% | 42% | Cresent Hardy |
Ruben Kihuen |
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