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The 2010 United States Senate election in Nevada took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator and Majority Leader Harry Reid won re-election to a fifth and final term.[1]
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![]() County results Reid: 40–50% 50–60% Angle: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The Democratic primary took place on June 8, 2010. Reid won by a large margin over a field of political unknowns.
Poll source | Dates administered | Harry Reid | Barbara Buckley |
---|---|---|---|
Mellman Group[3] | June 17–29, 2008 | 51% | 20% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Harry Reid (incumbent) | 87,401 | 75.3% | |
Democratic | None of these | 12,341 | 10.6% | |
Democratic | Alex Miller | 9,717 | 8.4% | |
Democratic | Eduardo Hamilton | 4,645 | 4.0% | |
Democratic | Carlo Poliak | 1,938 | 1.7% | |
Total votes | 116,042 | 100.00% |
The Republican primary also took place on Tuesday, June 8, 2010.
Includes current candidates who have polled at least 2% in at least one poll.
Dates administered | Poll source | Tarkanian | Lowden | Angle |
---|---|---|---|---|
August 21, 2009 | Mason Dixon/LVJR[39] | 33% | 14% | 5% |
October 8, 2009 | Poll[40] | 21% | 23% | 9% |
December 2009 | [41]
Mason Dixon/LVJR] |
24% | 25% | 13% |
January 7, 2010 | [42] | 28% | 26% | 13% |
February 24, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVJR[43] | 29% | 47% | 8% |
April 11, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVJR[44] | 27% | 45% | 5% |
April 26–28, 2010 | Research 2000[45] | 28% | 38% | 13% |
May 13, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVJR[46] | 22% | 30% | 25% |
May 28, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVJR[46] | 23% | 30% | 29% |
May 31 – June 2, 2010 | Research 2000[47] | 24% | 25% | 34% |
June 2, 2010 | Suffolk University[48] | 26% | 24% | 33% |
June 1–3, 2010 | [49] | 24% | 23% | 32% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sharron Angle | 70,452 | 40.1% | |
Republican | Sue Lowden | 45,890 | 26.1% | |
Republican | Danny Tarkanian | 40,936 | 23.3% | |
Republican | John Chachas | 6,926 | 3.9% | |
Republican | Chad Christensen | 4,806 | 2.7% | |
Republican | None of these | 3,091 | 1.8% | |
Republican | Bill Parson | 1,484 | 0.8% | |
Republican | Gary Bernstein | 698 | 0.4% | |
Republican | Garn Mabey | 462 | 0.3% | |
Republican | Cecilia Stern | 355 | 0.2% | |
Republican | Brian Nadell | 235 | 0.1% | |
Republican | Terry Suominen | 224 | 0.1% | |
Republican | Gary Marinch | 179 | 0.1% | |
Total votes | 175,738 | 100.00% |
In January 2009, the GOP began running an advertisement attacking President Barack Obama's proposed stimulus plan and Reid for his support of the legislation.[54] Since becoming Minority Leader (in 2004), his approval ratings had dropped below 50%.[55] A November 2007 poll showed Reid's approval rating at 39%, with 49% of voters disapproving.[56]
After the primaries, the first poll showed Angle leading by a double-digit margin. CQ Politics changed their analysis of the race from leaning Republican to a toss-up because of Angle's sharply conservative views and tendency to commit verbal gaffes; however, CQ added that if the voters treat the election as a referendum on Reid, then Angle will likely win.[57]
In 2009, Reid had been endorsed by some prominent Nevada Republicans.[58] Immediately after the primary, the Republican mayor of Reno, Bob Cashell, who had backed Lowden in the Republican primary, endorsed Reid for the general election, calling Angle an "ultra-right winger."[59][60] Other Republicans expressed doubt about supporting Angle, citing her reputation for ideological rigidity from her years in the state legislature.[61]
One of the first general election ads attacked Angle for her stance on Social Security and Medicare.[62] In response, Angle explained that "the government must continue to keep its contract with seniors, who entered into the system on good faith and now are depending on that contract." In response to accusations that she was not mainstream enough for Nevada voters, Angle explained on a KXNT radio show that she was "more mainstream than the fellow that said tourists stink, this war is lost, and light-skinned no-Negro dialect", in reference to comments that had been made by Senator Reid.[63]
In September, Tibi Ellis, the chairwoman of the Nevada Republican Hispanic Caucus, who had been a spokesperson for Angle, criticized an Angle ad related to immigration. Ellis said, "I condemned this type of propaganda, no matter who is running them, where they blame Mexicans as the only problem and where they attack them as the only source of illegal immigration."[64]
Angle was endorsed by Nevada's largest newspaper, the Las Vegas Review-Journal.[65] Reid had the endorsement from Nevada's second largest newspaper, the Las Vegas Sun.[66] and the largest newspaper outside of Las Vegas, the Reno Gazette-Journal.[67]
On October 7, 2010, Republican State Senator and Minority Leader William Raggio endorsed Reid.[68][69] Dema Guinn, the widow of the late Republican Nevada Governor Kenny Guinn, endorsed Reid on October 8.[70]
Angle and Reid only agreed to one debate, in which no other candidate would participate. It was held on October 14.[71] Junior Senator John Ensign played Reid during one day of debate preparation at the Trump Plaza in Las Vegas for Angle.[72]
Reid was initially considered vulnerable, with the non-partisan Cook Political Report rating the election as a tossup[73] and the Rothenberg Political Report rating the state as tossup.[74] A June 9, 2010, Rasmussen Reports post-primary poll showed Angle leading incumbent Senator Harry Reid by a margin of 50% to 39%.[75] However, a July 2010 poll showed Senator Reid leading Angle by 7 points, following nationwide attention to some of Angle's positions,[76] as well as the endorsement of Reid by prominent Republicans. The change of margin, 18% in less than a month, is the largest in Senate elections history.[76] On July 28, 2010, Rasmussen Reports moved the race from tossup to leans Democratic.[77] Later, it moved back to tossup. Polls generally had Angle up, and thus Reid seemed like the underdog. Journalist Jon Ralston correctly predicted Reid would win based on early voting numbers and Reid running a strong campaign.[78]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[79] | Tossup | October 26, 2010 |
Rothenberg[80] | Tossup | October 22, 2010 |
RealClearPolitics[81] | Tossup | October 26, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[82] | Lean R (flip) | October 28, 2010 |
CQ Politics[83] | Tossup | October 26, 2010 |
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Dates administered | Poll source | Sharron Angle (R) | Harry Reid (D) |
---|---|---|---|
December 9, 2009 | Rasmussen Reports[84] | 47% | 43% |
January 7, 2010 | [42] | 45% | 40% |
January 11, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[85] | 44% | 40% |
February 3, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[86] | 44% | 40% |
March 3, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[87] | 47% | 43% |
March 31, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[86] | 51% | 40% |
April 27, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[86] | 48% | 40% |
April 26–28, 2010 | Research 2000[45] | 44% | 41% |
May 28, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVJR[88] | 39% | 42% |
May 31 – June 2, 2010 | Research 2000[89] | 37% | 42% |
June 1–3, 2010 | [49] | 44% | 41% |
June 9, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[90] | 50% | 39% |
June 22, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[91] | 48% | 41% |
July 12, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[92] | 46% | 43% |
July 12–14, 2010 | Mason-Dixon[93] | 37% | 44% |
July 16–18, 2010 | Public Policy Polling[94] | 46% | 48% |
July 27, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[95] | 43% | 45% |
July 28–30, 2010 | Mason-Dixon[93] | 42% | 43% |
August 3, 2010 | Reuters/Iposos[96] | 44% | 48% |
August 9–11, 2010 | Mason-Dixon[93] | 44% | 46% |
August 16, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[97] | 47% | 47% |
August 23–25, 2010 | Mason-Dixon[98] | 44% | 45% |
September 1, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[99] | 45% | 45% |
September 7–9, 2010 | Mason-Dixon[100] | 44% | 46% |
September 11, 2010 | FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research[101] | 45% | 44% |
September 13, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[102] | 48% | 48% |
September 10–14, 2010 | CNN/Time Magazine[103] | 42% | 41% |
September 18, 2010 | FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research[104] | 46% | 45% |
September 20–22, 2010 | LVRJ/Mason-Dixon[105] | 43% | 43% |
September 21–23, 2010 | Public Opinion Strategies[106] | 40% | 45% |
September 28, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[95] | 47% | 48% |
October 2, 2010 | FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research[104] | 49% | 46% |
October 4, 2010 | Magellan Strategies[107] | 48% | 43% |
October 5, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[95] | 50% | 46% |
October 7–9, 2010 | Public Policy Polling[108] | 45% | 47% |
October 9, 2010 | Fox News/POR-Rasmussen[109] | 49% | 47% |
October 11, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[95] | 49% | 48% |
October 14, 2010 | Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon[110] | 47% | 45% |
October 17, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[95] | 50% | 47% |
October 25, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports[95] | 49% | 45% |
October 20–26, 2010 | CNN/Time/Opinion Research[111] | 49% | 45% |
October 25–27, 2010 | Mason-Dixon[112] | 49% | 45% |
October 30, 2010 | Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research[113] | 48% | 45% |
October 31, 2010 | Public Policy Polling[114] | 47% | 46% |
Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sharron Angle (R) | $27,797,915 | $27,505,917 | $291,999 | $635,737 |
Harry Reid (D) | $19,185,317 | $22,325,360 | $176,309 | $419,093 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[115] |
Despite Angle leading by three points in the polls the days leading up to the election, Reid defeated Angle by 5.74%, even defeating Angle in her own county, Washoe County. Reid also secured huge numbers out of the Democratic stronghold of Clark County, which covers the Las Vegas Metropolitan Area.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Harry Reid (incumbent) | 362,785 | 50.29% | −10.84% | |
Republican | Sharron Angle | 321,361 | 44.55% | +9.45% | |
n/a | None of These Candidates | 16,174 | 2.25% | +0.65% | |
Tea Party of Nevada | Scott Ashjian | 5,811 | 0.81% | N/A | |
Independent | Michael L. Haines | 4,261 | 0.59% | N/A | |
Independent American | Timothy Fasano | 3,185 | 0.44% | N/A | |
Independent | Jesse Holland | 3,175 | 0.44% | N/A | |
Independent | Jeffery C. Reeves | 2,510 | 0.35% | N/A | |
Independent | Wil Stand | 2,119 | 0.29% | N/A | |
Total votes | 721,381 | 100.0% | |||
Democratic hold |
County | Reid | % | Angle | % | Others/None of These | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carson City | 8,714 | 44.64% | 9,362 | 47.96% | 1,443 | 7.39% |
Churchill | 2,473 | 27.80% | 5,639 | 63.40% | 783 | 8.80% |
Clark | 253,617 | 54.41% | 192,516 | 41.30% | 20,030 | 4.30% |
Douglas | 7,530 | 34.57% | 12,858 | 59.04% | 1,392 | 6.39% |
Elko | 3,246 | 25.24% | 8,173 | 63.56% | 1,440 | 11.20% |
Esmeralda | 80 | 20.15% | 268 | 67.51% | 49 | 12.34% |
Eureka | 137 | 18.05% | 524 | 69.04% | 98 | 12.91% |
Humboldt | 1,600 | 32.12% | 2,836 | 56.92% | 546 | 10.96% |
Lander | 487 | 25.60% | 1,201 | 63.14% | 214 | 11.25% |
Lincoln | 442 | 22.68% | 1,311 | 67.27% | 196 | 10.06% |
Lyon | 5,659 | 32.39% | 10,473 | 59.95% | 1,339 | 7.66% |
Mineral | 855 | 44.93% | 822 | 43.19% | 226 | 11.88% |
Nye | 5,279 | 36.66% | 7,822 | 54.32% | 1,298 | 9.01% |
Pershing | 597 | 34.39% | 915 | 52.71% | 224 | 12.90% |
Storey | 843 | 39.50% | 1,124 | 52.67% | 167 | 7.83% |
Washoe | 70,523 | 49.91% | 63,316 | 44.81% | 7,448 | 5.27% |
White Pine | 703 | 21.51% | 2,201 | 67.33% | 365 | 11.17% |
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