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The 2016 Montana gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Montana, concurrently with the presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
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| Turnout | 74.44% 2.26[1] | |||||||||||||||||||
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 Bullock: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Gianforte: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democratic governor Steve Bullock won re-election to a second term in office with 50.3% of the vote, defeating Republican Greg Gianforte, who later won Montana's governorship in 2020 when Bullock was term-limited.
In the concurrent presidential election, Hillary Clinton lost Montana by more than 20%, with Bullock thus over-performing her vote share by more than 14% and her margin of defeat by more than 24%.
As of 2024 this is the most recent election where a Democrat won the Governor's office.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Steve Bullock (incumbent) | 109,450 | 91.3% | |
| Democratic | Bill McChesney | 10,486 | 8.7% | |
| Total votes | 119,936 | 100.0% | ||
U.S. senators
State officials
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Gianforte | 109,882 | 76.4% | |
| Republican | Terry Nelson | 33,987 | 23.6% | |
| Total votes | 143,869 | 100.0% | ||
Governors
State officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Lean D | August 12, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[21] | Lean D | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[22] | Lean D | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Lean D | November 7, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[24] | Lean D | November 1, 2016 |
| Governing[25] | Tossup | October 27, 2016 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Bullock (D) |
Greg Gianforte (R) |
Ted Dunlap (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[26] | November 1–7, 2016 | 449 | ± 4.6% | 44% | 46% | 7% | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[27] | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 410 | ± 4.6% | 45% | 44% | 8% | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[28] | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 403 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey[29] | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 376 | ± 4.6% | 48% | 43% | 7% | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey[30] | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 385 | ± 4.6% | 51% | 41% | 7% | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey[31] | October 25–31, 2016 | 405 | ± 4.6% | 53% | 39% | 7% | 1% |
| Mason-Dixon[32] | October 10–12, 2016 | 1,003 | ± 3.2% | 47% | 45% | 2% | 6% |
| Montana State University Billings[33] | October 3–10, 2016 | 590 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 32% | 3% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Bullock (D) |
Tim Fox (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing[34] | February 24–25, 2015 | 1,035 | ± 3% | 46% | 38% | — | 16% |
| Gravis Marketing[34] | November 24–25, 2014 | 836 | ± 3% | 41% | 45% | — | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling[35] | July 20–22, 2013 | 741 | ± 4% | 46% | 43% | — | 11% |
with Ryan Zinke
with Tim Fox
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Steve Bullock (incumbent) | 255,933 | 50.25% | +1.35% | |
| Republican | Greg Gianforte | 236,115 | 46.35% | −0.99% | |
| Libertarian | Ted Dunlap | 17,312 | 3.40% | −0.36% | |
| Total votes | 509,360 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
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