2014 United States Senate election in New Jersey
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2014 United States Senate election in New Jersey was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Jersey. Incumbent senator Cory Booker was first elected in a 2013 special election to complete the term of fellow Democrat Frank Lautenberg, who died in office. Booker defeated Jeff Bell (R) to win a first full term.
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Booker: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bell: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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This is the last time that Somerset County voted Republican in a statewide election.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rob Andrews |
Cory Booker |
Rush D. Holt Jr. |
Frank Pallone |
Stephen Sweeney |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[10] | November 26–28, 2012 | 300 | ± 5.6% | 17% | 48% | — | 13% | — | 11% | 11% |
Merriman-River[11] | January 7–9, 2013 | 1,170 | ± 2.9% | 10% | 48% | — | 8% | 6% | — | 28% |
Farleigh Dickinson[12] | March 4–10, 2013 | 323 | ± 5.5% | — | 50% | 7% | 4% | — | 6% | 32% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Cory Booker |
Frank Lautenberg |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[10] | November 26–28, 2012 | 300 | ± 5.6% | 59% | 22% | — | 18% |
Fairleigh Dickinson[13] | January 2–6, 2013 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 20% | 17% | 21% |
Merriman-River[11] | January 7–9, 2013 | 1,170 | ± 2.9% | 48% | 21% | — | 31% |
Quinnipiac[14] | January 15–21, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 51% | 30% | 1% | 18% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cory Booker (incumbent) | 197,158 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 197,158 | 100.00% |
2013 nominee Steve Lonegan announced in his concession speech that he would not run again for the seat in the 2014 race.[17] The top-tier candidates for the Republican primary, Thomas Kean Jr. and Jay Webber also declined to run in early January 2014, leaving Jon Bramnick and Michael J. Doherty as the remaining candidates with established credentials and fundraising abilities able to start a United States Senate campaign.[18][19] On January 9, 2014, Brian D. Goldberg, a West Orange resident and New Jersey businessman, announced that he would seek the Republican nomination.[20] The following week, on January 17, 2014, both Bramnick and Doherty announced that they would not be running for United States Senate.[20][21]
On January 27, 2014, Freehold Township businessman Richard J. "Rich" Pezzullo announced his candidacy for the Republican nomination. Pezzullo had previously run for the US Senate in 1996 as the Conservative Party candidate.[22][23] On February 4, 2014, conservative political consultant Jeff Bell announced his bid for the nomination. Bell was the nominee for the Senate in 1978, having defeated incumbent senator Clifford Case in the Republican primary and was an unsuccessful candidate for the Republican nomination in 1982.[24] Ramapo College professor Murray Sabrin, who ran for the Senate in 2000 and 2008, announced another run on February 13.[25] Former FBI agent Robert Turkavage, who ran as an Independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012, had declared his candidacy. However, he got stuck in a traffic jam when he attempted to turn in his petitions shortly before the deadline, and was forced to withdraw.[26]
On March 4, Richard Pezzullo won the Union County Convention on the first ballot, going on to then win the line in Camden County and Republican stronghold Monmouth County. Opponent Brian Goldberg won the party lines in conventions in Ocean, Atlantic, Cumberland, Mercer, and Somerset Counties. Murray Sabrin won only the Middlesex line, and Jeffrey Bell made no convention appearances and contested no lines.[27] Three candidates – Brian Goldberg, Richard Pezzullo and Murray Sabrin – claimed the Burlington county line, though only Goldberg claimed to have won the line.[28] Goldberg was given the county line with no convention in Essex, Passaic, and Hudson Counties. Robert Turkavage won the convention in Hunterdon County, but the line transferred to Goldberg after Turkavage dropped out of the race.
Jeff Bell received significant support from the conservative American Principles Fund, who ran a direct mail operation that cost over $80,000, and the National Organization for Marriage, a conservative traditional marriage group, who paid for $6,000 of automated calling.[29]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Bell | 42,728 | 29.41% | |
Republican | Richard J. Pezzullo | 38,130 | 26.24% | |
Republican | Brian D. Goldberg | 36,266 | 24.96% | |
Republican | Murray Sabrin | 28,183 | 19.40% | |
Total votes | 145,307 | 100.00% |
County | Bell | Pezzullo | Goldberg | Sabrin | Total Votes | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | % | Total | % | Total | % | Total | % | ||
Atlantic | 1,115 | 17.85% | 744 | 11.91% | 4,030 | 64.50% | 359 | 5.75% | 6,248 |
Bergen | 4,833 | 56.63% | 1,501 | 17.59% | 953 | 11.17% | 1,248 | 14.62% | 8,535 |
Burlington | 4,208 | 39.12% | 3,220 | 24.58% | 1,577 | 12.04% | 4,097 | 31.27% | 13,102 |
Camden | 2,121 | 36.05% | 2,566 | 43.62% | 299 | 5.08% | 897 | 15.25% | 5,883 |
Cape May | 2,011 | 60.70% | 740 | 22.34% | 245 | 7.40% | 317 | 9.57% | 3,313 |
Cumberland | 436 | 23.34% | 301 | 16.11% | 1,038 | 55.58% | 93 | 4.98% | 1,868 |
Essex | 904 | 20.45% | 1,035 | 23.42% | 2,161 | 48.89% | 320 | 7.24% | 4,420 |
Gloucester | 1,213 | 29.43% | 1,280 | 31.06% | 714 | 17.33% | 914 | 22.18% | 4,121 |
Hudson | 642 | 21.89% | 285 | 9.70% | 1,225 | 41.71% | 785 | 26.73% | 2,937 |
Hunterdon | 2,426 | 28.29% | 2,604 | 30.37% | 2,118 | 24.70% | 1,426 | 16.63% | 8,574 |
Mercer | 927 | 26.16% | 377 | 10.64% | 1,331 | 37.56% | 909 | 25.65% | 3,544 |
Middlesex | 1,738 | 26.31% | 1,338 | 20.25% | 1,531 | 23.18% | 1,999 | 30.26% | 6,606 |
Monmouth | 2,096 | 19.26% | 5,999 | 55.11% | 497 | 4.57% | 2,293 | 21.07% | 10,885 |
Morris | 5,206 | 37.09% | 3,197 | 22.77% | 1,280 | 9.12% | 4,355 | 31.02% | 14,038 |
Ocean | 3,389 | 17.51% | 3,570 | 18.45% | 10,840 | 56.02% | 1,552 | 8.02% | 19,351 |
Passaic | 1,194 | 20.64% | 1,015 | 17.55% | 2,414 | 41.74% | 1,161 | 20.07% | 5,784 |
Salem | 332 | 25.50% | 389 | 29.88% | 78 | 5.99% | 503 | 38.63% | 1,302 |
Somerset | 3,399 | 36.35% | 1,577 | 16.86% | 3,122 | 33.39% | 1,253 | 13.40% | 9,351 |
Sussex | 1,465 | 26.68% | 2,451 | 44.64% | 292 | 5.32% | 1,282 | 23.35% | 5,490 |
Union | 1,162 | 19.37% | 3,117 | 51.96% | 283 | 4.72% | 1,437 | 23.95% | 5,999 |
Warren | 1,871 | 48.15% | 794 | 20.43% | 238 | 6.12% | 983 | 25.30% | 3,886 |
Organizations
Current & former elected officials
Media
Organizations
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[62] | Solid D | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[63] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg Political Report[64] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics[65] | Likely D | November 3, 2014 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Cory Booker (D) |
Jeff Bell (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports[66] | June 17–18, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 48% | 35% | 4% | 13% |
Monmouth University[67] | June 25–29, 2014 | 717 | ± 3.7% | 43% | 23% | 15% | 17% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[68] | July 5–24, 2014 | 2,645 | ± 3.4% | 50% | 43% | 1% | 6% |
Quinnipiac University[69] | July 31 – August 4, 2014 | 1,148 | ± 2.9% | 47% | 37% | 1% | 16% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[70] | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 2,244 | ± 3% | 52% | 37% | 2% | 10% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University[71] | September 1–7, 2014 | 721 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 29% | 1% | 27% |
Richard Stockton College[72] | September 5–8, 2014 | 807 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 36% | 3% | 12% |
Quinnipiac University[73] | September 25–29, 2014 | 1,058 | ± 3% | 51% | 40% | 1% | 8% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[74] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 2,011 | ± 3% | 51% | 37% | 0% | 12% |
Monmouth University[75] | October 2–5, 2014 | 477 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 38% | 2% | 7% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University[76] | October 13–19, 2014 | 525 | ± 4.3% | 56% | 40% | 1% | 3% |
Richard Stockton College[77] | October 18–22, 2014 | 806 | ± 3.5% | 57% | 33% | 5% | 5% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[74] | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,868 | ± 4% | 51% | 39% | 0% | 9% |
Monmouth University[78] | October 30 – November 2, 2014 | 750 | ± 3.6% | 54% | 40% | 1% | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rob Andrews (D) |
Kim Guadagno (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[10] | November 26–28, 2012 | 600 | ± 4% | 35% | 34% | — | 31% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Cory Booker (D) |
Kim Guadagno (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[10] | November 26–28, 2012 | 600 | ± 4% | 42% | 39% | — | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Cory Booker (D) |
Geraldo Rivera (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[79] | February 13–17, 2013 | 1,149 | ± 2.9% | 59% | 23% | 2% | 17% |
Farleigh Dickinson University[80] | March 4–10, 2013 | 702 | ± 3.7% | 52% | 21% | — | 26% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Cory Booker (D) |
Murray Sabrin (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University[81] | February 19–23, 2014 | 690 | ± 3.7% | 58% | 25% | 1% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Bradley (D) |
Jeff Bell (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fairleigh Dickinson University[76] | October 13–19, 2014 | 525 | ± 4.3% | 57% | 36% | 0% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Frank Lautenberg (D) |
Kim Guadagno (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[10] | November 26–28, 2012 | 600 | ± 4% | 48% | 33% | — | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Frank Pallone (D) |
Kim Guadagno (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[10] | November 26–28, 2012 | 600 | ± 4% | 22% | 42% | — | 36% |
With Andrews
With Booker
With Bradley
With Lautenberg
With Pallone
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cory Booker (incumbent) | 1,043,866 | 55.84% | +0.92% | |
Republican | Jeff Bell | 791,297 | 42.33% | −1.69% | |
Libertarian | Joseph Baratelli | 16,721 | 0.89% | N/A | |
Independent | Hank Schroeder | 5,704 | 0.31% | N/A | |
Independent | Jeff Boss | 4,513 | 0.24% | N/A | |
Independent | Eugene Martin Lavergne | 3,890 | 0.21% | +0.13% | |
Independent | Antonio N. Sabas | 3,544 | 0.19% | +0.09% | |
Total votes | 1,869,535 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
County | Booker % | Booker votes | Bell % | Bell votes | Other % | Other votes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlantic | 51.4% | 32,566 | 46.5% | 29,422 | 2.1% | 1,319 |
Bergen | 57.3% | 124,409 | 41.2% | 89,597 | 1.5% | 3,204 |
Burlington | 54.3% | 64,730 | 44.2% | 52,721 | 1.5% | 1,755 |
Camden | 65.3% | 73,881 | 33.2% | 37,543 | 1.5% | 1,730 |
Cape May | 41.1% | 11,572 | 57.4% | 16,178 | 1.5% | 429 |
Cumberland | 53.3% | 14,830 | 44.8% | 12,455 | 1.9% | 537 |
Essex | 77.2% | 106,472 | 21.4% | 29,527 | 1.4% | 1,975 |
Gloucester | 52.8% | 37,131 | 45.1% | 31,717 | 2.1% | 1,456 |
Hudson | 78.4% | 68,165 | 19.2% | 16,707 | 2.4% | 2,109 |
Hunterdon | 38.7% | 14,241 | 59.0% | 21,709 | 2.3% | 864 |
Mercer | 65.8% | 52,476 | 32.3% | 25,749 | 1.9% | 1,524 |
Middlesex | 60.0% | 83,732 | 38.4% | 53,679 | 1.6% | 2,244 |
Monmouth | 44.9% | 67,011 | 53.2% | 79,417 | 1.9% | 2,863 |
Morris | 42.9% | 49,920 | 55.6% | 64,688 | 1.6% | 1,807 |
Ocean | 40.3% | 55,631 | 57.4% | 79,254 | 2.2% | 3,082 |
Passaic | 60.6% | 52,533 | 37.6% | 32,612 | 1.7% | 1,508 |
Salem | 44.5% | 8,060 | 51.4% | 9,304 | 4.1% | 733 |
Somerset | 48.6% | 37,124 | 49.5% | 37,835 | 1.9% | 1,448 |
Sussex | 35.3% | 12,722 | 61.8% | 22,292 | 2.9% | 1,046 |
Union | 65.0% | 68,051 | 33.2% | 34,741 | 1.8% | 1,855 |
Warren | 36.4% | 8,609 | 59.8% | 14,150 | 3.7% | 884 |
Booker won 7 of the 12 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.[83]
District | Booker | Bell | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 62.47% | 35.86% | Donald Norcross |
2nd | 47.49% | 50.35% | Frank LoBiondo |
3rd | 48.02% | 50.08% | Tom MacArthur |
4th | 44.27% | 53.8% | Chris Smith |
5th | 49.65% | 48.62% | Scott Garrett |
6th | 58.29% | 39.98% | Frank Pallone Jr. |
7th | 44.21% | 53.7% | Leonard Lance |
8th | 79.05% | 18.75% | Albio Sires |
9th | 66.9% | 31.19% | Bill Pascrell |
10th | 86.1% | 12.25% | Donald Payne Jr. |
11th | 47.18% | 51.31% | Rodney Frelinghuysen |
12th | 64.23% | 34.13% | Bonnie Watson Coleman |
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