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The 2014 Iowa gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Republican incumbent Terry Branstad ran for reelection to a sixth overall and second consecutive four-year term.[1] Branstad went on to win a historic sixth term as governor by defeating Democratic challenger and State Senator Jack Hatch, and on December 14, 2015, he became the longest-serving governor in American history. He won 59.1% of the popular vote to Hatch's 37.3%, and carried every county in the state except Johnson, home to Iowa City and the University of Iowa.
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Branstad: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hatch: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% | ||||||||||||||||||||
|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad |
Tom Hoefling |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[3] | May 15–19, 2014 | 303 | ± 3.3% | 66% | 12% | 22% |
Loras College[4] | April 7–8, 2014 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 80% | 4% | 14% |
Suffolk University[5] | April 3–8, 2014 | 224 | ± 6.6% | 70% | 9% | 21% |
Public Policy Polling[6] | February 20–23, 2014 | 283 | ± 5.8% | 70% | 11% | 18% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Terry Branstad (incumbent) | 129,712 | 83.00 | |
Republican | Tom Hoefling | 26,284 | 16.82 | |
Republican | Write-In | 279 | 0.18 | |
Total votes | 156,275 | 100 |
Narcisse was disqualified from appearing on the ballot in the Democratic primary following a ruling by the Iowa Supreme Court[8] that upheld a lower court decision that held that Narcisse had not submitted enough valid signatures to be placed on the ballot for the primary election. Narcisse continued his campaign and declared his intention to run for the nomination as a write-in candidate.[9] When he was unsuccessful, he announced that he would be running in the general election as the nominee of the Iowa Party.[10][11]
Individuals
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jack Hatch | 60,404 | 99.26 | |
Democratic | Write-in | 448 | 0.74 | |
Total votes | 60,852 | 100 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[40] | Likely R | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg Political Report[42] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics[43] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Jack Hatch (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[44] | November 1–3, 2014 | 1,265 | ± 2.8% | 51% | 40% | 5%[45] | 5% |
54% | 43% | — | 4% | ||||
Quinnipiac University[46] | October 28–November 2, 2014 | 778 | ± 3.5% | 52% | 41% | 2% | 6% |
Iowa Poll[47] | October 28–31, 2014 | 701 | ± 3.7% | 59% | 35% | 2% | 4% |
YouGov[48] | October 25–31, 2014 | 1,112 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 35% | 4% | 13% |
Fox News[49] | October 28–30, 2014 | 911 | ± 3% | 53% | 36% | 5% | 6% |
Reuters/Ipsos[50] | October 23–29, 2014 | 1,129 | ± 3.3% | 57% | 34% | 4% | 5% |
Quinnipiac[51] | October 22–27, 2014 | 817 | ± 3.4% | 56% | 37% | 2% | 5% |
Loras College[52] | October 21–24, 2014 | 1,121 | ± 2.93% | 55% | 34% | 2% | 9% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[53] | October 16–23, 2014 | 2,322 | ± 3% | 50% | 37% | 0% | 13% |
NBC News/Marist[54] | October 18–22, 2014 | 772 LV | ± 3.5% | 59% | 36% | 2% | 4% |
1,052 RV | ± 3% | 58% | 34% | 2% | 6% | ||
Gravis Marketing[55] | October 20–21, 2014 | 964 | ± 3% | 53% | 43% | — | 4% |
Monmouth University[56] | October 18–21, 2014 | 423 | ± 4.8% | 58% | 37% | 3% | 2% |
Quinnipiac University[57] | October 15–21, 2014 | 964 | ± 3.2% | 55% | 37% | 2% | 5% |
Suffolk University[58] | October 11–14, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 54% | 37% | 3%[59] | 7% |
Quinnipiac University[60] | October 8–13, 2014 | 967 | ± 3.2% | 54% | 39% | 1% | 6% |
The Iowa Poll[61] | October 3–8, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% | 54% | 39% | — | 4% |
Magellan[62] | October 3, 2014 | 1,299 | ± 2.8% | 55% | 39% | — | 7% |
NBC News/Marist[63] | September 27–October 1, 2014 | 778 LV | ± 3.5% | 58% | 36% | 1% | 5% |
1,093 RV | ± 3% | 58% | 35% | 1% | 6% | ||
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[64] | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 2,359 | ± 2% | 52% | 39% | 0% | 9% |
Gravis Marketing[65] | September 29–30, 2014 | 522 | ± 4% | 51% | 43% | — | 6% |
Public Policy Polling[66] | September 25–28, 2014 | 1,192 | ± 2.8% | 50% | 36% | 4%[67] | 9% |
52% | 38% | — | 10% | ||||
Iowa Poll[68] | September 21–24, 2014 | 546 | ± 4.2% | 48% | 34% | 6%[69] | 12% |
Rasmussen Reports[70] | September 17–18, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 46% | 40% | 3% | 10% |
FOX News[71] | September 14–16, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 50% | 37% | 4% | 8% |
Quinnipiac[72] | September 10–15, 2014 | 1,167 | ± 2.9% | 60% | 37% | 1% | 3% |
Loras College[73] | September 2–5, 2014 | 1,200 | ± 2.82% | 56% | 34% | — | 11% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[74] | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 1,764 | ± 3% | 51% | 38% | 1% | 10% |
Suffolk[75] | August 23–26, 2014 | 500 | ± 4% | 47% | 35% | 2%[76] | 16% |
Public Policy Polling[77] | August 22–24, 2014 | 915 | ± 3.2% | 48% | 35% | 5%[45] | 12% |
50% | 37% | — | 13% | ||||
Rasmussen Reports[70] | August 11–12, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 52% | 35% | 6% | 7% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[78] | July 5–24, 2014 | 2,044 | ± 2.7% | 51% | 40% | 1% | 8% |
Gravis Marketing[79] | July 17–18, 2014 | 1,179 | ± 3% | 50% | 42% | — | 9% |
NBC News/Marist[80] | July 7–13, 2014 | 1,599 | ± 2.5% | 53% | 38% | 1% | 9% |
Quinnipiac[81] | June 12–16, 2014 | 1,277 | ± 2.7% | 47% | 38% | 1% | 14% |
Vox Populi Polling[82] | June 4–5, 2014 | 665 | ± 3.8% | 51% | 40% | — | 9% |
Loras College[83] | June 4–5, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 52% | 38% | — | 11% |
Rasmussen Reports[70] | June 4–5, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 49% | 40% | 2% | 8% |
Global Strategy Group[84] | May 13–15, 2014 | 602 | ± 4% | 47% | 40% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling[3] | May 15–19, 2014 | 914 | ± 3.3% | 48% | 40% | — | 12% |
Victory Enterprises[85] | April 30–May 1, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 33% | — | 20% |
Hickman Analytics[86] | April 24–30 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 40% | — | 10% |
Vox Populi Polling[87] | April 22–24, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 45% | 43% | — | 12% |
Public Policy Polling[88] | April 19–20, 2014 | 677 | ± 3.8% | 43% | 38% | — | 19% |
Suffolk University[89] | April 3–8, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 32% | 2%[90] | 24% |
Quinnipiac[91] | March 5–10, 2014 | 1,411 | ± 2.6% | 46% | 35% | 1% | 17% |
Selzer & Co.[92] | February 23–26, 2014 | 703 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 29% | — | 27% |
Public Policy Polling[6] | February 20–23, 2014 | 869 | ± 3.3% | 48% | 36% | — | 15% |
Quinnipiac[93] | December 10–15, 2013 | 1,617 | ± 2.4% | 49% | 33% | 1% | 17% |
Selzer & Co.[94] | December 8–11, 2013 | 325 | ± ?% | 52% | 29% | 8% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling[95] | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | 47% | 35% | — | 18% |
Selzer & Co.[96] | June 2–5, 2013 | 591 | ± 4% | 55% | 27% | 9% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling[97] | February 1–3, 2013 | 846 | ± % | 48% | 33% | — | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Bruce Braley (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[97] | February 1–3, 2013 | 846 | ± % | 47% | 41% | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling[98] | May 3–6, 2012 | 1,181 | ± 2.85% | 44% | 40% | — | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Chet Culver (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[95] | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling[97] | February 1–3, 2013 | 846 | ± % | 50% | 40% | — | 10% |
Public Policy Polling[98] | May 3–6, 2012 | 1,181 | ± 2.85% | 44% | 42% | — | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Michael Gronstal (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[95] | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | 50% | 36% | — | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Bob Krause (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac[93] | December 10–15, 2013 | 1,617 | ± 2.4% | 49% | 31% | 1% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Dave Loebsack (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[97] | February 1–3, 2013 | 846 | ± % | 48% | 38% | — | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Tyler Olson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac[93] | December 10–15, 2013 | 1,617 | ± 2.4% | 50% | 32% | 1% | 17% |
Selzer & Co.[94] | December 8–11, 2013 | 325 | ± ?% | 51% | 28% | 8% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling[95] | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | 47% | 33% | — | 20% |
Public Policy Polling[97] | February 1–3, 2013 | 846 | ± % | 47% | 31% | — | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Tom Vilsack (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[97] | February 1–3, 2013 | 846 | ± % | 47% | 46% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling[98] | May 3–6, 2012 | 1,181 | ± 2.85% | 43% | 46% | — | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Hoefling (R) |
Jack Hatch (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[3] | May 15–19, 2014 | 914 | ± 3.3% | 30% | 37% | — | 33% |
Suffolk University[99] | April 3–8, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 23% | 35% | 3%[90] | 39% |
Public Policy Polling[6] | February 20–23, 2014 | 869 | ± 3.3% | 30% | 34% | — | 36% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kim Reynolds (R) |
Chet Culver (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[95] | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | 38% | 42% | — | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kim Reynolds (R) |
Michael Gronstal (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[95] | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | 37% | 37% | — | 26% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kim Reynolds (R) |
Jack Hatch (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[95] | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | 36% | 33% | — | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kim Reynolds (R) |
Tyler Olson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[95] | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | 36% | 32% | — | 32% |
}
With Branstad
With Hoefling
With Reynolds
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Terry Branstad (incumbent) / Kim Reynolds (incumbent) | 666,032 | 58.99% | +6.18% | |
Democratic | Jack Hatch / Monica Vernon | 420,787 | 37.27% | −5.94% | |
Libertarian | Lee Deakins Hieb / Tim Watson | 20,321 | 1.80% | +0.52% | |
Independent | Jim Hennager / Mary Margaret Krieg | 10,582 | 0.94% | N/A | |
Iowa | Jonathan R. Narcisse / Michael L. Richards | 10,240 | 0.91% | −0.95% | |
n/a | Write-ins | 1,095 | 0.09% | n/a | |
Total votes | 1,129,057 | 100.00% | n/a | ||
Republican hold |
Branstad won all four congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.[101]
District | Branstad | Hatch | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 55.95% | 40.98% | Rod Blum |
2nd | 56.66% | 39.85% | Dave Loebsack |
3rd | 56.55% | 38.79% | David Young |
4th | 67.25% | 29.39% | Steve King |
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