2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election

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2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election

The 2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Hawaii, concurrently with a special election to Hawaii's Class III Senate Seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election

 2010 November 4, 2014 2018 
 
Nominee David Ige Duke Aiona Mufi Hannemann
Party Democratic Republican Independent
Running mate Shan Tsutsui Elwin Ahu Les Chang
Popular vote 181,106 135,775 42,934
Percentage 49.45% 37.08% 11.72%

Ige:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      >90%
Aiona:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No votes

Governor before election

Neil Abercrombie
Democratic

Elected Governor

David Ige
Democratic

Close

Primary elections were held on August 9, 2014. In Hawaii, candidates for governor and lieutenant governor run in separate primaries and are then elected on the same ticket. Incumbent Democratic governor Neil Abercrombie ran for re-election to a second term in office, but was defeated by State Senator David Ige in the Democratic primary, making Abercrombie the first incumbent governor to lose renomination in Hawaii history. Incumbent Democratic lieutenant governor Shan Tsutsui was renominated.

The Republicans nominated former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona and pastor and former circuit court judge Elwin Ahu. Also running as an independent was former mayor of Honolulu Mufi Hannemann and former Honolulu parks and recreation director Les Chang. Ige and Tsutsui won the election. As of 2023, this election was the only time since 1994 that the winning gubernatorial nominee won the Hawaii gubernatorial election with only a plurality of the popular vote.

Democratic primary

Summarize
Perspective

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

David Ige

Individuals

Debates

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Neil
Abercrombie
David
Ige
Other Undecided
Ward Research[8] July 21–29, 2014 458 ± 4.6% 36% 54% 11%
Civil Beat[9] July 24–28, 2014 895 ± 3.3% 41% 51% 8%
Public Policy Polling[10] July 23–24, 2014 410 ± ? 39% 49% 12%
Civil Beat[11] June 7–9, 2014 729 ± 3.6% 37% 48% 15%
SMS Research*[12] March 24–April 25, 2014 1,402 ± 2.6% 42% 28% 30%
Civil Beat[13] February 12–15, 2014 643 ± 3.9% 37% 37% 26%
Ward Research[14] January 29–February 3, 2014 528 ± 4.3% 47% 38% 14%
Close
  • * Internal poll for Neil Abercrombie campaign

Results

Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Ige—70–80%
  •   Ige—60–70%
  •   Ige—50–60%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Ige 157,050 66.01
Democratic Neil Abercrombie (incumbent) 73,507 30.09
Democratic Van Tanabe 2,622 1.01
Democratic Blank vote 4,614 1.94
Democratic Over vote 124 0.05
Total votes 237,917 100.00
Close

Lieutenant governor

Brian Schatz won the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor in 2010 with 37% of the vote and was elected alongside Abercrombie. After the death of U.S. Senator Daniel Inouye in December 2012, Abercrombie appointed Schatz to succeed him in the Senate. Schatz resigned as lieutenant governor and was succeeded by Shan Tsutsui, the president of the Hawaii Senate.[16]

Candidates

Declared

Results

Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Tsutsui—70–80%
  •   Tsutsui—50–60%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Shan Tsutsui (incumbent) 120,779 50.77
Democratic Clayton Hee 81,255 34.15
Democratic Mary Zanakis 18,174 7.64
Democratic Miles Shiratori 2,593 1.09
Democratic Sam Puletasi 2,126 0.89
Democratic Blank vote 12,850 5.04
Democratic Over vote 139 0.06
Total votes 237,916 100.00
Close

Republican primary

Summarize
Perspective

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Duke Aiona

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Aiona—>90%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Duke Aiona 41,832 94.77
Republican Stuart Todd Gregory 640 1.45
Republican Charles (Trump) Collins 580 1.31
Republican Blank vote 1,054 2.39
Republican Over vote 36 0.08
Total votes 44,142 100.00
Close

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

  • Elwin Ahu, pastor and former circuit court judge[23]
  • Warner "Kimo" Sutton, businessman[24]

Declined

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Elwin Ahu 27,678 62.07
Republican Warner "Kimo" Sutton 11,511 26.08
Republican Blank vote 4,921 11.15
Republican Over vote 32 0.07
Total votes 44,142 100.00
Close

Libertarian nomination

Governor

Candidates

Declared

  • Jeff Davis, solar contractor and radio show host[26]

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Libertarian primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Jeff Davis 587 82.56
Libertarian Blank vote 124 17.44
Total votes 711 100.00
Close

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

  • Cynthia (Lahi) Marlin

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Libertarian primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Cynthia (Lahi) Marlin 555 78.06
Libertarian Blank vote 156 21.94
Total votes 711 100.00
Close

Hawaii Independent primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Independent Party primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Mufi Hannemann 2,103 88.62
Independent Blank vote 269 11.34
Independent Over vote 1 0.04
Total votes 2,373 100.00
Close

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Les Chang, former Honolulu parks and recreation director[24]

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Independent Party primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Les Chang 1,370 57.73
Independent Blank vote 1,002 42.23
Independent Over vote 1 0.04
Total votes 2,373 100.00
Close

No Party primary

Hawaii has strict criteria for independent candidates seeking to participate in the general election.[28] Three of the four candidates were disqualified for not having a running mate. The other candidate also had no running mate, but had already withdrawn from the race. They all still appeared on the ballot, alongside a notice about their status.[29]

Candidates

Disqualified

Withdrew

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Independent primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Misty Davis 201 18.03
Independent Richard Morse 98 8.79
Independent Khis Dejean Caldwell 85 7.62
Independent Joe Spatola 40 3.59
Independent Blank vote 687 61.61
Independent Over vote 4 0.36
Total votes 1,115 100.00
Close

General election

Debates

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[30] Lean D November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Likely D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[32] Lean D November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[33] Likely D November 3, 2014
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Ige (D)
Duke
Aiona (R)
Mufi
Hannemann (I)
Other Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[34] October 16–23, 2014 1,002 ± 6% 54% 22% 5% 0% 19%
Civil Beat[35] October 16–19, 2014 1,221 ± 2.8% 40% 34% 11% 6%[36] 8%
27% 26% 47%
Tarrance Group/RGA[37] October 2014 800 ± 3.5% 39% 36% 12% 3%[36] 11%
Ward Research[38] October 11–18, 2014 605 ± 4% 47% 35% 12% 1%[36] 6%
Global Strategy Group[39] October 3–8, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 33% 10% 2% 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[40] September 20 – October 1, 2014 1,319 ± 4% 41% 35% 6% 0% 18%
Civil Beat[41] September 11–14, 2014 1,055 ± 3% 43% 39% 8% 2%[36] 8%
48% 45% 7%
Rasmussen Reports[42] September 9–10, 2014 750 ± 4% 40% 39% 14% 2% 6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[43] August 18 – September 2, 2014 655 ± 6% 37% 35% 6% 2% 20%
Ward Research[8] July 21–29, 2014 612 ± 4% 34% 41% 15% 10%
Civil Beat[11] June 7–9, 2014 1,078 ± 3% 31% 31% 17% 21%
Ward Research[44] January 29 – February 3, 2014 642 ± 3.9% 34% 51% 15%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Neil
Abercrombie (D)
Duke
Aiona (R)
Mufi
Hannemann (I)
Other Undecided
Ward Research[8] July 21–29, 2014 612 ± 4% 30% 45% 14% 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[45] July 5–24, 2014 1,083 ± 3% 37% 40% 14% 7%
Civil Beat[11] June 7–9, 2014 1,078 ± 3% 27% 33% 18% 22%
Ward Research[46] January 29 – February 3, 2014 642 ± 3.9% 40% 48% 12%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election[47]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic David Ige 181,106 49.45% −9.16%
Republican Duke Aiona 135,775 37.08% −4.31%
Independent Mufi Hannemann 42,934 11.72% N/A
Libertarian Jeff Davis 6,395 1.75% N/A
Total votes 366,210 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold
Close

References

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