2012 Indiana gubernatorial election

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2012 Indiana gubernatorial election

The 2012 Indiana gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012. Incumbent governor Mitch Daniels was term-limited and unable to seek a third term. The Republican candidate, Congressman Mike Pence; the Democratic candidate, former Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives John R. Gregg; and the Libertarian candidate, youth mentor, small business owner and reality TV personality, Rupert Boneham, were all unopposed in their respective primaries or conventions and contested the general election. This is the first open Indiana gubernatorial election since 1996 and the first gubernatorial election since 1972 without the incumbent governor or lieutenant governor as a nominee.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
2012 Indiana gubernatorial election

 2008 November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) 2016 
 
Nominee Mike Pence John R. Gregg
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Sue Ellspermann Vi Simpson
Popular vote 1,275,424 1,200,016
Percentage 49.49% 46.56%

Pence:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

Gregg:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election

Mitch Daniels
Republican

Elected Governor

Mike Pence
Republican

Close

When the polls closed, the election was very close, and continued to stay close throughout the night. Gregg performed well in Marion County (Indianapolis) and Lake County (Gary), which were Democratic strongholds. Pence performed well in the Indianapolis suburbs and the Fort Wayne area. At 12:34 am EST, the Associated Press called the race for Pence. At 1:06 am, Gregg called Pence to concede, realizing there were not enough votes left to overtake him. Pence ultimately won the election and took office on January 14, 2013. This was the closest race for governor since 1960.

Primaries

Democratic

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic Indiana gubernatorial election primary in Indiana, 2012[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John R. Gregg 207,365 100
Total votes 207,365 100
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Libertarian

General election

Summarize
Perspective

Candidates

  • John Gregg (Democratic), former Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives
  • Rupert Boneham (Libertarian), four-time contestant on Survivor and founder of Rupert's Kids
  • Donnie Harold Harris (Public Party) (write-in)
  • Running mate: George Fish[8]

Debates

The Indiana Debate Commission organized three televised debates between Indiana Gubernatorial candidates Republican Mike Pence, Democrat John R. Gregg and Libertarian Rupert Boneham. Debate schedule
The first debate was held on Wednesday, October 10, 2012, at the Zionsville Performing Arts Center in Zionsville, Indiana and was moderated by former Indianapolis Star editor Dennis Ryerson.

The second debate was held on Wednesday, October 17, 2012, at the DeBartolo Performing Arts Center in South Bend, Indiana and was moderated by Indiana Fiscal Policy Institute president John Ketzenberger.

The third debate was held on Thursday, October 25, 2012, at the WFWA PBS 39 studio in Fort Wayne, Indiana and was moderated by DePauw University Executive Director of Media Relations Ken Owen.

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Likely R November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Likely R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[11] Likely R November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[12] Likely R November 5, 2012
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Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Pence (R)
John R.
Gregg (D)
Rupert
Boneham (L)
Other Undecided
Howey Politics/DePauw[13] October 28–30, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 47% 40% 5%
Benenson Strategy Group[14] October 18–21, 2012 701 ± 3.7% 44% 38% 6% 12%
YouGov[15] October 4–11, 2012 470 ± 5.6% 49% 38% 13%
Howey Politics/DePauw University[16] September 19–23, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 47% 34% 5% 14%
Market Research Insight[17] August 6–9, 2012 600 ± 4% 50% 32% 3% 15%
Market Research Insight[18] March 26–27, 2012 503 ± 4.5% 44% 31% 5% 20%
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Results

Thumb
State Senate district results
More information Party, Candidate ...
Indiana gubernatorial election, 2012[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mike Pence/Sue Ellspermann 1,275,424 49.49% −8.35%
Democratic John R. Gregg/Vi Simpson 1,200,016 46.56% +6.52%
Libertarian Rupert Boneham 101,868 3.95% +1.83%
Independent Donnie Harold Harris (write-in) 21 0.00% N/A
Total votes 2,577,329 100.0% N/A
Republican hold
Close

By county

Source[20]

More information Mike Pence Republican, John R. Gregg Democratic ...
Mike Pence
Republican
John R. Gregg
Democratic
Rupert Boneham
Libertarian
Margin Total
County Votes  % Votes  % Votes  % Votes  % Votes
Adams8,10862.60%4,51534.86%3292.54%3,59327.74%12,952
Allen78,65754.69%61,36542.67%3,7902.64%17,29212.02%143,812
Bartholomew17,41459.74%10,60736.39%1,1303.88%6,80723.35%29,151
Benton1,94454.81%1,37438.74%2296.46%57016.07%3,547
Blackford2,43252.23%2,01243.21%2124.55%4209.02%4,656
Boone17,41556.43%8,70931.59%1,0193.70%8,70631.58%27,565
Brown3,77340.30%3,40744.52%4555.95%3664.78%7,653
Carroll4,16453.62%3,13240.33%4706.05%1,03213.29%7,766
Cass7,10450.19%6,24644.13%8035.67%8586.06%14,153
Clark24,32252.90%20,10843.73%1,5483.37%4,2149.17%45,978
Clay5,52550.98%4,74743.80%5655.21%7787.18%10,837
Clinton5,41154.93%3,87539.34%5655.74%1,53615.59%9,851
Crawford2,09646.63%2,26650.41%1332.96%-170-3.78%4,495
Daviess5,38653.52%4,39643.68%2812.79%9909.84%10,063
Dearborn14,35366.64%6,21028.83%9744.52%8,14337.81%21,537
Decatur6,47963.04%3,18230.96%6165.99%3,29732.08%10,277
DeKalb9,58359.89%5,84736.54%5713.57%3,73623.35%16,001
Delaware19,97845.56%21,90149.95%1,9674.49%-1,923-4.39%43,846
Dubois10,93159.64%6,95837.97%4382.39%3,97321.68%18,327
Elkhart38,96957.91%26,34039.15%1,9782.94%12,62918.77%67,287
Fayette4,57352.64%3,66242.15%4525.20%91110.49%8,687
Floyd18,98254.74%14,73842.50%9542.75%4,24412.24%34,674
Fountain3,76053.27%2,88440.86%4145.87%87612.41%7,058
Franklin6,96767.89%2,85827.84%4394.28%4,10940.03%10,264
Fulton4,53256.03%3,19439.49%3624.48%1,33816.54%8,088
Gibson7,73152.86%6,50844.50%3872.65%1,2238.36%14,626
Grant13,82455.15%10,31341.14%9313.71%3,51114.01%25,068
Greene5,48641.74%7,30755.60%3502.66%-1,821-13.86%13,143
Hamilton88,06265.19%41,76130.91%5,2653.90%46,30134.27%135,088
Hancock20,28862.17%10,46432.07%1,8795.76%9,82430.11%32,631
Harrison9,98757.07%6,95939.77%5543.17%3,02817.30%17,500
Hendricks40,24261.33%22,11533.70%3,2574.96%18,12727.63%65,614
Henry9,43749.63%8,27743.53%1,3016.84%1,1606.10%19,015
Howard17,76849.24%16,51545.77%1,8024.99%1,2533.47%36,085
Huntington9,62362.68%5,21233.95%5173.37%4,41128.73%15,352
Jackson9,61357.78%6,37738.33%6483.89%3,23619.45%16,638
Jasper6,98756.10%5,05540.59%4123.31%1,93215.51%12,454
Jay4,32455.05%3,18340.52%3484.43%1,14114.53%7,855
Jefferson6,71552.76%5,61044.08%4033.17%1,1058.68%12,728
Jennings5,64855.76%4,02339.72%4584.52%1,62516.04%10,129
Johnson35,80562.67%18,09731.68%3,2315.66%17,70830.99%57,133
Knox5,03133.11%9,91165.23%2531.67%-4,880-32.12%15,195
Kosciusko20,52769.01%8,30027.90%9193.09%12,22741.10%29,746
LaGrange5,65361.01%3,25735.15%3553.83%2,39625.86%9,265
Lake55,75030.70%122,25167.32%3,5841.97%-66,501-36.62%181,585
LaPorte16,15938.48%24,18657.59%1,6533.94%-8,027-19.11%41,998
Lawrence10,09457.14%6,83038.67%7404.19%3,26418.48%17,664
Madison24,04846.06%25,39248.64%2,7655.30%-1,344-2.57%52,205
Marion129,12536.27%209,32558.80%17,5184.92%-80,200-22.53%355,968
Marshall9,90056.22%7,11240.39%5983.40%2,78815.83%17,610
Martin2,47152.36%2,05043.44%1984.20%4218.92%4,719
Miami6,88254.48%4,98239.28%7676.07%1,90015.04%12,631
Monroe14,53036.76%22,98158.14%2,0195.11%-8,451-21.38%39,530
Montgomery8,10556.41%5,48238.16%7805.43%2,62318.26%14,367
Morgan17,07960.81%9,29533.10%1,7116.09%7,78427.72%28,085
Newton3,01554.28%2,28741.17%2534.55%72813.11%5,555
Noble9,40558.78%6,04737.80%5473.42%3,35820.99%15,999
Ohio1,55456.57%1,08439.46%1093.97%47017.11%2,747
Orange4,11253.85%3,27342.86%2513.29%83910.99%7,636
Owen4,16451.43%3,45642.69%4765.88%7088.75%8,096
Parke3,36651.78%2,81843.35%3164.86%5488.43%6,500
Perry3,13240.04%4,52357.82%1682.15%-1,391-17.78%7,823
Pike2,66145.18%3,06652.05%1632.77%-405-6.88%5,890
Porter29,32141.06%39,89355.86%2,1983.08%-10,572-14.80%71,412
Posey6,45553.30%5,34044.10%3152.60%1,1159.21%12,110
Pulaski2,80953.88%2,18941.99%2154.12%62011.89%5,213
Putnam7,55055.03%5,30738.68%8646.30%2,24316.35%13,721
Randolph5,70856.51%3,93939.00%4544.49%1,76917.51%10,101
Ripley7,01864.99%3,22429.85%5575.16%3,79435.13%10,799
Rush4,12059.20%2,37034.05%4706.75%1,75025.14%6,960
St. Joseph47,20843.11%59,41054.25%2,8972.65%-12,202-11.14%109,515
Scott4,06947.26%4,28749.79%2542.95%-218-2.53%8,610
Shelby9,64357.70%5,99435.87%1,0846.49%3,64921.83%16,712
Spencer5,05952.38%4,38545.40%2152.23%6746.98%9,659
Starke3,82845.27%4,29150.75%3373.99%-463-5.48%8,456
Steuben7,77257.19%5,30839.06%5093.75%2,46418.13%13,589
Sullivan2,94835.33%5,17962.06%2182.61%-2,231-26.73%8,345
Switzerland1,66650.73%1,48945.34%1293.93%1775.39%3,284
Tippecanoe25,70945.70%27,61549.09%2,9295.21%-1,906-3.39%56,253
Tipton4,13656.74%2,57235.29%4015.50%1,56421.46%7,289
Union1,96364.40%94030.84%1454.76%1,02333.56%3,048
Vanderburgh36,45951.16%32,83046.07%1,9692.76%3,6295.09%71,258
Vermillion2,61739.76%3,63955.29%3264.95%-1,022-15.53%6,582
Vigo15,01337.98%22,98858.15%1,5283.87%-7,975-20.18%39,529
Wabash7,52460.41%4,45935.80%4713.78%3,06524.61%12,454
Warren2,01353.25%1,57941.77%1884.97%43411.48%3,780
Warrick13,65456.25%10,03041.32%5882.42%3,62414.93%24,272
Washington6,12957.71%4,10838.68%3833.61%2,02119.03%10,620
Wayne13,89154.66%10,26140.38%1,2624.97%3,63014.28%25,414
Wells8,51766.18%3,99731.06%3552.76%4,52035.12%12,869
White5,03250.93%4,27943.31%5705.77%7537.62%9,881
Whitley9,08461.44%5,20935.23%4933.33%3,87526.21%14,786
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Pence won 6 of 9 congressional districts.[21]

More information District, Pence ...
District Pence Gregg Representative
1st 33.61% 63.98% Pete Visclosky
2nd 50.63% 46.15% Joe Donnelly (112th Congress)
Jackie Walorski (113th Congress)
3rd 58.24% 38.77% Marlin Stutzman
4th 53.82% 40.87% Todd Rokita
5th 55.34% 40.44% Dan Burton (112th Congress)
Susan Brooks (113th Congress)
6th 56.56% 38.49% Mike Pence (112th Congress)
Luke Messer (113th Congress)
7th 33.07% 61.73% André Carson
8th 48.28% 48.69% Larry Bucshon
9th 53.08% 42.70% Todd Young
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References

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