2008 United States Senate election in Louisiana

The 2008 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 4, 2008. This was the first time since the 1970s that Louisiana used primaries for federal races. Incumbent Senator Mary Landrieu won a third term by 6.39 percentage points despite being forecast as one of the most vulnerable Senate Democrats during 2008. She had received praise and wide publicity for her advocacy after Hurricane Katrina, particularly during hearings regarding FEMA's response to the disaster. This is the last time that Democrats won any statewide election in Louisiana other than Governor.

2008 United States Senate election in Louisiana

← 2002 November 4, 2008 2014 →

Nominee Mary Landrieu John Kennedy Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 988,298 867,177 Percentage 52.11% 45.72%

Parish results Congressional district results Precinct results Landrieu:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Kennedy:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Tie:      40–50%      50%

U.S. senator before election Mary Landrieu Democratic Elected U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu Democratic

Landrieu's main opponent John Kennedy garnered allegations of being a political opportunist after switching parties from Democrat to Republican in 2007.^[1] He won the state's other U.S. Senate seat in 2016 and 2022 as a Republican, having unsuccessfully run as a Democrat for it in 2004.

Background

Landrieu's increased vulnerability was supposed to be the result of a significant drop in the state's African-American population after Hurricane Katrina, especially in Landrieu's home city of New Orleans. Louisiana also elected a Republican senator in 2004 and President Bush won the state twice, in 2004 with 56.72% of the vote. Also, Republican Bobby Jindal won the 2007 gubernatorial election with 54% of the vote.

Major candidates

Democratic

• Mary Landrieu, incumbent U.S. Senator

Republican

• John Neely Kennedy, State Treasurer and Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2004

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[2]	Lean D	October 23, 2008
CQ Politics[3]	Lean D	October 31, 2008
Rothenberg Political Report[4]	Lean D	November 2, 2008
Real Clear Politics[5]	Lean D	October 23, 2008

Polling

Poll Source	Dates administered	Mary Landrieu (D)	John Kennedy (R)
Rasmussen Reports[6]	October 21, 2008	53%	43%
Rasmussen Reports[7]	September 25, 2008	54%	41%
Rasmussen Reports[8]	August 17, 2008	56%	39%
Rasmussen Reports[9]	July 9, 2008	49%	44%
Southern Media & Opinion Research[10]	July 1, 2008	46%	40%
Rasmussen Reports[11]	May 28, 2008	47%	44%
Southern Media & Opinion Research[12]	March 26 – April 9, 2008	50%	38%
Survey USA[13]	December 6–10, 2007	46%	42%

Results

Though she was considered one of the most vulnerable incumbent senators in 2008, Landrieu won reelection by a margin of 121,121 votes and 6.39%, over-performing Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama in the state by more than 12 percentage points.

2008 United States Senate election in Louisiana

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Mary Landrieu (incumbent)	988,298	52.11%	+0.41%
	Republican	John Kennedy	867,177	45.72%	−2.58%
	Libertarian	Richard Fontanesi	18,590	0.98%	n/a
	Independent	Jay Patel	13,729	0.72%	n/a
	Independent	Robert Stewart	8,780	0.46%	n/a
Majority			121,121	6.39%	+2.99
Turnout			1,896,574	100%
	Democratic hold		Swing

Parishes that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Catahoula (Largest town: Jonesville)

Parishes that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Iberia (Largest city: New Iberia)
• Jefferson (Largest town: Metairie)
• Jefferson Davis (Largest city: Jennings)
• Plaquemines (Largest community: Belle Chasse)
• Saint Bernard (Largest community: Chalmette)
• Saint Mary (Largest city: Morgan City)
• Vermilion (Largest city: Abbeville)

See also

• 2008 United States Senate elections

References

1. Scott, Robert (April 27, 2014). "Treasurer bolts to GOP | NOLA.com". Archived from the original on April 27, 2014. Retrieved March 15, 2021.
2. "2008 Senate Race ratings for October 23, 2008". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
3. Race Ratings Chart: Senate Archived October 28, 2010, at the Wayback Machine CQ Politics
4. "2008 Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
5. "2008 RCP Averages & Senate Results". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved August 31, 2021.
6. Rasmussen Reports
7. Rasmussen Reports
8. Rasmussen Reports
9. Rasmussen Reports
10. Southern Media & Opinion Research
11. Rasmussen Reports
12. Southern Media & Opinion Research
13. Survey USA

External links

• Elections Division from the Louisiana Secretary of State
• U.S. Congress candidates for Louisiana at Project Vote Smart
• Louisiana U.S. Senate from CQ Politics
• Louisiana U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets