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The 2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Dakota voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Dakota has three electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
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A sparsely-populated Great Plains state with an almost-exclusively White populace, North Dakota has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson won it in his nationwide 1964 landslide. Furthermore, it has only been decided by single digits in three presidential elections since 1964: 1976, 1996, and 2008. Agribusiness and the recent oil boom have played a key role in cementing the GOP's overwhelming popularity in the state. North Dakota is considered a deeply red state, and Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump won it by over 30 percentage points in both 2016 and 2020.[2]
The North Dakota Democratic primary was held mostly through mail in ballots. Limited in person voting was held, and all ballots were due March 30, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 840 | 92.4% | 13 | 13 | |
Marianne Williamson | 31 | 3.4% | |||
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 16 | 1.8% | |||
Cenk Uygur (withdrawn) | 13 | 1.4% | |||
Eban Cambridge | 4 | 0.4% | |||
Stephen Lyons (withdrawn) | 3 | 0.3% | |||
Jason Palmer | 2 | 0.2% | |||
Armando Perez-Serrato | 0 | 0% | |||
Total: | 909 | 100.0% | 13 | 4 | 17 |
The North Dakota Republican caucuses were held on March 4, 2024, one day before Super Tuesday, where 15 states and 865 total delegates were up for election.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 1,632 | 84.43% | 29 | 0 | 29 |
Nikki Haley | 273 | 14.12% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
David Stuckenberg | 19 | 0.98% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 9 | 0.47% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total: | 1,933 | 100.00% | 29 | 0 | 29 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[5] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections[6] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[8] | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis[9] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
CNN[10] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
The Economist[11] | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
538[12] | Solid R | June 11, 2024 |
RCP[13] | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
NBC News[14] | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic–NPL |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lake Research Partners (D)[15][upper-alpha 1] | September 23–26, 2024 | 500 (LV) | – | 50% | 40% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic–NPL |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Intelligence (R)[16][upper-alpha 2] | September 28–30, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 59% | 32% | 1% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic–NPL |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[17][upper-alpha 3] | June 15–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 62% | 28% | 10% |
John Zogby Strategies[18][upper-alpha 4] | April 13–21, 2024 | 300 (LV) | – | 55% | 37% | 8% |
Emerson College[19] | October 1–4, 2023 | 419 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 54% | 17% | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[18][upper-alpha 4] | April 13–21, 2024 | 300 (LV) | – | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Joe Biden Democratic–NPL |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[18][upper-alpha 4] | April 13–21, 2024 | 300 (LV) | – | 58% | 30% | 12% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | |||||
Democratic–NPL | |||||
Libertarian | |||||
Write-in | |||||
Total votes |
Partisan clients
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