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The 2022 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa. Incumbent Republican Senator Chuck Grassley defeated Democratic nominee Michael Franken to win re-election to an eighth term.[1]
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  Grassley: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Franken: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Grassley was first elected in 1980 and was most recently re-elected in 2016. Grassley, who turned 89 years old on September 17, 2022, ran for reelection to an eighth term.[2] With U.S. Senator Patrick Leahy retiring the same year, he became the second-oldest person ever to be re-elected for another term (behind Strom Thurmond in 1996 at age 93), on January 3, 2023, upon the departure of Patrick Leahy from the United States Senate Chuck Grassley became the most senior member in the Senate, and on January 4, 2023, he became the longest-serving Republican senator in history (overtaking Orrin Hatch), as well as the most senior member of Congress since January 3, 2023.
Despite his victory, this was Grassley's closest Senate race since he was first elected in 1980 and the first election since that time in which he did not crack 60% of the vote. Franken also beat Grassley in Linn, Story, and Polk counties, all of which Grassley had won in every election since 1986. In addition, this election was the first time that Grassley lost Black Hawk County. This election also sought the Class III seat's worst performance by a Republican since 1962, and best performance by a Democrat since 1980.
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chuck Grassley (incumbent) | 143,634 | 73.34% | |
| Republican | Jim Carlin | 51,891 | 26.50% | |
| Write-in | 312 | 0.16% | ||
| Total votes | 195,837 | 100.0% | ||
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Former U.S. Representative Abby Finkenauer was the original frontrunner in the Democratic primary, with her campaign being backed by several prominent politicians and labor unions, as well as the influential political action committee EMILY's List.[25] However, in an upset, retired vice-admiral Michael Franken managed to slowly overtake her as the perceived frontrunner, assisted by an effective campaign that highlighted his leadership credentials.[25]
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Graphical summary
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Abby Finkenauer |
Michael Franken |
Glenn Hurst |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[40][A] | May 4–8, 2022 | 866 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 42% | 4% | 14% |
| Change Research (D)[40][A] | April 6–11, 2022 | 416 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 53% | 26% | 7% | 14% |
| GBAO (D)[41][B] | March 30 – April 3, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 64% | 15% | 6% | 15% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Michael Franken | 86,527 | 55.17% | |
| Democratic | Abby Finkenauer | 62,581 | 39.90% | |
| Democratic | Glenn Hurst | 7,571 | 4.83% | |
| Write-in | 158 | 0.10% | ||
| Total votes | 156,837 | 100.0% | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[42] | Solid R | November 7, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[43] | Solid R | August 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] | Safe R | August 31, 2022 |
| Politico[45] | Likely R | October 18, 2022 |
| RCP[46] | Likely R | October 15, 2022 |
| Fox News[47] | Likely R | August 22, 2022 |
| DDHQ[48] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[49] | Solid R | September 6, 2022 |
| The Economist[50] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee
W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Chuck Grassley | Michael Franken | |||||
| 1 | October 6, 2022 | Iowa PBS | O. Kay Henderson | [51] | P | P |
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Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Chuck Grassley (R) |
Michael Franken (D) |
Undecided [b] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[100] | October 2 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 51.8% | 42.2% | 6.0% | Grassley +9.6 |
| 270towin[101] | October 26 – November 5, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 53.0% | 42.7% | 4.3% | Grassley +10.3 |
| Average | 52.4% | 42.5% | 5.1% | Grassley +9.9 | ||
Graphical summary
| Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Chuck Grassley (R) |
Michael Franken (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selzer & Co.[102] | October 31 – November 3, 2022 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 41% | 4%[c] | 2% |
| Cygnal (R)[103][C] | October 26–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 43% | – | 3% |
| Civiqs[104] | October 22–25, 2022 | 623 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 52% | 44% | 3%[d] | 2% |
| The Tarrance Group (R)[105][D] | October 15–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 42% | – | 4% |
| Change Research (D)[106][A] | October 14–18, 2022 | 1,008 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 45% | – | 6% |
| Selzer & Co.[107] | October 9–12, 2022 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 43% | 8%[e] | 3% |
| Emerson College[108] | October 2–4, 2022 | 959 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 38% | 4% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[109][C] | October 2–4, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 40% | – | 6% |
| Change Research (D)[110][A] | September 3–8, 2022 | 1,143 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| Cygnal (R)[111][C] | July 13–14, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 43% | – | 5% |
| Selzer & Co.[112] | July 10–13, 2022 | 597 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 39% | 7% | 5% |
| Change Research (D)[113][A] | June 30 – July 4, 2022 | 1,488 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 49% | 44% | – | 7% |
| Change Research (D)[114][A] | April 6–11, 2022 | 1,070 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 42% | – | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Chuck Grassley (R) |
Abby Finkenauer (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moore Information Group (R)[115] | March 8–13, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 36% | 6% | 14% |
| Cygnal (R)[116][C] | February 20–22, 2022 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 39% | – | 8% |
| Data for Progress (D)[117] | December 2–13, 2021 | 770 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 39% | – | 8% |
| Cygnal (R)[118][C] | October 18–19, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 39% | – | 6% |
| Selzer & Co.[119] | September 12–15, 2021 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 37% | 1%[f] | 7% |
Chuck Grassley vs. Abby Finkenauer
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chuck Grassley (incumbent) | 681,501 | 56.01% | −4.08% | |
| Democratic | Michael Franken | 533,330 | 43.84% | +8.18% | |
| Write-in | 1,815 | 0.15% | +0.04% | ||
| Total votes | 1,216,646 | 100% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Grassley won all 4 congressional districts.[120]
| District | Grassley | Franken | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 53% | 47% | Mariannette Miller-Meeks |
| 2nd | 55% | 45% | Ashley Hinson |
| 3rd | 51% | 48% | Cindy Axne (117th Congress) |
| Zach Nunn (118th Congress) | |||
| 4th | 66% | 34% | Randy Feenstra |
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