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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana were held on November 8, 2022, to elect two U.S. Representatives from Montana, one from each of its congressional districts. Prior to this election cycle, Montana had one at-large district, represented by Republican Matt Rosendale. However, during the 2020 redistricting cycle, Montana regained the 2nd district that it lost in 1993.
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Both Montana seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Republican hold Republican gain
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As a result, Montana became the first state relegated from multi-district to at-large status that reclaimed a second representative in the House of Representatives, in which Rosendale ran for re-election.[1][2]
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 120,285 | 49.73% | 112,271 | 46.42% | 9,305 | 3.85% | 241,861 | 100.00% | Republican gain |
District 2 | 120,899 | 56.57% | 42,905 | 20.08% | 49,892 | 23.35% | 213,696 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
Total | 241,184 | 52.94% | 155,176 | 34.06% | 59,197 | 12.99% | 455,557 | 100.00% |
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Zinke: 50−60% 60−70% 70−80% 80−90% Tranel: 40−50% 50−60% 60−70% 70−80% 80−90% >90% No votes: | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based in mountainous Western Montana, including the cities of Missoula, Bozeman and Butte.[3] Prior to redistricting in 2021, it was represented along with the rest of the state by at-large district representative Matt Rosendale. Since Rosendale ran for re-election in the 2nd district, this district was an open seat.
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
State officials
Organizations
U.S. Representative
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ryan Zinke | 35,601 | 41.7 | |
Republican | Albert Olszewski | 33,927 | 39.7 | |
Republican | Mary Todd | 8,915 | 10.4 | |
Republican | Matthew Jette | 4,973 | 5.8 | |
Republican | Mitch Heuer | 1,953 | 2.3 | |
Total votes | 85,369 | 100.0 |
Statewide officials
State legislators
Organizations
Labor unions
U.S. Representative
Organization
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Monica Tranel | 37,138 | 64.9 | |
Democratic | Cora Neumann | 15,396 | 26.9 | |
Democratic | Tom Winter | 4,723 | 8.2 | |
Total votes | 57,257 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Ryan Zinke | Monica Tranel | John Lamb | |||||
1 | Oct. 1, 2022 | KTVQ | Donna Kelly | [31] | P | P | N |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[32] | Lean R | October 19, 2022 |
Inside Elections[33] | Lean R | October 7, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] | Lean R | October 19, 2022 |
Politico[35] | Likely R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[36] | Likely R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[37] | Lean R | October 18, 2022 |
DDHQ[38] | Likely R | September 29, 2022 |
538[39] | Likely R | November 8, 2022 |
The Economist[40] | Likely R | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Ryan Zinke (R) |
Monica Tranel (D) |
John Lamb (L) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSU Billings[41] | October 3–14, 2022 | <343 (V)[lower-alpha 2] | ± 5.9% | 34% | 25% | 17% | 20% |
Victoria Research (D)[42][upper-alpha 1] | September 14–19, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 40% | 8% | 11% |
Impact Research (D)[43][upper-alpha 2] | September 14–19, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 43% | 3% | 9% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ryan Zinke | 123,102 | 49.65% | ||
Democratic | Monica Tranel | 115,265 | 46.49% | ||
Libertarian | John Lamb | 9,593 | 3.87% | ||
Total votes | 247,960 | 100.00% | |||
Republican win (new seat) |
Source[44]
Ryan Zinke Republican |
Monica Tranel Democratic |
John Lamb Libertarian |
Margin | Total | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
Beaverhead | 3,004 | 66.36% | 1,330 | 29.38% | 193 | 4.26% | 1,674 | 36.98% | 4,527 |
Deer Lodge | 1,510 | 37.96% | 2,256 | 56.71% | 212 | 5.33% | –746 | –18.75% | 3,978 |
Flathead | 29,290 | 61.37% | 16,571 | 34.72% | 1,864 | 3.91% | 12,719 | 26.65% | 47,725 |
Gallatin | 22,288 | 42.18% | 28,747 | 54.40% | 1,810 | 3.43% | –6,459 | –12.22% | 52,845 |
Glacier | 1,213 | 39.49% | 1,748 | 56.90% | 111 | 3.61% | –535 | –17.42% | 3,072 |
Granite | 1,149 | 64.48% | 533 | 29.91% | 100 | 5.61% | 616 | 34.57% | 1,782 |
Lake | 7,389 | 55.48% | 5,388 | 40.46% | 541 | 4.06% | 2,001 | 15.02% | 13,318 |
Lincoln | 6,687 | 71.65% | 2,200 | 23.57% | 446 | 4.78% | 4,487 | 48.08% | 9,333 |
Madison | 3,290 | 65.39% | 1,483 | 29.48% | 258 | 5.13% | 1,807 | 35.92% | 5,031 |
Mineral | 1,458 | 66.76% | 580 | 26.56% | 146 | 6.68% | 878 | 40.20% | 2,184 |
Missoula | 18,846 | 33.33% | 35,991 | 63.66% | 1,703 | 3.01% | –17,145 | –30.32% | 56,540 |
Pondera | 461 | 64.57% | 227 | 31.79% | 26 | 3.64% | 234 | 32.77% | 714 |
Powell | 1,762 | 68.48% | 639 | 24.83% | 172 | 6.68% | 1,123 | 43.65% | 2,573 |
Ravalli | 15,158 | 64.32% | 7,523 | 31.92% | 886 | 3.76% | 7,635 | 32.40% | 23,567 |
Sanders | 4,549 | 68.67% | 1,615 | 24.38% | 460 | 6.94% | 2,934 | 44.29% | 6,624 |
Silver Bow | 5,048 | 35.68% | 8,434 | 59.62% | 665 | 4.70% | –3,386 | –23.93% | 14,147 |
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![]() County results Rosendale: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||||||
![]() Precinct results Rosendale: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Buchanan: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Ronning: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district encompasses much of the state east of the Continental Divide, including the cities of Billings, Great Falls and Helena.[3] Incumbent Matt Rosendale, a Republican who was elected in the at-large district with 56.4% of the vote in 2020, sought re-election in this district.[45]
This was the first U.S. congressional election where the Democratic nominee finished third since the 2018 Maine Senate race.
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Matt Rosendale (incumbent) | 73,453 | 75.7 | |
Republican | Kyle Austin | 11,930 | 12.3 | |
Republican | Charles Walking Child | 5,909 | 6.1 | |
Republican | James Boyette | 5,712 | 5.9 | |
Total votes | 97,004 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Penny Ronning | 21,983 | 58.5 | |
Democratic | Mark Sweeney † | 8,586 | 22.8 | |
Democratic | Skylar Williams | 7,029 | 18.7 | |
Total votes | 37,598 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Sam Rankin | 958 | 47.0 | |
Libertarian | Samuel Thomas | 554 | 27.2 | |
Libertarian | Roger Roots | 526 | 25.8 | |
Total votes | 2,038 | 100.0 |
State officials
State legislators
Local politicians
Labor unions
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian | Independent |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Matt Rosendale | Penny Ronning | Sam Rankin | Gary Buchanan | |||||
1 | Oct. 1, 2022 | KTVQ | [64] | P | P | N | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[32] | Solid R | November 16, 2021 |
Inside Elections[33] | Solid R | November 19, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] | Safe R | November 17, 2021 |
Politico[35] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[36] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[37] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[38] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[39] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[40] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Matt Rosendale (R) |
Penny Ronning (D) |
Gary Buchanan (I) |
Sam Rankin (L) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSU Billings[41] | October 3–14, 2022 | <343 (V)[lower-alpha 2] | ± 5.9% | 35% | 17% | 21% | 5% | 17% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Matt Rosendale (incumbent) | 121,979 | 56.56% | |
Independent | Gary Buchanan | 47,195 | 21.88% | |
Democratic | Penny Ronning | 43,480 | 20.16% | |
Libertarian | Sam Rankin | 3,018 | 1.40% | |
Total votes | 215,672 | 100.00% | ||
Republican hold |
Source[44]
Matt Rosendale Republican |
Gary Buchanan Independent |
Penny Ronning Democratic |
Sam Rankin Libertarian |
Margin | Total | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
Big Horn | 1,476 | 45.47% | 505 | 15.56% | 1,214 | 37.40% | 51 | 1.57% | 262 | 8.07% | 3,246 |
Blaine | 1,040 | 56.06% | 208 | 11.21% | 587 | 31.64% | 20 | 1.08% | 453 | 24.42% | 1,855 |
Broadwater | 2,417 | 70.47% | 559 | 16.30% | 399 | 11.63% | 55 | 1.60% | 1,858 | 54.17% | 3,430 |
Carbon | 3,294 | 56.47% | 1,420 | 24.34% | 1,030 | 17.66% | 89 | 1.53% | 1,874 | 32.13% | 5,833 |
Carter | 663 | 87.35% | 46 | 6.06% | 37 | 4.87% | 13 | 1.71% | 617 | 81.29% | 759 |
Cascade | 15,634 | 53.76% | 6,397 | 22.00% | 6,638 | 22.83% | 410 | 1.41% | 8,996 | 30.94% | 29,079 |
Chouteau | 1,463 | 63.89% | 390 | 17.03% | 395 | 17.25% | 42 | 1.83% | 1,068 | 46.64% | 2,290 |
Custer | 2,959 | 64.88% | 684 | 15.00% | 848 | 18.59% | 70 | 1.53% | 2,111 | 46.28% | 4,561 |
Daniels | 601 | 78.98% | 68 | 8.94% | 80 | 10.51% | 12 | 1.58% | 521 | 68.46% | 761 |
Dawson | 2,583 | 72.68% | 425 | 11.96% | 524 | 14.74% | 22 | 0.62% | 2,059 | 57.93% | 3,554 |
Fallon | 1,053 | 84.85% | 87 | 7.01% | 94 | 7.57% | 7 | 0.56% | 959 | 77.28% | 1,241 |
Fergus | 3,808 | 70.19% | 927 | 17.09% | 619 | 11.41% | 71 | 1.31% | 2,881 | 53.11% | 5,425 |
Garfield | 586 | 89.06% | 46 | 6.99% | 18 | 2.74% | 8 | 1.22% | 540 | 82.07% | 658 |
Golden Valley | 348 | 78.03% | 53 | 11.88% | 37 | 8.30% | 8 | 1.79% | 295 | 66.14% | 446 |
Hill | 2,703 | 52.58% | 871 | 16.94% | 1,463 | 28.46% | 104 | 2.02% | 1,240 | 24.12% | 5,141 |
Jefferson | 3,752 | 57.91% | 1,615 | 24.93% | 1,031 | 15.91% | 81 | 1.25% | 2,137 | 32.98% | 6,479 |
Judith Basin | 784 | 71.66% | 170 | 15.54% | 127 | 11.61% | 13 | 1.19% | 614 | 56.12% | 1,094 |
Lewis and Clark | 14,237 | 42.72% | 11,201 | 33.61% | 7,422 | 22.27% | 463 | 1.39% | 3,036 | 9.11% | 33,323 |
Liberty | 660 | 71.97% | 134 | 14.61% | 117 | 12.76% | 6 | 0.65% | 526 | 57.36% | 917 |
McCone | 770 | 83.06% | 59 | 6.36% | 92 | 9.92% | 6 | 0.65% | 678 | 73.14% | 927 |
Meagher | 628 | 68.78% | 176 | 19.28% | 89 | 9.75% | 20 | 2.19% | 452 | 49.51% | 913 |
Musselshell | 1,793 | 79.37% | 256 | 11.33% | 183 | 8.10% | 27 | 1.20% | 1,537 | 68.04% | 2,259 |
Park | 4,236 | 46.98% | 2,146 | 23.80% | 2,487 | 27.58% | 148 | 1.64% | 1,749 | 19.40% | 9,017 |
Petroleum | 235 | 81.31% | 39 | 13.49% | 13 | 4.50% | 2 | 0.69% | 196 | 67.82% | 289 |
Phillips | 1,376 | 78.40% | 159 | 9.06% | 203 | 11.57% | 17 | 0.97% | 1,173 | 66.84% | 1,755 |
Pondera | 1,081 | 67.31% | 282 | 17.56% | 215 | 13.39% | 28 | 1.74% | 799 | 49.75 | 1,606 |
Powder River | 724 | 80.53% | 108 | 12.01% | 62 | 6.90% | 5 | 0.56% | 616 | 68.52% | 899 |
Prairie | 467 | 76.68% | 62 | 10.18% | 72 | 11.82% | 8 | 1.31% | 395 | 64.86% | 609 |
Richland | 2,941 | 78.34% | 234 | 6.23% | 530 | 14.12% | 49 | 1.31% | 2,411 | 64.22% | 3,754 |
Roosevelt | 1,396 | 54.15% | 166 | 6.44% | 969 | 37.59% | 47 | 1.82% | 427 | 16.56% | 2,578 |
Rosebud | 1,747 | 64.56% | 413 | 15.26% | 516 | 19.07% | 30 | 1.11% | 1,231 | 45.49% | 2,706 |
Sheridan | 1,097 | 68.09% | 130 | 8.07% | 353 | 21.91% | 31 | 1.92% | 744 | 46.18% | 1,611 |
Stillwater | 3,214 | 70.98% | 768 | 16.96% | 488 | 10.78% | 58 | 1.28% | 2,446 | 54.02% | 4,528 |
Sweet Grass | 1,276 | 68.57% | 362 | 19.45% | 205 | 11.02% | 18 | 0.97% | 914 | 49.11% | 1,861 |
Teton | 1,917 | 65.88% | 485 | 16.67% | 479 | 16.46% | 29 | 1.00% | 1,432 | 49.21% | 2,910 |
Toole | 1,212 | 73.14% | 222 | 13.40% | 194 | 11.71% | 29 | 1.75% | 990 | 59.75% | 1,657 |
Treasure | 307 | 72.75% | 91 | 21.56% | 22 | 5.21% | 2 | 0.47% | 216 | 51.18% | 422 |
Valley | 2,217 | 68.85% | 429 | 13.32% | 512 | 15.90% | 62 | 1.93% | 1,705 | 52.95% | 3,220 |
Wheatland | 576 | 68.49% | 168 | 19.98% | 84 | 9.99% | 13 | 1.55% | 408 | 48.51% | 841 |
Wibaux | 357 | 81.32% | 45 | 10.25% | 33 | 7.52% | 4 | 0.91% | 312 | 71.07% | 439 |
Yellowstone | 32,351 | 53.23% | 14,589 | 24.00% | 12,999 | 21.39% | 840 | 1.38% | 17,762 | 29.22% | 60,779 |
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