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The 2019 Louisiana gubernatorial election was held to elect the governor of Louisiana. Incumbent Democratic governor John Bel Edwards won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican businessman Eddie Rispone. Edwards became the first Democratic governor of Louisiana to win re-election to a second consecutive term in 44 years since Edwin Edwards (no relation) in 1975. It was the closest Louisiana gubernatorial election since 1979.
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Turnout | 45.9% (first round) 51.0% (runoff) | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Edwards: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Rispone: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Abraham: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Landrieu: 50–60% Tie: 30–40% 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Under Louisiana's jungle primary system, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party, and voters may vote for any candidate regardless of their party affiliation. Because no candidate received an absolute majority of the vote during the primary election on October 12, 2019, a runoff election was held on November 16, 2019, between the top two candidates in the primary, Edwards and Rispone.[1] Louisiana is the only state that has a jungle primary system (California and Washington have a similar top two primary system).
As of 2024, this remains the last time that a Democrat has won a statewide election in Louisiana.
On Edwards’ Inauguration Day in 2016, State House Republicans, in a break with tradition, elected their own speaker, Representative Taylor Barras of New Iberia, over Edwards' choice, Representative Walt Leger of New Orleans. This move was said to be orchestrated by House Republican chairman Lance Harris, who was considered a potential gubernatorial 2019 candidate and was a frequent Edwards critic.[2] Edwards and Republican Legislative leaders repeatedly clashed over budget, tax and spending measures.
Attorney General Jeff Landry was perhaps Edwards' most prominent detractor, filing multiple lawsuits against the governor and frequently criticizing him in the media. The two disagreed the most on social policies, such as Landry's staunch opposition to Edwards' executive order providing protections for LGBT workers of state government and contractors.[3] Landry also assumed the leadership of David Vitter's Political Action Committee, the Louisiana Committee for a Republican Majority,[4] the organisation that was widely considered instrumental to Clay Higgins' upset Congressional victory over Scott Angelle in 2016.[5] Landry has closely aligned with President Donald Trump and attended Trump's 2017 State of the Union speech.[6]
Edwards also become a favorite target of U.S. representative Garret Graves, a Republican from Baton Rouge and former aide to Governor Bobby Jindal. Graves frequently criticized the governor during the state's response to the 2016 August floods in the state. The two notably sparred during a hearing of the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, of which Graves is a member. Edwards' aides called the exchange a "political ambush" while Graves accused the governor of lying.[7] Graves was also closely aligned with the Trump Administration and donated $300 to the Trump Inaugural fund.[8] Graves also accompanied Vice President Mike Pence during a visit to parts of the Baton Rouge area in May 2017.[9]
As the only Democratic governor in the Deep South, Edwards and his agenda also been the target of numerous attacks from numerous groups affiliated with the national Republican Party such as America Rising and Americans for Prosperity.[10] Edwards, declared himself to be unbothered by these groups, and went on to classify them as "a Washington, D.C., political action committee, trying to bring the never-ending campaign cycle to Louisiana."[10]
Aware of their gubernatorial ambitions, Edwards and his aides repeatedly spoofed both U.S. senator John Neely Kennedy and Landry during their traditional response skits at Baton Rouge's Gridiron Show.[11]
According to fundraising reports filed in 2016, Edwards had raised close to $3.3 million for his 2019 re-election effort.[12][13] By comparison, Landry had $544,000 on hand for a potential future campaign.[13] Graves and Kennedy had yet to form separate entities for statewide campaigns per Louisiana Law.
In the summer of 2017, Lieutenant Governor Billy Nungesser announced that he would not be a candidate for governor in 2019, and had decided to run for re-election. Nungesser said that he had disclosed his plans to run for re-election to then Governor-elect John Bel Edwards during his transition period. During the fall of 2017, U.S. representative Ralph Abraham was reported to be running polls and assembling a staff to enter the race.
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
John Bel Edwards (D) |
Ralph Abraham (R) |
Eddie Rispone (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Market Research Insight | October 8–10, 2019 | 600 (V) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 17% | 22% | – | 8% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 8–10, 2019 | 1,070 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 23% | 25% | 4% | – |
Data for Progress (D) | October 4–10, 2019 | 1,525 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 22% | 26% | 3%[lower-alpha 2] | – |
Spry Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 1] | October 8–9, 2019 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 39% | 26% | 25% | – | 10% |
JMC Analytics (R) | October 5–8, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 20% | 21% | 6%[lower-alpha 3] | 8% |
Remington (R) Archived October 9, 2019, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | October 7, 2019 | – | – | 42% | 22% | 22% | – | 7% |
Causeway Solutions (R) Archived October 9, 2019, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | October 7, 2019 | – | – | 46% | 23% | 20% | – | 11% |
Emerson College | October 4–7, 2019 | 467 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 19% | 25% | 8%[lower-alpha 4] | – |
Market Research Insight | October 1–7, 2019 | 600 (V) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 19% | 19% | 0% | 11% |
JMC Analytics (R) | October 3–5, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 19% | 22% | 4%[lower-alpha 5] | 8% |
Mason-Dixon | October 1–4, 2019 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 17% | 22% | 6%[lower-alpha 6] | 10% |
We Ask America (R) | September 24–26, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.99% | 47% | 17% | 23% | 2%[lower-alpha 7] | 11% |
Remington (R) Archived September 26, 2019, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | September 25, 2019 | 1,040 | ± 2.9% | 47% | 22% | 20% | 3%[lower-alpha 8] | 8% |
JMC Analytics (R) | September 19–21, 2019 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 18% | 21% | 4%[lower-alpha 9] | 12% |
JMC Analytics (R) | September 14–17, 2019 | – | ± 3.8% | 41% | 24% | 16% | 4%[lower-alpha 10] | 16% |
Remington (R) Archived September 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | September 10–11, 2019 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 27% | 19% | 3%[lower-alpha 11] | 6% |
Southern Media & Opinion Research[upper-alpha 3] | September 3–6, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 24% | 16% | 0% | 13% |
Market Research Insight | August 13–16, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 25% | 19% | 4% | 0% |
Multi-Quest | July 19–21, 2019 | 601 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 35% | 6% | 5%[lower-alpha 12] | 10% |
Remington (R) Archived June 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | June 1–2, 2019 | 1,471 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 34% | 8% | – | 16% |
JMC Analytics (R) | April 25–29, 2019 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 23% | 7% | – | 32% |
Market Research Insight | April 9–11, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 17% | 5% | – | 32% |
Remington (R) Archived March 26, 2019, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | March 13–14, 2019 | 1,464 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 44% | 33% | 10% | – | 13% |
LJR Custom Strategies (D)[upper-alpha 4] | January 14–27, 2019 | 600 (LV) | – | 45% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 32% |
Remington (R)[upper-alpha 2] | December 11–12, 2018 | 1,680 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 31% | 9% | – | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
John Bel Edwards (D) |
Ralph Abraham (R) |
John Kennedy (R) |
Jeff Landry (R) |
Eddie Rispone (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA (R)[upper-alpha 5] | October 15–21, 2018 | 605 (V) | ± 4.9% | 36% | 6% | 30% | 8% | 4% | 18% |
35% | – | 38% | – | 5% | 21% | ||||
Remington (R) | September 11–12, 2018 | 1,615 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 40% | 8% | 37% | – | 3% | 12% |
SurveyUSA (R)[upper-alpha 5] | June 19–22, 2018 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 35% | 8% | 35% | – | – | 22% |
According to the Louisiana Secretary of State more than 384,000[67] early votes were cast, a significant increase from the 2015 gubernatorial election in which 234,000[68] early votes were cast.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Bel Edwards (incumbent) | 625,970 | 46.59 | |
Republican | Eddie Rispone | 368,319 | 27.42 | |
Republican | Ralph Abraham | 317,149 | 23.61 | |
Democratic | Oscar Dantzler | 10,993 | 0.82 | |
Republican | Patrick Landry | 10,966 | 0.82 | |
Independent | Gary Landrieu | 10,084 | 0.75 | |
Total votes | 1,343,481 | 100 |
Dates | Location | John Bel Edwards | Eddie Rispone | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 30, 2019 | Louisiana Public Broadcasting | Participant | Participant | |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[70] | Tossup | October 15, 2019 |
Inside Elections[71] | Tossup | November 8, 2019 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[72] | Lean D | November 14, 2019 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
John Bel Edwards (D) |
Eddie Rispone (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) | November 13–15, 2019 | 1,107 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 51% | 0% |
Data for Progress | October 29 – November 14, 2019 | 1,434 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 50.2% | 49.8% | 0% |
JMC Analytics (R) | November 12–13, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Targoz Market Research | November 7–13, 2019 | 640 (LV) | – | 50%[lower-alpha 13] | 46% | 4% |
Edgwater Research/My People Vote | November 11, 2019 | 661 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
Cygnal (R) | November 7–9, 2019 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. Archived November 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | November 5–7, 2019 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
Edgewater Research/My People Vote Archived October 30, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | October 28, 2019 | 722 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
JMC Analytics (R) | October 24–26, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 4% |
We Ask America (R) | October 14–16, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Spry Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 1] | October 8–9, 2019 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
JMC Analytics (R) | October 5–8, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 39% | 13% |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. | October 1–4, 2019 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 6] | September 30 – October 3, 2019 | 900 (LV) | – | 52% | 36% | – |
Remington (R) Archived September 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | September 10–11, 2019 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
Market Research Insight | August 13–16, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 45% | 0% |
Multi-Quest | July 19–21, 2019 | 601 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 29% | 22% |
Remington (R) Archived June 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | June 1–2, 2019 | 1,471 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
JMC Analytics (R) | April 25–29, 2019 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 28% | 31% |
Market Research Insight | April 9–11, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 23% | 30% |
Remington (R) Archived March 26, 2019, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | March 13–14, 2019 | 1,464 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
LJR Custom Strategies (D)[upper-alpha 4] | January 14–27, 2019 | 600 (LV) | – | 47% | 19% | – |
Remington (R)[upper-alpha 2] | December 11–12, 2018 | 1,680 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 46% | 39% | 15% |
SurveyUSA (R)[upper-alpha 5] | October 15–21, 2018 | 605 (V) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 33% | 19% |
Remington (R) | September 11–12, 2018 | 1,615 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 52% | 29% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
John Bel Edwards (D) |
Ralph Abraham (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spry Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 1] | October 8–9, 2019 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
JMC Analytics (R) | October 5–8, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 37% | 16% |
Mason-Dixon | October 1–4, 2019 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 38% | 9% |
Remington (R) Archived September 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | September 10–11, 2019 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Market Research Insight | August 13–16, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 47% | 0% |
Multi-Quest | July 19–21, 2019 | 601 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 11% |
Remington (R) Archived June 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | June 1–2, 2019 | 1,471 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
JMC Analytics (R) | April 25–29, 2019 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 36% | 24% |
Market Research Insight | April 9–11, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 28% | 27% |
Remington (R) Archived March 26, 2019, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | March 13–14, 2019 | 1,464 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
LJR Custom Strategies (D)[upper-alpha 4] | January 14–27, 2019 | 600 (LV) | – | 47% | 27% | – |
Remington (R)[upper-alpha 2] | December 11–12, 2018 | 1,680 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
SurveyUSA (R)[upper-alpha 5] | October 15–21, 2018 | 605 (V) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 37% | 18% |
Remington (R) | September 11–12, 2018 | 1,615 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 35% | 17% |
Mason-Dixon | February 20–22, 2018 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 28% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
John Bel Edwards (D) |
John Kennedy (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Southern Media & Opinion Research Archived March 6, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | November 16–21, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
SurveyUSA (R)[upper-alpha 5] | October 15–21, 2018 | 605 (V) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 48% | 14% |
Remington (R) | September 11–12, 2018 | 1,615 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
SurveyUSA (R)[upper-alpha 5] | June 19–22, 2018 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 37% | 51% | – |
Mason-Dixon | February 20–22, 2018 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
John Bel Edwards (D) |
Jeff Landry (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA (R)[upper-alpha 5] | October 15–21, 2018 | 605 (V) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 39% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
John Bel Edwards (D) |
Steve Scalise (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Market Research Insight | April 9–11, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 26% | 29% |
Mason-Dixon | February 20–22, 2018 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
John Bel Edwards (D) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group/Abraham for Governor[upper-alpha 7] | June 1–2, 2019 | 1,471 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 48%[lower-alpha 14] | 10% |
Market Research Insight | Apr 9–11, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 36% | 42% | 22% |
SurveyUSA (R)[upper-alpha 5] | June 19–22, 2018 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 35% | – | 65%[lower-alpha 15] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Bel Edwards (incumbent) | 774,498 | 51.33% | −4.78% | |
Republican | Eddie Rispone | 734,286 | 48.67% | +4.78% | |
Total votes | 1,508,784 | 100% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Despite losing the state, Rispone won 5 of the 6 congressional districts.[74]
District | Bel Edwards | Rispone | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 45% | 55% | Steve Scalise |
2nd | 84% | 16% | Cedric Richmond |
3rd | 40% | 60% | Clay Higgins |
4th | 45% | 55% | Mike Johnson |
5th | 45% | 55% | Ralph Abraham |
6th | 49% | 51% | Garret Graves |
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