小格雷厄姆·蒂利特·艾利森（英语：Graham Tillett Allison, Jr.，1940年3月23日—）为美国哈佛约翰·F·肯尼迪政府学院教授、首任院长，政治学者、外交政策分析家与国际关系理论家，提出“修昔底德陷阱”一词。[1]曾担任美国总统隆纳·雷根国防特别顾问，之后于美国总统比尔·克林顿任内担任国防计划助理部长[2]。
论述
其2010年后提出的词汇“修昔底德陷阱”广为世界所知，指一个新崛起的大国必然要挑战现存大国，而现存大国也必然来回应这种威胁，这样战争变得不可避免。这一概念来自修昔底德（《伯罗奔尼撒战争史》的作者）的名言：“伯罗奔尼撒战争的无可避免，肇因于斯巴达对雅典崛起的恐惧。”[3]他认为中美关系可能正在面对这一阶段。
著作
- 1969: "Conceptual Models and the Cuban Missile Crisis". American Political Science Review. 63(3): 689-718.
- 1971: Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. Little, Brown.
- 1972: "Bureaucratic Politics: A Paradigm and Some Policy Implications." World Politics. 24:40-79 (with Morton H. Halperin).
- 1976: Remaking Foreign Policy: The Organizational Connection. Basic Books (with Peter Szanton).
- 1983: Sharing International Responsibility Among the Trilateral Countries. Trilateral Commission (with Nobuhiko Ushiba and Thierry de Montbrial).
- 1985: Hawks, Doves and Owls: An Agenda for Avoiding Nuclear War. W.W. Norton. (edited with Albert Carnesale and Joseph Nye Jr).
- 1989: Windows of Opportunity: From Cold War to Peaceful Competition. Ballinger (edited with William Ury).
- 1992: Rethinking America's Security: Beyond Cold War to New World Order. W.W. Norton (edited with Gregory Treverton).
- 1996: Avoiding Nuclear Anarchy: Containing the Threat of Loose Russian Nuclear Weapons and Fissile Material. MIT Press.
- 2004: Nuclear Terrorism: The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe. Henry Holt.
- 2013: Lee Kuan Yew: The Grand Master's Insights on China, the United States, and the World. MIT Press (with Robert D. Blackwill, Ali Wyne, and a foreword by Henry A. Kissinger).
- 2017: Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?. Houghton Mifflin Harcourt.
参见
参考文献
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