2016年冰岛议会选举于2016年10月29日举行,由于较早时发生的2016年冰岛反政府示威而令执政联盟宣布提前举行大选[2][3]。
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全体议会全部63席 获得过半多数需32个席位 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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选举制度
冰岛议会63个议席采用封闭式名单比例代表制在多议席选区选出8至13个席位[4],当中54席采选区选举的结果并使用汉狄法确定;余下9席则分配予全国总得票率达到5%选举门槛的政党,以使其所得议席总数更接近其全国得票率[4]。
背景
2016年4月巴拿马文件揭露莫萨克·冯赛卡律师行一批机密文件,其中包括总理西格蒙杜尔·戴维·贡劳格松和他的妻子的金融交易,使在野党要求提前大选[5]并提出不信任动议;同时有大规模抗议要求总理辞职。虽然西格蒙杜尔·戴维曾表示不会辞职,但最终于4月5日下台,然而总理办公室之后表示他只是暂时离开职务[6][7][5][8][9],西于聚尔·英伊·约翰森同日成为代理总理[9]。
总统奥拉维尔·拉格纳·格里姆松其后表示考虑是否举行新的选举前执政联盟的独立党及进步党沟通[10],而在野党继续争取提前大选[8]。4月6日,西于聚尔宣布“我们准备在秋季举行选举。”[11];到8月11日,布亚尼·本尼迪克特松与在野党会面,之候宣布选举在2016年10月29日举行[3]。
民意调查
研究所 | 日期 | 左翼-绿色运动 (VG) |
联盟-冰岛社会民主党 (SJÍ) |
海盗党 (PP) |
明亮未来 (BF) |
进步党 (FSF) |
独立党 (S) |
改革党(V) | 其他 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/10/28 | 16.5% | 7.4% | 17.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 27.0% | 8.8% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/10/28 | 16.2% | 6.1% | 20.5% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 24.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
Háskóli Íslands(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/10/27 | 16.8% | 5.7% | 21.2% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 22.5% | 11.4% | 5.5% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/10/27 | 16.4% | 5.7% | 18.4% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 27.3% | 10.5% | 5.5% |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/10/26 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 19.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 21.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/10/26 | 16.4% | 6.0% | 20.3% | 5.1% | 11.2% | 25.1% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
Háskóli Íslands(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/10/21 | 18.6% | 6.5% | 22.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 21.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/10/18 | 19.2% | 6.5% | 20.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 23.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/10/14 | 14.5% | 9.0% | 19.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 21.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% |
Háskóli Íslands(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/10/14 | 17.7% | 6.9% | 17.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 21.5% | 11.4% | 8.7% |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/10/14 | 14.5% | 7.1% | 18.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 22.6% | 12.4% | 7.6% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/10/12 | 15.1% | 7.3% | 22.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 22.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/10/5 | 12.6% | 8.8% | 19.2% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 25.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/9/30 | 15.6% | 8.5% | 20.6% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 23.7% | 13.4% | 5.4% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/9/28 | 12.9% | 5.9% | 19.9% | 3.6% | 12.6% | 34.6% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/9/26 | 11.5% | 9.3% | 21.6% | 4.9% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 12.3% | 6.7% |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/9/22 | 13.2% | 8.1% | 22.7% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 22.7% | 11.5% | 6.7% |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/9/16 | 13.5% | 8.8% | 23.1% | 2.9% | 9.4% | 25.5% | 12.2% | 4.6% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/9/8 | 12.7% | 7.5% | 29.5% | 2.0% | 10.7% | 28.2% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/9/6 | 16.2% | 8.3% | 25.8% | 2.9% | 9.0% | 26.3% | 10.6% | 0.9% |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/8/30 | 12.4% | 9.1% | 22.4% | 4.5% | 10.6% | 24.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/7/29 | 16.8% | 8.0% | 25.3% | 4.2% | 9.9% | 26.2% | 9.0% | 0.6% |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/7/25 | 12.9% | 8.4% | 26.8% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 24.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/7/7 | 18.0% | 10.9% | 24.3% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 25.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/6/29 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 27.9% | 3.4% | 10.0% | 25.1% | 9.4% | 0.8% |
Háskóli Íslands(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/6/24 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 28.0% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 19.7% | 9.7% | 2.6% |
Háskóli Íslands(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/6/14 | 15.9% | 7.6% | 29.9% | 2.9% | 11.1% | 22.7% | 9.1% | 0.8% |
Háskóli Íslands(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/6/4 | 16.5% | 7.2% | 28.3% | 3.8% | 11.8% | 23.9% | 7.9% | 0.6% |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/6/1 | 16.8% | 7.7% | 27.4% | 4.0% | 10.2% | 28.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/5/27 | 18.1% | 6.1% | 28.7% | 2.5% | 7.3% | 31.5% | 5.8% | |
Háskóli Íslands(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/5/17 | 18.9% | 8.9% | 25.8% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 28.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/5/13 | 15.8% | 7.5% | 31.0% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 26.3% | 2.5% | |
Fréttablaðið(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/5/12 | 19.8% | 7.4% | 30.3% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 31.1% | 1.8% | |
Fréttablaðið(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/5/6 | 14.0% | 8.4% | 31.8% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 29.9% | 3.6% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/5/3 | 14.0% | 9.7% | 28.9% | 3.4% | 11.2% | 27.8% | 5.0% | |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/4/30 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 26.6% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 27.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/4/13 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 29.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 26.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
Háskóli Íslands(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/4/8 | 14.7% | 9.5% | 30.9% | 4.8% | 12.9% | 23.3% | 3.9% | |
Maskína(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/4/8 | 20.0% | 7.2% | 34.2% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 21.3% | 2.7% | |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/4/7 | 16.7% | 7.6% | 32.4% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 21.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/4/6 | 12.8% | 9.9% | 36.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 22.5% | 3.6% | |
Fréttablaðið(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/4/5 | 11.2% | 10.2% | 43.0% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 21.6% | 2.3% | |
Háskóli Íslands(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/4/5 | 14.9% | 8.1% | 39.4% | 4.4% | 10.0% | 18.8% | 4.4% | |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/3/31 | 11.0% | 9.5% | 36.1% | 3.2% | 12.0% | 23.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/3/18 | 9.3% | 9.2% | 38.3% | 4.2% | 12.4% | 22.9% | 3.4% | |
Fréttablaðið(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/3/9 | 8.4% | 8.2% | 38.1% | 1.8% | 12.8% | 27.6% | 3.1% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/3/2 | 7.8% | 7.8% | 37.0% | 4.2% | 12.8% | 23.4% | 7% | |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/3/2 | 10.8% | 9.7% | 35.9% | 3.3% | 11.0% | 23.7% | 5.6% | |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/2/2 | 10.8% | 9.2% | 35.3% | 3.6% | 12.0% | 24.4% | 4.7% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/2/2 | 11.0% | 9.4% | 35.6% | 4.4% | 12.2% | 21.1% | 5.9% | |
Fréttablaðið(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/1/30 | 9.6% | 9.9% | 41.8% | 1.6% | 10.2% | 23.2% | 3.7% | |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2016/1/2 | 10.2% | 10.4% | 33.1% | 4.2% | 12.0% | 25.2% | 4.9% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/12/18 | 11.4% | 12.9% | 34.9% | 5.3% | 11.5% | 20.6% | 3.4% | |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/12/4 | 11.4% | 10.1% | 32.9% | 3.9% | 12.0% | 24.8% | 4.9% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/11/16 | 9.9% | 10.5% | 35.3% | 4.6% | 10.8% | 23.7% | 5.2% | |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/11/4 | 11.1% | 10.6% | 35.5% | 4.6% | 9.6% | 24.6% | 4.4% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/10/21 | 11.8% | 11.3% | 34.2% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 21.7% | 4.1% | |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/10/2 | 10.6% | 10.1% | 34.6% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 24.4% | 4.6% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/9/3 | 9.6% | 10.6% | 33.0% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 25.3% | 4.3% | |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/9/1 | 11.8% | 9.3% | 35.9% | 4.4% | 11.1% | 21.7% | 5.8% | |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/8/7 | 8.9% | 12.2% | 32.3% | 5.0% | 12.4% | 24.0% | 5.2% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/8/4 | 10.2% | 9.6% | 35.0% | 4.4% | 12.2% | 23.1% | 5.5% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/6/30 | 12.0% | 9.3% | 33.2% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 23.8% | 5.5% | |
Rúv(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/6/29 | 10.3% | 11.4% | 32.0% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 24.5% | 4.1% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/6/25 | 10.5% | 11.6% | 32.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 23.3% | 5.4% | |
FBL(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/6/19 | 7.3% | 11.1% | 37.5% | 3.3% | 8.5% | 29.5% | 2.8% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/6/16 | 11.1% | 11.8% | 34.5% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 21.2% | 3.5% | |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/6/1 | 9.8% | 12.4% | 34.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 23.0% | 4.3% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/5/26 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 32.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 23.1% | 5.6% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/5/4 | 10.8% | 10.7% | 32.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 21.9% | 5.5% | |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/4/30 | 10.6% | 14.1% | 30.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 22.9% | 4.4% | |
Gallup(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/3/30 | 10.1% | 15.8% | 21.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 25.0% | 5.7% | |
Kjarninn(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/3/26 | 10.2% | 16.1% | 23.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 24.8% | 4.2% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/3/21 | 9.0% | 16.3% | 29.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 23.4% | 1.7% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/3/18 | 10.8% | 15.5% | 23.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 23.4% | 5.1% | |
Fréttablaðið (页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/3/11 | 10.4% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 28.0% | 4.3% | |
Rúv (页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/3/2 | 11.2% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 26.1% | 6.1% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2015/2/19 | 12.9% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 25.5% | 6.2% | |
Gallup | 2015/2/3 | 11.0% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 27.0% | 6.0% | |
MMR | 2015/1/14 | 11.9% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 9.4% | 27.3% | 5.8% | |
Mbl(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2014/12/16 | 11.6% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 29.0% | 4.7% | |
Fréttablaðið(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2014/11/17 | 13.1% | 19.2% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 32.9% | ||
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2014/11/4 | 10.7% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 12.3% | 23.6% | 7.4% | |
Gallup | 2014/10/3 | 13.0% | 19.0% | 7.0% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 27.0% | ||
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2014/9/8 | 10.4% | 16.9% | 9.2% | 17.8% | 11.3% | 28.2% | 6.2% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2014/8/28 | 9.6% | 20.3% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 9.6% | 26.6% | 6.0% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2014/7/31 | 11.6% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 19.2% | 11.8% | 24.1% | 6.7% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2014/6/24 | 11.4% | 16.5% | 8.3% | 21.8% | 11.4% | 25.0% | 5.6% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2014/5/13 | 11.6% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 19.4% | 12.3% | 22.1% | 8.6% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2014/5/2 | 11.7% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 25.1% | 7.2% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2014/4/14 | 11.5% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 23.9% | 7.0% | |
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2014/3/3 | 10.4% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 29.0% | 5.6% | |
RÚV(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2014/2/27 | 13.0% | 16.8% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 23.7% | 5.6% | |
Capacent(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2014/2/1 | 12.7% | 14.9% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 26.9% | ||
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2014/1/22 | 11.0% | 17.1% | 6.9% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 26.3% | 5.6% | |
Capacent(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2013/12/24 | 13.3% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 25.3% | ||
MMR(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) | 2013/11/30 | 12.6% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 26.8% | ||
2013结果 | 2013/4/28 | 10.87% | 12.85% | 5.10% | 8.25% | 24.43% | 26.70% | ||
研究所 | 日期 | 左翼-绿色运动 (VG) |
联盟-冰岛社会民主党 (SJÍ) |
海盗党 (PP) |
光明未来 (BF) |
进步党 (FSF) |
独立党 (S) |
改革党 (V) |
其他 |
选举结果
政党 | 票数 | % | 议席 | +/– | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
独立党 | 54,990 | 29.00 | 21 | +2 | |
左翼-绿色运动 | 30,166 | 15.91 | 10 | +3 | |
海盗党 | 27,449 | 14.48 | 10 | +7 | |
进步党 | 21,791 | 11.49 | 8 | –11 | |
改革党 | 19,870 | 10.48 | 7 | 新 | |
光明未来 | 13,578 | 7.16 | 4 | –2 | |
联盟-冰岛社会民主党 | 10,893 | 5.74 | 3 | –6 | |
人民党 | 6,707 | 3.54 | 0 | 新 | |
黎明 | 3,275 | 1.73 | 0 | 0 | |
冰岛人民阵线 | 575 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | |
冰岛民族阵线 | 303 | 0.16 | 0 | 新 | |
人文主义党 | 33 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | |
废票/白票 | 5,574 | – | – | – | |
总计 | 195,204 | 100 | 63 | 0 | |
注册选民/投票率 | 246,515 | 79.19 | – | – | |
来源:Iceland Monitor(页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) |
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