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The 2014 United States Senate election in Massachusetts was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Massachusetts, other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
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Markey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Herr: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey ran for re-election to a first full term in office.[1] Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014. Markey was unopposed for the Democratic nomination; Hopkinton Selectman Brian Herr was also unopposed for the Republican nomination.
Incumbent Democratic Senator John Kerry, serving since 1985, had planned to run for re-election to a sixth term, but on December 15, 2012, it was announced that the long-time Massachusetts senator and 2004 presidential nominee would be nominated as United States Secretary of State under President Barack Obama. Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick appointed Mo Cowan as a temporary replacement for Kerry, after he was confirmed as secretary of state and therefore resigned his senate seat. There was a special election on June 25, 2013, to finish the term, which was won by Ed Markey, the 37-year Democratic incumbent from Massachusetts's 5th congressional district.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[18] | Solid D | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[20] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[21] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Markey (D) |
Brian Herr (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[22] | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,846 | ± 4.9% | 61% | 34% | 2% | 3% |
| Boston Globe[23] | September 14–16, 2014 | 407 | ± 4.85% | 53% | 27% | — | 21% |
| Rasmussen Reports[24] | September 16–17, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 49% | 31% | 5% | 15% |
| WBUR/MassINC[25] | September 16–21, 2014 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 58% | 30% | 1% | 11% |
| WNEU[26] | September 20–28, 2014 | 416 LV | ± 5% | 56% | 34% | — | 10% |
| 536 RV | ± 4% | 52% | 34% | — | 14% | ||
| Suffolk University[27] | September 25–28, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 54% | 30% | — | 16% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[28] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 2,389 | ± 2% | 54% | 31% | 1% | 14% |
| WBUR/MassINC[29] | October 1–4, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 56% | 30% | 1% | 13% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[28] | October 16–23, 2014 | 2,218 | ± 3% | 54% | 32% | 0% | 14% |
| WBUR/MassINC[30] | October 22–25, 2014 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 57% | 32% | 1% | 9% |
| Umass Amherst[31] | October 20–27, 2014 | 591 LV | ± 4.4% | 53% | 37% | — | 9% |
| 800 RV | ± 3.8% | 52% | 32% | — | 15% | ||
| Suffolk University[32] | October 27–29, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 34% | — | 17% |
| WNEU[33] | October 21–30, 2014 | 430 LV | ± 5% | 54% | 34% | — | 12% |
| 522 RV | ± 4% | 53% | 31% | — | 17% | ||
| Public Policy Polling[34] | October 30 – November 2, 2014 | 887 | ± 3.3% | 52% | 38% | — | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Markey (D) |
Scott Brown (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MassInc[35] | July 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 38% | 2% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling[36] | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 46% | 45% | — | 9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Markey (D) |
Gabriel Gomez (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[36] | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 53% | 35% | — | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Markey (D) |
Richard Tisei (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[36] | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 54% | 27% | — | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Markey (D) |
Bill Weld (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[36] | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 47% | 41% | — | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Kerry (D) |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[38] | September 13–16, 2012 | 1,051 | ± 3.3% | 54% | 33% | — | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling[39] | October 9–11, 2012 | 1,051 | ± 3.0% | 53% | 32% | — | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling[40] | November 1–2, 2012 | 1,089 | ± 3.0% | 54% | 30% | — | 15% |
With Markey
With Kerry
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ed Markey (incumbent) | 1,289,944 | 61.87% | +7.07% | |
| Republican | Brian Herr | 791,950 | 37.98% | −6.62% | |
| Write-in | 3,078 | 0.15% | -0.06% | ||
| Total votes | 2,084,972 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Markey won all 9 congressional districts.[42]
| District | Herr | Markey | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 37.63% | 62.37% | Richard Neal |
| 2nd | 41.99% | 58.01% | Jim McGovern |
| 3rd | 42.04% | 57.96% | Niki Tsongas |
| 4th | 41.38% | 58.62% | Joe Kennedy III |
| 5th | 30.65% | 69.35% | Katherine Clark |
| 6th | 42.06% | 57.94% | John F. Tierney |
| 7th | 15.62% | 84.38% | Michael Capuano |
| 8th | 39.06% | 60.96% | Stephen Lynch |
| 9th | 44.54% | 55.46% | Bill Keating |
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