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From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Theodore Modis (born August 11, 1943) is a strategic business analyst, futurist, physicist, and international consultant. He specializes in applying fundamental scientific concepts to predicting social phenomena. In particular, he uses the law of natural growth in competition as expressed by the logistic function or S-curve to forecast markets, product sales, primary-energy substitutions, the diffusion of technologies, and generally any process that grows in competition.[1][2][3][4][5] He is a vehement critic of the concept of the Technological Singularity.[6][7][8][9][10] He has suggested a simple mathematical relationship between Entropy and Complexity as the latter being the time derivative of the former.[11]
Theodore Modis | |
---|---|
Born | |
Nationality | Greek, Swiss |
Alma mater | Anatolia College Columbia University |
Known for | Expertise in S-Curve Criticism of the Technological Singularity |
Scientific career | |
Fields | Physics, forecasting, business consulting |
Institutions | CERN University of Geneva Digital Equipment Corporation Growth Dynamics |
Academic advisors | Jack Steinberger |
He currently lives in Lugano, Switzerland.
He went to Columbia University, New York, where he received a master's degree in Electrical Engineering and a Ph.D. in High Energy Physics, (sponsor J. Steinberger). His secondary education was in Greece at Anatolia College in Thessaloniki, Greece.
Modis carried out research in particle physics at Brookhaven National Laboratories and CERN before moving to work at Digital Equipment Corporation for more than a decade as the head of a management science consultants group. He has on occasion taught at Columbia University, the University of Geneva, Webster University, the European business schools INSEAD and IMD, and was a professor at DUXX Graduate School of Business Leadership in Monterrey, Mexico between 1998 and 2001. He has been in the advisory board of the international journal Technological Forecasting & Social Change since 1991.[12] He is also the founder of Growth Dynamics,[13] a Swiss-based organization specializing in business strategy, strategic forecasting and management consulting.[14]
He has published about one hundred articles in scientific and in business journals, as well as ten books: Predictions, Conquering Uncertainty, An S-Shaped Trail to Wall Street (treating the New York Stock Exchange as an ecosystem), Predictions: 10 Years Later, Bestseller Driven, Natural Laws in the Service of the Decision Maker, Decision-Making for a New World, An S-shaped Adventure: "Predictions" 20 Years Later, Fortune Favors the Bold: A Woman’s Odyssey through a Turbulent Century,[15] and Science with Street Value: A Physicist's Wanderings off the Beaten Track.[16] His books have appeared in a number of other languages; Predictions has been translated into German, Japanese, and Greek, and Conquering Uncertainty has been translated into Chinese Long Form, Chinese Short Form, Greek, and Dutch. Fortune Favors the Bold: A Woman’s Odyssey through a Turbulent Century has been translated into Greek and published under the title ΘΕΟΔΟΣΙΑ.
He has created two applications for iPhone/iPad, The S_Curve and Biorhythm_Science. Together with Vasco Almeida they created applications that forecast stock prices like species by treating the stock market as an ecosystem: Stock Fcsts and 2Stock Fcsts[23] for the iPhone and Stocks' Futures and 2Stocks' Future[24] for the iPad.[25]
Modis is the father of Yorgo Modis, the grandson of Theodoros Modis,[26] and nephew of Georgios Modis.
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