Opinion polling for the next Spanish general election

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In the run up to the next Spanish general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 15th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 23 July 2023, to the present day.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Electoral polling

Summarize
Perspective

Nationwide polling

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 23 July 2023 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

2025
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE Vox Sumar ERC Junts EH Bildu PNV BNG CCa UPN Podemos SALF Lead
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[1] 12–18 Apr 1,142 ? 33.5
143
29.8
123
14.0
37
5.8
9
1.6
7
1.9
8
1.3
6
1.3
6
0.7
2
0.4
1
0.2
1
5.5
7
2.0
0
3.7
NC Report/La Razón[2] 14–17 Apr 1,000 65.5 34.3
146/148
28.6
118/120
14.1
40/42
5.4
8/9
1.6
6
1.8
8
1.4
6
1.2
6
0.7
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
4.4
4/5
5.7
Hamalgama Métrica/Vozpópuli[3] 9–15 Apr 1,000 ? 34.2
149
27.8
116
14.6
43
5.6
8
1.7
6
1.9
8
1.3
6
1.2
6
0.7
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
4.9
4
6.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[4] 4–15 Apr 1,819 ? 33.9
149
27.9
118
12.6
38
6.9
11
1.7
8
1.5
7
1.1
6
1.0
6
0.9
2
0.3
1
0.2
1
4.8
3
2.4
0
6.0
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[5] 5–10 Apr 2,401 ? 33.8
145
29.5
122
13.7
37
5.9
9
1.6
7
1.9
8
1.3
6
1.3
6
0.7
2
0.4
1
0.2
1
5.2
6
2.1
0
4.3
CIS (Logoslab)[a][6] 1–8 Apr 4,009 ? 29.5
128
30.5
130
15.0
49
6.8
9
4.5
5
1.9
0
1.0
CIS[7][8] ? 26.1 32.6 15.2 6.2 1.7 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.1 4.0 1.9 6.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[9] 30 Mar–4 Apr 1,817 ? 34.0
145
29.9
124
13.5
34
6.0
11
1.7
7
1.8
8
1.3
6
1.3
6
0.7
2
0.4
1
0.2
1
5.0
5
2.1
0
4.1
40dB/Prisa[10][11] 28–31 Mar 2,000 ? 32.6 29.5 14.1 5.1 3.3 2.7 3.1
Data10/OKDiario[12] 27–28 Mar 1,500 ? 35.3
155
28.6
115
13.9
38
5.5
6
?
7
1.6
7
1.4
7
?
4
6.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[13] 23–28 Mar 2,202 ? 33.3
145
29.0
120
13.9
36
6.2
12
1.8
7
2.0
8
1.4
7
1.3
6
0.8
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
4.7
5
2.0
0
4.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[14] 15–22 Mar 1,501 ? 33.5
145
28.5
119
14.0
37
6.6
13
1.8
7
1.9
8
1.3
6
1.3
6
0.7
2
0.4
1
0.2
1
4.7
5
2.1
0
5.0
SocioMétrica/El Español[15] 19–21 Mar 1,903 ? 34.0
147
28.3
115
13.9
42
6.5
9
1.7
7
2.1
8
1.3
6
1.2
6
1.0
2
0.3
1
0.2
1
4.2
4
2.2
0
5.7
Target Point/El Debate[16] 19–21 Mar 1,000 ? 33.1
141/143
30.2
124/125
14.1
42/43
5.5
8/9
4.3
3/5
2.0
0/1
3.2
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[17][18] 14–21 Mar 1,100 66.8 34.4
148
28.0
117
14.0
41
6.3
10
1.7
6
1.9
8
1.3
6
1.2
5
0.8
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
5.3
5
1.9
0
6.4
KeyData/Público[19] 20 Mar ? 67.8 33.6
146
28.2
118
14.0
42
6.4
10
1.7
7
1.8
8
1.4
6
1.1
5
0.7
2
?
1
?
1
4.5
4
2.1
0
5.4
DYM/Henneo[20] 12–16 Mar 1,001 ? 35.4
152/156
29.1
119/123
12.0
30/33
6.3
9/11
4.5
4/5
6.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[21] 8–14 Mar 1,732 ? 33.2
143
29.1
120
14.4
41
6.2
10
1.8
7
2.0
8
1.3
6
1.3
6
0.8
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
4.5
5
2.0
0
4.1
NC Report/La Razón[22] 3–7 Mar 1,500 65.4 34.1
145/147
28.5
117/119
14.5
43/44
5.8
9/10
1.6
6
1.8
8
1.4
6
1.2
5
0.8
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
4.7
5/6
5.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[23] 1–7 Mar 1,139 ? 33.0
141
28.5
119
14.8
41
6.6
13
1.8
7
2.0
8
1.3
6
1.3
6
0.8
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
4.8
5
2.2
0
4.5
CIS[24][25] 28 Feb–7 Mar 4,018 ? 29.2 34.5 11.7 7.6 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.1 3.8 1.9 5.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[26] 24 Feb–7 Mar 2,832 ? 33.8
148
27.8
118
12.9
40
6.4
9
1.6
7
1.8
8
0.8
5
0.9
6
0.9
2
0.3
1
0.2
1
5.2
4
2.9
1
6.0
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[27] 3–6 Mar 1,000 ? 32.1
139/143
27.0
114/118
14.6
45/49
7.5
11/13
1.8
7/8
1.4
6/7
3.3
3/4
2.5
0/1
5.1
Hamalgama Métrica/Vozpópuli[28] 24–28 Feb 1,000 ? 34.3
148
27.5
114
14.7
44
6.1
10
1.7
6
1.8
8
1.3
6
1.0
5
0.7
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
5.0
5
1.8
0
6.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[29] 22–28 Feb 1,201 ? 32.5
138
28.8
118
15.5
46
6.5
12
1.7
7
1.9
8
1.3
6
1.3
6
0.7
2
0.4
1
0.2
1
4.9
5
2.1
0
3.7
40dB/Prisa[30][31] 21–24 Feb 2,000 ? 32.2 29.6 14.1 5.9 3.6 1.9 2.6
Target Point/El Debate[32] 19–21 Feb 1,007 ? 33.1
143/145
29.9
122/124
14.2
42/44
6.4
9/10
4.2
3/4
2.3
0/1
3.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[33] 15–21 Feb 1,973 ? 33.3
143
28.2
116
15.2
45
6.2
10
1.7
7
1.9
8
1.3
6
1.3
6
0.7
2
0.4
1
0.2
1
5.2
5
2.4
0
5.1
KeyData/Público[34] 20 Feb ? 67.6 33.9
147
28.0
117
14.2
42
6.1
9
1.6
6
1.8
8
1.4
6
1.3
6
0.7
2
?
1
?
1
4.7
5
1.9
0
5.9
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[35][36] 12–17 Feb 1,100 66.5 34.3
147
27.9
115
14.2
42
6.5
11
1.7
6
1.9
8
1.2
6
1.1
5
0.8
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
5.4
6
2.0
0
6.4
SocioMétrica/El Español[37] 12–14 Feb 1,812 ? 33.8
146
27.8
115
14.3
41
6.6
12
1.8
7
2.1
8
1.4
8
1.1
5
1.0
2
0.4
1
0.1
0
4.4
3
2.1
0
6.0
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[38] 8–13 Feb 2,039 ? 32.7
142
28.4
116
15.4
44
6.4
11
1.7
7
1.9
8
1.3
6
1.3
6
0.7
2
0.4
1
0.2
1
5.5
6
2.6
0
4.3
NC Report/La Razón[39] 4–7 Feb 1,000 65.2 34.8
149/151
27.9
114/116
14.3
41/43
5.6
8/9
1.6
6
1.8
8
1.5
6
1.1
5
0.8
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
4.7
5/6
6.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[40] 1–7 Feb 1,179 ? 32.5
139
29.1
121
15.0
43
6.0
10
1.7
7
2.0
8
1.3
6
1.3
6
0.8
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
5.2
5
2.9
1
3.4
KeyData/Público[41] 6 Feb ? 67.7 34.0
148
28.0
117
14.1
42
6.2
9
1.7
7
1.7
7
1.4
6
1.3
6
0.7
2
?
1
?
1
4.6
4
2.1
0
6.0
CIS (Logoslab)[a][42] 31 Jan–6 Feb 4,042 ? 31.0
135
30.8
128
14.5
45
6.4
8
4.3
3
1.7
0
0.2
CIS (SocioMétrica)[a][43] ? 33.5
141
29.1
124
14.2
43
6.2
8
1.6
7
1.5
6
1.0
6
0.8
3
1.5
6
0.4
1
0.1
0
4.6
5
1.8
0
4.4
CIS[44][45] ? 28.1 33.4 13.3 6.4 1.6 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 4.4 1.6 5.3
Hamalgama Métrica/Vozpópuli[46] 28–31 Jan 1,000 ? 34.5
150
27.8
114
14.3
43
5.9
9
1.7
6
1.8
8
1.3
6
1.1
5
0.7
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
4.9
5
1.7
0
6.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[47] 25–31 Jan 1,084 ? 32.0
137
28.9
120
15.6
46
5.8
9
1.6
7
1.9
8
1.4
7
1.3
6
0.8
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
5.1
6
2.7
0
3.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[48] 24–31 Jan 2,303 ? 33.7
148
27.6
118
13.1
42
6.4
9
1.7
7
1.7
7
0.9
5
1.0
6
1.0
2
0.4
1
0.2
1
4.7
3
3.2
1
6.1
40dB/Prisa[49][50] 24–27 Jan 2,000 ? 32.6 28.4 14.2 5.9 3.4 2.5 4.2
Target Point/El Debate[51] 22–24 Jan 1,001 ? 33.2
143/145
28.9
118/120
15.5
47/49
5.9
7/9
5.2
4/5
1.7
0
4.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[52] 18–24 Jan 1,133 ? 32.3
137
29.2
120
15.3
44
6.0
10
1.6
7
1.7
7
1.4
7
1.2
6
0.8
2
0.4
1
0.2
1
5.3
8
2.6
0
3.1
GAD3/ABC[53] 16–23 Jan 1,035 ? 34.9
151
27.3
109
14.2
44
6.9
11
1.9
7
1.7
8
1.4
7
1.1
6
0.6
2
0.4
1
4.0
4
2.1
0
7.6
DYM/Henneo[54] 16–20 Jan 1,014 ? 34.8
150/155
28.8
119/123
12.9
32/35
6.4
9/11
5.0
3/4
1.0
0
6.0
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[55] 11–17 Jan 1,133 ? 32.6
138
28.8
120
15.0
42
5.8
9
1.7
7
2.0
8
1.4
7
1.2
6
0.8
2
0.4
1
0.2
1
4.9
8
2.8
1
3.8
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[56][57] 7–11 Jan 1,100 66.3 34.1
147
28.1
116
14.3
42
6.2
10
1.7
6
1.9
8
1.3
6
1.1
5
0.8
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
5.1
6
2.1
0
6.0
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[58] 27 Dec–10 Jan 4,001 ? 32.4
139
28.7
118
15.2
43
5.6
8
1.7
7
2.0
8
1.4
7
1.2
6
0.8
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
4.8
10
2.7
0
3.7
CIS (Logoslab)[a][59] 2–9 Jan 4,024 ? 33.0
141
29.5
124
13.0
40
6.4
9
4.0
4
2.5
1
3.5
CIS (SocioMétrica)[a][60] ? 33.5
143
29.5
124
14.3
43
5.6
6
1.3
6
1.4
7
1.4
8
1.0
5
1.3
4
3.8
3
2.9
1
4.0
CIS[61][62] ? 29.7 31.8 12.4 6.5 1.9 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.4 0.1 0.1 3.9 2.4 2.1
Hamalgama Métrica/Vozpópuli[63] 31 Dec–3 Jan 1,000 ? 34.5
149
28.3
116
14.0
43
5.6
8
1.7
6
1.9
8
1.3
6
1.1
5
0.8
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
4.7
5
1.6
0
6.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[64] 27 Dec–3 Jan 1,068 ? 33.2
142
29.0
118
14.8
41
6.0
10
1.8
7
2.0
8
1.4
7
1.2
6
0.8
2
0.5
1
0.2
1
4.5
7
2.6
0
4.2
Close
2024
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Close
2023
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Close

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Close

Sub-national polling

Leadership polling

Notes

  1. Alternative projection based on raw CIS data.
  2. Within Sumar.

References

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