Opinion polling for the 2021 Moldovan parliamentary election
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This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2021 Moldovan parliamentary election.
Party vote
Summarize
Perspective
The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font. 51 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament.
(excluding Transnistria and diaspora voters) Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |  |
 |
PDM | ȘOR |  |
Others | Lead | Gov't seats | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
 |
 |
 |
 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 parliamentary election | 11 Jul 2021 | 1,467,205 | 27.2 32 |
52.8 63 |
2.3 0 |
1.8 0 |
5.7 6 |
4.1 0 |
5.5 0 |
25.6 31 |
– | |||||
| CBS-AXA / IPN-EEfD 22:00 UTC+3[1] | 11 Jul 2020 | 3,337 | 23.1 | 55.8 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 8.1 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 32.7 | — | |||||
| CBS-AXA / IPN-EEfD 21:00 UTC+3[2] | 11 Jul 2020 | 2,764 | 24.0 | 55.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 8.1 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 31.1 | — | |||||
| ASDM[3] | 21 Jun–2 Jul 2021 | 1,181 | 37.1 | 37.4 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 6.8 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 0.3 | — | |||||
| BOP[4] | 12–27 Jun 2021 | 1,161 | 32.5 34 |
43.5 55 |
3.5 0 |
1.7 0 |
7.8 12 |
5.9 0 |
3.2 0 |
11.0 0 |
46 | |||||
| CBS-AXA / IPN-EEfD[5] | 20–30 June 2021 | 1,201 | 30.5 | 50.9 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 20.5 | — | |||||
| ASDM[6] | 10–20 Jun 2021 | 1,167 | 36.7 | 38.5 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 6.9 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 1.8 | — | |||||
| CBS-AXA / IPN-EEfD[citation needed] | 12–19 June 2021 | 1,104 | 28.0 | 49.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 6.3 | 10.2 | 21.2 | — | |||||
| CBS-AXA / IPN-EEfD[7] | 2–8 Jun 2021 | 1,154 | 32.5 | 50.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 18.0 | — | |||||
| ASDM[8] | 24 May–5 Jun 2021 | 1,179 | 36.1 | 36.5 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 8.5 | 0.4 | — | |||||
| RDI[9] | 21–28 May 2021 | 1,206 | 35.4 | 37.6 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 8.7 | 4.2 | 5.4 | 2.2 | — | |||||
| iData[10] | 19–28 May 2021 | 1,227 | 33.4 | 39.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 10.1 | 4.9 | 7.8[a] | 5.7 | — | |||||
| ASDM[11] | 14–22 May 2021 | 1,185 | 35.8 | 37.0 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 9.3 | 1.2 | — | |||||
| 13 May 2021 | PSRM and PCRM form an electoral alliance.[12] | |||||||||||||||
| 28 Apr 2021 | President Maia Sandu dissolves parliament and calls early election. | |||||||||||||||
| ASDM[13] | 8–20 Apr 2021 | 1,187 | 37.6 44 |
1.8 0 |
39.7 46 |
3.2 0 |
— | 10.0 11 |
3.7 0 |
3.9 0 |
2.1 | 55 | ||||
| iData[14] | 20–31 Mar 2021 | 1,314 | 33.9 | 2.2 | 41.3 | 4.3 |
1.2 | 9.2 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 7.4 | — | ||||
| IMAS[15] | 9–23 Mar 2021 | 1,115 | 32.7 | 4.8 | 42.5 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 9.8 | — | ||||
| IRI[16] | 9 Feb–16 Mar 2021 | 2,001 | 24 | 4 | 42 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 18 | — | ||||
| iData[17] | 19–27 Feb 2021 | 1,252 | 32.7 36 |
1.4 0 |
43.1 48 |
5.2 6 |
0.7 0 |
10.0 11 |
3.3 0 |
3.7 0 |
10.4 12 |
47 | ||||
| ASDM[18] | 12–20 Feb 2021 | 1,191 | 32.7 | 3.9 | 36.0 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 9.7 | 7.4 | 3.5 | 3.3 | — | ||||
| Intellect[19] | 9–16 Feb 2021 | 1,103 | 31.8 35 |
2.5 0 |
35.4 39 |
3.4 0 |
5.4 6 |
8.9 10 |
9.9 11 |
2.7 0 |
3.6 4 |
45 | ||||
| BOP[20] | 28 Jan–14 Feb 2021 | 1,108 | 26.6 | 3.3 | 48.6 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 8.7 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 22.0 | — | ||||
| iData[21] | 15–31 Jan 2021 | 1,264 | 32.8 38 |
3.3 0 |
38.0 44 |
4.9 0 |
0.9 0 |
10.8 13 |
5.0 6 |
4.3 0 |
5.2 6 |
51 | ||||
| ASDM[22] | 8–23 Jan 2021 | 1,153 | 33.2 | 2.9 | 33.9 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 12.9 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 0.7 | — | ||||
| iData[23] | 11–14 Dec 2020 | 1,043 | 32.8 36 |
3.2 0 |
37.4 41 |
2.0 0 |
0.5 0 |
13.3 15 |
8.0 9 |
2.7 0 |
4.6 5 |
51 | ||||
| 15 Nov 2020 | PAS candidate Maia Sandu won the presidential election. | |||||||||||||||
| 7 Nov 2020 | PDM left the coalition. ȘOR starts to support the government. | |||||||||||||||
| iData[24] | 4–7 Nov 2020 | 1,070 | 35.7 40 |
1.7 0 |
32.1 36 |
2.0 0 |
1.9 0 |
10.0 11 |
12.2 14 |
4.4 0 |
3.6 4 |
40 | ||||
| ASDM[25][26] | 2–7 Nov 2020 | 1,177 | 41.5 | 2.2 | 23.1 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 10.7 | 10.4 | 2.7 | 18.4 | — | ||||
| 2020 Presidential election (Round 1) | 1 Nov 2020 | 1,348,707 | 32.6 | — | 36.2 | 3.3 | — | 6.5 | 16.9 | 4.6 | 3.6 | — | ||||
| FOP[27] | 17–24 Oct 2020 | 2,171 | 41.7 | 0.3 | 33.0 | 7.3 | 0.6 | 5.5 | 9.3 | 2.3 | 8.7 | — | ||||
| iData[28] | 14–24 Oct 2020 | 1,231 | 34.8 40 |
1.9 0 |
27.9 32 |
4.6 0 |
1.5 0 |
12.7 15 |
12.6 14 |
3.9 0 |
6.9 8 |
40 | ||||
| ASDM[29] | 11–20 Oct 2020 | 1,183 | 40.9 | 2.0 | 22.8 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 11.3 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 18.1 | — | ||||
| BOP[30] | 8–20 Oct 2020 | 1,200 | 35.0 | 1.3 | 29.6 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 9.7 | 16.1 | 4.7 | 5.4 | — | ||||
| CBS-AXA[31] | 10–17 Oct 2020 | 1,001 | 34.0 | 1.8 | 31.2 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 6.3 | 10.3 | 12.0 | 2.8 | — | ||||
| Intellect[32] | 2–9 Oct 2020 | 1,453 | 39.9 44 |
2.7 0 |
24.5 27 |
5.3 6 |
3.3 0 |
11.9 13 |
9.9 11 |
2.5 0 |
15.4 17 |
44 | ||||
| ASDM[33] | 26 Sep–8 Oct 2020 | 1,167 | 39.7 | 2.3 | 22.3 | 6.1 | 3.8 | 10.8 | 10.4 | 4.3 | 17.4 | — | ||||
| iData[34] | 30 Sep–5 Oct 2020 | 1,218 | 35.2 41 |
1.9 0 |
28.2 33 |
4.8 0 |
2.8 0 |
11.8 14 |
11.6 13 |
3.7 0 |
7.0 8 |
41 | ||||
| ASDM[35] | 6–22 Sep 2020 | 1,189 | 37.6 | 3.0 | 22.5 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 10.4 | 10.0 | 4.1 | 15.1 | — | ||||
| Intellect[36] | 24 Aug–2 Sep 2020 | 1,213 | 35.5 44 |
4.8 0 |
24.0 29 |
2.5 0 |
2.1 0 |
13.0 15 |
11.0 13 |
7.1 0 |
11.5 15 |
44 | ||||
| iData[37] | 25–27 Aug 2020 | 1,177 | 37.1 45 |
4.8 0 |
26.3 32 |
4.7 0 |
2.1 0 |
10.3 12 |
9.8 12 |
5.1 0 |
10.8 13 |
45 | ||||
| IRI[38] | 16 Jul–23 Aug 2020 | 2,017 | 29 | 5 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 1 | — | ||||
| ASDM[39] | 5–20 Aug 2020 | 1,191 | 39.3 | 4.3 | 26.8 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 8.4 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 12.5 | — | ||||
| Intellect[40] | 23–27 Jul 2020 | 1,072 | 30.4 37 |
7.2 9 |
22.6 27 |
4.4 0 |
3.9 0 |
13.4 16 |
10.1 12 |
8.1 0 |
7.8 10 |
37 | ||||
| iData[41] | 23–26 Jul 2020 | 1,214 | 36.9 43 |
2.7 0 |
30.5 36 |
5.4 6 |
5.3 6 |
8.5 10 |
4.8 0 |
5.9 0 |
6.4 7 |
49 | ||||
| ASDM[42] | 14–24 Jul 2020 | 921 | 43.5 | 3.6 | 27.9 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 15.6 | — | ||||
| Intellect[43] | 2–9 Jul 2020 | 1,172 | 33.9 36 |
7.1 7 |
27.8 29 |
5.5 6 |
3.6 0 |
11.0 12 |
10.1 11 |
1.2 0 |
6.0 7 |
36 | ||||
| iData[44] | 20 Jun–4 Jul 2020 | 1,511 | 35.3 | 2.2 | 30.4 | 8.3 | 3.8 | 9.3 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 4.9 | — | ||||
| ASDM[45] | 20–27 Jun 2020 | 1,127 | 48.7 | 2.0 | 26.9 | 7.0 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 21.8 | — | ||||
| IMAS[46] | 14–27 Jun 2020 | 1,105 | 35.7 | 5.6 | 25.6 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 11.6 | 7.7 | 5.5 | 10.1 | — | ||||
| BOP[47] | 13–23 Jun 2020 | 1,200 | 34.0 | 4.9 | 33.9 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 7.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 0.1 | — | ||||
| FOP[48][49] | 23–31 May 2020 | 1,767 | 46.3 55 |
1.7 0 |
30.9 37 |
7.5 9 |
3.0 0 |
3.1 0 |
4.6 0 |
2.7 0 |
15.4 18 |
55 | ||||
| CBS-AXA[50] | 5–11 May 2020 | 1,003 | 29.8 | 5.3 | 29.1 | 6.1 | 11.4 | 2.9 | 6.1 | 9.2 | 0.7 | — | ||||
| ASDM[51] | 1–7 May 2020 | 1,141 | 48.6 | 2.6 | 21.9 | 7.4 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 26.7 | — | ||||
| iData[52] | 26 Apr–4 May 2020 | 931 | 48.1 | 3.3 | 22.7 | 6.8 | 8.2 | 3.7 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 25.4 | — | ||||
| CBS-AXA[53] | 31 Mar–12 Apr 2020 | 1,004 | 41.6 52 |
6.8 6 |
21.2 26 |
5.0 6 |
7.8 10 |
4.5 0 |
2.8 0 |
9.6 0 |
25.4 26 |
62 | ||||
| iData[54] | 30 Mar–4 Apr 2020 | 1010 | 50.3 | 3.9 | 21.3 | 9.3 | 8.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 29.0 | — | ||||
| iData[55] | 13–15 Mar 2020 | 326 | 43.9 | 7.2 | 27.6 | 10.0 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 16.3 | — | ||||
| FOP[56] | 22 Feb–7 Mar 2020 | 1,798 | 47.6 | 2.0 | 28.7 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 19.9 | — | ||||
| IMAS[57] | 7–19 Feb 2020 | 905 | 42.1 | 5.4 | 27.9 | 2.0 | 9.3 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 14.2 | — | ||||
| ASDM[58] | 10–16 Feb 2020 | 1,173 | 45.1 | 4.7 | 19.7 | 5.6 | 11.8 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 25.4 | — | ||||
| Intellect[59][60] | 16–23 Jan 2020 | 1,134 | 40.6 51 |
3.4 0 |
27.9 36 |
4.1 0 |
10.7 11 |
4.8 0 |
3.5 0 |
5.0 0 |
8.6 15 |
62 | ||||
| ASDM[61] | 2–13 Jan 2020 | 1,189 | 44.0 | 5.8 | 21.4 | 6.3 | 10.0 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 22.6 | — | ||||
| BOP[62] | 7–23 Dec 2019 | 1,187 | 40.3 | 4.2 | 25.5 | 4.8 | 10.8 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 7.3 | 14.8 | — | ||||
| IMAS[63] | 2–14 Dec 2019 | 1,090 | 38.3 | 6.0 | 27.0 | 2.0 | 13.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 11.3 | — | ||||
| IRI[64] | 16 Nov–8 Dec 2019 | 1,204 | 38 | 4 | 27 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | — | ||||
| FOP[65] | 23–30 Nov 2019 | 1,201 | 48.0 | 2.6 | 30.0 | 6.4 | 7.0 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 18.0 | — | ||||
| 14 Nov 2019 | Chicu Cabinet is formed by PSRM and PDM. | |||||||||||||||
| 2019 local elections (Round 1) | 20 Oct 2019 | 1,173,834 | 27.1 | 3.8 | 23.5 | 16.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | — | 3.6 | — | |||||
| IMAS[66] | 7–22 Sep 2019 | 1,500 | 43.7 | 4.9 | 25.1 | 4.3 | 11.4 | 5.3 | — | 5.3 | 18.6 | — | ||||
| ASDM[67] | 11–20 Sep 2019 | 1,189 | 42.9 | 3.6 | 22.6 | 10.0 | 9.4 | 3.0 | 4.5 | — | 20.3 | — | ||||
| CBS-AXA[68][69] | 2–14 Aug 2019 | 1,106 | 41.9 50 |
3.7 0 |
27.3 33 |
8.7 10 |
6.7 8 |
4.6 0 |
3.0 0 |
4.3 0 |
14.6 17 |
93 | ||||
| iData[70] | 17–28 Jul 2019 | 1,825 | 41.9 48 |
3.4 0 |
29.3 34 |
8.2 10 |
8.1 9 |
3.0 0 |
1.6 0 |
4.5 0 |
12.6 14 |
92 | ||||
| ASDM[71] | 11–22 Jun 2019 | 1,191 | 44.7 | 3.3 | 34.1 | 7.6 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 10.6 | — | |||||
| iData[72] | 12–13 Jun 2019 | 720 | 39.8 | 2.8 | 32.7[b] | 11.3 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 7.1 | — | |||||
| 8 Jun 2019 | Sandu Cabinet is formed by PSRM and ACUM. | |||||||||||||||
| 7–15 Jun 2019 | 2019 Moldovan constitutional crisis | |||||||||||||||
| ASDM[73] | 1–10 May 2019 | 1,189 | 38.4 | 3.1 | 23.5 | 23.8 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 14.6 | – | |||||
| IMAS[74] | 17 Mar–5 Apr 2019 | 1,110 | 34.8 | 2.7 | 27.1 | 26.8 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 7.7 | – | |||||
| 2019 parliamentary election | 24 Feb 2019 | 1,416,359 | 31.2 35 |
3.8 0 |
26.9 26 |
23.6 30 |
8.3 7 |
3.0 0 |
3.4 0 |
4.3 5 |
– | |||||
- AUR 4.8%
References
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