Opinion polling for the 1997 United Kingdom general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Prior to the 1997 general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election to the election on 1 May 1997.

Most opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, since its 18 seats were not contested by the political parties standing for election in the rest of the United Kingdom.

Graphical summary

By the end of 1992 Labour had established a lead over the Conservatives which lasted until the 1997 election.

Thumb
  Labour
  Conservatives
  Liberal Democrats

Results

1997

More information Survey end date, Pollster/Client ...
Survey
end date
Pollster/Client Con Lab Lib Dem Lead
1 May 1997 general election 30.7% 43.2% 16.8% 12.5%
30 AprICM/Guardian33%43%18% 10%
30 AprGallup/Telegraph33%46%16% 13%
30 AprMORI/Evening Standard29%47%19% 18%
29 AprGallup/Telegraph31%51%13% 20%
29 AprHarris/Independent31%48%15% 17%
29 AprMORI/Times27%51%15% 24%
29 AprNOP/Reuters28%50%14% 22%
28 AprGallup/Channel 431%49%14% 18%
28 AprGallup/Telegraph29%51%13% 22%
27 AprGallup/Telegraph30%49%14% 19%
26 AprGallup/Sunday Telegraph31%48%13% 17%
25 AprGallup/Telegraph32%48%14% 16%
25 AprICM/Observer32%47%16% 15%
25 AprNOP/Sunday Times29%47%16% 18%
24 AprGallup/Telegraph32%48%12% 16%
24 AprMORI/Independent on Sunday29%53%12% 24%
23 AprGallup/Telegraph30%50%12% 20%
22 AprGallup/Channel 431%50%13% 19%
22 AprGallup/Telegraph30%51%12% 21%
22 AprMORI/Times27%48%17% 21%
21 AprGallup/Telegraph32%48%12% 16%
21 AprICM/Guardian37%42%14% 5%
20 AprGallup/Telegraph32%48%13% 16%
20 AprHarris/Independent30%48%15% 18%
19 AprGallup/Sunday Telegraph31%50%13% 19%
18 AprGallup/Telegraph32%50%13% 18%
18 AprICM/Observer31%48%15% 17%
18 AprNOP/Sunday Times29%47%17% 18%
17 AprGallup/Telegraph31%50%12% 19%
16 AprGallup/Telegraph31%50%11% 19%
15 AprGallup/Telegraph30%51%12% 21%
15 AprMORI/Times32%49%13% 17%
14 AprGallup/Telegraph32%49%14% 17%
14 AprHarris/Independent31%49%13% 18%
14 AprICM/Guardian31%45%19% 14%
14 AprMORI/Evening Standard29%50%15% 21%
13 AprGallup/Telegraph30%50%14% 20%
12 AprGallup/Sunday Telegraph31%50%13% 19%
12 AprGallup/Telegraph32%49%14% 17%
11 AprGallup/Telegraph32%52%11% 20%
11 AprICM/Observer32%48%15% 16%
11 AprNOP/Sunday Times28%49%16% 21%
10 AprGallup/Telegraph30%52%11% 22%
9 AprGallup/Telegraph29%53%12% 24%
8 AprGallup/Telegraph32%51%11% 19%
8 AprMORI/Times34%49%12% 15%
7 AprGallup/Telegraph33%53%10% 20%
7 AprHarris/Independent28%54%12% 26%
7 AprICM/Guardian34%46%15% 12%
6 AprGallup/Telegraph30%55%10% 25%
4 AprICM/Observer30%50%14% 20%
4 AprMORI/Independent on Sunday30%55%9% 25%
4 AprNOP/Reuters29%52%11% 23%
4 AprNOP/Sunday Times26%53%12% 27%
3 AprGallup/Channel 430%54%11% 24%
3 AprHarris/Central News29%55%11% 26%
1 AprMORI/Times28%55%11% 27%
31 MarHarris/Independent28%52%14% 24%
31 MarICM/Guardian32%46%17% 14%
28 MarGallup/Telegraph31%52%11% 21%
24 MarHarris/Independent28%56%10% 28%
24 MarMORI/Times29%50%14% 21%
21 MarGallup/Sunday Telegraph27%56%11% 29%
17 MarGallup/Telegraph28.5%56.5%9.5% 28%
17 MarHarris/Independent27%58%10% 31%
14 MarNOP/Reuters29%54%11% 25%
13 MarNOP/Sunday Times26%54%13% 28%
10 MarHarris/Independent26%53%14% 27%
9 MarORB/Ladbrokes26%56%12% 30%
4 MarGallup/Telegraph28%54%12.5% 26%
3 MarHarris/Independent30%55%10% 25%
2 MarICM/Guardian30%48%16% 18%
24 FebMORI/Times31%52%11% 21%
21 FebNOP/Reuters29%51%14% 22%
13 FebNOP/Sunday Times30%49%13% 19%
4 FebGallup/Telegraph34%49%12% 15%
2 FebICM/Guardian32%48%15% 16%
28 JanMORI/Times30%55%11% 25%
16 JanNOP/Sunday Times31%54%12% 23%
15 JanGallup/Telegraph32.5%50.5%10.5% 18%
5 JanICM/Guardian31%48%16% 17%
5 JanORB/Ladbrokes30%53%12% 23%
Close

1996

More information Survey end date, Pollster/Client ...
Survey
end date
Pollster/Client Con Lab Lib Dem Lead
14 DecICM/Observer30%50%14% 20%
9 DecMORI/Times30%51%13% 21%
2 DecGallup/Telegraph22%59%12% 37%
1 DecICM/Guardian31%50%15% 19%
29 NovMORI/Euro30%52%13% 22%
14 NovNOP/Sunday Times26%56%13% 30%
11 NovMORI/Times33%50%12% 17%
5 NovGallup/Telegraph28%55%11% 17%
2 NovICM/Guardian34%47%15% 13%
1 NovMORI/Mail on Sunday30%54%12% 24%
28 OctMORI/Times28%56%12% 18%
21 OctMORI27%54%12% 17%
17 OctNOP/Sunday Times33%47%14% 24%
14 OctMORI30%53%12% 23%
7 OctMORI29%54%13% 25%
5 OctICM/Guardian31%49%16% 18%
4 OctGallup/Telegraph24%57%15% 33%
3 OctNOP/Sunday Times25%57%13% 32%
1 OctGallup/Telegraph27.5%52%15% 24.5%
24 SepGallup/Telegraph27%54%13.5% 27%
23 SepMORI/Times29%52%14% 23%
19 SepNOP/Sunday Times31%50%14% 19%
9 SepMORI28%56%12% 28%
7 SepICM/Guardian32%47%16% 15%
3 SepGallup/Telegraph25.5%58.5%11% 33%
25 AugMORI/Times30%51%13% 27%
15 AugNOP/Sunday Times28%54%14% 26%
12 AugMORI30%52%13% 22%
5 AugGallup/Telegraph25%59%11% 34%
3 AugICM/Guardian33%45%19% 12%
28 JulMORI/Times29%53%12% 24%
25 JulNOP/Sunday Times29%51%16% 22%
6 JulICM/Guardian30%45%21% 15%
1 JulGallup/Telegraph26%54.5%14.5% 28.5%
1 JulMORI32%52%12% 20%
24 JunMORI/Times31%52%12% 21%
20 JunNOP/Sunday Times27%55%15% 28%
10 JunMORI27%56%13% 29%
6 JunICM/Guardian30%46%19% 16%
3 JunGallup/Telegraph22.5%57%16% 34.5%
2 JunICM/Guardian30%46%19% 16%
30 May 1996 Northern Ireland Forum election[1]
26 MayMORI/Times27%54%15% 27%
16 MayNOP/Sunday Times27%52%17% 25%
13 MayMORI27%56%13% 29%
6 MayGallup/Telegraph24.5%55.5%15.5% 31%
5 MayICM/Guardian28%45%21% 17%
3 MayICM/Sunday Express26%52%15% 26%
2 May 1996 local elections[2]
27 AprMORI/Sun29%54%13% 25%
25 AprNOP/Sunday Times28%52%16% 24%
22 AprMORI/Times28%54%14% 26%
13 AprICM/Guardian29%50%17% 21%
1 AprGallup/Telegraph26%55.5%15.5% 29.5%
25 MarMORI/Times28%57%13% 29%
14 MarNOP/Sunday Times27%55%14% 28%
11 MarMORI29%55%13% 26%
4 MarGallup/Telegraph23%57.5%16% 34.5%
4 MarICM/Guardian31%45%20% 14%
26 FebMORI/Times26%57%14% 31%
16 FebNOP/Sunday Times25%54%16% 29%
12 FebMORI26%57%14% 31%
5 FebGallup/Telegraph28%54.5%14.5% 26.5%
4 FebICM/Guardian31%47%19% 16%
29 JanMORI28%54%15% 26%
22 JanMORI/Times29%55%13% 26%
19 JanNOP/Sunday Times25%54%18% 25%
17 JanNOP33%47%14% 14%
8 JanGallup/Telegraph21%60.5%14.5% 39.5%
6 JanICM/Guardian26%48%22% 22%
3 JanNOP/Sunday Times29%52%13% 23%
Close

1995

More information Survey end date, Pollster/Client ...
Survey
end date
Pollster/Client Con Lab Lib Dem Lead
15 DecNOP/Sunday Times25%55%16% 30%
14 DecICM/Observer30%50%14% 20%
9 DecICM/Guardian26%48%22% 22%
4 DecGallup/Telegraph23%62%12% 39%
4 DecMORI/Times28%55%13% 27%
1 DecNOP/Sunday Times25%57%15% 32%
20 NovMORI/Times26%56%14% 30%
17 NovNOP/Sunday Times27%56%13% 29%
5 NovICM/Guardian31%48%16% 17%
30 OctGallup/Telegraph21.5%61%14.5% 39.5%
23 OctMORI/Times27%56%13% 29%
20 OctNOP/Sunday Times23%59%15% 36%
7 OctICM/Guardian30%47%19% 17%
2 OctGallup/Telegraph25.5%55.5%14% 30%
25 SepMORI/Times28%51%16% 23%
15 SepNOP/Sunday Times27%53%17% 26%
9 SepICM/Guardian31%48%17% 17%
4 SepGallup/Telegraph26.5%54.5%14% 28%
28 AugMORI/Times25%56%15% 31%
18 AugNOP/Sunday Times24%57%15% 33%
5 AugICM/Guardian31%48%17% 17%
31 JulGallup/Telegraph22.5%57.5%14.5% 35%
31 JulICM/Express24%58%14% 34%
24 JulMORI/Times26%59%12% 33%
21 JulMORI/LWT30%52%13% 22%
21 JulNOP/Sunday Times26%55%14% 29%
8 JulICM/Guardian32%47%17% 15%
4 Jul John Major is re-elected leader of the Conservative Party[3]
3 JulGallup/Telegraph25.5%57%13% 31.5%
3 JulMORI/European33%52%10% 19%
27 JunMORI/Economist31%55%11% 24%
26 JunMORI/Times29%56%13% 27%
24 JunMORI/Mail on Sunday32%54%11% 22%
10 JunICM/Guardian24%53%19% 29%
5 JunGallup/Telegraph20%59.5%14.5% 39.5%
22 MayMORI/Times22%58%16% 36%
13 MayICM/Guardian29%48%19% 19%
8 MayGallup/Telegraph23%55.5%16.5% 32.5%
4 May 1995 local elections[4]
24 AprMORI/Times26%56%15% 30%
8 AprICM/Guardian26%51%18% 25%
6 Apr 1995 Scottish local elections[5]
3 AprGallup/Telegraph23%57.5%15% 34.5%
24 MarMORI/Sunday Times25%59%12% 34%
20 MarMORI/Times25%57%13% 32%
11 MarICM/Guardian27%52%17% 25%
27 FebGallup/Telegraph20.5%60.5%15% 40%
20 FebMORI/Times24%58%14% 34%
11 FebICM/Guardian31%49%17% 18%
30 JanGallup/Telegraph23.5%59.5%13% 36%
23 JanMORI/Times27%56%14% 29%
14 JanICM/Guardian30%48%18% 18%
13 JanHarris/Sunday Times25%60%12% 35%
9 JanGallup/Telegraph18.5%62%14% 43.5%
Close

1994

More information Survey end date, Pollster/Client ...
Survey
end date
Pollster/Client Con Lab Lib Dem Lead
19 DecMORI/Times22%61%13% 39%
9 DecICM/Observer26%53%17% 27%
5 DecGallup/Telegraph21.5%61%13.5% 39.5%
3 DecICM/Guardian31%49%17% 18%
21 NovMORI/Times24%55%17% 31%
5 NovICM/Guardian31%49%16% 18%
31 OctGallup/Telegraph21.5%56.5%17% 35%
24 OctMORI/Times25%57%14% 32%
8 OctICM/Guardian32%49%15% 17%
3 OctGallup/Telegraph25.5%54%16.5% 28.5%
27 SepGallup/Telegraph21%57.5%15.5% 36.5%
26 SepMORI/Economist25%52%18% 27%
26 SepMORI/Times25%54%17% 29%
16 SepNOP/Independent28%50%17% 22%
10 SepICM/Guardian33%45%18% 12%
5 SepGallup/Telegraph22%56.5%17% 34.5%
26 AugNOP/Independent on Sunday26%54%16% 28%
22 AugMORI/Times23%56%18% 33%
6 AugICM/Guardian28%49%19% 21%
1 AugGallup/Telegraph23%56.5%14.5% 33.5%
21 Jul Tony Blair becomes leader of the Labour Party[6]
18 JulMORI/Times23%51%21% 28%
9 JulICM/Guardian31%44%21% 13%
4 JulGallup/Telegraph26.5%51%17.5% 24.5%
20 JunMORI/Times24%52%20% 28%
10 JunICM/Sunday Express26.5%45.5%19% 19%
9 June 1994 European Parliament election[7]
6 JunMORI/Times23%50%22% 27%
4 JunICM/Daily Express27%45%22% 19%
31 MayMORI/GMB22%46%22% 24%
30 MayGallup/ Telegraph21%54%21.5% 33%
23 MayMORI/Times27%46%23% 19%
21 MayICM/Guardian30%44%20% 14%
17 MayICM/Express26%48%23% 22%
14 MayMORI/Sunday Times26%49%20% 23%
9 MayGallup/Telegraph24.5%45.5%25% 20.5%
7 MayICM/Guardian29%44%24% 17%
5 May 1994 local elections[8]
25 AprMORI/Times26%47%23% 21%
20 AprNOP/Independent26%48%21% 22%
9 AprICM/Guardian30%42%22% 12%
4 AprGallup/Telegraph26.5%51.5%17.5% 25%
1 AprMORI/Evening Standard28%46%22% 18%
31 MarNOP/Independent on Sunday26%50%20% 24%
28 MarMORI/Times27%49%20% 22%
12 MarICM/Guardian29%44%22% 15%
28 FebGallup/Telegraph25%48.5%21% 23.5%
28 FebMORI/Times28%47%21% 19%
12 FebICM/Guardian30%44%21% 14%
31 JanGallup/Telegraph26%45.5%23% 19.5%
27 JanAudience Selection/Sunday Mirror28%41%24% 13%
24 JanMORI/Times28%48%20% 20%
11 JanGallup/Telegraph25.5%46.5%20.5% 21%
11 JanMORI/Sun30%46%20% 16%
8 JanICM/Guardian31%43%21% 12%
Close

1993

More information Survey end date, Pollster/Client ...
Survey
end date
Pollster/Client Con Lab Lib Dem Lead
14 DecICM/Observer26%48%23% 22%
13 DecMORI/Times29%47%20% 18%
6 DecGallup/Telegraph27%48.5%20% 21.5%
4 DecICM/Guardian31%42%23% 11%
22 NovMORI/Times29%47%22% 18%
13 NovNOP/Sunday Times27%47%21% 20%
6 NovICM/Guardian34%38%24% 4%
1 NovGallup/Telegraph24%46.5%25.5% 22.5%
25 OctMORI/Times29%45%23% 16%
9 OctICM/Guardian36%39%20% 3%
9 OctICM/Sunday Express30%40%26% 10%
27 SepGallup/Telegraph23%44.5%27% 21.5%
24 SepICM/Sunday Express27%41%26% 14%
21 SepGallup/Telegraph23.5%44%26.5% 20.5%
20 SepMORI/Times29%43%25% 14%
11 SepICM/Guardian29%40%26% 11%
6 SepGallup/Telegraph25.5%46.5%23% 21%
23 AugMORI/Times28%42%25% 14%
7 AugICM/Guardian30%36%27% 6%
1 AugGallup/Telegraph23%44.5%27% 21.5%
30 JulMORI/Sunday Times27%41%28% 14%
26 JulMORI/Times27%44%25% 17%
23 JulMORI/Sunday Times34%44%18% 10%
5 JulGallup/Telegraph24.5%43%26.5% 18.5%
3 JulICM/Guardian32%37%25% 5%
28 JunMORI/Times28%46%23% 18%
12 JunMORI/Sunday Times29%44%22% 15%
11 JunNOP/Independent on Sunday27%42%26% 15%
5 JunICM/Guardian31%38%26% 7%
31 MayGallup/Telegraph25%49%23% 24%
24 MayMORI/Times28%44%24% 16%
19 May 1993 Northern Ireland local elections
8 MayICM/Guardian32%38%24% 6%
6 May 1993 local elections[9]
3 MayGallup/Telegraph30%47%17.5% 17%
26 AprMORI/Times32%46%20% 14%
10 AprICM/Guardian34%39%21% 5%
1 AprGallup/Telegraph30.5%49%15.5% 18.5%
29 MarMORI/Times32%47%17% 15%
6 MarICM/Guardian36%41%18% 5%
1 MarGallup/Telegraph32%49%14% 17%
22 FebMORI/Times34%46%16% 12%
6 FebICM/Guardian37%39%18% 2%
1 FebGallup/Telegraph33.5%46%15.5% 12.5%
26 JanMORI/CCC38%44%13% 8%
21 JanMORI/Sunday Times37%45%14% 8%
11 JanGallup/Telegraph33.5%45.5%14.5% 12%
9 JanICM/Guardian39%37%18% 2%
Close

1992

More information Survey end date, Pollster/Client ...
Survey
end date
Pollster/Client Con Lab Lib Dem Lead
15 DecMORI/Sunday Times34%47%16% 13%
5 DecICM/Guardian36%41%18% 5%
1 DecMORI/Sunday Times34%47%15% 13%
30 NovGallup/Telegraph29%52%14% 23%
20 NovICM/Express33%49%14% 16%
12 NovHarris/Observer32%51%14% 19%
8 NovHarris/World in Action30%53%13% 23%
7 NovICM/Guardian36%40%19% 4%
2 NovGallup/Telegraph32.5%50%13% 17.5%
30 OctNOP/Independent on Sunday34%47%14% 13%
27 OctMORI/Sunday Times35%45%15% 10%
19 OctGallup29%51%14% 22%
12 OctGallup36%45%14% 9%
10 OctICM/Guardian38%38%19% Tie
29 SepMORI/Sunday Times37%43%16% 6%
28 SepGallup/Telegraph37%44%15% 7%
21 SepGallup/Telegraph37%42%17% 5%
19 SepMORI/Sunday Times39%43%15% 4%
18 SepNOP/Independent on Sunday39%41%16% 3%
17 SepHarris/Observer36%44%16% 8%
16 Sep Black Wednesday[10]
7 SepGallup43%41%12% 2%
5 SepICM/Guardian39%35%19% 4%
2 SepMORI/Sunday Times41%44%13% 3%
21 AugMORI/Times38%44%14% 6%
14 AugNOP/Independent on Sunday43%39%14% 4%
8 AugICM/Guardian41%36%17% 5%
3 AugGallup40.5%45%12% 4.5%
28 JulMORI/Sunday Times39%43%15% 4%
18 Jul John Smith becomes leader of the Labour Party[11]
16 JulHarris/Observer44%38%15% 6%
6 JulGallup42%38%16% 4%
4 JulICM/Guardian45%36%15% 9%
23 JunMORI/Sunday Times42%39%16% 3%
18 JunHarris/Observer46%36%15% 10%
6 JunICM/Guardian45%36%16% 9%
1 JunGallup45%37%17% 8%
26 MayMORI/Sunday Times43%38%16% 5%
17 MayAudience Selection45%37%13% 8%
14 MayHarris/Observer46%37%13% 9%
9 MayICM/Guardian45%34%17% 11%
8 May 1992 local elections[12]
4 MayGallup42%39%17% 3%
28 AprMORI/Sunday Times43%38%16% 5%
16 AprHarris/Observer44%36%17% 8%
12 AprGallup39%38%19% 1%
11 AprAudience Selection42%36%18% 6%
9 Apr 1992 general election 41.9% 34.4% 17.8% 7.5%
Close

Polling in the nations and regions

Summarize
Perspective

Scotland

All poll data from BBC News.[13]

More information Pollster, Client ...
Pollster Client Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Lab SNP Con Lib Dem Lead
1992 election 9 Apr 1992 39.0% 21.5% 25.6% 13.1% 13.4%
System 3 The Herald 20-24 Mar 1997 1,006 52% 20% 17% 9% 32%
System 3 The Herald 27-30 Mar 1997 1,003 53% 26% 12% 9% 27%
ICM The Scotsman 29-31 Mar 1997 1,000 47% 22% 20% 9% 25%
NOP Scot S Times 2 Apr 1997 844 49% 25% 18% 6% 24%
System 3 The Herald 5-6 Apr 1997 1,081 51% 23% 14% 10% 28%
ICM The Scotsman 11-13 Apr 1997 1,000 42% 23% 19% 15% 19%
System 3 The Herald 12-14 Apr 1997 1,000 52% 24% 13% 9% 28%
NOP Scot S Times 17 Apr 1997 950 47% 28% 15% 8% 19%
ICM The Scotsman 18-20 Apr 1997 1,000 47% 21% 18% 11% 26%
System 3 The Herald 19-20 Apr 1997 1,080 47% 21% 18% 11% 26%
NOP Scot S Times 24 Apr 1997 1,000 49% 24% 14% 12% 25%
ICM The Scotsman 25-27 Apr 1997 1,000 46% 21% 18% 13% 25%
System 3 The Herald 26-27 Apr 1997 1,084 50% 26% 14% 9% 25%
1997 election 1 May 1997 45.6% 22.1% 17.5% 13.0% 23.5%
Close

References

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