Next Bangladeshi general election

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Next Bangladeshi general election

General elections are expected to take place in Bangladesh following the removal of the government of Sheikh Hasina amidst the Student–People's uprising in August 2024. A constituent assembly election will take place before the general elections.[1] The interim government led by Muhammad Yunus has established constitutional and election reform commissions for this purpose and announced that elections will be held in late 2025 or early 2026.[2]

Quick Facts All 300 directly elected seats in the Jatiya Sangsad 151 seats needed for a majority, Leader ...
Next Bangladeshi general election

 2024 December 2025

All 300 directly elected seats in the Jatiya Sangsad
151 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Sheikh Hasina at Hyderabad House, New Delhi on June 22, 2024 (cropped).jpg
GM Quader 2023.png
Khaleda_Zia_Poses_for_a_Photo_with_Secretary_Kerry_at_U.S._Embassy_Dhaka_(29284522026)_(cropped).jpg
Leader Sheikh Hasina GM Quader Khaleda Zia
Party AL JP(E) BNP
Alliance GA
Leader since 16 February 1981 8 February 2018 10 May 1984
Last election 224 11 Boycotted
Seats needed 140 151

 
Syed Muhammad Rezaul Karim (2019).jpg
Shafiqur Rahman.jpg
Nahid Islam in 2024.jpg
Leader Rezaul Karim Shafiqur Rahman Nahid Islam
Party IAB JI NCP
Leader since 25 November 2006 12 November 2019 28 February 2025
Last election Boycotted Deregistered New
Seats needed 151 151 151

Constituency map

Incumbent Chief Adviser

Muhammad Yunus
Independent (interim)



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Background

Summarize
Perspective

The 12th Sangsad was dissolved by President Mohammed Shahabuddin following the resignation of Sheikh Hasina.[3] In June 2024, student protests erupted throughout the country, demanding the reform of quotas in government jobs. The protests were met with brutal crackdown by law-enforcement agencies and paramilitary forces, resulting in the deaths of many students. By August, the protests intensified into large-scale civil unrest against the government which eventually culminated in Hasina's resignation on 5 August.

Following negotiations between student leaders and the Armed Forces, Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus was appointed as the Chief Adviser to lead an interim government with a view of leading the country to new elections.[4]

The Awami League won the January 2024 general elections following a record low voter turnout and a controversial election, spite of which they formed a government.[5] The United States Department of State, in a statement, said that the election was not free and fair[6] and the UK's Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office termed the election lacking the preconditions of democracy.[7] According to The Economist, through this election, "Bangladesh effectively became a one-party state".[8]

The main opposition party, the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), demanded that the government hand over power to a neutral caretaker government before the January 2024 elections.[9] This was rejected by Hasina, who vowed that "Bangladesh will never allow an unelected government again".[10] Hasina's resistance to a caretaker government arose following the 2006–2008 crisis, during which a caretaker government assumed military-backed control of the country and arrested a number of political leaders, including Hasina and Khaleda Zia. [11] Khaleda Zia was sentenced to prison for five years on February 8, 2018, for her involvement in the Zia Orphanage corruption case.[12] The sentence was then modified to 10 years.[13] Zia’s successor as chair of the party, her son Tarique Rahman, was also found guilty of criminal conspiracy and multiple counts of murder for a grenade attack in 2004 that injured Hasina and killed 24 people.[14] He was sentenced to life in prison. As such, he was barred from running for office.[15] Khaleda Zia was released by the President of Bangladesh following Hasina's resignation.[16]

Electoral system

The 350 members of the Jatiya Sangsad consist of 300 directly elected seats using first-past-the-post voting (FPTP) in single-member constituencies, and an additional 50 seats reserved for women. The reserved seats are elected proportionally by the elected members. Each parliament sits for a five-year term.[17] The electoral system has been criticised as disproportional[18][19][20] and a key driver of political deadlock in the country.[20] Some of the leading minor parties, including Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami, Islami Andolan Bangladesh, Communist Party of Bangladesh, Gono Odhikar Parishad, Amar Bangladesh Party etc., had been in staunch opposition to the system and in support of proportional representation (PR), where Bangladesh Nationalist Party remains a supporter of FPTP.[21][22][23][24] Besides that, students formed political groups like Jatiya Nagorik Party and Jatiya Nagorik Committee assumed to participate in the election.

Parties and alliances

  Grand Alliance

More information Party, Symbol ...
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  Bangladesh Nationalist Party

More information Party, Symbol ...
Party[25] Symbol Leader Contesting Seats
Bangladesh Nationalist Party Khaleda Zia TBD
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  Democratic United Front

Others

Opinion polls

More information Polling agency, Fieldwork dates ...
Vote share projections
Polling
agency
Fieldwork
dates
Date
published
Sample
size
Margin
of error
AL JP(E) BNP IAB Jamaat NCP Others Independents None Undecided "Can't say"/
No answer
Lead (pp)
Formation of National Citizen Party (NCP) by the student-citizen movement leaders on 28 February 2025
Daily Inqilab 20 Nov — 5 Dec 2024 10 Dec 2024 6,036 ± 1.2% 5.58% 61.08% 14.82% 8.11% 8.22%[a] 46.26
BRAC 15 — 31 Oct 2024 12 Dec 2024 4,158 ± 1.55% 9% 1% 16% 11% 2%[b] 9%[c] 2% 38% 13% 5
Formation of Jatiya Nagorik Committee, a political platform led by the student leaders on 8 September 2024
Bangladesh Speaks 29 Aug — 8 Sep 2024 10 Sep 2024 5,115 (field) ± 1.4% 5% 1% 21% 3% 14% 10% 1% 3% 2% 34% 4% 7
3,581 (online) ± 1.67% 10% 0% 10% 1% 25% 35% 1% 3% 3% 11% 0% 10
Average 7.5% 0.5% 15.5% 2% 19.5% 22.5% 1% 3% 2.5% 22.5% 2% 3
2018 general election[d] 74.96% 5.22% 11.73% 1.47% N/A 1.76% N/A N/A N/A 63.23
2008 general election 48.04% 7.04% 32.5% 0.94% 4.7% N/A 2.94% 0.55%[e] N/A N/A 15.54
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Schedule

More information Poll Event, Schedule ...
Poll Event Schedule
Declaration of the schedule TBD
Application deadline for candidates TBD
Scrutiny of nomination TBD
Last Date for Withdrawal of nomination TBD
Symbol allocation TBD
Start of campaign period TBD
End of campaign period TBD
Date of Poll TBD
Date of Counting of Votes TBD
Date of reserved seats Poll TBD
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See also

Notes

  1. 5.05pp for "other Islamic parties", 0.19pp for "Leftist groups" and 2.98pp for "Others".
  2. In a separate question, 40% of the respondents said that they'll vote for a student-led platform if its launched, while 44% said they will not endorse it. Among the rest 9% were undecided and 8% didn’t give any answer.
  3. 3% for "other Islamic groups", 2% for "for a new political party formed by politicians", and 4% for "others".
  4. Widely considered to be rigged.

References

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