Next Bangladeshi general election

The next general elections in Bangladesh are expected to take place to elect members of the 13th Jatiya Sangsad, following the overthrow of Sheikh Hasina's government by student-led protests, and the implementation of constitutional and institutional reforms by the interim government led by Muhammad Yunus. A constituent assembly election will take place before the general elections,^[1] The interim government has established a Constitutional Reform Commission for this purpose.

Next Bangladeshi general election

← 2024 TBA[a]
← outgoing members
All 300 directly elected seats in the Jatiya Sangsad 151 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Leader Sheikh Hasina GM Quader Khaleda Zia Party AL JP(E) BNP Alliance GA Leader since 16 February 1981 8 February 2018 10 May 1984 Last election 224 11 Boycotted Seats needed 140 151   Leader Rezaul Karim Shafiqur Rahman Party IAB Jamaat-e-Islami Leader since 25 November 2006 12 November 2019 Last election Boycotted Deregistered Seats needed 151 151
Constituency map
Incumbent Chief Adviser Muhammad Yunus Independent (interim)

Background

Further information: Student–People's uprising

The 12th Sangsad was dissolved by President Mohammed Shahabuddin following the resignation of Sheikh Hasina.^[2] In June 2024, student protests erupted throughout the country, demanding the reform of quotas in government jobs. The protests were met with brutal crackdown by law-enforcement agencies and paramilitary forces, resulting in the deaths of many students. By August, the protests intensified into large-scale civil unrest against the government which eventually culminated in Hasina's resignation on 5 August.

Following negotiations between student leaders and the Armed Forces, Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus was appointed as Chief Adviser to head an interim government with a view to leading the country to new elections.^[3]

The Awami League won the January 2024 general elections following a record low voter turnout and a controversial election, spite of which they formed a government.^[4] The United States Department of State, in a statement, said that the election was not free and fair^[5] and the UK's Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office termed the election lacking the preconditions of democracy.^[6] According to The Economist, through this election, "Bangladesh effectively became a one-party state".^[7]

The main opposition party, the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), demanded that the government hand over power to a neutral caretaker government before the January 2024 elections.^[8] This was rejected by Hasina, who vowed that "Bangladesh will never allow an unelected government again".^[9] Hasina's resistance to a caretaker government arose following the 2006–2008 crisis, during which a caretaker government assumed military control of the country and arrested a number of political leaders, including Hasina and Khaleda Zia. ^[10] Zia was sentenced to prison for five years on February 8, 2018, for her involvement in the Zia Orphanage corruption case.^[11] The sentence was then modified to 10 years.^[12] Zia’s successor as chair of the party, her son Tarique Rahman, was also found guilty of criminal conspiracy and multiple counts of murder for a grenade attack in 2004 that injured Hasina and killed 24 people.^[13] He was sentenced to life in prison. As such, he was barred from running for office.^[14] Zia was released by the President of Bangladesh following Hasina's resignation.^[15]

Electoral system

The 350 members of the Jatiya Sangsad consist of 300 directly elected seats using first-past-the-post voting (FPTP) in single-member constituencies, and an additional 50 seats reserved for women. The reserved seats are elected proportionally by the elected members. Each parliament sits for a five-year term.^[16] The electoral system has been criticised as disproportional^[17][18][19] and a key driver of political deadlock in the country.^[19] Some of the leading minor parties, including Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami, Islami Andolan Bangladesh, Communist Party of Bangladesh, Gono Odhikar Parishad, Amar Bangladesh Party etc., had been in staunch opposition to the system and in support of proportional representation (PR), where Bangladesh Nationalist Party remains a supporter of FPTP.^{[20][21][22][23]}

Parties and alliances

Alliance/Party				Flag	Leader	Seats Contested	Seats Contested under Alliance
	GA		AL		Sheikh Hasina
			JaSaD		Hasanul Haque Inu
			WPB		Rashed Khan Menon
			GP		Arosh Ali
			JP(M)		Anwar Hossain Manju
			BTF		Syed Najibul Bashar Maizbhandari
			BSD-ML		Dilip Barua
	JF		BKP		Syed Muhammad Ibrahim
			BJP(M)		Mohammed Abdul Muqit
			BML(B)		Sheikh Zulfiqar Bulbul Chowdhury
	LDA		CPB		Shah Alam
			BaSaD		Bazlur Rashid Firoz
			RCLB		Mosharraf Hossain Nannu
			BaSaD–M		Mubinul Haider Chowdhury
	GM		JSD(R)		A.S.M. Abdur Rab
			RWPB		Saiful Haq
			GSA		Zonayed Saki
	JP(E)				GM Quader		–
	ZP				Mustafa Amir Faisal		–
	TBNP				Shamsher Mobin Chowdhury		–
	BKSJL				Kader Siddique		–
	BDB				A. Q. M. Badruddoza Chowdhury		–
	GF				Kamal Hossain		–
	BNP				Khaleda Zia		–
	IAB				Rezaul Karim		–
	BJP				Andaleeve Rahman		–
	LDP				Oli Ahmed		–
	Jamaat				Shafiqur Rahman		–
	ABP				Abdul Wohab		–
	GOP				Nurul Haq Nur		–

Surveys and polls

Opinion polls

Vote share projections

Polling agency	Date published	Sample size	Margin of error	AL	JP(E)	BNP	IAB	Jamaat	Student supported–New Party	Others	Independents	None	"Can't say"/Undecided	Lead
Bangladesh Speaks	September 2024	5,115 (field)	± 1.4%	5%	1%	21%	3%	14%	10%	1%	3%	2%	38%	7%
		3,581 (online)	± 1.67%	10%	0%	10%	1%	25%	35%	1%	3%	3%	11%	10%
		Average		7.5%	0.5%	15.5%	2%	19.5%	22.5%	1%	3%	2.5%	24.5%	3%

Seat projections

Polling agency	Date published	Sample size	Margin of error	AL	JP(E)	BNP	IAB	Jamaat	Others	Lead

Exit polls

Vote share projections

Polling agency	Date published	Sample size	Margin of error	AL	JP(E)	BNP	IAB	Jamaat	Others	Lead

Seat projections

Polling agency	Date published	Sample size	Margin of error	AL	JP(E)	BNP	IAB	Jamaat	Others	Lead

Results

Party
	Awami League
	Jatiya Party (Ershad)
	Bangladesh Nationalist Party
	Islami Andolan Bangladesh
	Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami
	Other parties
	Independents
Total

Division wise

Rangpur Division

Next Bangladeshi general election (13th Jatiya Sangsad) : Rangpur Division

Party		Seats			Votes
		Contested	Won	+/–	In total			Average
						%	+/–pp
	AL
	JP(E)
	BNP
	IAB
	Jamaat-e-Islami
	Others
	IND
Total
Valid Votes
Invalid Votes
Total Votes Cast
Registered/Turnout
Source:

Rajshahi Division

Next Bangladeshi general election (13th Jatiya Sangsad) : Rajshahi Division

Party		Seats			Votes
		Contested	Won	+/–	In total			Average
						%	+/–pp
	AL
	JP(E)
	BNP
	IAB
	Jamaat-e-Islami
	Others
	IND
Total
Valid Votes
Invalid Votes
Total Votes Cast
Registered/Turnout
Source:

Khulna Division

Next Bangladeshi general election (13th Jatiya Sangsad) : Khulna Division

Party		Seats			Votes
		Contested	Won	+/–	In total			Average
						%	+/–pp
	AL
	JP(E)
	BNP
	IAB
	Jamaat-e-Islami
	Others
	IND
Total
Valid Votes
Invalid Votes
Total Votes Cast
Registered/Turnout
Source:

Barishal Division

Next Bangladeshi general election (13th Jatiya Sangsad) : Barishal Division

Party		Seats			Votes
		Contested	Won	+/–	In total			Average
						%	+/–pp
	AL
	JP(E)
	BNP
	IAB
	Jamaat-e-Islami
	Others
	IND
Total
Valid Votes
Invalid Votes
Total Votes Cast
Registered/Turnout
Source:

Mymensingh Division

Next Bangladeshi general election (13th Jatiya Sangsad) : Mymensingh Division

Party		Seats			Votes
		Contested	Won	+/–	In total			Average
						%	+/–pp
	AL
	JP(E)
	BNP
	IAB
	Jamaat-e-Islami
	Others
	IND
Total
Valid Votes
Invalid Votes
Total Votes Cast
Registered/Turnout
Source:

Dhaka Division

Next Bangladeshi general election (13th Jatiya Sangsad) : Dhaka Division

Party		Seats			Votes
		Contested	Won	+/–	In total			Average
						%	+/–pp
	AL
	JP(E)
	BNP
	IAB
	Jamaat-e-Islami
	Others
	IND
Total
Valid Votes
Invalid Votes
Total Votes Cast
Registered/Turnout
Source:

Sylhet Division

Next Bangladeshi general election (13th Jatiya Sangsad) : Sylhet Division

Party		Seats			Votes
		Contested	Won	+/–	In total			Average
						%	+/–pp
	AL
	JP(E)
	BNP
	IAB
	Jamaat-e-Islami
	Others
	IND
Total
Valid Votes
Invalid Votes
Total Votes Cast
Registered/Turnout
Source:

Chattogram Division

Next Bangladeshi general election (13th Jatiya Sangsad) : Chattogram Division

Party		Seats			Votes
		Contested	Won	+/–	In total			Average
						%	+/–pp
	AL
	JP(E)
	BNP
	IAB
	Jamaat-e-Islami
	Others
	IND
Total
Valid Votes
Invalid Votes
Total Votes Cast
Registered/Turnout
Source:

Constituency-wise

Parliamentary Constituency				Winner					Runner Up					Margin		Turnout
No.	Division	Name	Total Voters	Candidate	Party		Votes	%	Candidate	Party		Votes	%
1	Rangpur Division	Panchagarh-1
2		Panchagarh-2
3		Thakurgaon-1
4		Thakurgaon-2
5		Thakurgaon-3
6		Dinajpur-1
7		Dinajpur-2
8		Dinajpur-3
9		Dinajpur-4
10		Dinajpur-5
11		Dinajpur-6
12		Nilphamari-1
13		Nilphamari-2
14		Nilphamari-3
15		Nilphamari-4
16		Lalmonirhat-1
17		Lalmonirhat-2
18		Lalmonirhat-3
19		Rangpur-1
20		Rangpur-2
21		Rangpur-3
22		Rangpur-4
23		Rangpur-5
24		Rangpur-6
25		Kurigram-1
26		Kurigram-2
27		Kurigram-3
28		Kurigram-4
29		Gaibandha-1
30		Gaibandha-2
31		Gaibandha-3
32		Gaibandha-4
33		Gaibandha-5
34	Rajshahi Division	Joypurhat-1
35		Joypurhat-2
36		Bogra-1
37		Bogra-2
38		Bogra-3
39		Bogra-4
40		Bogra-5
41		Bogra-6
42		Bogra-7
43		Chapainawabganj-1
44		Chapainawabganj-2
45		Chapainawabganj-3
46		Naogaon-1
47		Naogaon-2
48		Naogaon-3
49		Naogaon-4
50		Naogaon-5
51		Naogaon-6
52		Rajshahi-1
53		Rajshahi-2
54		Rajshahi-3
55		Rajshahi-4
56		Rajshahi-5
57		Rajshahi-6
58		Natore-1
59		Natore-2
60		Natore-3
61		Natore-4
62		Sirajganj-1
63		Sirajganj-2
64		Sirajganj-3
65		Sirajganj-4
66		Sirajganj-5
67		Sirajganj-6
68		Pabna-1
69		Pabna-2
70		Pabna-3
71		Pabna-4
72		Pabna-5
73	Khulna Division	Meherpur-1
74		Meherpur-2
75		Kushtia-1
76		Kushtia-2
77		Kushtia-3
78		Kushtia-4
79		Chuadanga-1
80		Chuadanga-2
81		Jhenaidah-1
82		Jhenaidah-2
83		Jhenaidah-3
84		Jhenaidah-4
85		Magura-1
86		Magura-2
87		Narail-1
88		Narail-2
89		Jessore-1
90		Jessore-2
91		Jessore-3
92		Jessore-4
93		Jessore-5
94		Jessore-6
95		Bagerhat-1
96		Bagerhat-2
97		Bagerhat-3
98		Bagerhat-4
99		Khulna-1
100		Khulna-2
101		Khulna-3
102		Khulna-4
103		Khulna-5
104		Khulna-6
105		Satkhira-1
106		Satkhira-2
107		Satkhira-3
108		Satkhira-4
109	Barishal Division
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130	Dhaka Division	Tangail-1
131		Tangail-2
132		Tangail-3
133		Tangail-4
134		Tangail-5
135		Tangail-6
136		Tangail-7
137		Tangail-8
138	Mymensingh Division
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162	Dhaka Division
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224	Sylhet Division
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243	Chattogram Division
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300

See also

• 2024 elections in Bangladesh

Notes

1. It is likely to take place between 2025 and 2026.

References

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2. "Bangladesh Parliament dissolved, president's office says". Reuters. 6 August 2024. Retrieved 9 August 2024.
3. "Who is Muhammad Yunus, the Nobel laureate leader of Bangladesh's interim government?". CNN. 9 August 2024. Retrieved 7 August 2024.
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5. "Bangladesh Election 'Not Free Or Fair': US". Barron's. Archived from the original on 8 January 2024. Retrieved 9 January 2024.
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10. "Former Bangladesh Prime Minister Arrested". NPR. 16 July 2007.
11. "Minister: Khaleda Zia's release will be revoked if she participates in politics". Dhaka Tribune. June 11, 2023.
12. "Zia Orphanage Graft Case: Khaleda's jail term raised to 10 years". The Daily Star. October 31, 2018.
13. "Tarique Rahman acting chairman: BNP leader". The Daily Star. February 8, 2018.
14. "Adequate data found to try Jamaat for war crimes". Bangladesh Post. June 11, 2023.
15. "Who is Khaleda Zia, Sheikh Hasina's rival and former Bangladesh PM who was on 'deathbed' a few months ago". The Economic Times. 6 August 2024. Retrieved 9 August 2024.
16. "IPU Parline database: Bangladesh (Jatiya Sangsad), Electoral system". Inter-Parliamentary Union. Retrieved 18 April 2021.
17. Katherine L. Ekstrand, No Matter Who Draws the Lines: A Comparative Analysis of the Utility of Independent Redistricting Commissions in First-Past-the-Post Democracies, 45 GJICL (2016).
18. "4: Persistent Factionalism: Bangladesh, Bolivia, Zimbabwe", Democratization and the Mischief of Faction, Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1 July 2018, pp. 85–112, doi:10.1515/9781626377363-006, ISBN 978-1-62637-736-3, retrieved 7 October 2024
19. "Women's Reserved Seats in Bangladesh: A Systemic Analysis of Meaningful Representation". International Foundation for Electoral Systems. June 2016. Retrieved 7 October 2024.
20. প্রধান উপদেষ্টার সঙ্গে পীর সাহেব চরমোনাই'র নেতৃত্বে ৬ সদস্যের প্রতিনিধি দলের সংলাপ. Islami Andolan Bangladesh. 5 October 2024.
21. "পিআর নির্বাচন পদ্ধতি কী? প্রচলিত ব্যবস্থার সঙ্গে পার্থক্য কোথায়". Jugantor. 20 October 2024.
22. "সংখ্যানুপাতিক নির্বাচন পদ্ধতি কী, কীভাবে হতে পারে বাস্তবায়ন". www.banglanews24.com. 16 October 2024.
23. বাশার, খাইরুল (24 October 2024). "কেমন হবে যদি নির্বাচন হয় সংখ্যানুপাতিক পদ্ধতিতে". Shokal Shondha.