Mawanella Polling Division

The Mawanella Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kegalle Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Mawanella
Polling Division
Coordinates: 7.217744°N 80.479362°E / 7.217744; 80.479362
Country	Sri Lanka
Province	Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral District	Kegalle Electoral District
Area
• Total	112.51 km2 (43.44 sq mi)
Population  (2012)[1]
• Total	111,727
• Density	993/km2 (2,570/sq mi)
ISO 3166 code	EC-22E

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Mawanella has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Mawanella is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year	Mawanella		Kegalle Electoral District		MAE[2] %	Sri Lanka		MAE[3] %
2019		NDF		SLPP	9.84%		SLPP	6.98%
2015		NDF		UPFA	10.55%		NDF	6.37%
2010		UPFA		UPFA	8.13%		UPFA	4.35%
2005		UNP		UPFA	7.12%		UPFA	6.39%
1999		PA		PA	3.40%		PA	3.44%
1994		PA		PA	0.27%		PA	6.44%
1988		UNP		UNP	2.98%		UNP	8.34%
1982		UNP		UNP	2.70%		UNP	5.68%
Matches/Mean MAE	6/8		7/8		5.62%	8/8		6.00%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Mawanella[4]			Kegalle Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	NDF		37,967	50.09%		228,032	39.60%		5,564,239	41.99%
	SLPP		34,443	45.44%		320,484	55.66%		6,924,255	52.25%
	NMPP		1,856	2.45%		15,043	2.61%		418,553	3.16%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,533	2.02%		12,272	2.13%		345,452	2.61%
Valid Votes		75,799		99.27%	575,831		99.11%	13,252,499		98.99%
Rejected Votes		561		0.73%	5,152		0.89%	135,452		1.01%
Total Polled		76,360		83.46%	580,983		85.89%	13,387,951		83.71%
Registered Electors		91,492			676,440			15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Mawanella[5]			Kegalle Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	NDF		40,066	57.74%		252,533	47.05%		6,217,162	51.28%
	UPFA		28,561	41.16%		278,130	51.82%		5,768,090	47.58%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		762	1.10%		6,108	1.14%		138,200	1.14%
Valid Votes		69,389		98.89%	536,771		98.80%	12,123,452		98.85%
Rejected Votes		778		1.11%	6,515		1.20%	140,925		1.15%
Total Polled		70,167		77.42%	543,286		79.85%	12,264,377		78.69%
Registered Electors		90,627			680,414			15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Mawanella[6]			Kegalle Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		32,335	53.60%		296,639	61.80%		6,015,934	57.88%
	NDF		27,039	44.82%		174,877	36.44%		4,173,185	40.15%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		953	1.58%		8,448	1.76%		204,494	1.97%
Valid Votes		60,327		99.29%	479,964		99.25%	10,393,613		99.03%
Rejected Votes		434		0.71%	3,604		0.75%	101,838		0.97%
Total Polled		60,761		73.15%	483,568		76.11%	10,495,451		66.70%
Registered Electors		83,066			635,342			15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Mawanella[7]			Kegalle Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		32,203	54.85%		223,483	47.67%		4,706,366	48.43%
	UPFA		25,701	43.78%		239,184	51.02%		4,887,152	50.29%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		805	1.37%		6,106	1.30%		123,521	1.27%
Valid Votes		58,709		98.99%	468,773		98.99%	9,717,039		98.88%
Rejected Votes		602		1.01%	4,795		1.01%	109,869		1.12%
Total Polled		59,311		75.84%	473,568		78.68%	9,826,908		69.51%
Registered Electors		78,208			601,872			14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Mawanella[8]			Kegalle Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		24,279	47.57%		210,185	51.30%		4,312,157	51.12%
	UNP		23,730	46.49%		176,376	43.05%		3,602,748	42.71%
	JVP		1,938	3.80%		14,997	3.66%		343,927	4.08%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,093	2.14%		8,122	1.98%		176,679	2.09%
Valid Votes		51,040		98.19%	409,680		98.05%	8,435,754		97.69%
Rejected Votes		943		1.81%	8,136		1.95%	199,536		2.31%
Total Polled		51,983		74.49%	417,816		76.52%	8,635,290		72.17%
Registered Electors		69,783			546,038			11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Mawanella[9]			Kegalle Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		25,400	55.74%		211,676	56.06%		4,709,205	62.28%
	UNP		19,367	42.50%		159,707	42.30%		2,715,283	35.91%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		803	1.76%		6,209	1.64%		137,040	1.81%
Valid Votes		45,570		98.27%	377,592		98.14%	7,561,526		98.03%
Rejected Votes		803		1.73%	7,139		1.86%	151,706		1.97%
Total Polled		46,373		73.61%	384,731		74.84%	7,713,232		69.12%
Registered Electors		63,001			514,055			11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Mawanella[10]			Kegalle Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		22,423	60.52%		168,720	57.11%		2,569,199	50.43%
	SLFP		14,094	38.04%		119,769	40.54%		2,289,857	44.95%
	SLMP		535	1.44%		6,923	2.34%		235,701	4.63%
Valid Votes		37,052		98.79%	295,412		98.57%	5,094,754		98.24%
Rejected Votes		452		1.21%	4,277		1.43%	91,499		1.76%
Total Polled		37,504		67.86%	299,689		67.98%	5,186,256		55.87%
Registered Electors		55,270			440,836			9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Mawanella[11]			Kegalle Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		24,108	60.02%		195,444	57.02%		3,450,815	52.93%
	SLFP		13,814	34.39%		126,538	36.92%		2,546,348	39.05%
	JVP		1,945	4.84%		13,706	4.00%		273,428	4.19%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		299	0.74%		7,074	2.06%		249,460	3.83%
Valid Votes		40,166		99.32%	342,762		98.69%	6,520,156		98.78%
Rejected Votes		275		0.68%	4,537		1.31%	80,470		1.22%
Total Polled		40,441		82.75%	347,299		84.30%	6,600,626		80.15%
Registered Electors		48,873			411,994			8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Mawanella has matched the final country result 4 out of 7 times. Hence, Mawanella is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year	Mawanella		Kegalle Electoral District		MAE[12] %	Sri Lanka		MAE[13] %
2015		UNP		UNP	9.63%		UNP	9.45%
2010		UPFA		UPFA	6.09%		UPFA	2.04%
2004		UNP		UPFA	5.78%		UPFA	5.14%
2001		UNP		UNP	7.28%		UNP	7.21%
2000		UNP		PA	6.50%		PA	5.56%
1994		UNP		UNP	2.57%		PA	6.09%
1989		UNP		UNP	1.34%		UNP	6.63%
Matches/Mean MAE	4/7		6/7		5.60%	7/7		6.02%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Mawanella[14]			Kegalle Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		37,910	59.61%		247,467	49.52%		5,098,916	45.77%
	UPFA		22,446	35.29%		227,208	45.47%		4,732,664	42.48%
	JVP		2,282	3.59%		18,394	3.68%		544,154	4.88%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		960	1.51%		6,661	1.33%		101,045	0.91%
Valid Votes		63,598		96.41%	499,730		96.35%	11,140,333		95.35%
Rejected Votes		2,348		3.56%	18,770		3.62%	516,926		4.42%
Total Polled		65,968		72.79%	518,674		79.81%	11,684,111		77.66%
Registered Electors		90,627			649,878			15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Mawanella[15]			Kegalle Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		26,467	60.62%		242,463	66.89%		4,846,388	60.38%
	UNP		15,476	35.45%		104,925	28.95%		2,357,057	29.37%
	DNA		1,544	3.54%		13,518	3.73%		441,251	5.50%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		175	0.40%		1,549	0.43%		33,973	0.42%
Valid Votes		43,662		93.59%	362,455		93.32%	8,026,322		96.03%
Rejected Votes		2,989		6.41%	25,965		6.68%	581,465		6.96%
Total Polled		46,651		56.16%	388,420		60.93%	8,358,246		59.29%
Registered Electors		83,066			637,524			14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Mawanella[16]			Kegalle Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		26,099	49.36%		186,641	44.32%		3,486,792	37.73%
	UPFA		23,290	44.05%		214,267	50.88%		4,223,126	45.70%
	JHU		3,151	5.96%		18,034	4.28%		552,723	5.98%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		334	0.63%		2,187	0.52%		59,247	0.64%
Valid Votes		52,874		94.88%	421,134		94.25%	9,241,931		94.52%
Rejected Votes		2,853		5.12%	25,685		5.75%	534,452		5.47%
Total Polled		55,727		73.21%	446,816		78.35%	9,777,821		75.74%
Registered Electors		76,115			570,299			12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Mawanella[17]			Kegalle Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		30,845	57.76%		208,104	49.36%		4,086,026	45.62%
	PA		17,641	33.03%		170,901	40.53%		3,330,815	37.19%
	JVP		4,116	7.71%		36,711	8.71%		815,353	9.10%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		801	1.50%		5,924	1.40%		123,245	1.38%
Valid Votes		53,403		95.43%	421,640		94.90%	8,955,844		94.77%
Rejected Votes		2,560		4.57%	22,669		5.10%	494,009		5.23%
Total Polled		55,963		76.59%	444,309		80.10%	9,449,878		76.03%
Registered Electors		73,064			554,698			12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Mawanella[18]			Kegalle Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		23,751	47.49%		175,627	42.69%		3,451,765	40.12%
	PA		19,976	39.94%		201,114	48.88%		3,899,329	45.33%
	NUA		2,901	5.80%		4,797	1.17%		185,593	2.16%
	JVP		2,428	4.86%		22,028	5.35%		518,725	6.03%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		953	1.91%		7,846	1.91%		233,914	2.72%
Valid Votes		50,009		N/A	411,412		N/A	8,602,617		N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Mawanella[19]			Kegalle Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		25,921	53.79%		203,938	51.24%		3,498,370	44.04%
	PA		21,814	45.27%		190,689	47.91%		3,887,805	48.94%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		452	0.94%		3,383	0.85%		90,078	1.13%
Valid Votes		48,187		96.00%	398,010		95.89%	7,943,688		95.20%
Rejected Votes		2,010		4.00%	17,043		4.11%	400,395		4.80%
Total Polled		50,197		79.68%	415,053		80.78%	8,344,095		74.75%
Registered Electors		63,001			513,825			11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Mawanella[20]			Kegalle Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		20,193	60.39%		174,334	61.12%		2,838,005	50.71%
	SLFP		9,066	27.11%		80,668	28.28%		1,785,369	31.90%
	ELJP		3,831	11.46%		14,056	4.93%		67,723	1.21%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		348	1.04%		16,196	5.68%		232,463	4.15%
Valid Votes		33,438		93.37%	285,254		93.95%	5,596,468		93.87%
Rejected Votes		2,375		6.63%	18,362		6.05%	365,563		6.13%
Total Polled		35,813		66.15%	303,616		69.46%	5,962,031		63.60%
Registered Electors		54,137			437,131			9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Mawanella Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (68.4%) and a significant Moor population (30.3%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Mawanella Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (85.5%) ^[1]

Ethnicity in Mawanella^[1]

  Sinhalese (68.4%)

  Moor (30.3%)

  Other (1.4%)

Religion

The Mawanella Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (68.1%) and a significant Muslim population (30.4%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Mawanella Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (84.4%) ^[1]

Religion in Mawanella^[1]

  Buddhist (68.1%)

  Muslim (30.4%)

  Other (1.4%)

References

1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mawanella and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mawanella and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mawanella and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mawanella and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.