The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Overview
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 189,006 | 59.52% | 119,622 | 37.67% | 8,938 | 2.81% | 317,566 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 171,071 | 50.77% | 155,706 | 46.21% | 10,185 | 3.02% | 336,962 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 225,157 | 78.51% | 50,690 | 17.68% | 10,923 | 3.81% | 286,770 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
Total | 585,234 | 62.17% | 326,018 | 34.63% | 30,046 | 3.19% | 941,298 | 100.0% |
District 1
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Fortenberry: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Bolz: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is located in eastern Nebraska surrounding Omaha and its suburbs, taking in Lincoln, Bellevue, Fremont, and Norfolk. The incumbent was Republican Jeff Fortenberry, who was re-elected with 60.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Jeff Fortenberry, incumbent U.S. representative[2]
Declined
- Nicholas Oviatt, part-time consultant[3]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) | 84,017 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 84,017 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Endorsements
Newspapers
Organizations
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kate Bolz | 43,400 | 77.6 | |
Democratic | Barbara Ramsey | 12,497 | 22.4 | |
Total votes | 55,897 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Dennis B. Grace | 1,047 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 1,047 | 100.0 |
General election
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Jeff Fortenberry | Kate Bolz | |||||
1 | Oct. 14, 2020 | Nebraska Public Media | Dennis Kellogg | [20] | P | P |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[22] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[24] | Likely R | September 9, 2020 |
Daily Kos[25] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[26] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[27] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) | 189,006 | 59.5 | |
Democratic | Kate Bolz | 119,622 | 37.7 | |
Libertarian | Dennis B. Grace | 8,938 | 2.8 | |
Total votes | 317,566 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 2
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Bacon: 60–70% Eastman: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district covers the Omaha metropolitan area, including all of Douglas County, home to the city of Omaha, and suburban parts of western Sarpy County, including La Vista and Papillon. The incumbent was Republican Don Bacon, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Kara Eastman was the Democratic nominee.[29] She started a nonprofit consulting company in 2019, and was previously the executive director of the Omaha Healthy Kids Alliance.[30] That organization focuses on reducing lead poisoning, and Lee Terry described it as a nonpartisan project.[31] She is a former member of the Board of Governors of Metropolitan Community College.[32]
President Donald Trump endorsed Bacon, and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden endorsed Eastman.[33]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Don Bacon (incumbent) | 68,531 | 90.6 | |
Republican | Paul Anderson | 7,106 | 9.4 | |
Total votes | 75,637 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Ann Ashford, attorney and wife of former U.S. Representative Brad Ashford[36]
- Kara Eastman, nonprofit executive and nominee for Nebraska's 2nd congressional district in 2018[37]
- Gladys Harrison, general manager of Big Mama's Kitchen[38]
Withdrew
Declined
- Heath Mello, chief lobbyist for the University of Nebraska system, former state senator, and nominee for mayor of Omaha in 2017[42]
- Denise Blaya Powell, founder of Women Who Run[43]
Endorsements
U.S. senators
- Bob Kerrey, former senator from Nebraska and former governor of Nebraska[44]
- Ben Nelson, former senator from Nebraska and former governor of Nebraska[44]
U.S. representatives
- Brad Ashford, former representative from Nebraska's 2nd congressional district and husband of Ann Ashford[44]
- John Joseph Cavanaugh III, former representative from Nebraska's 2nd congressional district[44]
- John Delaney, former representative from Maryland's 6th congressional district[45]
Statewide officials
- Kim Robak, former lieutenant governor of Nebraska[46]
State officials
- Burke Harr, former state senator[47]
- Gwen Howard, former state senator[48]
- Bob Krist, former state senator and Democratic nominee for Governor of Nebraska in 2018[49]
- Steve Lathrop, state senator[50]
Individuals
- Michael Fahey, former mayor of Omaha[51]
Organizations
- LEAP Forward Project[52]
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
- Lisa Blunt Rochester, Representative from Delaware's at-large congressional district[54]
- Lois Frankel, Representative from Florida's 21st congressional district[54]
- Pramila Jayapal, Representative from Washington's 7th congressional district[54]
- Ro Khanna, Representative from California's 17th congressional district[55]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Representative from New York's 14th congressional district[56]
- Mark Pocan, Representative from Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district[54]
- Jamie Raskin, Representative from Maryland's 8th congressional district[54]
State officials
- Tanya Cook, former state senator[54]
- Brenda Council, Omaha city councilwoman and former state senator[54]
- Megan Hunt, state senator[54]
- Justin Wayne, state senator[54]
Local officials
- Mike Boyle, county commissioner and former mayor of Omaha[54]
- Marian Fey, former member of the Omaha public schools board[54]
- Ben Gray, Omaha city councilman[54]
- Jay Irwin, member of the Ralston school board[54]
- Tim Rouse, former president of the Omaha city council
- Amanda Ryan, member of the Omaha public school board[54]
- Marque Snow, president of the Omaha public school board[54]
- Jim Suttle, former mayor of Omaha[54]
Individuals
- Roger Garcia, member of the Metropolitan Community College board[54]
- Mondaire Jones, 2020 Democratic nominee for New York's 17th congressional district[57]
- Alexander Payne, filmmaker[54]
- Mark Ruffalo, actor[58]
- Barbara Weitz, member of the University of Nebraska Board of Regents[54]
- Michael Young, member of the Metropolitan Community College Board[54]
Organizations
- American Progressives in STEM[59]
- Brand New Congress[60]
- Congressional Progressive Caucus
- Courage to Change[61]
- Democracy for America[62]
- Justice Democrats[63]
- National Organization for Women
- Peace Action[56]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee
- Progressive Rising[16]
- Sierra Club
- Warren Democrats
Parties
- Cannabis Rights Party of Nebraska[64]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kara Eastman | 45,953 | 62.1 | |
Democratic | Ann Ashford | 23,059 | 31.2 | |
Democratic | Gladys Harrison | 4,920 | 6.7 | |
Total votes | 73,932 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Tyler Schaeffer[65]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Tyler Schaeffer | 964 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 964 | 100.0 |
General election
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Don Bacon | Kara Eastman | |||||
1 | Oct. 12, 2020 | Nebraska Public Media | Dennis Kellogg | [66] | P | P |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[67] | Tossup | July 16, 2020 |
Inside Elections[68] | Tilt D (flip) | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Politico[24] | Tossup | September 9, 2020 |
Daily Kos[25] | Lean R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[26] | Tossup | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[27] | Tossup | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Don Bacon (R) |
Kara Eastman (D) |
Tyler Schaeffer (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNLV Lee Business School[69] | October 30 – November 2, 2020 | 191 (LV) | ± 7% | 47% | 46% | – | – | – |
Change Research[70] | October 29 – November 2, 2020 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | 2% | 0%[b] | 2% |
Emerson College[71] | October 29–30, 2020 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50%[c] | 47% | – | 2% | – |
FM3 Research (D)[72][A] | October 1–4, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 47% | 6% | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[73] | September 25–27, 2020 | 420 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 43% | 3% | 1%[d] | 8%[e] |
Global Strategy Group (D)[74][B] | September 14–16, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 4% | – | 7%[e] |
Global Strategy Group (D)[75][B] | July 27–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 42% | 4% | – | 7%[e] |
GQR Research (D)[76][C] | June 30 – July 5, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.37% | 49% | 50% | – | – | – |
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[77][D] | May 7–10, 2020 | 448 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 48% | – | – | – |
GQR Research (D)[78][C] | September 9–12, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 49% | – | – | – |
with Ann Ashford
with Gladys Harrison
Endorsements
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[79]
Federal officials
- Brad Ashford, former U.S. representative from NE-02 (Democrat)[80]
- Deb Fischer, U.S. senator from Nebraska[81]
- Joe Lieberman, former U.S. senator from Connecticut (1989–2013)[82] (Independent)
- Jim Moran, former U.S. representative (VA-08) (1991–2015)[83] (Democrat)
State officials
- Bob Krist, former state senator (2009–2019) and 2018 Democratic gubernatorial nominee[84] (Democrat)
- Pete Ricketts, Governor[85]
Local officials
- Carroll Smith, mayor of Valley[86] (Democrat)
- Jean Stothert, mayor of Omaha[87]
Organizations
Individuals
- Barry Rubin, former Nebraska Democratic Party executive director (2003–2006)[89] (Democrat)
Former US Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th vice president of the United States and 2020 Democratic nominee for President[90]
- Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017, former senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[91]
Federal officials
- Lisa Blunt Rochester, U.S. representative (DE-AL)[54]
- Judy Chu, U.S. representative (CA-27)[92]
- John Delaney, former U.S. representative (MD_06)[92]
- Debbie Dingell, U.S. representative from (MI-12)[92]
- Lois Frankel, U.S. representative (FL-21)[54]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. senator from New York and former 2020 presidential candidate[93]
- Deb Haaland, U.S. representative (NM-01)[92]
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California; 2020 vice presidential nominee[94]
- Pramila Jayapal, U.S. representative (WA-07)[54]
- Bob Kerrey, former U.S. senator from Nebraska (1989–2001) and Governor (1983–1987)[95]
- Ro Khanna, U.S. representative (CA-17)[55]
- Andy Levin, U.S. representative (MI-09)[92]
- Ted Lieu, U.S. representative (CA-33)[92]
- Mark Pocan, U.S. representative (WI-02)[54]
- Katie Porter, U.S. representative (CA-45)[96]
- Jamie Raskin, U.S. representative (MD-08)[54]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont and former 2016 and 2020 presidential candidate[97]
- Jan Schakowsky, U.S. representative (IL-09)[92]
- Eric Swalwell, U.S. representative (CA-15)[92]
- Mark Takano, U.S. representative (CA-41)[92]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts and former 2020 presidential candidate[53]
State officials
- Kate Bolz, state senator and 2020 Democratic nominee in NE-01[98]
- Tanya Cook, former state senator (2009–2017)[54]
- Brenda Council, Omaha councilwoman and former state senator (2009–2013)[54]
- Megan Hunt, state senator[54]
- John S. McCollister, Nebraska state senator (Republican)[99]
- Justin Wayne, state senator[54]
Local officials
- Mike Boyle, county commissioner and former mayor of Omaha (1981–1987)[54]
- Marian Fey, former member of the Omaha public schools board[54]
- Ben Gray, Omaha councilman[54]
- Jay Irwin, member of the Ralston school board[54]
- Chris Jerram, Omaha City Council president[100]
- Tim Rouse, former Omaha City Council president
- Amanda Ryan, member of the Omaha public school board[54]
- Marque Snow, president of the Omaha public school board[54]
- Jim Suttle, former mayor of Omaha (2009–2013)[54]
Individuals
- Jamaal Bowman, 2020 Democratic nominee for New York's 16th congressional district[101]
- Gladys Harrison, local business owner and 2020 Democratic candidate in NE-02[102]
- Mondaire Jones, 2020 Democratic nominee for New York's 17th congressional district[57]
- Roger Garcia, member of the Metropolitan Community College board[54]
- Alexander Payne, filmmaker[54]
- Mark Ruffalo, actor[58]
- Jim Simon, business owner and 2002 Democratic nominee in NE-02[103]
- Barbara Weitz, member of the University of Nebraska Board of Regents[54]
- Michael Young, member of the Metropolitan Community College Board[54]
Organizations
- American Progressives in STEM[59]
- Brand New Congress[60]
- Cannabis Rights Party of Nebraska[64]
- Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC[104]
- Democracy for America[62]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee[105]
- EMILY's List[106]
- End Citizens United[107]
- Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund[108]
- Justice Democrats[63]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[109]
- Let America Vote[110]
- National Organization for Women PAC[111]
- Nebraska Democratic Party[112]
- Peace Action[56]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[113]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee
- Progressive Rising[16]
- Sierra Club[114]
Results
Despite Democratic Presidential Nominee Joe Biden winning the district by 6.5 points, Bacon defeated Eastman by 4.6 points. Eastman underperformed Biden by over 11 points.[115]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Don Bacon (incumbent) | 171,071 | 50.8 | |
Democratic | Kara Eastman | 155,706 | 46.2 | |
Libertarian | Tyler Schaeffer | 10,185 | 3.0 | |
Total votes | 336,962 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
By county
County | Don Bacon Republican | Kara Eastman Democratic | Tyler Schaeffer Libertarian | Total votes | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | # | % | # | % | # | ||
Douglas | 48.20% | 132,230 | 48.79% | 133,827 | 3.01% | 8,252 | 274,309 |
Sarpy | 61.99% | 38,841 | 34.92% | 21,879 | 3.09% | 1,933 | 62,653 |
District 3
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Smith: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district covers most of the rural western part of the state, and includes Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte, Alliance, and Scottsbluff. The incumbent was Republican Adrian Smith, who was re-elected with 76.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Larry Lee Scott Bolinger,[116] veteran, graduate from UNO, business owner in property preservation, author of 16 books, and self-defense instructor[2]
- William Elfgren, grocery worker[2][117]
- Arron Kowalski, farmer[2]
- Justin Moran, architectural draftsman, firefighter and welder[2]
- Adrian Smith, incumbent U.S. representative[118]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 96,260 | 82.6 | |
Republican | Arron Kowalski | 6,424 | 5.5 | |
Republican | Justin Moran | 6,374 | 5.5 | |
Republican | William Elfgren | 4,063 | 3.5 | |
Republican | Larry Lee Scott Bolinger | 3,389 | 2.9 | |
Total votes | 116,510 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Mark Elworth, Jr., acting chair of the Cannabis Rights Party of Nebraska, former Legal Marijuana Now nominee for president in 2020[2][119]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mark Elworth, Jr. | 26,772 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 26,776 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Dustin C. Hobbs | 561 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 561 | 100.0 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[22] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[24] | Safe R | September 9, 2020 |
Daily Kos[25] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[26] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[27] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 225,157 | 78.5 | |
Democratic | Mark Elworth Jr. | 50,690 | 17.7 | |
Libertarian | Dustin C. Hobbs | 10,923 | 3.8 | |
Total votes | 286,770 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
See also
Notes
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by the DCCC.
References
External links
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