2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 189,006 | 59.52% | 119,622 | 37.67% | 8,938 | 2.81% | 317,566 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 171,071 | 50.77% | 155,706 | 46.21% | 10,185 | 3.02% | 336,962 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 225,157 | 78.51% | 50,690 | 17.68% | 10,923 | 3.81% | 286,770 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
Total | 585,234 | 62.17% | 326,018 | 34.63% | 30,046 | 3.19% | 941,298 | 100.0% |
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Fortenberry: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Bolz: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is located in eastern Nebraska surrounding Omaha and its suburbs, taking in Lincoln, Bellevue, Fremont, and Norfolk. The incumbent was Republican Jeff Fortenberry, who was re-elected with 60.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) | 84,017 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 84,017 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Kate Bolz | 43,400 | 77.6 | |
Democratic | Barbara Ramsey | 12,497 | 22.4 | |
Total votes | 55,897 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Libertarian | Dennis B. Grace | 1,047 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 1,047 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Jeff Fortenberry | Kate Bolz | |||||
1 | Oct. 14, 2020 | Nebraska Public Media | Dennis Kellogg | [20] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[21] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[22] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[24] | Likely R | September 9, 2020 |
Daily Kos[25] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[26] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[27] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) | 189,006 | 59.5 | |
Democratic | Kate Bolz | 119,622 | 37.7 | |
Libertarian | Dennis B. Grace | 8,938 | 2.8 | |
Total votes | 317,566 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Bacon: 60–70% Eastman: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district covers the Omaha metropolitan area, including all of Douglas County, home to the city of Omaha, and suburban parts of western Sarpy County, including La Vista and Papillon. The incumbent was Republican Don Bacon, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Kara Eastman was the Democratic nominee.[29] She started a nonprofit consulting company in 2019, and was previously the executive director of the Omaha Healthy Kids Alliance.[30] That organization focuses on reducing lead poisoning, and Lee Terry described it as a nonpartisan project.[31] She is a former member of the Board of Governors of Metropolitan Community College.[32]
President Donald Trump endorsed Bacon, and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden endorsed Eastman.[33]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Don Bacon (incumbent) | 68,531 | 90.6 | |
Republican | Paul Anderson | 7,106 | 9.4 | |
Total votes | 75,637 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Kara Eastman | 45,953 | 62.1 | |
Democratic | Ann Ashford | 23,059 | 31.2 | |
Democratic | Gladys Harrison | 4,920 | 6.7 | |
Total votes | 73,932 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Libertarian | Tyler Schaeffer | 964 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 964 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Don Bacon | Kara Eastman | |||||
1 | Oct. 12, 2020 | Nebraska Public Media | Dennis Kellogg | [66] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[67] | Tossup | July 16, 2020 |
Inside Elections[68] | Tilt D (flip) | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Politico[24] | Tossup | September 9, 2020 |
Daily Kos[25] | Lean R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[26] | Tossup | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[27] | Tossup | June 7, 2020 |
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Don Bacon (R) |
Kara Eastman (D) |
Tyler Schaeffer (L) |
Other | Undecided |
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UNLV Lee Business School[69] | October 30 – November 2, 2020 | 191 (LV) | ± 7% | 47% | 46% | – | – | – |
Change Research[70] | October 29 – November 2, 2020 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | 2% | 0%[b] | 2% |
Emerson College[71] | October 29–30, 2020 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50%[c] | 47% | – | 2% | – |
FM3 Research (D)[72][A] | October 1–4, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 47% | 6% | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[73] | September 25–27, 2020 | 420 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 43% | 3% | 1%[d] | 8%[e] |
Global Strategy Group (D)[74][B] | September 14–16, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 4% | – | 7%[e] |
Global Strategy Group (D)[75][B] | July 27–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 42% | 4% | – | 7%[e] |
GQR Research (D)[76][C] | June 30 – July 5, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.37% | 49% | 50% | – | – | – |
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[77][D] | May 7–10, 2020 | 448 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 48% | – | – | – |
GQR Research (D)[78][C] | September 9–12, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 49% | – | – | – |
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with Gladys Harrison
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Despite Democratic Presidential Nominee Joe Biden winning the district by 6.5 points, Bacon defeated Eastman by 4.6 points. Eastman underperformed Biden by over 11 points.[115]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Don Bacon (incumbent) | 171,071 | 50.8 | |
Democratic | Kara Eastman | 155,706 | 46.2 | |
Libertarian | Tyler Schaeffer | 10,185 | 3.0 | |
Total votes | 336,962 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
County | Don Bacon Republican | Kara Eastman Democratic | Tyler Schaeffer Libertarian | Total votes | |||
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% | # | % | # | % | # | ||
Douglas | 48.20% | 132,230 | 48.79% | 133,827 | 3.01% | 8,252 | 274,309 |
Sarpy | 61.99% | 38,841 | 34.92% | 21,879 | 3.09% | 1,933 | 62,653 |
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Smith: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district covers most of the rural western part of the state, and includes Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte, Alliance, and Scottsbluff. The incumbent was Republican Adrian Smith, who was re-elected with 76.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 96,260 | 82.6 | |
Republican | Arron Kowalski | 6,424 | 5.5 | |
Republican | Justin Moran | 6,374 | 5.5 | |
Republican | William Elfgren | 4,063 | 3.5 | |
Republican | Larry Lee Scott Bolinger | 3,389 | 2.9 | |
Total votes | 116,510 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Mark Elworth, Jr. | 26,772 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 26,776 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Libertarian | Dustin C. Hobbs | 561 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 561 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[21] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[22] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[24] | Safe R | September 9, 2020 |
Daily Kos[25] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[26] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[27] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 225,157 | 78.5 | |
Democratic | Mark Elworth Jr. | 50,690 | 17.7 | |
Libertarian | Dustin C. Hobbs | 10,923 | 3.8 | |
Total votes | 286,770 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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