2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

For related races, see 2022 United States House of Representatives elections.

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the seventeen seats in Pennsylvania (reduced from 18 in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 United States census).

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
All 17 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party   Party Democratic Republican Last election 9 9 Seats won 9 8 Seat change 1 Popular vote 2,436,919 2,702,262 Percentage 47.30% 52.45% Swing 2.07% 1.82%
Election results by district Election results by county Democratic   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   >90% Republican   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   >90%

Pennsylvania's legislature enacted new district maps in January 2022, which were promptly vetoed by Governor Tom Wolf. The state supreme court took control of the process and selected a map in February 2022. After the court rejected several legal challenges in March, the new district boundaries were used in the May 2022 primary elections.^[1][2]

Despite losing the popular vote, with one Democratic and two Republican incumbents running unopposed, Democrats won the majority of seats in the state for the first time since 2008. As a result, Pennsylvania was one of only two states in which the party that won the state's popular vote did not win a majority of seats in 2022, the other state being Nevada.

District 1

2022 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee Brian Fitzpatrick Ashley Ehasz Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 201,571 165,809 Percentage 54.9% 45.1%

County results Precinct results Fitzpatrick:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80% Ehasz:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%

U.S. Representative before election Brian Fitzpatrick Republican Elected U.S. Representative Brian Fitzpatrick Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is based in the northern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Bucks County and parts of Montgomery County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.^[3] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 5 points in 2020. Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, who had represented the district since 2017, was most recently re-elected in 2022 with 54.9% of the vote.^[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Brian Fitzpatrick, incumbent U.S. Representative^[5][6]

Eliminated in primary

• Alex Entin, procurement manager^[7]

Withdrawn

• Caroline Avery, personal antiquities buyer (running as a Libertarian)^[8]
• Bradley Lanning, realtor^[9][10]
• Dasha Pruett, photographer and nominee for Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district in 2020^[11][10]

Endorsements

Brian Fitzpatrick

Organizations

• AIPAC PAC^[12]
• Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions^[13]
• Pro-Israel America^[14]
• Republican Jewish Coalition PAC^[15]
• U.S. Chamber of Commerce^[16]

Results

Republican primary results^[6]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent)	60,502	65.57
	Republican	Alex Entin	31,772	34.43
Total votes			92,274	100.00

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ashley Ehasz, former U.S. Army pilot^[17][18]

Withdrawn

• Eric Bruno, former auto mechanic^[19]
• Paul Fermo, former U.S. Navy pilot^[20]

Endorsements

Ashley Ehasz

Organizations

• NARAL Pro-Choice America^[21]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund^[22]
• VoteVets.org^[23]

Results

Democratic primary results^[18]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Ashley Ehasz	79,546	100.00
Total votes			79,546	100.00

Independent and third-party candidates

Libertarian Party

Disqualified

• Caroline Avery, personal antiquities buyer (originally ran as a Republican)^[24]

Endorsements

Caroline Avery

Organizations

• Gun Owners of America^[25]

Green Party

Withdrawn

• Henry Conoly, activist^{[26][27][better source needed]}

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Solid R	May 26, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Solid R	August 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Likely R	March 2, 2022
Politico[31]	Likely R	October 3, 2022
RCP[32]	Lean R	June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]	Likely R	August 22, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538[35]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist[36]	Likely R	September 28, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Brian Fitzpatrick (R)

Organizations

• Giffords^[37]

Ashley Ehasz (D)

Organizations

• End Citizens United^[38]
• Indivisible^[38]
• Jewish Democratic Council of America^[39]
• National Organization for Women PAC^[38]
• National Women's Political Caucus^[38]
• Swing Left^[38]

Newspapers

• The Philadelphia Inquirer^[38]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Brian Fitzpatrick (R)	Ashley Ehasz (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[40][A]	September 5–8, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.0%	55%	35%	–	10%
RMG Research[41]	July 22–29, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	42%	35%	10%	13%
Public Policy Polling (D)[42][B]	June 24–25, 2022	626 (LV)	± 3.9%	45%	38%	–	18%

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent)	201,571	54.87
	Democratic	Ashley Ehasz	165,809	45.13
Total votes			367,380	100.00
	Republican hold

District 2

2022 Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee Brendan Boyle Aaron Bashir Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 141,229 45,454 Percentage 75.7% 24.3%

County results Boyle:      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Brendan Boyle Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Brendan Boyle Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district is based in central and northeastern Philadelphia. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.^[3] It has a PVI of D+22 and voted for Joe Biden by 43 points in 2020. Democrat Brendan Boyle, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 with 75.7% of the vote.^[44]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Brendan Boyle, incumbent U.S. Representative^[45]

Declined

• Sharif Street, state senator from the 3rd district and son of former Philadelphia Mayor John F. Street^[46]

Endorsements

Brendan Boyle

Labor unions

• Health Professionals and Allied Employees^[47]

Organizations

• AIPAC PAC^[12]
• Congressional Black Caucus PAC^[48]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund^[22]
• Sierra Club^[49]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Brendan Boyle	Sharif Street	Undecided
MuniciPoll (D)[50][C]	December 4–7, 2021	939 (LV)	± 3.2%	58%	18%	24%

Hypothetical polling

Results

Democratic primary results^[45]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Brendan Boyle (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			53,825	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Aaron Bashir^[51][52]

Results

Republican primary results^[52]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Aaron Bashir	Unopposed
Total votes			11,796	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Solid D	February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Solid D	March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Safe D	March 2, 2022
Politico[31]	Solid D	April 5, 2022
RCP[32]	Safe D	June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]	Solid D	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Solid D	July 20, 2022
538[35]	Solid D	June 30, 2022
The Economist[36]	Safe D	September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Brendan Boyle (incumbent)	141,229	75.7
	Republican	Aaron Bashir	45,454	24.3
Total votes			186,683	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 3

2022 Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee Dwight Evans Christopher Hoeppner Party Democratic Socialist Workers Popular vote 251,115 12,820 Percentage 95.1% 4.9%

County results Evans:      >90%

U.S. Representative before election Dwight Evans Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Dwight Evans Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district is based in west and south Philadelphia. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.^[3] It has a PVI of D+40, making it the second most democratic leaning district in the nation (behind NY-13), and voted for Joe Biden by 81 points. Democrat Dwight Evans, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 with 95.1% of the vote.^[53]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Dwight Evans, incumbent U.S. Representative^[54]

Eliminated in primary

• Michael Cogbill^[51]
• Alexandra Hunt, public health researcher^[55]

Declined

• Helen Gym, Philadelphia City Councilor^[56]

Endorsements

Dwight Evans

Labor unions

• Health Professionals and Allied Employees^[47]

Organizations

• Giffords^[57]
• J Street^[58]
• League of Conservation Voters^[59]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund^[22]
• Sierra Club^[49]

Alexandra Hunt

Individuals

• Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for the Democratic nomination for President of the United States in 2020^[60]

Results

Democratic primary results^[54]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dwight Evans (incumbent)	97,709	75.7
	Democratic	Alexandra Hunt	25,712	19.9
	Democratic	Michael Cogbill	5,728	4.4
Total votes			129,149	100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Socialist Workers Party

Qualified for ballot

• Christopher Hoeppner, freight train conductor^[61][62]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Solid D	February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Solid D	March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Safe D	March 2, 2022
Politico[31]	Solid D	April 5, 2022
RCP[32]	Safe D	June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]	Solid D	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Solid D	July 20, 2022
538[35]	Solid D	June 30, 2022
The Economist[36]	Safe D	September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dwight Evans (incumbent)	251,115	95.1
	Socialist Workers	Christopher Hoeppner	12,820	4.9
Total votes			263,935	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 4

2022 Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee Madeleine Dean Christian Nascimento Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 224,799 141,986 Percentage 61.3% 38.7%

County results Dean:      60–70% Nascimento:      50-60%

U.S. Representative before election Madeleine Dean Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Madeleine Dean Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is based in the western suburbs of Philadelphia, including most of Montgomery County and parts of Berks County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.^[3] It has a PVI of D+7 and voted for Joe Biden by 19 points in 2020. Democrat Madeleine Dean, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 61.3% of the vote in the general election.^[63]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Madeleine Dean, incumbent U.S. Representative^[64][65]

Endorsements

Madeleine Dean

Organizations

• AIPAC PAC^[12]
• Feminist Majority PAC^[66]
• Giffords^[57]
• League of Conservation Voters^[59]
• Pennsylvania AFL-CIO^[67]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund^[22]
• Sierra Club^[49]

Results

Democratic primary results^[65]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Madeleine Dean (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			96,876	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Christian Nascimento, vice president of product at Comcast and former Methacton School Board president^[68][69]

Eliminated in primary

• Daniel Burton

Results

Republican primary results^[69]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Christian Nascimento	47,192	68.8
	Republican	Daniel Burton	21,378	31.2
Total votes			68,570	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Solid D	February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Solid D	March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Safe D	March 2, 2022
Politico[31]	Solid D	April 5, 2022
RCP[32]	Safe D	June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]	Solid D	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Solid D	July 20, 2022
538[35]	Solid D	June 30, 2022
The Economist[36]	Safe D	September 28, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Madeleine Dean (D)

Labor unions

• Communications Workers of America^[70]
• National Education Association^[71]
• SEIU Pennsylvania State Council^[72]

Organizations

• Clean Water Action^[73]
• Jewish Democratic Council of America^[74]
• Population Connection Action Fund^[75]

Christian Nascimento (R)

Organizations

• Log Cabin Republicans^[76]

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Madeleine Dean (incumbent)	224,799	61.3
	Republican	Christian Nascimento	141,986	38.7
Total votes			366,785	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 5

2022 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee Mary Gay Scanlon David Galluch Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 205,128 110,058 Percentage 65.1% 34.9%

County results Scanlon:      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Mary Gay Scanlon Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Mary Gay Scanlon Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district

The 5th district is based in the southwestern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Delaware County, parts of Montgomery County, and parts of south Philadelphia. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.^[3] It has a PVI of D+14 and voted for Joe Biden by 32 points in 2020. Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon, who had represented the district since 2018, was most recently re-elected in 2022 winning 65.1% of the vote in the general election.^[77]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mary Gay Scanlon, incumbent U.S. Representative^[65]

Endorsements

Mary Gay Scanlon

Organizations

• Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC^[78]
• End Citizens United^[79]
• Feminist Majority PAC^[66]
• Giffords^[57]
• J Street^[58]
• League of Conservation Voters^[59]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund^[22]
• Sierra Club^[49]

Results

Democratic primary results^[80]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			79,816	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• David Galluch, Navy veteran^[81][82]

Results

Republican primary results^[82]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	David Galluch	Unopposed
Total votes			55,770	100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Libertarian Party

Filed paperwork

• Robert Margus^[83]

General election

Forum

2022 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district candidate forum

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Republican
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Mary Gay Scanlon	David Galluch
1	Oct. 10, 2022	League of Women Voters of Delaware County League of Women Voters of Lower Merion & Narberth	Jamie Mogil	[84]	P	P

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Solid D	February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Solid D	March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Safe D	March 2, 2022
Politico[31]	Solid D	April 5, 2022
RCP[32]	Safe D	June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]	Solid D	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Solid D	July 20, 2022
538[35]	Solid D	June 30, 2022
The Economist[36]	Safe D	September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent)	205,128	65.1
	Republican	David Galluch	110,058	34.9
Total votes			315,186	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 6

2022 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee Chrissy Houlahan Guy Ciarrocchi Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 190,386 136,097 Percentage 58.3% 41.7%

County results Houlahan:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Chrissy Houlahan Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Chrissy Houlahan Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district

The 6th district includes all of Chester County and the city of Reading in Berks County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.^[3] It has a PVI of D+5 and voted for Joe Biden by 15 points in 2020. Democrat Chrissy Houlahan, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 garnering 58.3% of the vote in the general election.^[85]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Chrissy Houlahan, incumbent U.S. Representative^[86][87]

Endorsements

Chrissy Houlahan

Organizations

• 314 Action^[88]
• AIPAC PAC^[12]
• End Citizens United^[79]
• Feminist Majority PAC^[66]
• Giffords^[57]
• National Women's Political Caucus^[89]
• New Politics^[90]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund^[22]
• Sierra Club^[49]
• VoteVets.org^[23]

Results

Democratic primary results^[87]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			71,950	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Guy Ciarrocchi, CEO of the Chester County Chamber of Business & Industry and former chief of staff to Lieutenant Governor Jim Cawley^[91][92]

Eliminated in primary

• Steve Fanelli, businessman^[93]
• Regina Mauro, businesswoman^[94]
• Ron Vogel, realtor^[95]

Endorsements

Regina Mauro

Organizations

• Republican National Hispanic Assembly^[96]

Results

Republican primary results^[92]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Guy Ciarrochi	23,369	33.1
	Republican	Steve Fanelli	21,146	29.9
	Republican	Ron Vogel	15,628	22.1
	Republican	Regina Mauro	10,565	14.9
Total votes			70,708	100.0

General election

Debate

2022 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Republican
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Chrissy Houlahan	Guy Ciarrocchi
1	Oct. 25, 2022	Greater Reading Unity Coalition	Anthony Orozco	[97]	P	P

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Solid D	February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Solid D	March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Likely D	March 2, 2022
Politico[31]	Likely D	April 5, 2022
RCP[32]	Lean D	October 17, 2022
Fox News[33]	Solid D	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Likely D	November 1, 2022
538[35]	Solid D	June 30, 2022
The Economist[36]	Likely D	November 1, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Chrissy Houlahan (D)

Labor unions

• National Education Association^[98]
• Pennsylvania AFL-CIO^[67]

Organizations

• Clean Water Action^[73]
• Council for a Livable World^[98]
• EMILY's List^[98]
• Everytown for Gun Safety^[98]
• Human Rights Campaign^[98]
• League of Conservation Voters^[98]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America^[98]
• National Organization for Women PAC^[99]

Guy Ciarrocchi

Statewide officials

• Timothy DeFoor, Auditor General of Pennsylvania (2021–present)^[100]

U.S. Representatives

• Lloyd Smucker, PA-16 (2017–2019), PA-8 (2019–present)^[100]

State legislators

• Harry Lewis, Pennsylvania state representative, 74th district (2015–2018)^[100]

Organizations

• National Federation of Independent Business^[101]
• National Right to Life Committee^[102]

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent)	190,386	58.3
	Republican	Guy Ciarrocchi	136,097	41.7
Total votes			326,483	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 7

2022 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee Susan Wild Lisa Scheller Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 151,364 145,527 Percentage 51.0% 49.0%

County results Precinct results Wild:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90% Scheller:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90% Tied:

U.S. Representative before election Susan Wild Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Susan Wild Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district

The 7th district is based in the Lehigh Valley, including all of Lehigh, Northampton, and Carbon counties and a small sliver of Monroe County. The district was modestly altered by redistricting, losing Stroudsburg in exchange for Carbon County.^[3] This made the district more conservative, with a PVI of R+2, but it voted for Joe Biden by 0.6 points in 2020. Democrat Susan Wild, a representative since 2018, was most recently re-elected in 2022 winning 51.0% of the vote.^[103]

During the campaign, a research firm contracted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inappropriately obtained the military records of candidate Kevin Dellicker.^[104]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Susan Wild, incumbent U.S. Representative^[105][106]

Endorsements

Susan Wild

Organizations

• AIPAC PAC^[12]
• Democratic Majority for Israel^[107]
• EMILY's List^[108]
• End Citizens United^[79]
• Feminist Majority PAC^[66]
• Giffords^[109]
• Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund^[110]
• League of Conservation Voters^[59]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America^[111]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund^[22]
• Pro-Israel America^[14]
• Sierra Club^[49]

Labor unions

• National Education Association^[71]

Results

Democratic primary results^[106]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Susan Wild (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			63,817	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Lisa Scheller, former Lehigh County commissioner and nominee for Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district in 2020^[112][113]

Eliminated in primary

• Kevin Dellicker, businessman and former National Guardsman^[114]

Withdrew

• Ryan Mackenzie, state representative from the 134th district^{[115][116][117]}

Endorsements

Lisa Scheller

Executive branch officials

• Mike Pompeo, United States Secretary of State (2018–2021), Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (2017–2018), U.S. Representative from Kansas's 4th congressional district (2011–2017)^[118]

U.S. Representatives

• Kevin McCarthy, House Minority Leader (2019–2023), House Majority Leader (2014–2019), U.S. Representative from California's 23rd congressional district (2013–present), California's 22nd congressional district (2007–2013)^[118]

Organizations

• Maggie's List^[119]

Results

Republican primary results^[113]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Lisa Scheller	34,504	51.3
	Republican	Kevin Dellicker	32,713	48.7
Total votes			67,217	100.0

General election

Debate

2022 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Republican
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Susan Wild	Lisa Scheller
1	Oct. 21, 2022	Lehigh Valley News WLVR-FM WLVT-TV	Jen Rehill Tom Shortell	[120]	P	P

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Tossup	October 5, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Tossup	March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Lean R (flip)	November 7, 2022
Politico[31]	Tossup	April 5, 2022
RCP[32]	Lean R (flip)	June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]	Lean R (flip)	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Tossup	July 20, 2022
538[35]	Tossup	August 3, 2022
The Economist[36]	Tossup	September 28, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Susan Wild (D)	Lisa Scheller (R)	Other	Undecided
Muhlenberg College[121]	October 12–14, 2022	404 (LV)	± 6.0%	47%	46%	4%	4%
RMG Research[122]	July 31 – August 5, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	43%	47%	2%	8%

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Susan Wild (incumbent)	151,364	51.0
	Republican	Lisa Scheller	145,527	49.0
Total votes			296,891	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 8

2022 Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee Matt Cartwright Jim Bognet Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 146,956 139,930 Percentage 51.2% 48.8%

County results Precinct results Cartwright:      50-60% Bognet:      50-60%      60-70% Precinct results Cartwright:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90% Bognet:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%

U.S. Representative before election Matt Cartwright Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Matt Cartwright Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district

The 8th district is based in Northeast Pennsylvania, specifically the Wyoming Valley and Pocono Mountains, including all of Lackawanna, Wayne, and Pike counties, and most of Luzerne and Monroe counties. The district added Stroudsburg in redistricting, making it slightly more liberal.^[3] It has a PVI of R+4 and voted for Donald Trump by 3 points in 2020. Democrat Matt Cartwright, who had represented the district since 2013, was most recently re-elected in 2022 garnering 51.2% of the vote in the general election.^[123]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Matt Cartwright, incumbent U.S. Representative^[124][125]

Endorsements

Matt Cartwright

Organizations

• AIPAC PAC^[126]
• End Citizens United^[79]
• Feminist Majority PAC^[66]
• Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund^[110]
• J Street^[58]
• League of Conservation Voters^[59]
• Sierra Club^[49]

Labor unions

• National Education Association^[71]

Results

Democratic primary results^[125]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Matt Cartwright (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			68,696	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jim Bognet, former senior vice president for communications of the Export–Import Bank of the United States and nominee for Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district in 2020^[127][128]

Eliminated in primary

• Michael Marsicano, former mayor of Hazleton and candidate for Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district in 2020^[129]

Withdrawn

• Teddy Daniels, former police officer and U.S. Army veteran^[130][131] (ran for Lt. Governor)

Endorsements

Jim Bognet

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Donald Trump, President of the United States (2017–2021)^[132]

Results

Republican primary results^[128]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jim Bognet	47,097	68.7
	Republican	Michael Marsicano	21,436	31.3
Total votes			68,533	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Tossup	February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Tossup	March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Lean R (flip)	November 7, 2022
Politico[31]	Tossup	April 5, 2022
RCP[32]	Lean R (flip)	June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]	Tossup	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Tossup	October 1, 2022
538[35]	Tossup	November 8, 2022
The Economist[36]	Tossup	September 28, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Matt Cartwright (D)

Organizations

• National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare^[133]

Labor unions

• Communications Workers of America^[70]

Jim Bognet (R)

Organizations

• CatholicVote^[134]
• House Freedom Fund^[135]
• National Federation of Independent Business^[136]
• National Right to Life Committee^[102]
• Republican Jewish Coalition^[137]
• Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America^[138]

Debates and forums

2022 PA-8 debates and forums

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Participants
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
					Bognet	Cartwright
1	October 20, 2022	WVIA-TV	Larry Vojtko	C-SPAN[139]	P	P

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Matt Cartwright (D)	Jim Bognet (R)	Undecided [b]	Margin
FiveThirtyEight[140]	June 23 – October 28, 2022	October 31, 2022	48.1%	45.0%	6.9%	Cartwright +3.1

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Matt Cartwright (D)	Jim Bognet (R)	Undecided
Siena College/The New York Times[141]	October 19–20, 2022	415 (LV)	–	50%	44%	6%
Patriot Polling[142]	October 7–9, 2022	289 (RV)	–	40%	43%	17%
GQR Research (D)[143][D]	September 12–15, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	44%	3%
Cygnal (R)[144][E]	September 6–8, 2022	440 (LV)	–	48%	48%	4%
GQR Research (D)[145][D]	August 2–9, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	52%	46%	1%
Cygnal (R)[146][E]	June 23–25, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.7%	45%	46%	9%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Undecided
GQR Research (D)[145][D]	August 2–9, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	48%	3%
Cygnal (R)[147][E]	June 23–25, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.7%	44%	49%	7%

Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Matt Cartwright (incumbent)	146,956	51.2
	Republican	Jim Bognet	139,930	48.8
Total votes			286,886	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 9

2022 Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

← 2020 (12th)

Nominee Dan Meuser Amanda Waldman Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 209,185 92,622 Percentage 69.3% 30.7%

County results Meuser:      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Dan Meuser (Republican) Fred Keller (Republican) Elected U.S. Representative Dan Meuser Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district

The 9th district is based in North Central Pennsylvania east of the Appalachian Divide, including Williamsport, Bloomsburg, and Lebanon. The district kept most of its territory and added much of the now defunct 12th district in redistricting.^[3] It has a PVI of R+21 and voted for Donald Trump by 37 points in 2020. Republican Dan Meuser, who had represented the district since 2019, was re-elected with 66.3% of the vote in 2020.^[148] Meuser is running for re-election. Republican Fred Keller, who had represented the 12th district since 2019, was re-elected with 70.8% of the vote in 2020 and redistricted into the 15th district, but switched to run in the 9th district.^[149] However, on February 28, Keller announced that he would retire instead of go through a primary against Meuser.^[150] Meuser went on to win the general election in 2022, garnering 69.3% of the vote.^[151]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Dan Meuser, incumbent U.S. Representative^[152][153]

Withdrawn

• Fred Keller, incumbent U.S. Representative^[149][150]

Endorsements

Dan Meuser

Organizations

• AIPAC PAC^[126]

Results

Republican primary results^[153]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Dan Meuser (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			102,180	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Amanda Waldman, Medicare financial representative^[154][155]

Results

Democratic primary results^[155]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Amanda Waldman	Unopposed
Total votes			41,622	100.0

Independents and third-party candidates

Libertarian Party

Withdrawn

• Liz Terwilliger, candidate for Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district in 2020^{[156][157][158]}

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28][159]	Solid R	February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Solid R	March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Safe R	March 2, 2022
Politico[31]	Solid R	April 5, 2022
RCP[32]	Safe R	June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]	Solid R	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538[35]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist[36]	Safe R	September 28, 2022

Endorsements

Dan Meuser (R)

Organizations

• Council for Citizens Against Government Waste PAC^[160]
• National Right to Life Committee^[102]

Newspapers

• Williamsport Sun-Gazette^[161]

Amanda Waldman (D)

Labor unions

• Communications Workers of America^[70]

Debates and forums

2022 PA-9 debates and forums

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Participants
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
					Meuser	Waldman
1	October 21, 2022	WVIA-TV	Larry Vojtko	PAhomepage[162]	P	P

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Dan Meuser (incumbent)	209,185	69.3
	Democratic	Amanda Waldman	92,622	30.7
Total votes			301,807	100.0
	Republican hold

District 10

2022 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee Scott Perry Shamaine Daniels Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 169,331 145,215 Percentage 53.8% 46.2%

County results Perry:      50-60% Daniels:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Scott Perry Republican Elected U.S. Representative Scott Perry Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district

The 10th district is based in the Harrisburg and York areas, including all of Dauphin County, most of Cumberland County, and the northern half of York County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+5 and voted for Donald Trump by 4 points in 2020. Republican Scott Perry, who had represented the district since 2013, was most recently re-elected in 2022 winning 53.8% of the vote.^[163]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Scott Perry, incumbent U.S. representative and chair of the Freedom Caucus^[164]

Did not file

• Brian Allen, clinical psychologist^[165]

Endorsements

Scott Perry

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States^[166]

Organizations

• AIPAC PAC^[12]
• House Freedom Fund^[167]

Results

Republican primary results^[164]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Scott Perry (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			84,646	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Shamaine Daniels, at-large member of Harrisburg city council (2014–present)^[168][169]

Eliminated in primary

• Rick Coplen, Carlisle school board member, retired Army officer, and candidate for Pennsylvania State Senate in 2020^[170]

Declined

• Tom Brier, attorney and candidate for this seat in 2020^[171]
• Eugene DePasquale, former Pennsylvania Auditor General and nominee for Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district in 2020^[172][173]

Results

Democratic primary results^[169]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Shamaine Daniels	32,260	52.6
	Democratic	Rick Coplen	29,128	47.4
Total votes			61,388	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Solid R	May 26, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Solid R	March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Safe R	April 19, 2022
Politico[31]	Likely R	November 3, 2022
RCP[32]	Likely R	June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]	Solid R	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538[35]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist[36]	Likely R	September 28, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Scott Perry (R)	Shamaine Daniels (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[174][F]	August 9–10, 2022	714 (LV)	± 3.7%	41%	44%	15%

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Scott Perry (incumbent)	169,331	53.8
	Democratic	Shamaine Daniels	145,215	46.2
Total votes			314,546	100.0
	Republican hold

District 11

2022 Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee Lloyd Smucker Robert Hollister Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 194,991 121,835 Percentage 61.5% 38.5%

County results Smucker:      50-60%      60-70%

U.S. Representative before election Lloyd Smucker Republican Elected U.S. Representative Lloyd Smucker Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district

The 11th district is based in Pennsylvania Dutch Country, including all of Lancaster County and the southern half of York County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+14 and voted for Donald Trump by 21 points in 2020. Republican Lloyd Smucker, who had represented the district since 2017, was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 61.5% of the vote.^[175]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Lloyd Smucker, incumbent U.S. Representative^[176]

Endorsements

Lloyd Smucker

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Donald Trump, former president of the United States (2017–2021)^[177]

Organizations

• AIPAC PAC^[126]

Results

Republican primary results^[176]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Lloyd Smucker (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			96,886	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Bob Hollister, Eastern Lancaster County School Superintendent (2008–2022)^{[178][179][180][181]}

Endorsements

Bob Hollister

Trade unions

• Pennsylvania AFL-CIO^[67]

Results

Democratic primary results^[181]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Bob Hollister	Unopposed
Total votes			46,080	100.0

Independents and other parties

Libertarian Party

Failed to qualify for ballot

• Dave Womack, Dallastown Borough Council-elect, criminal justice activist^{[182][183][better source needed]}

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Solid R	February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Solid R	March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Safe R	March 2, 2022
Politico[31]	Solid R	April 5, 2022
RCP[32]	Safe R	June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]	Solid R	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538[35]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist[36]	Safe R	September 28, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Lloyd Smucker (R)

Organizations

• Council for Citizens Against Government Waste PAC^[160]
• National Right to Life Committee^[102]

Bob Hollister (D)

U.S. Senators

• Bob Casey Jr., Pennsylvania (2007–present)^[184]
• Chris Coons, Delaware (2010–present)^[184]

Statewide officials

• Eugene DePasquale, Pennsylvania Auditor General (2013–2021), Pennsylvania State Representative from the 95th district (2007–2013)^[184]

State legislators

• Patty Kim, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 103rd district (2013–present)^[184]
• Mike Sturla, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 96th district (1991–present)^[184]

Local officials

• Rick Gray, Mayor of Lancaster (2006–2018)^[184]
• Izzy Smith-Wade-El, Lancaster City Council President, 2022 candidate for Pennsylvania House of Representatives, District 49^[184]
• Danene Sorace, Mayor of Lancaster (2018–present)^[184]
• John Trescot, Lancaster County commissioner^[184]

Trade unions

• Alliance for Retired Americans^[184]
• National Education Association^[71]
• United Auto Workers^[184]

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Lloyd Smucker (incumbent)	194,991	61.5
	Democratic	Bob Hollister	121,835	38.5
Total votes			316,826	100.0
	Republican hold

District 12

2022 Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee Summer Lee Mike Doyle[c] Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 184,674 143,946 Percentage 56.2% 43.8%

County results Lee:      60-70% Doyle:      60-70%

U.S. Representative before election Mike Doyle[d] Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Summer Lee Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district and Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district

The 12th district is based in the city of Pittsburgh and its eastern and southern suburbs, including parts of Allegheny and Westmoreland counties. The district was numbered the 18th district before redistricting, with the old 12th district now eliminated. The district expanded into parts of Westmoreland County due to redistricting.^[3] It has a PVI of D+8 and voted for Joe Biden by 20 points in 2020. Democrat Mike Doyle has represented the district since 1995. He was re-elected with 69.3% of the vote in 2020.^[148] Doyle announced that he will not seek re-election in 2022.^[185] He was succeeded in Congress by Pennsylvania State House Representative Summer Lee who was elected with 56.2% of the vote.^[186]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Summer Lee, state representative from the 34th district^[187][188]

Eliminated in primary

• Jerry Dickinson, law professor and candidate for Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district in 2020^[189]
• Steve Irwin, attorney, chair of the United States Commission on Civil Rights for Pennsylvania and former commissioner of the Pennsylvania Department of Banking & Securities^[190]
• William Parker, businessman, activist and 2021 candidate for Pittsburgh mayor^[191][192]
• Jeff Woodard, executive director at Pennsylvania College Access Program^[193]

Withdrew

• Stephanie Fox, former Brentwood city councilor (endorsed Irwin, ran for state representative)^[194][195]
• Bhavini Patel, Edgewood borough councilor^[196][197]

Declined

• Mike Doyle, incumbent U.S. Representative (endorsed Irwin)^[185]

Endorsements

Jerry Dickinson

Party officials

• Jim Burn, Chair of the Pennsylvania Democratic Party (2010–2015)^[198]

Organizations

• Brand New Congress^[198]
• J Street (co-endorsement with Lee)^[199]

Steve Irwin

Executive Branch officials

• Patrick Murphy, Acting U.S. Secretary of the Army (2016), U.S. Under Secretary of the Army (2016–2017), former U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district (2007–2011)^[200]

Governors

• Ed Rendell, Governor of Pennsylvania (2003–2011), General Chair of the Democratic National Committee (1999–2001), Mayor of Philadelphia (1992–2000), District Attorney of Philadelphia (1978–1986)^[185]

U.S. Representatives

• Mike Doyle, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district (2019–2022), Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district (2003–2019), Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district (1995–2003)^[185]
• Allyson Schwartz, former U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district (2005–2015), Pennsylvania State Senator from the 4th district (1991–2005), candidate for Governor in 2014^[201]

State legislators

• Dan Frankel, Pennsylvania state representative from the 23rd district (1999–present)^[201]

Local officials

• Mike Cherepko, Mayor of McKeesport (2011–present)^[202]
• Rich Fitzgerald, chief executive of Allegheny County (2012–present)^[185]
• Bruce Kraus, Pittsburgh City Councilor from the 3rd district (2008–present), President of the Pittsburgh City Council (2014–2020)^[203]
• Dan Lavelle, Pittsburgh City Councilor from the 6th district (2010–present)^[203]
• Thomas J. Murphy Jr., former mayor of Pittsburgh (1994–2006), Pennsylvania State Representative from the 20th district (1983–1993), Pennsylvania State Representative from the 17th district (1979–1982)^[203]
• Bill Peduto, former mayor of Pittsburgh (2014–2022), Pittsburgh City Councilor from the 8th district (2002–2014)^[201]

Labor unions

• International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers-Local 3^[204]
• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers, Iron Ship Builders, Blacksmiths, Forgers and Helpers-Local 154^[204]
• International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers-Local 5^[204]
• Laborers' District Council of Western PA^[205]
• Sheet Metal Workers' International Association^[206]
• United Association – Local 27^[206]
• United Steel Workers – District 10^[207]

Organizations

• AIPAC PAC^[126]
• Allegheny County Democratic Party^[208]
• Democratic Majority for Israel^[107]
• Jewish Democratic Council of America^[209]
• Pro-Israel America^[14]

Summer Lee

U.S. Senators

• Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007–present)^[210]
• Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)^[211]

U.S. Representatives

• Cori Bush, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 1st congressional district (2021–present)^[212]
• Pramila Jayapal, U.S. Representative from Washington's 7th congressional district (2017–present)^[213]
• Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative from California's 17th congressional district (2017–present)^[212]
• Andy Levin, U.S. Representative from Michigan's 9th congressional district (2019–2023)^[214]
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Representative from New York's 14th congressional district (2019–present)^[212]
• Ilhan Omar, U.S. Representative from Minnesota's 5th congressional district (2019–present)^[212]
• Mark Pocan, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district (2013–present)^[212]
• Ayanna Pressley, U.S. Representative from Massachusetts's 7th congressional district (2019–present)^[203]
• Jan Schakowsky, U.S. Representative from Illinois's 9th congressional district (1999–present)^[214]
• Rashida Tlaib, U.S. Representative from Michigan's 13th congressional district (2019–present)^[212]

State legislators

• Joanna McClinton, Minority Leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives (2020–present), Pennsylvania state representative (2015–present)^[215]

Local officials

• Ed Gainey, Mayor of Pittsburgh (2022–present), former member of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives from the 24th district (2013–2022)^[216]

Labor unions

• Pittsburgh Federation of Teachers^[204]
• SEIU-32BJ, Healthcare PA, Local #688, PA State Council^[217][215]
• United Food and Commercial Workers Local 1776^[203]
• United Electrical Workers Local #610^[218]

Political parties

• Working Families Party^[219]

Organizations

• Congressional Progressive Caucus^[220]
• Democracy for America^[219]
• EMILY's List^[221]
• End Citizens United^[79][222]
• J Street (co-endorsement with Dickinson)^[199]
• Justice Democrats^[223]
• League of Conservation Voters^[59]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America^[21]
• Our Revolution^[224]
• Progressive Change Campaign Committee^[225]
• Progressive Democrats of America^[226]
• Sierra Club^[49]
• Stonewall Democrats - Pittsburgh chapter^[227]
• Sunrise Movement^[228][229]

Debates and forums

2022 PA-12 Democratic primary debates and forums

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Participants
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
					Dickinson	Irwin	Lee	Parker	Woodard
1[230]	May 10, 2022	Pittsburgh's Action News 4	Shannon Perrine	YouTube[231]	P	P	P	P	P

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Jerry Dickinson	Steve Irwin	Summer Lee	Will Parker	Jeff Woodard	Undecided
Mercury Public Affairs (D)[232]	Late April 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	–	30%	29%	–	–	–
GQR Research (D)[233][G]	March 26–31, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	7%	13%	38%	0%	2%	40%

Results

Democratic primary results^[234]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Summer Lee	48,002	41.9
	Democratic	Steve Irwin	47,014	41.0
	Democratic	Jerry Dickinson	12,440	10.9
	Democratic	Jeff Woodard	5,454	4.8
	Democratic	William Parker	1,670	1.5
Total votes			114,580	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mike Doyle, Plum city councilor (no relation to Democratic incumbent Mike Doyle)^[235][236]

Results

Republican primary results^[236]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mike Doyle[c]	Unopposed
Total votes			39,531	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Likely D	June 28, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Likely D	November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Likely D	October 19, 2022
Politico[31]	Lean D	November 3, 2022
RCP[32]	Lean D	November 1, 2022
Fox News[33]	Likely D	October 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Likely D	October 28, 2022
538[35]	Solid D	October 27, 2022
The Economist[36]	Safe D	November 5, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Summer Lee (D)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)^[237]

U.S. Representatives

• Mike Doyle, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district (1995–2003, 2019–2022) Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district (2003–2019) ^[238] (endorsed Steve Irwin in the primaries)

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Summer Lee (D)	Mike Doyle (R)	Undecided
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[239][H]	October 30–31, 2022	785 (LV)	± 3.5%	54%	40%	6%
Summer Lee Internal Poll (D)[240]	October 2022	–	–	44%	40%	16%

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Summer Lee	184,674	56.2
	Republican	Mike Doyle[c]	143,946	43.8
Total votes			328,620	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 13

2022 Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee John Joyce Party Republican Popular vote 260,345 Percentage 100.0

County results Joyce:      >90%

U.S. Representative before election John Joyce Republican Elected U.S. Representative John Joyce Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district

The 13th district is based in South Central Pennsylvania, including Johnstown, Altoona, and Gettysburg. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did lose its territory in Somerset and Westmoreland counties in exchange for Johnstown.^[3] The district has a PVI of R+25 and voted for Donald Trump by 45 points in 2020. Republican John Joyce, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 after being unopposed in the primary and general elections.^[241]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• John Joyce, incumbent U.S. Representative^[242]

Results

Republican primary results^[242]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Joyce (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			114,160	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declined

• Mark Critz, western region director of the Pennsylvania Department of Agriculture and former U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district (2010–2013)^[243][244] (won nomination via write-in, but declined to run)^[245]

Results

Democratic primary results^[243]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Mark Critz (write-in)	967	100.0
Total votes			967	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Solid R	February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Solid R	March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Safe R	March 2, 2022
Politico[31]	Solid R	April 5, 2022
RCP[32]	Safe R	June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]	Solid R	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538[35]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist[36]	Safe R	September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Joyce (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			260,345	100.0
	Republican hold

District 14

2022 Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee Guy Reschenthaler Party Republican Popular vote 230,865 Percentage 100.0%

County results Reschenthaler:      >90%

U.S. Representative before election Guy Reschenthaler Republican Elected U.S. Representative Guy Reschenthaler Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district

The 14th district is based in Southwest Pennsylvania, including all of Washington, Greene, and Fayette counties, most of Indiana and Somerset counties, and parts of Westmoreland County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did have to expand eastward to take in more population.^[3] It has a PVI of R+18 and voted for Donald Trump by 32 points in 2020. Republican Guy Reschenthaler, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 having been unopposed in the primary and general elections.^[246]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Guy Reschenthaler, incumbent U.S. Representative^[247]

Endorsements

Guy Reschenthaler

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Donald Trump, former president of the United States (2017–2021)^[248]

Organizations

• AIPAC PAC^[126]

Results

Republican primary results^[247]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			81,243	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Solid R	February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Solid R	March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Safe R	March 2, 2022
Politico[31]	Solid R	April 5, 2022
RCP[32]	Safe R	June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]	Solid R	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538[35]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist[36]	Safe R	September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			230,865	100.0
	Republican hold

District 15

2022 Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee Glenn Thompson Mike Molesevich Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 213,417 91,729 Percentage 69.9% 30.1%

County results Thompson:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%

U.S. Representative before election Glenn Thompson Republican Elected U.S. Representative Glenn Thompson Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district

The 15th district is based in North Central Pennsylvania west of the Appalachian Divide, including State College, Lock Haven, and Bradford. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did lose Johnstown in exchange for the parts of State College formerly in the 12th district.^[3] It has a PVI of R+20 and voted for Donald Trump by 37 points in 2020. Republican Glenn Thompson, who had represented the district since 2009, was most recently re-elected in 2022, receiving 69.9% of the vote.^[249]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Glenn Thompson, incumbent U.S. Representative^[250]

Declined

• Fred Keller, incumbent U.S. Representative^[149] (filed to run in Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district, then announced retirement)^[150]

Endorsements

Glenn Thompson

Organizations

• AIPAC PAC^[126]

Organizations

• National Rifle Association-Political Victory Fund^[251]

Results

Republican primary results^[250]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Glenn Thompson (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			99,270	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mike Molesevich, former mayor of Lewisburg, environmental consultant, and Democratic nominee for Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District in 2016^[252]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Solid R	February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Solid R	March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Safe R	March 2, 2022
Politico[31]	Solid R	April 5, 2022
RCP[32]	Safe R	June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]	Solid R	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538[35]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist[36]	Safe R	September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Glenn Thompson (incumbent)	213,417	69.9
	Democratic	Mike Molesevich	91,729	30.1
Total votes			305,146	100.0
	Republican hold

District 16

2022 Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee Mike Kelly Dan Pastore Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 190,546 130,443 Percentage 59.4% 40.6%

County results Kelly:      60-70% Pastore      50-60%

U.S. Representative before election Mike Kelly Republican Elected U.S. Representative Mike Kelly Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district

The 16th district is based in Northwest Pennsylvania, including all of Erie, Crawford, Mercer, Lawrence, and Butler counties and parts of Venango County.^[3] The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+13 and voted for Donald Trump by 21 points in 2020. Republican Mike Kelly, who had represented the district since 2011, was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 59.4% of the vote in the general election.^[253]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mike Kelly, incumbent U.S. Representative^[254][255]

Endorsements

Mike Kelly

U.S. U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Donald Trump, former president of the United States (2017–2021)^[256]

Organizations

• AIPAC PAC^[126]

Results

Republican primary results^[255]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mike Kelly (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			87,028	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Dan Pastore, FishUSA founder^[257][258]

Eliminated in primary

• Rick Telesz, farmer^[259]

Endorsements

Dan Pastore

Organizations

• Sierra Club^[49]

Results

Democratic primary results^[258]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dan Pastore	44,262	69.1
	Democratic	Rick Telesz	19,788	30.9
Total votes			64,050	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Solid R	February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Solid R	March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Safe R	March 2, 2022
Politico[31]	Solid R	April 5, 2022
RCP[32]	Safe R	June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]	Solid R	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538[35]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist[36]	Safe R	September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mike Kelly (incumbent)	190,546	59.4
	Democratic	Dan Pastore	130,443	40.6
Total votes			320,989	100.0
	Republican hold

District 17

2022 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Nominee Chris Deluzio Jeremy Shaffer Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 193,615 169,013 Percentage 53.4% 46.6%

County results Precinct results Deluzio:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Shaffer:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Tie:      40–50%      50%

U.S. Representative before election Conor Lamb Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Chris Deluzio Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district

The 17th district is based in the western and northern suburbs of Pittsburgh, including parts of Allegheny County and all of Beaver County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.^[3] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 6 points in 2020. Democrat Conor Lamb, who represented the district since 2018, was re-elected in 2020 with 51.1% of the vote.^[148] He retired to run for the U.S. Senate in 2022.^[260] Lamb was succeeded by former Navy Officer Chris Deluzio, who was elected in 2022 by winning 53.4% of the vote in the general election.^[261]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Chris Deluzio, attorney and policy director of University of Pittsburgh Institute for Cyber Law, Policy and Security^[262][263]

Eliminated in primary

• Sean Meloy, senior political advisor for Victory Fund^[264]

Declined

• Conor Lamb, incumbent U.S. Representative (ran for U.S. Senate)

Endorsements

Chris Deluzio

Organizations

• Allegheny County Democratic Party^[208]
• League of Conservation Voters^[59]
• New Politics^[90]
• Sierra Club^[49]
• VoteVets.org^[23]
• Working Families Party^[265]

Forum

2022 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district democratic primary candidate forum

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Democratic
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Chris Deluzio	Sean Meloy
1	Apr. 23, 2022	League of Women Voters of Great Pittsburgh Robert Morris University	Kristen Davis	[266]	P	P

Results

Democratic primary results^[263]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Chris Deluzio	62,389	63.6
	Democratic	Sean Meloy	35,638	36.4
Total votes			98,027	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jeremy Shaffer, former Ross Township commissioner and nominee for State Senate District 38 in 2018^{[267][268][269][270]}

Eliminated in primary

• Kathy Coder, political activist and 2018 lieutenant gubernatorial candidate^[267][268]
• Jason Killmeyer, conservative writer and national security expert^[267][268]

Did not appear on ballot

• Tricia Staible, manufacturing company president^[271]

Declined

• Sam DeMarco, Allegheny County at-large councilor and chair of the Allegheny County Republican Party^[272][273]

Forum

2022 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district republican primary candidate forum

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Republican	Republican
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Kathy Coder	Jason Killmeyer	Jeremy Shaffer
1	Apr. 23, 2022	League of Women Voters of Great Pittsburgh Robert Morris University	Kristen Davis	[274]	P	P	A

Results

Republican primary results^[270]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jeremy Shaffer	40,965	58.7
	Republican	Jason Killmeyer	16,801	24.0
	Republican	Kathy Coder	12,079	17.3
Total votes			69,845	100.0

General election

Debate

2022 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Republican
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Chris Deluzio	Jeremy Shaffer
1	Nov. 2, 2022	KDKA-TV	Ken Rice	[275]	P	P

Endorsements

Chris Deluzio (D)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)^[237]

Statewide officials

• John Fetterman, Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (2019–2023) and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022^[276]

U.S. Representatives

• Mike Doyle, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district (1995–2003, 2019–2022), Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district (2003–2019)^[238]

Jeremy Shaffer (R)

U.S. Representatives

• Kevin McCarthy, House Minority Leader (2019–2023) and U.S. Representative from California's 23rd congressional district (2013–2023), California's 22nd congressional district (2007–2013)^[277]

Organizations

• United States Chamber of Commerce^[278]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[28]	Tossup	February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]	Tossup	August 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Lean R (flip)	November 7, 2022
Politico[31]	Tossup	April 5, 2022
RCP[32]	Lean R (flip)	October 21, 2022
Fox News[33]	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2022
DDHQ[34]	Lean R (flip)	October 31, 2022
538[35]	Tossup	October 25, 2022
The Economist[36]	Tossup	November 1, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Chris Deluzio (D)	Jeremy Shaffer (R)	Undecided
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[279][I]	September 18–20, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	43%	8%
Lake Research Partners (D)[280][J]	July 18–21, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	43%	42%	15%
RMG Research[281]	June 4–6, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	44%	44%	12%
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[282][H]	May 9–10, 2022	494 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	41%	16%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Undecided
Change Research (D)[283][K]	October 19, 2022	–	–	45%	44%	11%

Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district election^[43]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Chris Deluzio	193,615	53.4
	Republican	Jeremy Shaffer	169,013	46.6
Total votes			362,628	100.0
	Democratic hold

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
3. No relation to Democratic incumbent Mike Doyle
4. The 18th district was eliminated in redistricting. Retiring 18th district Democratic incumbent Mike Doyle lived within the boundaries of the new 12th district. Retiring 12th district Republican incumbent Fred Keller did not live within the boundaries of the new 12th district.

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Fitzpatrick's campaign committee
2. Poll sponsored by Ehasz's campaign and analyzed by Global Strategy Group
3. Poll sponsored by Boyle's campaign
4. This poll was sponsored by Cartwright's campaign
5. Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Bognet's campaign committee
6. This poll was sponsored by Daniels's campaign
7. Poll sponsored by EMILY's List, which supports Lee
8. This poll was conducted in-house by and for the DCCC
9. This poll was sponsored by the DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department
10. This poll was sponsored by Deluzio's campaign
11. This poll was sponsored by the House Majority PAC