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Quantity of votes in election studies From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
In the study of electoral systems, the Droop quota (sometimes called the Hagenbach-Bischoff, Britton, or Newland-Britton quota[1][lower-alpha 1]) is the minimum number of supporters a party or candidate needs to receive in a district to guarantee they will win at least one seat in a legislature.[3][4]
This article includes a list of general references, but it lacks sufficient corresponding inline citations. (May 2010) |
The Droop quota is used to extend the concept of a majority to multiwinner elections, taking the place of the 50% bar in single-winner elections. Just as any candidate with more than half of all votes is guaranteed to be declared the winner in single-seat election, any candidate who holds more than a Droop quota's worth of votes is guaranteed to win a seat in a multiwinner election.[4]
Besides establishing winners, the Droop quota is used to define the number of excess votes, i.e. votes not needed by a candidate who has been declared elected. In proportional quota-based systems such as STV or expanding approvals, these excess votes can be transferred to other candidates, preventing them from being wasted.[4]
The Droop quota was first suggested by the English lawyer and mathematician Henry Richmond Droop (1831–1884) as an alternative to the Hare quota.[4]
Today, the Droop quota is used in almost all STV elections, including those in Australia,[5] the Republic of Ireland, Northern Ireland, and Malta.[6] It is also used in South Africa to allocate seats by the largest remainder method.[7][8]
The Droop quota for a -winner election is given by the expression:[1][9][10][11][12][13]
Sometimes, the Droop quota is written as a share of all votes, in which case it has value 1⁄k+1. A candidate who, at any point, holds more than one Droop quota's worth of votes is therefore guaranteed to win a seat.[14]
Modern variants of STV use fractional transfers of ballots to eliminate uncertainty. However, STV elections with whole vote reassignment cannot handle fractional quotas, and so instead will round up or round down. For example:[4]
The Droop quota can be derived by considering what would happen if k candidates (who we call "Droop winners") have achieved the Droop quota. The goal is to identify whether an outside candidate could defeat any of these candidates. In this situation, if each quota winner's share of the vote equals 1⁄k+1 plus 1, while all unelected candidates' share of the vote, taken together, would be less than 1⁄k+1 votes. Thus, even if there were only one unelected candidate who held all the remaining votes, they would not be able to defeat any of the Droop winners.[4] Newland and Britton noted that while a tie for the last seat is possible, such a situation can occur no matter which quota is used.[1][15]
The following election has 3 seats to be filled by single transferable vote. There are 4 candidates: George Washington, Alexander Hamilton, Thomas Jefferson, and Aaron Burr. There are 102 voters, but two of the votes are spoiled.
The total number of valid votes is 100, and there are 3 seats. The Droop quota is therefore .[16] These votes are as follows:
45 voters | 20 voters | 25 voters | 10 voters | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Washington | Burr | Jefferson | Hamilton |
2 | Hamilton | Jefferson | Burr | Washington |
3 | Jefferson | Washington | Washington | Jefferson |
First preferences for each candidate are tallied:
Only Washington has strictly more than 25 votes. As a result, he is immediately elected. Washington has 20 excess votes that can be transferred to their second choice, Hamilton. The tallies therefore become:
Hamilton is elected, so his excess votes are redistributed. Thanks to Hamilton's support, Jefferson receives 30 votes to Burr's 20 and is elected.
If all of Hamilton's supporters had instead backed Burr, the election for the last seat would have been exactly tied, requiring a tiebreaker; generally, ties are broken by taking the limit of the results as the quota approaches the exact Droop quota.
There are at least six different versions of the Droop quota to appear in various legal codes or definitions of the quota, all varying by one vote.[17] Some claim that, depending on which version is used, a failure of proportionality in small elections may arise.[1][15] Common variants include:
Droop and Hagenbach-Bischoff derived new quota as a replacement for the Hare quota (votes/seats). Their quota was meant to produce more proportional result by having the quota as low as thought to be possible. Their quota was basically votes/seats plus 1, plus 1, the formula on the left on the first row.
This formula may yield a fraction, which was a problem as early STV systems did not use fractions. Droop went to votes/seats plus 1, plus 1, rounded down (the variant on top right). Hagenbach-Bischoff went to votes/seats +1, rounded up, the variant in the middle of the top row.[4] Hagenbach-Bischoff proposed a quota that is "the whole number next greater than the quotient obtained by dividing , the number of votes, by " (where n is the number of seats).[17]
Some hold the misconception that these rounded-off variants of the Droop and Hagenbach-Bischoff quota are still needed, despite the use of fractions in fractional STV systems, now common today.
As well, it is un-necessary to ensure the quota is larger than vote/seats plus 1, as in the historical examples, the variant on the second row, and the formula on the right on the bottom row. When using the exact Droop quota (votes/seats plus 1) or any variant where the quota is slightly less than votes/seats plus 1, such as in votes/seats plus 1, rounded down (the left variant on the third row), it is possible for one more candidate to reach the quota than there are seats to fill.[17] However, as Newland and Britton noted in 1974, this is not a problem: if the last two winners both receive a Droop quota of votes, it would mean a tie. Rules are in place to break a tie, and ties can occur regardless of which quota is used.[1][15]
Spoiled ballots should not be included when calculating the Droop quota. However, some jurisdictions fail to correctly specify this in their election administration laws.[citation needed]
The Droop quota is often confused with the Hare quota. While the Droop quota gives the number of voters needed to mathematically guarantee a candidate's election, the Hare quota gives the number of voters represented by each winner in an ideally-proportional system.
As a result, the Hare quota is said to give somewhat more proportional outcomes,[18] by promoting representation of smaller parties, although sometimes under Hare a majority group will be denied the majority of seats, thus denying the principle of majority rule in such settings as a city council elected at-large. By contrast, the Droop quota is more biased towards large parties than any other admissible quota.[18] The Droop quota sometimes allows a party representing less than half of the voters to take a majority of seats in a constituency.[18][4]
The Droop quota is today the most popular quota for STV elections.[citation needed]
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