Division of Bruce

The Division of Bruce is an Australian Electoral Division in the state of Victoria. The division is located in the south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne. It covers an area of approximately 115 square kilometres (44 sq mi) ^[1] including the suburbs of Dandenong North, Doveton, Endeavour Hills, Eumemmerring, Hallam, Lysterfield South, Narre Warren, and Narre Warren North; and parts of Berwick, Dandenong, Harkaway, Mulgrave, Narre Warren South, Noble Park, and Noble Park North.^[2]

Bruce Australian House of Representatives Division
Division of Bruce in Victoria, as of the 2022 federal election
Created	1955
MP	Julian Hill
Party	Labor
Namesake	Stanley Bruce
Electors	112,896 (2022)
Area	115 km2 (44.4 sq mi)
Demographic	Outer metropolitan

Geography

Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.^[3]

History

Stanley Bruce, the division's namesake

The division was created in 1955, and is named for Stanley Bruce, who was Prime Minister of Australia from 1923 to 1929. Unusually, the division was named after a living person, as Bruce did not die until 1967.

Until 1996, the division was based on Glen Waverley and Mount Waverley, and was a fairly safe seat for the Liberal Party, but since then its boundaries have been extended southwards, making it a marginal Labor Party seat.^[4]

Its most prominent member was Sir Billy Snedden, Liberal Party leader from 1972 to 1975 and Speaker of the Australian House of Representatives from 1976 to 1983. At the 2011 Census, the division had the nation's highest proportion of residents born overseas (50.8%), and the third highest proportion born in a non-English speaking country (45.4%). It also has the sixth highest proportion speaking a language other than English at home (51.6%), the highest for any Victorian electorate.^[4]

The current Member for Bruce, since the 2016 federal election, is Julian Hill, who is a member of the Australian Labor Party.

Demographics

Bruce is a diverse and socially conservative electorate^[5] and is historically working-class. Bruce has three times the proportion of families with Chinese backgrounds as the state average.^[5] While a stronghold for the center-left Labor Party, religious migrant communities in the electorate rallied strongly against the Australian Marriage Law Postal Survey in 2017, since the survey process was not trusted by both Islamic and Chinese Christian migrant communities, who believe it had been hijacked by out-of-touch inner-city leaders.^[5]

Members

	Image	Member	Party	Term	Notes
		Sir Billy Snedden (1926–1987)	Liberal	10 December 1955 – 21 April 1983	Served as minister under Menzies, Holt, McEwen, Gorton and McMahon. Served as Opposition Leader from 1972 to 1975. Served as Speaker during the Fraser Government. Resigned to retire from politics
		Ken Aldred (1945–2016)		28 May 1983 – 24 March 1990	Previously held the Division of Henty. Lost preselection. Transferred to the Division of Deakin
		Julian Beale (1934–2021)		24 March 1990 – 2 March 1996	Previously held the Division of Deakin. Lost seat
		Alan Griffin (1960–)	Labor	2 March 1996 – 9 May 2016	Previously held the Division of Corinella. Served as minister under Rudd and Gillard. Retired
		Julian Hill (1973–)		2 July 2016 – present	Incumbent

Election results

Main article: Electoral results for the Division of Bruce

2022 Australian federal election: Bruce^[6]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Julian Hill	39,516	41.47	−6.57
	Liberal	James Moody	28,837	30.26	−5.43
	Greens	Matthew Kirwan	9,273	9.73	+2.10
	United Australia	Matt Babet	8,299	8.71	+4.61
	Liberal Democrats	Christine Skrobo	4,821	5.06	+5.06
	One Nation	Hayley Deans	4,544	4.77	+3.75
Total formal votes			95,290	95.66	+0.76
Informal votes			4,321	4.34	−0.76
Turnout			99,611	88.34	−3.67
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Julian Hill	53,920	56.59	−0.69
	Liberal	James Moody	41,370	43.41	+0.69
	Labor hold		Swing	−0.69

This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Victoria § Bruce.[edit]

Alluvial diagram for preference flows in the seat of Bruce in the 2022 federal election. Y indicates at what stage the winning candidate had over 50% of the votes and was declared the winner.

References

1. Australian Electoral Commission https://www.aec.gov.au/profiles/vic/bruce.htm
2. "Profile of the electoral division of Bruce (Vic)". Current federal electoral divisions. Australian Electoral Commission. 30 June 2022. Retrieved 16 September 2022.
3. Muller, Damon (14 November 2017). "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide". Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 19 April 2022.
4. Green, Antony (11 October 2013). "Federal election 2013: Bruce results". Australia Votes. Australia: ABC. Retrieved 23 November 2013.
5. Bagshaw, Eryk (16 November 2017). "Same-sex marriage result: Why multicultural communities registered huge 'no' votes". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 7 June 2022.
6. Bruce, VIC, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.

External links

• Division of Bruce - Australian Electoral Commission

37.931°S 145.186°E / -37.931; 145.186