Cardiff Central (Senedd constituency)

Not to be confused with Cardiff Central (UK Parliament constituency).

Cardiff Central (Welsh: Canol Caerdydd) is a constituency of the Senedd. It elects one Member of the Senedd by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of eight constituencies in the South Wales Central electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight constituency members, to produce a degree of proportional representation for the region as a whole.

Cardiff Central Canol Caerdydd
Senedd borough constituency for the Senedd
Cardiff Central shown within the South Wales Central electoral region and the region shown within Wales
Current Senedd borough constituency
Created	1999
Party	Labour
MS	Jenny Rathbone
Preserved county	South Glamorgan

History

From 1999, Cardiff Central was a safe seat for the Liberal Democrats. However the seat was lost to Labour in 2011 with a huge 14.7% swing. In 2016 this was the Liberal Democrats target seat with their candidate Eluned Parrott a current regional AM for South Wales Central. The result actually saw a very slight increase in Labour's majority in a very disappointing night for the Liberal Democrats. The seat remained one of the most marginal in the Assembly until the 2021 Senedd election, where Labour increased their majority substantially.

Furthermore, in 2016 two former Big Brother participants were the candidates for Plaid Cymru and the Conservatives.

Boundaries

Map of current boundaries

The constituency was created for the first election to the Assembly, in 1999, with the name and boundaries of the Cardiff Central Westminster constituency. It is entirely within the preserved county of South Glamorgan.

The other seven constituencies of the region are Cardiff North, Cardiff South and Penarth, Cardiff West, Cynon Valley, Pontypridd, Rhondda and Vale of Glamorgan.

Voting

In general elections for the Senedd, each voter has two votes. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Member of the Senedd for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation.

Assembly members and Members of the Senedd

Election		Member	Portrait	Party
	1999	Jenny Randerson		Liberal Democrat
	2011	Jenny Rathbone		Labour

Elections

Elections in the 2020s

2021 Senedd election: Cardiff Central^[1]

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Jenny Rathbone	13,100	45.9	+7.5	11,272	39.5	+6.4
	Liberal Democrats	Rodney Berman	5,460	19.1	-16.2	4,522	15.9	-12.3
	Conservative	Calum Davies	3,788	13.3	+4.4	4,047	14.2	+4.0
	Plaid Cymru	Wiliam Rees	3,470	12.2	+4.7	4,633	16.3	+5.4
	Green	Ceri Davies	1,552	5.4	+1.0	2,258	7.9	+2.0
	Abolish	Munawar Mughal	440	1.5	New	643	2.3	-0.6
	Propel	Dilan Nazari	268	0.9	New	296	1.0	New
	Freedom Alliance	Thomas Franklin	156	0.5	New
	Reform UK	Julian Bosley	151	0.5	New	173	0.6	New
	Socialist (GB)	Brian Johnson	82	0.3	New
	Gwlad	Alford Thomas	65	0.2	New	80	0.3	New
	UKIP					200	0.7	-5.2
	No More Lockdowns					135	0.5	New
	TUSC					97	0.3	-0.1
	Communist					87	0.3	+0.1
	Workers Party					33	0.1	New
	Independent	Alan Coulthard				32	0.1	New
Majority			7,640	26.8	+23.7
Turnout			28,532	44.5[2]	-1.1
	Labour hold		Swing
Notes

Elections in the 2010s

Welsh Assembly Election 2016: Cardiff Central

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional[3][4]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Jenny Rathbone	10,016	38.4	+0.5	8,595	33.1	+0.3
	Liberal Democrats	Eluned Parrott	9,199	35.3	-2.4	7,337	28.2	+2.3
	Conservative	Joel Williams	2,317	8.9	-6.2	2,642	10.2	-5.9
	Plaid Cymru	Glyn Wise	1,951	7.5	+0.3	2,831	10.9	+3.6
	UKIP	Mohammed Islam	1,223	4.7	New	1,526	5.9	+2.6
	Green	Amelia Womack	1,150	4.4	New	1,536	5.9	-3.2
	Independent	Jane Croad	212	0.8	New
	Abolish					750	2.9	New
	Women's Equality					437	1.7	New
	Monster Raving Loony					118	0.5	-0.3
	TUSC					107	0.4	-0.1
	Freedom to Choose / Vapers in Power					42	0.2	New
	Communist					40	0.2	-0.2
	Independent (Jonathan Bishop)[5]					24	0.1	New
Majority			817	3.1	+2.9
Turnout			26,068	45.6	+7.6
	Labour hold		Swing	+1.7

Welsh Assembly Election 2011: Cardiff Central

Party		Candidate	Constituency [6]			Regional[7]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Jenny Rathbone	8,954	37.9	+16.0	7,778	32.8	+11.2
	Liberal Democrats	Nigel Howells	8,916	37.7	-13.5	6,130	25.9	-11.1
	Conservative	Matt Smith	3,559	15.1	+1.1	3,820	16.1	+0.6
	Plaid Cymru	Chris Williams	1,690	7.2	-1.1	1,738	7.3	-1.9
	Independent	Mathab Khan	509	2.2	New
	Green					2,163	9.1	+3.6
	UKIP					789	3.3	-0.1
	Socialist Labour					337	1.4	+0.6
	BNP					330	1.4	-1.5
	Welsh Christian					236	1.0	-0.1
	Monster Raving Loony					178	0.8	New
	TUSC					125	0.5	New
	Communist					83	0.4	-0.1
Majority			38	0.2	N/A
Turnout			23,628	38.0	+2.0
	Labour gain from Liberal Democrats		Swing	+14.7

Regional ballots rejected at the count: 208^[8]

Elections in the 2000s

Welsh Assembly Election 2007: Cardiff Central

Party		Candidate	Constituency [9]			Regional[10]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal Democrats	Jenny Randerson	11,462	51.2	-3.4	8,281	37.0	-4.0
	Labour	Sue Lent	4,897	21.9	+2.0	4,845	21.6	-2.1
	Conservative	Andrew Murphy	3,137	14.0	+2.5	3,476	15.5	+2.6
	Plaid Cymru	Thomas Whitfield	1,855	8.3	-0.3	2,051	9.2	-1.0
	UKIP	Frank Hughes	1,046	4.7	New	769	3.4	±0.0
	Green					1,238	5.5	+0.9
	BNP					651	2.9	New
	Welsh Christian					246	1.1	New
	Respect					198	0.9	New
	Socialist Labour					169	0.8	-0.6
	Communist					110	0.5	+0.3
	CPA					154	0.7	New
	Socialist Alternative (UK)					123	0.5	New
	Socialist Equality					74	0.3	New
Majority			6,565	29.3	−5.4
Turnout			22,397	36.0	+2.3
	Liberal Democrats hold		Swing

Welsh Assembly Election 2003: Cardiff Central

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional[11]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal Democrats	Jenny Randerson	11,256	54.6	+12.3	8,434	41.0	+5.8
	Labour	Geoff M. Mungham	4,100	19.9	-10.1	4,866	23.7	-4.6
	Conservative	Craig S. Piper	2,378	11.5	-0.2	2,656	12.9	±0.0
	Plaid Cymru	Owen John Thomas	1,795	8.6	-6.1	2,099	10.2	-6.4
	Independent	Raja G. Raiz	541	2.6	New
	Independent	Captain Beany	212	0.8	New
	Independent	Madeleine E. Jeremy	239	1.2	New
	Green					940	4.6	+1.1
	UKIP					694	3.4	New
	Socialist Labour					279	1.4	Unknown
	Vote No 2 Stop the War					226	1.1	New
	ProLife Alliance					198	0.5	New
	New Millennium Bean Party					168	0.8	New
	Cymru Annibynnol					56	0.3	New
	Communist					45	0.2	Unknown
Majority			7,156	34.7	+22.4
Turnout			21,052	33.7	−11.1
	Liberal Democrats hold		Swing

2003 Electorate: 62,470
Regional ballots rejected: 285

Elections in the 1990s

Welsh Assembly Election 1999: Cardiff Central

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional [12]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal Democrats	Jenny Randerson	10,937	42.3	N/A	9,116	35.2	N/A
	Labour	Mark Drakeford	7,769	30.0	N/A	7,343	28.3	N/A
	Plaid Cymru	Owen John Thomas	3,795	14.7	N/A	4,307	16.6	N/A
	Conservative	Stephen Jones	3,034	11.7	N/A	3,348	12.9	N/A
	Socialist Alliance	Julian Goss	338	1.3
	Green					911	3.5
	Independent (Alun Mathias)					331	1.3	New
	Other List Parties					554	2.1
Majority			3,168	12.3
Turnout			25,873	44.8
	Liberal Democrats win (new seat)

1999 Electorate: 57,700

References

1. "Cardiff Central Statement of Persons Nominated" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 21 April 2021. Retrieved 21 April 2021.
2. Hayward, Will (7 May 2021). "The voter turnout figures for every constituency in Wales". WalesOnline. Retrieved 20 November 2021.
3. National Assembly – 5 May 2016 - South Wales Central
4. "Results and turnout at the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 24 November 2021.
5. "Jonathan Bishop". Who Can I vote for?. Retrieved 30 July 2021.
6. "Wales elections > Cardiff Central". BBC News. 6 May 2011. Retrieved 7 March 2011.
7. "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales Election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 25 October 2021.
8. "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
9. Election results – 2007 Archived 9 May 2011 at the Wayback Machine, National Assembly for Wales
10. "2007 Assembly Election Results (updated) July 2007(Page 78 of the PDF / Page 72 of booklet)" (PDF). National Assembly for Wales. Retrieved 1 August 2021.
11. The National Assembly for Wales elections 2003. The Electoral Commission. November 2003. pp. 110–115. Retrieved 1 August 2021.
12. "Vote 99 Wales (Time Stub 29:45)". YouTube. BBC News. Retrieved 11 August 2022.

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